China's national debt grew 3x faster than the US in the last 12 months (2024)

China’s economy has experienced remarkable growth in the last few decades, making it one of the world’s largest and most influential economies. However, this growth has come at a cost, with the country’s national debt steadily increasing, raising concerns about China’s ability to achieve and sustain economic stability.

In this line, data acquired by Finbold indicates that as of April 12, China’s national debt amounted to $14.34 trillion, ranking second globally. This value reflects a year-on-year (YoY) increase of $3.81 trillion, or 36.18%, compared to the $10.53 trillion recorded in 2022. The United States, holding the highest national debt globally, has a total of $31.68 trillion, representing a YoY increase of $1.3 trillion or 4.28%, reaching $30.38 trillion. Therefore, China’s national debt has surged almost three times that of the United States in the past 12 months.

In the third spot, Japan has a national debt of $13.36 trillion, indicating a drop of $1.49 trillion YoY. The United Kingdom follows closely at $3.75 trillion, while Germany ranks fifth with a national debt of $3.32 trillion.

In terms of Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the US maintains the highest GDP globally, at $26.32 trillion as of April 12, an 8.8% growth from the $24.19 trillion recorded 12 months ago. China ranks second with a GDP of $17.63 trillion, marking an annual increase of 2.08%. Japan has the third highest GDP globally, amounting to $4.48 trillion, representing a drop of 14.34%. Germany and the UK account for a GDP of $4.20 trillion and $3.32 trillion, respectively.

National debt is the total amount of money a country’s government owes to its creditors. It includes public debt, owed through the issuance of bonds and other securities, and intra-governmental debt, owed through programs such as social security and medicare. GDP measures a country’s economic output, representing the total value of goods and services produced within a country over a given period.

Understanding China’s growing national debt

China’s national debt has been growing due to a combination of factors, including government spending on development projects and slowing economic growth. The national debt growth has come with the state’s injection of credit into government-owned enterprises in response to the aftermath of the global financial crisis. At the same time, in response to the pandemic-induced economic downturn, Chinese authorities made it easier for companies to secure loans, resulting in a further increase in debt levels relative to the size of its economy.

In previous years, China had managed to keep a lower national debt than the US, mainly due to policies initiated by the state. The debt has usually been held by domestic institutional investors, particularly state-owned banks, whose investment and lending practices support government policies such as issuing bonds for infrastructure investment and insurance companies.

The debt situation in China is likely to grow further. Notably, two significant issues affecting the country’s economy and financial markets are its demographic challenge and social security pension obligations burden. China’s one-child policy for decades has led to a shortage of young workers to support an aging population. This trend is expected to continue, and to fulfill its social security pension obligations, the government will likely rely on debt.

Impact on China’s economy

As China battles the ballooning national debt, the country still harbors ambitious economic growth targets that have come with a heavy investment in infrastructure projects. The growing debt has cast a shadow over the country’s economic potential for the foreseeable future. Moreover, the transition toward a consumption-driven growth model has yet to yield significant results.

Analysts maintain that the debt challenge will only slow down China’s economic ascent, not derail it entirely. They remain optimistic about the country’s long-term prospects and predict it will not be long before China surpasses the US as the world’s largest economy.

It is worth noting that China’s financial system is relatively opaque, and there are concerns about the amount of debt held by entities such as local governments and state-owned enterprises. This has led to questions about the overall level of debt in the country and the potential risks associated with a high level of borrowing.

The US debt burden

For the first time, America’s gross national debt exceeded $31 trillion, an alarming financial milestone. The debt threshold has emerged as a major cause for concern as the country’s long-term fiscal outlook has recently become darker with rising interest rates. The debt burden remains a significant challenge despite the GDP surging amid the uncertainty of the general economic prospects characterized by incidents such as the banking sector crisis that saw the high-profile collapse of key lenders.

Notably, the national debt has spiked amid government efforts to stabilize the economy, especially after the pandemic. For instance, the Trump and Biden administrations injected trillions of dollars into the economy to wane off the effects of the pandemic. With the subject becoming a hot political topic in the US, other measures such as tax cuts and healthcare costs continue contributing to the growth.

The skyrocketing inflation has also complicated the US national debt situation. In most cases, when inflation spirals out of control, it can lead to a decrease in investor confidence and an increase in borrowing costs for the government, as lenders demand higher interest rates to compensate for the risk of lending in a high-inflation environment. The government is also facing a higher interest burden on its outstanding debt, making it more difficult to service and potentially increasing the risk of default.

For most global countries, the national debt situation remains a primary concern complicated by the prevailing economic uncertainty. The situation will likely be contained if the respective governments stabilize their economies.

