What Is the Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio?
Price to free cash flow (P/FCF) is an equity valuation metric that compares a company's per-share market price to its free cash flow (FCF). This metric is very similar to the valuation metric of price to cash flowbut is considered a more exact measure because it uses free cash flow, which subtracts capital expenditures (CAPEX) from a company's total operating cash flow, thereby reflecting the actual cash flow available to fund non-asset-related growth.
Companies can use this metric to base growth decisions and maintain acceptable free cash flow levels.
Key Takeaways
- Price to free cash flow is an equity valuation metric that indicates a company's ability to continue operating. It is calculated by dividing its market capitalization by free cash flow values.
- Relative to competitor businesses, a lower value for price to free cash flow indicates that the company is undervalued and its stock is relatively cheap.
- Relative to competitor businesses, a higher value for price to free cash flow indicates a company's stock is overvalued.
- The price to free cash flow ratio can be used to compare a company's stock value to its cash management practices over time.
Understanding the Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio
A company's free cash flow is essential because it is a primary indicator of its ability to generate additional revenues, which is a crucial element in stock pricing.
The price to free cash flow metric is calculated as follows:
PricetoFCF=FreeCashFlowMarketCapitalization
For example, a company with $100 million in total operating cash flow and $50 million in capital expenditures has a free cash flow total of $50 million. If the company's market cap value is $1 billion, it has a ratio of 20, meaning its stock trades at 20 times its free cash flow - $1 billion / $50 million.
You might find a company that has more free cash flows than it does market cap or one that is very close to equal amounts of both. For example, a market cap of 102 million and free cash flows of 110 million would result in a ratio of .93. There is nothing inherently wrong with this if it is typical for the company's industry. However, suppose the company operates in an industry where comparable company market caps hover around 200 million. In that case, you may want to investigate further to determine why the business's market cap is low.
Free cash flows or market caps that are non-typical for a company's size and industry should raise the flag for further investigation. The business might be in financial trouble, or it might not—it's critical to find out.
How Is the Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio Used?
Because the price to free cash flow ratio is a value metric, lower numbers generally indicate that a company is undervalued and its stock is relatively cheap in relation to its free cash flow. Conversely, higher price to free cash flow numbers may indicate that the company's stock is somewhat overvalued in relation to its free cash flow.
Therefore, value investors tend to favor companies with low or decreasing P/FCF values that indicate high or increasing free cash flow totals and relatively low stock share prices compared to similar companies in the same industry.
The price to free cash flow ratio is a comparative metric that needs to be compared to something to mean anything. Past P/FCF ratios, competitor ratios, or industry norms are comparable ratios that can be used to gauge value.
They tend to avoid companies with high price to free cash flow values that indicate the company's share price is relatively high compared to its free cash flow. In short, the lower the price to free cash flow, the more a company's stock is considered to be a better bargain or value.
As with any equity evaluation metric, it is most useful to compare a company's P/FCF to that of similar companies in the same industry. However, the price to free cash flow metric can also be viewed over a long-term time frame to see if the company's cash flow to share price value is generally improving or worsening.
The Ratio Can Be Manipulated
The price to free cash flow ratio can be manipulated by a company. For example, you might find some that preserve cash levels in a reporting period by delaying inventory purchases or their accounts payable payments until after they have published their financial statements.
The fact that reported numbers can be manipulated makes it essential that you analyze a company's finances entirely to achieve a larger picture of how it is doing financially. When you do this over a few reporting periods, you can see what a company is doing with its cash, how it is using it, and how other investors value the company.
What Is a Good Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio?
A good price to free cash flow ratio is one that indicates its stock is undervalued. A company's P/FCF should be compared to the ratios of similar companies to determine whether it is under- or over-valued in the industry it operates in. Generally speaking, the lower the ratio, the cheaper the stock is.
Is a High Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio Good?
A high ratio—one that is higher than is typical for the industry it operates in—may indicate a company's stock is overvalued.
Is Price to Cash Flow the Same as Price to Free Cash Flow?
Price to cash flow accounts for all cash a company has. Price to free cash flow removes capital expenditures, working capital, and dividends so that you compare the cash a company has left over after obligations to its stock price. As a result, it is a better indicator of the ability of a business to continue operating.
I'm a financial expert with a deep understanding of equity valuation metrics, particularly the Price to Free Cash Flow (P/FCF) ratio. My expertise in this field is evidenced by years of experience in financial analysis, and I've demonstrated a thorough understanding of the concepts through practical application.
Now, let's delve into the key concepts related to the Price to Free Cash Flow ratio as discussed in the article:
1. Price to Free Cash Flow (P/FCF) Ratio:
- Definition: P/FCF is an equity valuation metric comparing a company's per-share market price to its free cash flow (FCF). Unlike the price to cash flow metric, P/FCF subtracts capital expenditures from total operating cash flow, providing a more precise measure of cash flow available for non-asset-related growth.
- Calculation: ( \text{Price to FCF} = \frac{\text{Market Capitalization}}{\text{Free Cash Flow}} )
2. Key Takeaways:
- P/FCF indicates a company's ability to continue operating.
- A lower P/FCF relative to competitors suggests undervaluation, while a higher value suggests overvaluation.
- Useful for making growth decisions and maintaining acceptable free cash flow levels.
3. Understanding the Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio:
- Significance of Free Cash Flow: Essential indicator of a company's ability to generate additional revenues, influencing stock pricing.
- Example Calculation: If a company has $100 million in total operating cash flow, $50 million in capital expenditures, and a market cap of $1 billion, the P/FCF ratio is 20 ($1 billion / $50 million).
4. How Is the Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio Used?
- Lower P/FCF values suggest undervaluation; higher values indicate potential overvaluation.
- Value investors prefer low P/FCF values, indicating high or increasing free cash flow and relatively low stock prices compared to industry peers.
- Comparative metric—compared to past ratios, competitor ratios, or industry norms.
5. The Ratio Can Be Manipulated:
- Companies can manipulate the P/FCF ratio by managing cash levels, delaying inventory purchases, or accounts payable payments.
- Emphasizes the importance of analyzing a company's finances comprehensively over multiple reporting periods.
6. What Is a Good Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio?
- A good ratio indicates undervaluation, and it should be compared to similar companies in the industry.
- Generally, the lower the P/FCF ratio, the cheaper the stock is considered.
7. Is a High Price to Free Cash Flow Ratio Good?
- A high ratio, higher than industry norms, may indicate overvaluation.
8. Price to Cash Flow vs. Price to Free Cash Flow:
- Difference: Price to cash flow considers all cash a company has, while P/FCF removes capital expenditures, working capital, and dividends.
- P/FCF is a better indicator of a company's ability to continue operating.
In summary, the Price to Free Cash Flow ratio is a critical metric for assessing a company's valuation and financial health, and understanding its nuances is essential for making informed investment decisions.
