How does China fare on the Russian market? Implications for the European Union (2024)

This paper was prepared for the seminar ‘Trade relations between the EU, China and Russia’, co-organised by the delegation of the European Union to Russia and Bruegel with the support of the EU Russia Expert Network on Foreign Policy (EUREN). The seminar was funded by the European Union.

The content of this paper is the sole responsibility of the author and does not represent the official position of the European Union.

The last two decades have seen a very rapid increase in trade and lending between China and Russia. The investment relationship has remained more subdued. China dominates every aspect of the bilateral economic relationship, as a net exporter, net creditor and net investor, despite Russia long being a richer country than China.

China and Russia are increasingly viewed as important political and economic partners, notwithstanding their past differences. However, in terms of trade and investment, economic cooperation between the two countries’ remains less intense than their diplomatic relationship, even though their formal economic interactions can be traced back to the 1700s and both shared a similar economic model, namely central planning, for a good part of the twentieth century.

China has developed very rapidly in economic terms over the past two decades since its accession to the World Trade Organisation. In particular, it has become the largest exporter in the world from a very low base (Figure 1 and Table A1 in the Annex), surpassing Europe. In that context, it is unsurprising that Chinese goods have flooded Russia, eating into the EU’s and the US’s export shares to Russia. Beyond China’s increasing economic weight, the changing global environment, including the sanctions and counter-sanctions between the West and Russia, the US-China trade war and the US-led IndoPacific Strategy, have helped re-orient Russia’s economic relationships towards the east, with China being the largest player.

China has also become increasingly interested in its neighbourhood (and beyond) with its landmark project, the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Among the large and increasing number of countries that participate in the BRI, Russia occupies an important position as the recipient of the largest amount of Chinese funding, mainly for energy and railway infrastructure. In particular, out of the six corridors China has announced for the BRI, several cross Russia, including the New Eurasian Land Bridge and the China-Mongolia-Russia Corridor. In addition, Russia and China have agreed to jointly build an ‘Ice Silk Road’ along the northern sea route in the Arctic. All in all, Russia has unquestionably become an important partner in China’s massive global infrastructure project plans. Russia has also proposed the concept of a Great Eurasian Partnership, which is seen as a way for the Kremlin to preserve its relationships within its neighbourhood at a time of very rapid increase in Chinese influence (Köstem, 2019).

How does China fare on the Russian market? Implications for the European Union (2024)

FAQs

How does China fare on the Russian market? Implications for the European Union? ›

Competition between the EU and China on the Russian market shows up most clearly in trade data, with the EU losing market share and China ramping up the value added of its exports to Russia. This is much less the case for investment and is only starting for cross-border lending, mainly in the project finance field.

What economic ties does China have with Russia? ›

Russia and China deepen economic ties amid surge in trade since Ukraine invasion. Russia and China have agreed to deepen investment in trade services, promote agricultural exports and boost sports cooperation, as Mikhail Mishustin, Russia's prime minister, signed a set of bilateral agreements on a visit to Beijing.

How much does Europe rely on China? ›

China is the third largest destination for EU exports, after the US and the UK, with exports to China reaching EUR 230 billion in 2022, accounting for 9 percent of the EU's total exports.

Why is China important to EU? ›

China remains the EU's largest trading partner with bilateral trade flows that exceeded €850 billion in 2022.

Why did the Europeans want to trade with China? ›

Europeans wanted the power and resulting wealth that would come from controlling trade. Finding all- water routes to Asia and its riches would allow European merchants to cut out Middle Eastern middlemen and reap all the profits of eastern trade. Some Europeans were also eager to spread Christianity to nonbelievers.

Why is China helping Russia? ›

China has become an increasingly important trading partner for Russia as it seeks to soften the impact of economic sanctions imposed by some countries in response to its invasion.

What is China's relationship with Russia? ›

China and Russia are each other's biggest neighbor and comprehensive strategic partner of coordination. We are both major countries in the world and permanent members of the UN Security Council. Both countries uphold an independent foreign policy and see our relationship as a high priority in our diplomacy.

Which countries rely on China the most? ›

China is the largest trading partner to Japan, South Korea, Vietnam, and Taiwan. Given their proximity, those countries are hardly a surprise. But it is also the top trader with Russia—and Ukraine.

Who is China's largest European trading partner? ›

List of largest trading partners of China
RankCountry / TerritoryTotal trade
-ASEAN975.3
-European Union847.3
1United States759.4
2South Korea362.2
22 more rows

How much does China contribute to the world economy in percentage? ›

In 2022, China's share was about 18.48 percent.