China's national debt grew 3x faster than the US in the last 12 months (2024)

FAQs

Is China's national debt higher than the US? ›

The United States, holding the highest national debt globally, has a total of $31.68 trillion, representing a YoY increase of $1.3 trillion or 4.28%, reaching $30.38 trillion. Therefore, China's national debt has surged almost three times that of the United States in the past 12 months.

Does the US owe China money? ›

Investors in Japan and China hold significant shares of U.S. public debt. Together, as of September 2022, they accounted for nearly $2 trillion, or about 8 percent of DHBP. While China's holdings of U.S. debt have declined over the past decade, Japan has slightly increased their purchases of U.S. Treasury securities.

How fast is the US debt growing? ›

How Did U.S. Debt Get So High?
YearOutstanding DebtYear-Over-Year Increase
2021$28.4T6%
2020$26.9T19%
2019$22.7T6%
2018$21.5T6%
8 more rows
Apr 20, 2023

Why did American debt multiply 5 times in the 1980s? ›

What Caused the Debt to Grow? During the 1980s, federal government receipts fell well below government expenditures. As the U.S. Treasury borrowed (by issuing Treasury bills, notes, and bonds) to pay its bills, there was a marked increase in the size of the national debt.

Does China have high debt? ›

China's debt overhang far exceeds the burdens facing the United States. As recently as 2020, total debt in the United States relative to GDP exceeded China's. But as of mid-2022, China's relative debt burden stood 40 percent higher than America's.

Who has more debt than the US? ›

Japan tops the ranking with central government debt of 221 percent of GDP, followed by Greece, Sudan, Eritrea, and Singapore. Not long ago, the U.S. was among the least indebted countries.

Why does China owe U.S. debt? ›

Key Takeaways. China invests heavily in U.S. Treasury bonds to keep its export prices lower. China focuses on export-led growth to help generate jobs. To keep its export prices low, China must keep its currency—the renminbi (RMB)—low compared to the U.S. dollar.

Who holds most of China's debt? ›

But other experts argue the risk of a hard landing is low. China has little overseas debt, and a high national savings rate. In addition, most of the debt is state owned – state-controlled banks loaned funds to state-controlled firms – giving the government the ability to manage the situation.

Which country owes the most money to China? ›

At the end of 2021, of the 98 countries for whom data was available, Pakistan ($27.4bn of external debt to China), Angola (22.0bn), Ethiopia (7.4bn), Kenya (7.4bn) and Sri Lanka (7.2bn) held the biggest debts to China.

Is U.S. debt at an all time high? ›

Nearly every year, the government spends more than it collects in taxes and other revenue, resulting in a deficit. (The debt ceiling, set by Congress, caps how much the U.S. can borrow to pay for its remaining bills.) The national debt, now at a historic high, is the buildup of its deficits over time.

Who owns the most U.S. debt? ›

According to usafacts.org, as of January 2023, Japan owned $1.1 trillion in US Treasuries, making it the largest foreign holder of the national debt. The second-largest holder is China, which owned $859 billion of US debt.

Who holds the US debt? ›

With $1.1 trillion in Treasury holdings, Japan is the largest foreign holder of U.S. debt. Japan surpassed China as the top holder in 2019 as China shed over $250 billion, or 30% of its holdings in four years.

What is the biggest reason for U.S. debt? ›

The U.S. debt is the total federal financial obligation owed to the public and intragovernmental departments. The U.S. national debt is so big because Congress continues both deficit spending and tax cuts.

When was the only time the US was debt free? ›

When was the last time the U.S. was debt free? January 1835 was the first and only time all of the government's interest-bearing debt was paid off, according to the Treasury Department.

What causes the most debt in America? ›

Mortgage balances, the largest source of debt for most Americans, rose 5.9 percent between 2020 and 2021.

Is China's debt a problem? ›

In 2021, a remote coal town in northeastern China was forced to undergo an unprecedented financial restructuring. Its struggles since are an ominous sign for Chinese President Xi Jinping as other heavily indebted municipalities look set to follow suit.

Is China struggling financially? ›

Overall, Chinese government debt is now equivalent to 102% of its GDP, the analysts estimated. That debt ratio is still lower than America's, which is currently about 122%, based on its national debt and GDP in 2022, but China's has grown at a staggering rate, more than doubling from 47% in 2016.

What is China's debt right now? ›

As of 2020, China's total government debt stands at approximately ¥ RMB 46 trillion (US$ 7.0 trillion), equivalent to about 45% of GDP.

