The 15 U.S. cities where home prices are growing the fastest — none are in New York or California (2024)

The median price for single-family homes in the U.S. dropped by $19,400 in the last three months of 2022, although prices for the year were up 4% overall, new data reveals.

While home-price growth decreased, prices were still elevated in 90% of the 186 metro areas examined by the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Of those, almost a fifth had double-digit price increases, primarily in the South.

Here's a look at the top 15 hottest markets in the U.S. right now, in terms of price growth in 2022:

Of the 15 cities where home prices grew the most, all but two are in the South, with six in Florida. This reflects a Southern migration trend that's been happening since 2020 and is related to a variety of factors, including affordability, increased remote work and older Americans retiring.

The metro area with the highest percentage of price growth is Farmington, New Mexico, where the median price for all homes is $261,200 — well below the national median of$378,700.

The small town of less than 50,000 residents is the only market where home prices increased by more than 20% in 2022.

On the other end of the spectrum, metro areas with the biggest price drops in 2022 were San Francisco and San Jose, California, with median home growth declining by 6.1% and 5.8%, respectively.

Nevertheless, demand for homes remains strong, even with rising mortgage costs pricing out buyers, says Lawrence Yun, NAR's chief economist.

"Even with a projected reduction in home sales this year, prices are expected to remain stable in the vast majority of the markets due to extremely limited supply," says Yun. "Moreover, there are signs that buyers are returning as mortgage rates decline, even with inventory levels near historic lows."

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The 15 U.S. cities where home prices are growing the fastest — none are in New York or California (1)

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The 15 U.S. cities where home prices are growing the fastest — none are in New York or California (2024)

FAQs

Where is the fastest growing housing market in the US? ›

The Fastest-Growing Markets and Their Year-Over-Year Growth Rates:
  • Myrtle Beach-Conway-North Myrtle Beach, South Carolina and North Carolina: 16.2%
  • Oshkosh-Neenah, Wisconsin: 16%
  • Winston-Salem, North Carolina: 15.7%
  • El Paso, Texas: 15.2%
  • Punta Gorda, Florida: 15.2%
  • Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, Florida: 14.5%
Feb 16, 2023

Where have home prices increased the most in us? ›

Farmington, N.M., has the fastest-rising housing costs in the United States, according to a new report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) scanning home prices across the nation.

Where are home values rising the fastest? ›

U.S. metros with the biggest increases in home values in 2022
Metro areaGrowth
1.FarmingtonNew Mexico20.3%
2.North Port-Sarasota-BradentonFlorida19.5%
3.Naples-Immokalee-Marco IslandFlorida17.2%
4.Greensboro-High PointNorth Carolina17%
11 more rows
Feb 13, 2023

Will home prices drop in 2023 near New York NY? ›

Market Forecast for 2023

The New York State housing market is likely to continue struggling in 2023 due to the low inventory of homes and rising mortgage interest rates. However, as the interest rates start to decline, they can increase demand for real estate and raise home prices.

Where is real estate growing the most? ›

Best Real Estate Markets In The U.S.
  1. Austin, Texas (Metro Area) Median listing price: $620,000. ...
  2. Tampa, Florida. Median listing price: $388,800. ...
  3. Raleigh, North Carolina. Median listing price: $389,000. ...
  4. Nashville, Tennessee (Metro Area) ...
  5. Charlotte, North Carolina. ...
  6. San Antonio, Texas. ...
  7. Phoenix, Arizona. ...
  8. Jacksonville, Florida.
May 1, 2023

What state sells houses the fastest? ›

California leads the nation for fastest home sales, with the average property snapped up in just 52 days. Compare that to Vermont, the slowest of all 50 states, where it takes nearly half a year — 161 days on average — just to lock down a buyer.

Where is real estate booming in USA? ›

Key Findings: The hottest housing markets include those markets in North Carolina, Colorado and Texas that were also popular during the pandemic, including Raleigh and Durham, Denver and Austin.

Where are home prices most inflated? ›

The most overvalued markets to rent a home are mostly found in California and Florida. You'll pay the most to buy a median-price home versus renting a home in California, as well as MSAs in Oregon, Washington, Colorado, Idaho and Utah.