Who is China's biggest trading partner? ›

China's Top Trading Partners
  • United States: US$582.8 billion (16.2% of China's total exports)
  • Hong Kong: $297.5 billion (8.3%)
  • Japan: $172.9 billion (4.8%)
  • South Korea: $162.6 billion (4.5%)
  • Vietnam: $147 billion (4.1%)
  • India: $118.5 billion (3.3%)
  • Netherlands: $117.7 billion (3.3%)
  • Germany: $116.2 billion (3.2%)
Apr 27, 2023

Is China richer than the EU? ›

The full-year GDP resulted in China's economy increasing in value by $3 trillion from 2020 to 17.7 trillion in 2021, leaping ahead of the EU. The world's second-largest economy benefited significantly during the Covid-19 crisis from its status as the world's factory.

Does China rely on the EU? ›

The EU and China are each other's largest trading partner as of 2023. The EU is the PRC's largest trading partner, and the PRC is the EU's largest trade partner. In 2020, China overtook the US in becoming the EU's largest trade partner in terms of goods. Most of this trade is in industrial and manufactured goods.

How did China restrict trade with Europe? ›

All foreign trade was to be conducted by official tribute missions, handled by representatives of the Ming Empire and its "vassal" states. Private foreign trade was made punishable by death, with the offender's family and neighbors exiled from their homes.

What trade good did the Chinese want from the Europeans? ›

The Europeans of course were not shipping the silver to China as an act of donation or charity. They were getting goods in return, such as silk, porcelain, and later especially tea.

How much trade does China do with the EU? ›

China is the most important trading partner of the European Union: In 2021, the EU and China traded goods worth € 696 bn (imports and exports). This represents 16% of all EU trade in goods.

What is China's view on Russia? ›

According to a Genron NPO poll released in November 2022 on Chinese peoples' views of the Russian invasion, 39.5% of respondents said the Russian actions "are not wrong", 21.5% said "the Russian actions are a violation of the U.N.

Why is Ukraine so important to Russia? ›

Russia has deep cultural, economic, and political bonds with Ukraine, and in many ways Ukraine is central to Russia's identity and vision for itself in the world. Family ties. Russia and Ukraine have strong familial bonds that go back centuries.

Which countries are helping Russia in the war? ›

Countries supporting Russia in the war with Ukraine

Other Russian Supporting Countries in the war with Ukraine are Cuba, Nicaragua, Venezuela, and Kyrgyzstan.

Which country is Russia's best friend? ›

After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, Russia kept the same close ties to India; in international terms, both nations share a special relationship. Russia and India, both, consider their mutual affinity to be a "special and privileged strategic partnership".

Who is Russia's largest trading partner? ›

The value of total exports from Russia to its major trade partner — China — amounted to nearly 69 billion U.S. dollars in 2021.

Is China an ally of the US? ›

They have close economic ties and are significantly intertwined, yet they also have a hegemonic great power rivalry throughout the Asia-Pacific and beyond.

What would happen if the US stopped importing from China? ›

This data suggests that if U.S. hypothetically stops buying Chinese goods, China's export will suffer a 18% loss, which accounts for 18%*20% = 3.6% of China's GDP. It is unlikely a 3.6% loss in GDP will collapse the Chinese economy.

How much does the US owe China? ›

Top Foreign Holders of U.S. Debt
RankCountryU.S. Treasury Holdings
1🇯🇵 Japan$1,076B
2🇨🇳 China$867B
3🇬🇧 United Kingdom$655B
4🇧🇪 Belgium$354B
6 more rows
Mar 24, 2023

Who is USA's biggest trading partner? ›

Year-to-Date Total Trade
RankCountryTotal Trade
---Total, All Countries303.6
---Total, Top 15 Countries226.5
1China51.4
2Canada44.9
13 more rows
May 4, 2023

Does the EU trade more with China or USA? ›

The position of China among the largest trade partners of the EU in 2022 can be seen in Figure 5. In 2022, China was the third largest partner for EU exports of goods (9.0 %). It was preceded by the United States (19.8 %) and the United Kingdom (12.8 %) and followed by Switzerland (7.3 %) and Türkiye (3.9 %).

Did China overtake US EU trading partner? ›

Historically, America has long been the EU's top country to trade with, but in 2020, that trend came to a screeching halt. A $26.7 billion boost for Chinese imports, in addition to a $5.3 billion increase in EU exports, has resulted in China officially becoming the EU's largest trade partner.

