PLTR (Palantir Technologies) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF (2024)

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2022-12-03), Palantir Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00. The stock price of Palantir Technologies is $7.66. Therefore, Palantir Technologies's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Palantir Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Palantir Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.


Palantir Technologies Annual Data
TrendDec18Dec19Dec20Dec21
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF- - - -
Palantir Technologies Quarterly Data
Dec18Jun19Sep19Dec19Mar20Jun20Sep20Dec20Mar21Jun21Sep21Dec21Mar22Jun22Sep22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCFPLTR (Palantir Technologies) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF (1)PLTR (Palantir Technologies) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF (2)PLTR (Palantir Technologies) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF (3)PLTR (Palantir Technologies) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF (4)PLTR (Palantir Technologies) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF (5)PLTR (Palantir Technologies) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF (6)PLTR (Palantir Technologies) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF (7)PLTR (Palantir Technologies) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF (8)PLTR (Palantir Technologies) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF (9)PLTR (Palantir Technologies) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF (10)- - - - -

Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Competitive Comparison

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Palantir Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Distribution

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Palantir Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Palantir Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF falls into.


Palantir Technologies Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Palantir Technologies(NYSE:PLTR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Palantir Technologies's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=7.66/
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

Palantir Technologies Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Palantir Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) Business Description

PLTR (Palantir Technologies) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF (11)

Traded in Other Exchanges

Address

1555 Blake Street, Suite 250, Denver, CO, USA, 80202

Palantir Technologies provides organizations with solutions to manage large disparate data sets in an attempt to gain insight and drive operational outcomes. Founded in 2003, Palantir released its Gotham software platform in 2008, which focuses on the government intelligence and defense sectors. Palantir expanded into various commercial markets with its Foundry software platform in 2016 with the intent of becoming the data operating system for companies and industries. The Denver company had 125 customers as of its initial public offering and roughly splits its revenue between commercial and government customers.

Executives

Woersching Eric H.directorC/O PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC. 1555 BLAKE STREET, SUITE 250 DENVER CO 80202
Thiel Peterdirector, 10 percent owner9200 SUNSET BOULEVARD SUITE 1110 WEST HOLLYWOOD CA 90069
Stat Lauren Elaina FriedmandirectorC/O PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC. 1555 BLAKE STREET, SUITE 250 DENVER CO 80202
Buckley Jeffreyofficer: Chief Accounting OfficerC/O PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC. 1555 BLAKE STREET, SUITE 250 DENVER CO 80202
Rascoff Spencer Mdirector212 26TH STREET UNIT 317 SANTA MONICA CA 90402
Cohen Stephen Andrewdirector, officer: President and SecretaryC/O PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC. 1555 BLAKE STREET, SUITE 250 DENVER CO 80202
Taylor Ryan D.officer: See RemarksC/O PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC. 1555 BLAKE STREET, SUITE 250 DENVER CO 80202
Glazer David A.officer: CFO and TreasurerC/O PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC. 1555 BLAKE STREET, SUITE 250 DENVER CO 80202
Karp Alexander C.director, officer: Chief Executive OfficerC/O PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC. 1555 BLAKE STREET, SUITE 250 DENVER CO 80202
Moore Alexander D.directorC/O PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES, INC. 1555 BLAKE STREET, SUITE 250 DENVER CO 80202
Long Matthew A.officer: General CounselC/O PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC. 1555 BLAKE STREET, SUITE 250 DENVER CO 80202
Schiff Alexandra W.directorC/O PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC. 1555 BLAKE STREET, SUITE 250 DENVER CO 80202
Sankar Shyamofficer: Chief Operating Officer & EVPC/O PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC. 1555 BLAKE STREET, SUITE 250 DENVER CO 80202
Sompo Holdings, Inc.10 percent owner26-1, NISHI-SHINJUKU 1-CHOME SHINJUKU-KU TOKYO M0 160-8338
Ho Williamofficer: ControllerC/O PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC. 1255 BLAKE STREET, SUITE 250 DENVER CO 80202

Palantir Technologies (NYSE:PLTR) Headlines

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PLTR (Palantir Technologies)  Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF (2024)

FAQs

PLTR (Palantir Technologies) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF? ›

As of today (2023-06-28), Palantir Technologies's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00. The stock price of Palantir Technologies is $15.28. Therefore, Palantir Technologies's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0. in the Software industry.

What is the intrinsic value of projected FCF? ›

So the intrinsic value is the net present value (NPV) of the sum of all future free cash flows (FCF) the company will generate during its existence. This intrinsic value reflects how much the business underlying the stock is actually worth if you would sell off the whole business and all of its assets.

What is the FCF multiple of PLTR? ›

As of today (2023-06-19), Palantir Technologies's share price is $16.30. Palantir Technologies's Free Cash Flow per Share for the trailing twelve months (TTM) ended in Mar. 2023 was $0.16. Hence, Palantir Technologies's Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow Ratio for today is 101.24.