Which state has the highest housing cost? ›

Hawaii. Hawaii is truly a paradise, but it is also the most expensive state in America to live in. The cost of living in Hawaii overall is 86% higher than the national average, and the cost of housing in Hawaii is a jaw-dropping 207% above the national average.

Where is the best home value in the US? ›

In most places, the value of U.S. homes has grown steadily over the last few decades. However, some cities have fared far better than others — especially Austin, Texas. Out of the 400 cities ranked by average home price growth since 1998, Austin takes the top spot, according to a recent SmartAsset study.

Will house prices go down in 2023 usa? ›

Although home prices are expected to improve in the second half of the year, the California median home price is projected to decrease by 5.6 percent to $776,600 in 2023, down from the median price of $822,300 recorded in 2022.

Will 2023 be a good time to buy a house? ›

Homebuyer.com data analysis indicates that, for first-time home buyers, June 2023 is a good time to buy a house relative to later in the year. This article provides an unbiased look at current mortgage rates, housing market conditions, and market sentiment.

Is Manhattan real estate a bubble? ›

Presently, it seems that New York is not currently in a housing bubble. In 2021, the median home price for Manhattan was around $1.4 million, representing an increase of 2.6% year-over-year, much lower than the extreme surges observed during past housing bubbles.

Does rent go down in a recession? ›

Just because there's a recession doesn't necessarily mean rent prices go down. In fact, during the 2008 recession, it was the exact opposite. In the current rental market, we have seen the rate of increase in rental prices come down, but this only translates to lower rent prices if you're in select markets.

Is real estate a good investment in 2023? ›

In my opinion, real estate is one intelligent option to consider in 2023, as it often has excellent returns, tax advantages and provides diversification even in the face of a challenging economic climate. Real estate also has the potential to compound your investment.

Who is the #1 real estate in the world? ›

Austin, Texas-based Keller Williams, the world's largest real estate franchise by agent count, has more than 1,100 offices and 191,000 agents. The franchise is also No. 1 in units and sales volume in the United States.

Where is the slowest real estate market? ›

The Bay Area has the worst performing housing market in the nation, according to a new report.

Is it a good time to buy a house in California? ›

It's always a good time to buy a house in California, according to the Oldhams. California homes have steadily appreciated over time. Historical data shows the average rate of appreciation in California came in at 6.77% annually over a 39-year period.

What style of house sells the best? ›

Colonial. Colonial-style homes have the highest resale factor when all other elements are equal.

Where is the best state to buy a house? ›

10 best states for first-time homebuyers plus key factors
RankState1-year home price change: 2021–2022
1Pennsylvania4.1%
2North Carolina10.1%
3Utah5.8%
4Kentucky7.2%
6 more rows
Mar 2, 2023

What state has the best quality of houses? ›

Real Estate Housing Market Statistics 2023
Overall RankingStateNew Construction3
1Texas1
2California3
3New York11
4New Jersey13
37 more rows
Feb 13, 2023

What is the hottest housing market in us? ›

February 2023 – Top 20 Hottest Housing Markets
Hottest MetrosHotness RankMedian Listing Price If Active Within Period
Manchester-Nashua, N.H.1$562,000
Rochester, N.Y.1$232,000
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, Conn.3$396,000
Springfield, Mass.4$322,000
16 more rows
Mar 14, 2023

Which city has the highest real estate prices in the US? ›

Most Expensive Housing Markets in the US 2023
  • Teton County, Wyoming. ...
  • San Mateo County, California. ...
  • Santa Clara County, California. ...
  • Marin County, California. ...
  • Dukes County, Massachusetts. ...
  • San Miguel County, Colorado. ...
  • San Francisco County, California. ...
  • New York County, New York.
Apr 13, 2023

Where real estate prices are cooling the fastest in the US? ›

Seattle, San Jose, Austin and Phoenix are among the metros with the fastest-slowing housing markets as high mortgage rates, tech turmoil and the lack of homes for sale deter buyers.

Is it good to buy house during inflation? ›

As long as inflation continues to rise, your savings will afford you more purchasing power now than they will in the future. Even if inflation and home prices seem high now, as long as inflation continues to increase house prices, you will be better off buying a house today than you will be tomorrow.