Which country does the US export the most to? ›

Exports The top exports of United States are Refined Petroleum ($83.3B), Petroleum Gas ($70.9B), Crude Petroleum ($67.6B), Cars ($55.4B), and Integrated Circuits ($51.3B), exporting mostly to Canada ($259B), Mexico ($247B), China ($151B), Japan ($71.8B), and South Korea ($66.4B).

How much does China contribute to the US economy? ›

China is currently our largest goods trading partner with $559.2 billion in total (two way) goods trade during 2020. Goods exports totaled $124.5 billion; goods imports totaled $434.7 billion. The U.S. goods trade deficit with China was $310.3 billion in 2020.

What is the biggest contributor to China's economy? ›

Manufacturing, services and agriculture are the largest sectors of the Chinese economy – employing the majority of the population and making the largest contributions to GDP.

What percent of the world economy is Russia? ›

CharacteristicShare of global GDP
20213.08%
20203.09%
20193.08%
20183.1%
7 more rows
Apr 14, 2023

What does China buy from the United States? ›

China Imports from United StatesValueYear
Machinery, nuclear reactors, boilers$19.66B2022
Mineral fuels, oils, distillation products$19.08B2022
Electrical, electronic equipment$18.30B2022
Optical, photo, technical, medical apparatus$13.46B2022
93 more rows

What is China biggest export to the US? ›

China Exports to United StatesValueYear
Machinery, nuclear reactors, boilers$109.64B2022
Toys, games, sports requisites$36.96B2022
Furniture, lighting signs, prefabricated buildings$34.54B2022
Plastics$27.37B2022
93 more rows

Who is the US biggest trade partner in 2023? ›

After narrowly lagging behind China in 2022, Mexico officially became the US's largest trading partner at the start of 2023, according to new US Census Bureau figures.

Who has the strongest economy in EU? ›

Germany's economy has consistently had the largest economy in Europe since 1980, even before the reunification of West and East Germany. The United Kingdom, by contrast, has had mixed fortunes during the same time period and had a smaller economy than Italy in the late 1980s.

Is average Chinese richer than average American? ›

Median wealth in China was more than four times greater than in Russia, where median wealth was $6,379 in 2021. China's average wealth, however, was still less than a third of the wealth of the median American ($93,271) — and only about 10% of the wealth of the median Belgian ($256,336).

Which country has the strongest economy in the world? ›

According to the latest available data from the World Bank, the United States of America is currently the world's largest economy, with a GDP of over $23 trillion in 2021.

Which countries want out of the EU? ›

As of 2022, no country other than the United Kingdom has voted on whether to withdraw from the EU.

Which European country has the most Chinese? ›

EUROPE
  • United Kingdom. The United Kingdom has the largest Chinese population in the region. ...
  • France. French Chinese communities are the oldest communities in Europe. ...
  • Italy. ...
  • West Russia. ...
  • Russian Far East. ...
  • South Africa. ...
  • Angola. ...
  • Nigeria.

Which countries give the most to the EU? ›

If we first compare the absolute amounts, we see that Germany was the largest net contributor in 2021 with an amount of 21.4 billion euros. It is followed by France with 10.9 billion euros and the Netherlands with just under 4.1 billion euros.

Why couldn t Europe conquer China? ›

During the European powers' attempt to control the world, the Chinese Empire was not easy to conquer as it had a powerful army and government like the Ottoman Empire. Its large size became an advantage, making it an elusive target for colonization.

Why did the Chinese have little interest in trading with Europe? ›

Because China was practically self-sufficient, its emperors had little interest in trading with Europeans. For decades, Europeans could do business only at the port of Canton. Despite pleas from Britain and other nations, China refused to open other ports to foreigners.

Does China have free trade with EU? ›

On 30 December 2020, the EU and China concluded in principle the negotiations on the Comprehensive Agreement on Investment (CAI). The agreement grants EU investors a greater level of access to China's market.

Which products did Europeans want most from China? ›

Merchants carried silk from China to Europe, where it dressed royalty and wealthy patrons. Other favorite commodities from Asia included jade and other precious stones, porcelain, tea, and spices. In exchange, horses, glassware, textiles, and manufactured goods traveled eastward.

Which Chinese products were in high demand by the Europeans? ›

Silk was the favorite product along the Silk Road. Chinese silk was regarded as a treasure in ancient Central Asia, West Asia, Africa, and Europe. The European market had the biggest demand for silk and Chinese silk was highly appreciated in Europe.