What is the price prediction for PLTR in 2030? ›

Palantir Stock Price Prediction 2030

At the same time, the management will have turned the company profitable. If we talk about, Palantir Stock Price Prediction 2030, then PLTR stock price rises to about $80. If then market scenario are barish, palatir stock price $65 in down side.

What is the projection for Palantir Technologies? ›

Stock Price Forecast

The 12 analysts offering 12-month price forecasts for Palantir Technologies Inc have a median target of 8.25, with a high estimate of 18.00 and a low estimate of 5.00. The median estimate represents a -49.45% decrease from the last price of 16.32.

What is Warren Buffett intrinsic value? ›

If you read Berkshire Hathway's manual, Buffett said, “The intrinsic value can be defined simply. It is the discounted value of the cash that can be taken out of a business during its remaining life. As our definition suggests, intrinsic value is an estimate rather than a price figure.

What is a good price to FCF value? ›

A good price to free cash flow ratio is one that indicates its stock is undervalued. A company's P/FCF should be compared to the ratios of similar companies to determine whether it is under- or over-valued in the industry it operates in.

What is the value of Palantir DCF? ›

DCF Value. This DCF valuation model was created by Alpha Spread and was last updated on Jun 24, 2023. Estimated DCF Value of one PLTR stock is 3.58 USD. Compared to the current market price of 14.03 USD, the stock is Overvalued by 74%.

How much is Palantir shorted? ›

PLTR shares currently have a short interest ratio of 2.0.

What is Apple's FCF yield? ›

Apple's free cash flow yield hit its 5-year low in September 2020 of 3.6%. Apple's free cash flow yield decreased in 2018 (5.5%, -16.5%) and 2020 (3.6%, -37.1%) and increased in 2019 (5.8%, +5.4%), 2021 (4.1%, +11.9%), and 2022 (4.8%, +19.6%).

How much will Palantir be worth in 5 years? ›

By 2025 it is expected that Palantir Technologies will be trading at around $18.57, which is its high from 2022.

How much will Palantir be worth in 2025? ›

Palantir stock price stood at $14.03

According to the latest long-term forecast, Palantir price will hit $15 by the middle of 2023 and then $20 by the end of 2024. Palantir will rise to $30 within the year of 2025, $35 in 2026, $45 in 2027, $50 in 2028, $55 in 2030, $60 in 2032 and $65 in 2033.

Is Palantir overvalued? ›

Our fair value estimate for Palantir is $9 per share, implying a 2023 enterprise value/sales multiple of 8 times. At a 2-star rating, Palantir stock is overvalued compared with its fair value estimate.

What is the future price target for PLTR? ›

Stock Price Targets
High$18.00
Median$8.25
Low$5.00
Average$10.21
Current Price$14.61

Is Palantir making money? ›

Palantir estimates that its total addressable market (TAM) is roughly $119 billion and some analysts project revenue to reach $9 billion by 2026. It seems to be on its way there as the company stands firm behind its projected annual revenue growth of 30% or more through 2025.

Who is Palantir's competition? ›

Splunk. Like Palantir, Splunk software analyzes and visualizes data in real-time. But Splunk specializes in machine-generated data, while Palantir ingests all data forms.

What is a high intrinsic value? ›

Intrinsic value is an estimate of the actual value of a company, separate from how the market values it. Value investors look for companies with higher intrinsic value than market value. They see this as a good investment opportunity.

Which stocks are undervalued now? ›

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  • Metropolis Healthcare Ltd. (S) 1,435.2. 3.5% ...
  • Clean Science And Technology Ltd. (S) 1,374.6. 2.1% ...
  • Kaveri Seed Company Ltd. (S) 512.4. ...
  • Indus Towers Ltd. (M) 165.3.

Which money has high intrinsic value? ›

Precious metals or any other metal having high intrinsic value used as money are called metallic money.

Is the FCF profitable? ›

Is free cash flow the same as profit? Free cash flow (FCF) is a measure of a business's profitability, but is not equivalent to overall net income.

Is FCF a good investment? ›

When free cash flow is positive, it indicates the company is generating more cash than is used to run the business and reinvest to grow the business. It's fully capable of supporting itself, and there is plenty of potential for further growth.

What is a good FCF margin? ›

Well, while there's no one-size-fits-all ratio that your business should be aiming for – mainly because there are significant variations between industries – a higher cash flow margin is usually better. A cash flow margin ratio of 60% is very good, indicating that Company A has a high level of profitability.

What is the fair market value of PLTR? ›

According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PLTR is 9 USD with a low forecast of 5.05 USD and a high forecast of 15.75 USD.