Where does the US owe most of its debt? ›

  1. Japan. Japan held $1.1 trillion in Treasury securities as of Jan. ...
  2. China. China gets a lot of attention for holding a big chunk of the U.S. government's debt. ...
  3. The United Kingdom. British investors increased their holdings of U.S. debt to $668 billion as of Jan. ...
  4. Belgium. ...
  5. Luxembourg.

Is there any country not in debt? ›

Learning about Countries and Their Debt

The best example can be taken from Hong Kong (it is a one of the debt free countries), whose economy has the least debt to GDP ratio. It is an almost debt free country. It has a well-regulated financial system and large foreign reserves.

What country is not in debt? ›

The 20 countries with the lowest national debt in 2022 in relation to gross domestic product (GDP)
CharacteristicNational debt in relation to GDP
Macao SAR0%
Brunei Darussalam2.06%
Kuwait2.92%
Hong Kong SAR4.26%
9 more rows
May 11, 2023

What if China called in the US debt? ›

Consequences of Owing Debt to the Chinese

If China called in all of its U.S. holdings, the U.S. dollar would depreciate, whereas the yuan would appreciate, making Chinese goods more expensive.

Does China debt trap countries? ›

A neologism, the term was first coined by Indian academic Brahma Chellaney in 2017, to contend that the Chinese government lends and then leverages the debt burden of smaller countries for geopolitical ends. However, other analysts have described the idea of a Chinese debt trap as a "myth" or "distraction".

How much does China owe the world? ›

When adding portfolio debts (including the $1 trillion of U.S. Treasury debt purchased by China's central bank) and trade credits (to buy goods and services), the Chinese government's aggregate claims to the rest of the world exceed $5 trillion in total.

How much does America owe Chinese? ›

How much money does the U.S. owe to China? China owns roughly $1.08 trillion worth of U.S. debt. 2 This amount is subject to market fluctuations. The value will change whenever China trades Treasury securities or when the prices of those bonds change.

Why do so many countries owe China money? ›

Much of the debt owed to China relates to large infrastructure projects like roads, railways and ports, and also to the mining and energy industry, under President Xi Jinping's Belt and Road Initiative.

How much does Africa owe China? ›

Chinese lenders account for 12% of Africa's private and public external debt, which increased more than fivefold to $696 billion from 2000 to 2020. China is a major creditor of many African nations, but its lending has fallen in recent years and is set to remain at lower levels.

Has the US never been in debt? ›

The U.S. has had debt since its inception. Our records show that debts incurred during the American Revolutionary War amounted to $75,463,476.52 by January 1, 1791. Over the following 45 years, the debt grew. Notably, the public debt actually shrank to zero by January 1835, under President Andrew Jackson.

Has the US ever not been in debt? ›

As a result, the U.S. actually did become debt free, for the first and only time, at the beginning of 1835 and stayed that way until 1837. It remains the only time that a major country was without debt.

What happens if U.S. debt gets too high? ›

A nation saddled with debt will have less to invest in its own future. Rising debt means fewer economic opportunities for Americans. Rising debt reduces business investment and slows economic growth.

Who has the biggest debt in the world? ›

According to data published by London-based investment fintech Invezz, Japan, Greece, Italy, Portugal, and the US are the top five nations with the highest level of government debt.

Does Japan owe the US money? ›

Japan currently does not owe the United States any money. However, Japan did remain in debt to the United States after World War II. This was primarily due to the costs that the United States incurred in rebuilding Japan and assisting its economy.

How much debt can the US handle? ›

The debt limit caps the total amount of allowable outstanding U.S. federal debt. The U.S. hit that limit—$31.4 trillion—on January 19, 2023, but the Department of the Treasury has been undertaking a set of “extraordinary measures” so that the debt limit does not yet bind.

How much is the United States worth? ›

For the fourth quarter of 2019, total wealth in the U.S. was $111.04 trillion.

How much credit card debt does the average American household have? ›

The average U.S. household has $6,473 in credit card debt

According to data from Experian, the average American's credit card balance in the third quarter of 2021 was $5,221. The Ascent examined research on American credit card debt and found that Americans had $841 billion in credit card debt in 2022.

What are 3 causes of the US national debt? ›

Tax cuts, stimulus programs, increased government spending, and decreased tax revenue caused by widespread unemployment account for sharp rises in the national debt.

How can the US pay off its debt? ›

Of course, just as with an individual or family, cutting spending and increasing revenue are smart first steps. Beyond that, the government considers things like new taxes, a higher retirement age, removing loopholes from the tax code, and more to reduce annual deficits and the national debt.

Why can't the US make more money to get out of debt? ›

The Fed tries to influence the supply of money in the economy to promote noninflationary growth. Unless there is an increase in economic activity commensurate with the amount of money that is created, printing money to pay off the debt would make inflation worse.