What did European nations want from China? ›

Meanwhile Europeans wanted many products from China, such as tea, silk, and ceramics. Economically, this meant the Chinese profited from the silver trade while European countries did not.

How much does China rely on foreign trade? ›

As reported by WTO in 2023, exports of goods in 2021 were USD 3,363.8 billion and imports USD 2,688.6 billion, while exports and imports of services in 2021 reached USD 390.6 billion and USD 438 billion respectively.

How many countries rely on China for trade? ›

China is the largest trading partner to Japan, South Korea, Vietnam, and Taiwan.

What does China import from Russia? ›

China, the world's top metals consumer, imported a combined $5.1 billion worth of aluminium, refined copper and refined nickel from Russia in 2022, up 16% from 2021 with import volumes heading higher so far this year.

What is the top Russia exports to China? ›

In 2021, Russia exported $70.9B to China. The main products exported from Russia to China were Crude Petroleum ($35.4B), Coal Briquettes ($4.69B), and Refined Petroleum ($3.91B). During the last 26 years the exports of Russia to China have increased at an annualized rate of 12.7%, from $3.18B in 1995 to $70.9B in 2021.

What China gets from Russia? ›

Beijing's spending on Russian energy, including crude oil and products, coal and natural gas, ballooned to $88 billion in the year through February, according to Chinese customs figures, replacing other buyers that have shunned Russian exports because of the war. That compared to $57 billion in the previous 12 months.

What is the economic relationship between Ukraine and China? ›

The two countries have built strong trade ties, especially since 2008. China became Ukraine's largest trading partner in 2019, with a trade turnover of US $15.4 billion in 2020, of which Ukraine exports goods were worth US $7.1 billion. The total trade turnover increased from 2% of Ukraine's GDP in 2001 to 11% in 2020.

Who imports the most from Russia? ›

Russia's five main import partners in 2021 were China, Germany, the United States, Belarus, and South Korea.

What is the #1 import of Russia? ›

Russia main imports are: machinery, equipment and transport (45 percent of total imports), chemical products (19 percent) and foodstuffs and agricultural products (14.5 percent).

What is the #1 product that Russia exports? ›

Exports The top exports of Russia are Crude Petroleum ($113B), Refined Petroleum ($81.8B), Petroleum Gas ($37.7B), Coal Briquettes ($19.1B), and Gold ($19.1B), exporting mostly to China ($70.9B), Netherlands ($39B), United States ($27.4B), United Kingdom ($24.7B), and Italy ($22.2B).

Who exports the most to China? ›

Currently, China's top imports are crude petroleum, integrated circuits, iron ore, and cars. The largest exporter to China is the nation of Japan. The United States of America is the third-largest exporter to China, ranking behind only Japan and South Korea in that respect.

How much trade does China do with the US? ›

China is currently our largest goods trading partner with $559.2 billion in total (two way) goods trade during 2020. Goods exports totaled $124.5 billion; goods imports totaled $434.7 billion. The U.S. goods trade deficit with China was $310.3 billion in 2020.

Where does China buy most of its oil? ›

Saudi Arabia is China's main crude oil supplier. In 2021, China imported nearly 81 million metric tons worth of crude oil from the Middle Eastern producing giant. In fact, the majority of China's oil imports originated from countries in the Middle East.

Does China rely on Russia for oil? ›

China's imports of Russian crude oil spiked 8 percent in 2022, the equivalent of 1.72 million barrels per day (bpd), according to Chinese customs data, making Russia the East Asian giant's second-biggest supplier.

Is China still buying Russian oil? ›

Russia's exports of crude oil have now surpassed the volumes hit before its invasion of Ukraine. China and India account for roughly 90% of Russia's seaborne crude exports, Kpler data shows. With Europe largely out of the picture, the two countries are each buying 1.5 million barrels a day from Russia.

What is China's economy dependent on? ›

China still depends a lot on imported components and technology resources and knowhow and so on. And China is no longer so dependent on exports, but exports nevertheless has been an important driver of growth. The export sector tend to be the more competitive sector in the economy, the domestic-oriented are less so.

How is China doing economically? ›

In its World Economic Outlook released last week, the International Monetary Fund said China is “rebounding strongly” following the reopening of its economy. The country's GDP will grow 5.2% this year and 5.1% in 2024, it predicted.

How much money did China invest in Ukraine? ›

COFCO, China's state-owned agribusiness giant, invested US$50 million in Mariupol – now a frontline city in Donetsk province, which has been besieged by pro-Russia separatists since 2014 – to triple its agricultural transshipment capacity.

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