What is Palantir customer lifetime value? ›

The LTV is therefore approximately $5.6m per customer per year * (6.6 + 3.5) years = ~$57m per customer. The CAC is a bit harder to estimate, and I admit I could be way off here. Palantir discloses that it brought in $5.6m of revenue from new customers in H1 2020.

What is Amazon's Intrinsic Value? ›

The range of the Intrinsic Value is 79.77 - 337.55 USD.

What is the average Palantir deal size? ›

The company's average customer spends $8.1 million per year on Palantir contracts and carries an average contract length between three to four years. Image source: Getty Images. The sales process consists of three phases that Palantir calls acquire, expand, and scale.

How high can a shorted stock go? ›

If you short a stock at $10, it can't go lower than zero, so you can't make more than $10 per share on the trade. But there's no ceiling on the stock. You can sell it at $10 and then be forced to buy it back at $20 … or $200 … or $2 million. There is no theoretical limit on how high a stock can go.

What is the float of PLTR stock? ›

Palantir Technologies's float percentage of total shares outstanding is 87.11%.

Is a high fcf yield good? ›

A higher free cash flow yield is ideal because it means a company has enough cash flow to satisfy all of its obligations. If the free cash flow yield is low, it means investors aren't receiving a very good return on the money they're investing in the company.

What is the intrinsic value of Apple? ›

As of 2023-06-21, the Intrinsic Value of Apple Inc (AAPL) is 170.93 USD. This value is based on the model Discounted Cash Flows (Growth Exit 5Y). With the current market price of 185.01 USD, the upside of Apple Inc is -7.6%.

Does Palantir have potential? ›

Palantir Technologies is forecasted to grow earnings and revenue by 55.6% and 16% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 56.7%. Return on equity is forecast to be 10.7% in 3 years.

How big could Palantir get? ›

Around a year back, Palantir estimated sales to grow by 30% annually through 2025. But in 2022, its sales were up 24% and are on track to increase by “just” 16% this year. Wall Street, though expects sales growth to accelerate by 19% in 2024, which is still much lower than Palantir's forecast.

What is the price target for PLTR 2023? ›

Palantir Stock Forecast & Predictions: 1Y Price Target $10.50 | Buy or Sell NYSE: PLTR 2023 | WallStreetZen.

Does Palantir have a future? ›

Summary. Palantir's shares had a difficult year in 2022, just like the rest of the tech industry. Palantir extending its services to the private sector is what will create a ton of new chances for growth in the future. Palantir, if executed properly, has the potential to play a significant role in the metaverse.

Is Palantir a buy sell or hold? ›

Palantir Technologies Inc.

may be overvalued. Its Value Score of D indicates it would be a bad pick for value investors. The financial health and growth prospects of PLTR, demonstrate its potential to underperform the market.

Is Palantir undervalued? ›

As you can see above, the fair value is about $41 billion under the given assumptions. This means the stock is more than 20% undervalued even after a massive year-to-date rally.

Who is the largest shareholder of Palantir? ›

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Palantir Technologies. The company's largest shareholder is The Vanguard Group, Inc., with ownership of 7.8%.

Why is Palantir a good stock? ›

Palantir is enjoying broad-based growth

That included a 50% jump in U.S. commercial customers, to 155. Palantir's Q1 revenue, in turn, rose by 18% year over year to $525 million. The gains were wide-ranging. Commercial sales expanded by 15% to $236 million, while government revenue increased by 20% to $289 million.

What is the PLTR stock price forecast for 12 months? ›

Based on analyst ratings, Palantir Technologies's 12-month average price target is $11.13. Currently there's no upside potential for PLTR, based on the analysts' average price target.

Does PLTR stock pay dividends? ›

Historical dividend payout and yield for Palantir Technologies (PLTR) since 1971. The current TTM dividend payout for Palantir Technologies (PLTR) as of June 23, 2023 is $0.00. The current dividend yield for Palantir Technologies as of June 23, 2023 is 0.00%.

Does Palantir use AI? ›

Palantir has demonstrated its clear leadership in AI on a global scale from both a market share and revenue perspective...we're excited to see how Palantir continues to separate itself from the competition by solving the toughest business challenges out there with their platforms.”

What is the guidance for Palantir in 2023? ›

May 8 (Reuters) - Palantir Technologies (PLTR. N) said on Monday it expects to turn a profit every quarter in 2023, betting on interest "unlike anything we have seen" in its new artificial intelligence platform, sending its shares up about 20% in extended trading.

Who is buying Palantir? ›

Funds operated by ARK bought over 4.37 million shares of Palantir at an estimated valuation of over $43 million. The purchase was done through the flagship ARK Innovation ETF (NYSE:ARKK) and the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF (NYSE:ARKW).