Who benefits from inflation? ›

Collectors. Historically, collectibles like fine art, wine, or baseball cards can benefit from inflationary periods as the dollar loses purchasing power. During high inflation, investors often turn to hard assets that are more likely to retain their value through market volatility.

Will inflation go down in 2023? ›

After peaking at 6.2% in 2022, we expect inflation to fall to 3.5% for 2023. Over 2024 to 2027, we expect inflation to average just 1.8%—below the Fed's 2% target.

Which state is cheapest to live? ›

Take a look at the 10 cheapest states to live in for 2022.
  1. Mississippi. Coming in as the cheapest state to live in in the United States is Mississippi with a cost of living index score of 83.3. ...
  2. Kansas. ...
  3. Alabama. ...
  4. Oklahoma. ...
  5. Georgia. ...
  6. Tennessee. ...
  7. Missouri. ...
  8. Iowa.
Mar 31, 2023

Which state is most unaffordable? ›

Hawaii is the most expensive state to live in, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' "2021 Consumer Expenditures Survey," the most recent data provided by the organization.

What state has the most unaffordable housing? ›

According to worldpopulationreview.com, Hawaii is the most expensive state to live in, with its housing costing three times the national average. New York and California rank as the second and third most expensive states in which to live, respectively.

Where is the cheapest nicest place to live? ›

Best Places to Live in the U.S.: 10 Most Affordable Cities
  • Wichita Falls, Texas.
  • South Bend, Indiana.
  • Toledo.
  • Erie, Pennsylvania.
  • Fort Wayne, Indiana.
  • Evansville, Indiana.
  • Akron, Ohio.
  • Buffalo.
Mar 20, 2023

Where is the safest place to buy property in USA? ›

The Safest Place to Own a Home Hasn't Changed in Five Years

Nashua, New Hampshire and Laredo, Texas came close behind Columbia as the safest cities in the U.S.

What is the #1 thing that determines the value of a home? ›

Ultimately, the financial backing in a deal determines the property's value, and it's most often a mortgage lender making the call.

What is the best date to close on a house? ›

If you need to be occupying your home by a certain date to save on rent, it's a much better deal to close at the end of the previous month (for example, January 30) instead of the beginning of the current month (February 1).

Will mortgage rates drop in 2024? ›

Fannie Mae, Mortgage Bankers Association and National Association of Realtors expect mortgage rates to drop through the first quarter of 2024, by half a percentage point to about nine-tenths of a percentage point. Figures are the predicted quarterly average rates for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.

Why California is so expensive? ›

California is so expensive because of its strong economy, high-income tax rates, and limited housing supply which make it difficult for residents to save money. Moreover, the prices of basic necessities such as food, gasoline, and transportation are comparatively steep in California as compared to most other US states.

Should you buy a house when the market crashes? ›

Buying a home during a recession can sometimes be a good idea — but only for people who are lucky enough to remain financially stable. If you're thinking about buying during an economic downturn, be sure to enlist the help of an experienced local real estate agent.

How high will interest rates go in 2023? ›

So far in 2023, the Fed raised rates 0.25 percentage points twice. If they hike rates at the May meeting, it is likely to be another 0.25% jump, meaning interest rates will have increased by 0.75% in 2023, up to 5.25%.

What is a good mortgage interest rate? ›

A “good” mortgage rate is different for everyone. In today's market, a good rate could be 6% for one borrower and 8% for another on the same day. To understand what a good mortgage rate looks like for you, get quotes from a few different lenders and compare them.

Why is NY so expensive? ›

There are many reasons why everything is expensive in New York City. Some of the key factors include the high demand for housing, high taxes, high transportation costs, and the city's status as a global economic and cultural hub.

Will the real estate bubble burst in 2023? ›

While a housing price correction is expected, we aren't in a housing bubble. Demand for homes remains high, and there are fewer home sellers than there were in 2022. And while the market is cooling, experts don't expect an actual housing crash or a housing bubble burst in 2023.

Is New York real estate going down? ›

NYC housing prices dropped starting in mid-2022, when rising mortgage rates forced many buyers out of the market. As a result, sellers had to lower listing prices (or at least be more willing to negotiate), just to get buyers in the door.