Has anyone paid off U.S. debt? ›

On January 8, 1835, president Andrew Jackson paid off the entire national debt, the only time in U.S. history that has been accomplished.

When did U.S. pay off ww2 debt? ›

Unlike after World War I, the US never really tried to pay down much of the debt it incurred during World War II. Still the debt shrank in significance as the US economy grew. It would take the debt-to-GDP ratio until 1962 just to get back to where the US was before the war.

When did U.S. debt limit start? ›

In 1939, Congress instituted the first limit on total accumulated debt over all kinds of instruments. In 1953, the U.S. Treasury risked reaching the debt ceiling of $275 billion. Though President Eisenhower requested that Congress increase it on July 30, 1953, the Senate refused to act on it.

How many Americans are debt free? ›

Fewer than one quarter of American households live debt-free.

Which country has highest debt in the world? ›

Here are the 25 countries with the highest debt-to-GDP ratios:
  • Bahamas. Debt to GDP Ratio: 95.6% ...
  • United Kingdom. Debt to GDP Ratio: 101% ...
  • Mozambique. Debt to GDP Ratio: 101% ...
  • Belgium. Debt to GDP Ratio: 105% ...
  • France. Debt to GDP Ratio: 112% ...
  • Spain. Debt to GDP Ratio: 113% ...
  • Canada. Debt to GDP Ratio: 113% ...
  • Sri Lanka.
May 18, 2023

Where does the US rank in national debt? ›

The United States has the world's highest national debt at $31.4 trillion. Global debt currently stands at $305 trillion, $45 trillion higher than before the COVID-19 pandemic, according to the Institute of International Finance (IIF) – a global association of the financial industry.

Does China own $1 trillion US debt? ›

China and Japan are the largest foreign investors in American government debt. Together they own $2 trillion — more than a quarter — of the $7.6 trillion in US Treasury securities held by foreign countries.

How much does the US owe China in debt? ›

China holds about $1 trillion of U.S. debt, about 3% of all U.S. debt outstanding.

Which is the most debt free country world? ›

The best example can be taken from Hong Kong (it is a one of the debt free countries), whose economy has the least debt to GDP ratio. It is an almost debt free country. It has a well-regulated financial system and large foreign reserves.

What happens if US defaults on debt? ›

U.S. debt, long viewed as ultra-safe

Its debt, long viewed as an ultra-safe asset, is a foundation of global commerce, built on decades of trust in the United States. A default could shatter the $24 trillion market for Treasury debt, cause financial markets to freeze up and ignite an international crisis.

Does the US own most of its debt? ›

Many people believe that much of the U.S. national debt is owed to foreign countries like China and Japan, but the truth is that most of it is owed to Social Security and pension funds right here in the U.S. This means that U.S. citizens own most of the national debt.

Which 5 countries own the most U.S. debt? ›

Top Foreign Holders of U.S. Debt
RankCountryShare of Total
1🇯🇵 Japan14.7%
2🇨🇳 China11.9%
3🇬🇧 United Kingdom8.9%
4🇧🇪 Belgium4.8%
6 more rows
Mar 24, 2023

Why is the US in so much debt? ›

Flashpoints that greatly contributed to the debt over the past 50 years include the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, the 2008 financial crisis and the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic -- the latter two prompting sweeping stimulus measures from Congress that cost trillions of dollars.

What if China sold all U.S. debt? ›

If China (or any other nation having a trade surplus with the U.S.) stops buying U.S. Treasuries or even starts dumping its U.S. forex reserves, its trade surplus would become a trade deficit—something which no export-oriented economy would want, as they would be worse off as a result.

Who owes China the most debt? ›

At the end of 2021, of the 98 countries for whom data was available, Pakistan ($27.4 billion of external debt to China), Angola (22.0 billion), Ethiopia (7.4 billion), Kenya (7.4 billion) and Sri Lanka (7.2 billion) held the biggest debts to China.

How much does America owe Japan? ›

As of July 2020, Japan overtook China and became the largest foreign debt collector for the U.S. The United States currently owes Japan about $1.2 trillion according to the U.S. Treasury report.

Why does the US owe China so much money? ›

The US owes so much money to China because of the large trade and investment deficit the US currently has with China. This deficit is the result of a combination of factors, including rising wages and technology costs in the US, slow growth in the US economy, and US policies that favor the import of goods from China.

How much money does America owe? ›

The $31 trillion gross federal debt equals debt held by the public plus debt held by federal trust funds and other government accounts. In very basic terms, this can be thought of as debt that the government owes to others plus debt that it owes to itself. Learn more about different ways to measure our national debt.

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