What is the best AI stock to invest in? ›

Best-performing AI stocks
Company NameSymbolYTD Return
Nvidia Corp.NVDA174.73%
Upstart Holdings Inc.UPST129.40%
SoundHound Ai Inc.SOUN121.37%
Berkshire Grey Inc.BGRY105.88%
3 more rows
Jun 2, 2023

Is Palantir ranked no 1 in worldwide artificial intelligence? ›

1 in Worldwide Artificial Intelligence Software Study in Market Share and Revenue. DENVER —(BUSINESS WIRE)—Palantir Technologies Inc. (NYSE: PLTR, "Palantir"), a leading builder of operating systems for the modern enterprise, today announced it was ranked the No.

Why is Palantir stock controversial? ›

Palantir has come under criticism due to its partnership developing software for U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement. Palantir has responded that its software is not used to facilitate deportations.

Is Snowflake a competitor to Palantir? ›

Palantir and Snowflake are both considered Data Warehousing Tools. They offer unique methods for interacting with large, non-relational data sets. While Palantir uses private operating system models (a specialized solution), Snowflake offers a more conventional, cloud-based warehousing approach (a general solution).

How do you find intrinsic value with FCFF? ›

Intrinsic Value = Σ CF / (1 + r) ^ t

Where: CF = Future Cash Flows. r = Discount Rate (WACC, Cost of Equity) t = Time Period.

What does projected FCF mean? ›

Free cash flow (FCF) is the money a company has left over after paying its operating expenses (OpEx) and capital expenditures (CapEx). The more free cash flow a company has, the more it can allocate to dividends, paying down debt, and growth opportunities.

How do you calculate projected free cash flow? ›

Free cash flow = sales revenue - (operating costs + taxes) - required investments in operating capital. Free cash flow = net operating profit after taxes - net investment in operating capital.

What is the intrinsic value of FL stock? ›

As of 2023-06-18, the Intrinsic Value of Foot Locker Inc (FL) is 41.10 USD.

How does Warren Buffett calculate intrinsic value? ›

If you remember, Warren said to calculate intrinsic value involves discounting the cash. So, what does that exactly mean? Basically, it means valuing an investment based on how much money it could generate in the future. Then, discounting future earnings to arrive at a meaningful number today.

How do you estimate intrinsic value? ›

A second way to work out intrinsic value is by applying a financial metric, like the price-to-earnings ratio. In this case, where r = expected earnings growth rate: Intrinsic Value = Earnings Per Share (EPS) x (1 + r) x P/E Ratio.

What is the best calculator for intrinsic value? ›

Graham Calculator

Benjamin Graham, also known as the father of value investing, was known for picking cheap stocks. The graham calculator is a good tool to find a rough estimate of the intrinsic value. It is simple and very easy to use.

What is a good FCF ratio for stocks? ›

What is a good price to cash flow ratio? A good price to cash flow ratio is anything below 10. The lower the number, the better the value of the stock. This is because a lower ratio indicates that the company is undervalued with respect to its cash flows.

Should FCF be high or low? ›

A higher free cash flow yield is ideal because it means a company has enough cash flow to satisfy all of its obligations. If the free cash flow yield is low, it means investors aren't receiving a very good return on the money they're investing in the company.

How does Warren Buffett calculate free cash flow? ›

First, he studies what he refers to as "owner's earnings." This is essentially the cash flow available to shareholders, technically known as free cash flow-to-equity (FCFE). Buffett defines this metric as net income plus depreciation, minus any capital expenditures (CAPX) and working capital (W/C) costs.

How to do a 12 month cash flow projection? ›

How to calculate projected cash flow
  1. Find your business's cash for the beginning of the period. ...
  2. Estimate incoming cash for next period. ...
  3. Estimate expenses for next period. ...
  4. Subtract estimated expenses from income. ...
  5. Add cash flow to opening balance.
Oct 21, 2022

How much free cash flow does Apple have? ›

Apple free cash flow for the twelve months ending March 31, 2023 was , a year-over-year. Apple annual free cash flow for 2022 was $111.443B, a 19.89% increase from 2021.

What is Coca Cola intrinsic value? ›

As of today (2023-06-25), Coca-Cola Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $24.13. The stock price of Coca-Cola Co is $61.20. Therefore, Coca-Cola Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 2.5.

What is the intrinsic value of Google? ›

As of today (2023-06-25), Alphabet(Google)'s Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $65.74. The stock price of Alphabet(Google) is $123.02. Therefore, Alphabet(Google)'s Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.9.

What is the current intrinsic value of Coca Cola? ›

KO Intrinsic Value - Valuation Summary
RangeUpside
Fair Value32.42 - 49.97-31.9%
EPV15.76 - 22.83-68.8%
DDM - Stable24.7 - 93.83-4.2%
DDM - Multi41.51 - 115.85-2.4%
7 more rows

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