Is it better to own or rent during a recession? ›

Key Takeaways

Real estate is a great asset to own when the economy is in freefall. A rental property typically acts as a natural hedge in a volatile market. People lose their jobs, earnings, and sometimes their homes when a great recession happens.

What happens to food prices in a recession? ›

Because people have less money to spend, demand falls, taking the prices of many goods and services with it. Because a decline in disposable income affects prices, the prices of essentials, such as food and utilities, often stay the same.

Is it better to rent or buy a house in a recession? ›

In general, buying a home during a recession will get you a better deal. The number of foreclosures or owners who have to sell to stay afloat increases, typically leading to more homes available on the market and lower home prices.

Why buying real estate in 2023 is smart? ›

Despite what some may think, 2023 is still a good year to invest in real estate, thanks to advantages like long-term appreciation, steady rental income, and the opportunity to hedge against inflation. Mortgage rates are expected to decline, but the housing market is likely to remain competitive due to low supply.

Is real estate a good investment for retirement? ›

Real estate can be an asset class with high returns. It also usually offers a hedge against inflation. Since real estate has historically been inversely correlated with conventional assets, it can be a good way to diversify your investments away from the stock market.

How do you know if a house is a good investment? ›

Possible Depreciation

Appreciation is an important fact to consider when you're trying to determine whether a home is an investment. If the appreciation rate is high enough, then the added value you'll earn from the home will make the investment worth it within a certain period of time.

Where is the hottest real estate market in the US? ›

The personal finance website ranked the top most attractive and active housing markets and found that Gainesville, Georgia, was No. 1.

Where is biggest housing shortage in US? ›

The 10 Markets With the Greatest Need for New Housing
RankMarketNew Units Needed/Year
1New York City10,000
2Dallas – Fort Worth19,000
3Houston15,000
4Los Angeles6,000
6 more rows
Feb 24, 2023

Which state in the US has the best housing market? ›

The combination of record-fast home value growth to start the year and a record number of newly built homes increased the total market value of residential real estate in the U.S. in 2022, despite price drops to end the year. California remains untouchable on its perch as the most valuable housing market in the country ...

What state has the best housing market 2023? ›

Texas replaced California in 2023 as the strongest housing market by state. With an existing home inventory of 83,222, the available houses for sale have more than doubled since last year. It has seen a drop of about 6% in new construction and is now at 248,648 since 2022.

Will my house lose value in 2023? ›

Most experts do not expect a housing market crash in 2023 since many homeowners have built up significant equity in their homes. The issue is primarily an affordability crisis. High interest rates and inflated home values have made purchasing a home challenging for first-time homebuyers.

What state has the worst housing shortage? ›

Story at a glance

California currently has the largest deficit of homes at 980,000.

Which states have housing crisis? ›

  • California, 978,000.
  • Texas, 322,000.
  • Florida, 289,000.
  • New York, 234,000.
  • Washington, 140,000.
  • New Jersey, 137,000.
  • Colorado, 127,000.
  • Arizona, 123,000.
Jul 21, 2022

Is the US still in a housing crisis? ›

There are between 1.5 million and 6 million fewer homes in the U.S. than there are households ready to occupy them. The proximate cause of this mismatch isn't hard to discern: Over the past ten years, the number of housing units per 1,000 people in the U.S. has actually fallen.

What state has the cheapest housing cost? ›

1. Mississippi. Coming in as the cheapest state to live in in the United States is Mississippi with a cost of living index score of 83.3. It also has the lowest average housing costs in the nation at 33.7% below the national average.

What state has the most affordable housing right now? ›

Cheapest States To Buy A House
RankStateQ4 2021 All-Transactions House Price Index
1Tennessee310.42
2Illinois280.26
3Oklahoma407.56
4Ohio543.83
16 more rows
May 1, 2023

What state has the most reasonable housing prices? ›

Let's take a closer look to see what each has to offer prospective home buyers:
  • Iowa. With an average home value of $183,418, Iowa is within the top five cheapest states to live in the US. ...
  • Indiana. ...
  • Tennessee. ...
  • South Dakota. ...
  • North Carolina.
Feb 15, 2023

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