How To Prepare Your Finances For The Next Recession (2024)

FAQs

How do you prepare yourself financially for a recession? ›

Preparing for a recession comes down to using strong economic times to your benefit. Focus on limiting your spending, forming a budget, building an emergency fund and eliminating high-interest debts.

When the economy is in a recession, interest rates tend to go down to promote borrowing, which can stimulate economic activity. Unfortunately, this means that the interest rates offered by banks, particularly on savings accounts, will drop too. In turn, it affects the amount of interest you earn on your savings.

Generally speaking, most experts recommend having at least three to six months' worth of living expenses saved up and easily accessible in case of emergency. This ensures that if there is a sudden loss of income, you will have enough cash on hand to cover your basic needs until you can find a job.

In 2023, economic activity is projected to stagnate, with rising unemployment and falling inflation. Interest rates are projected to remain high initially and then gradually decrease in the next few years as inflation continues to slow.

The threat of a U.S. recession remains alive in 2023. The consensus estimate on the probability of a meaningful downturn in the American economy in the next 12 months is at 65%, according to Goldman Sachs Research. But our own economic analysis rates that probability much lower, at 35%.

Many economists believe the strategy will trigger a recession this year. But the NABE forecasters expect the economy to grow 0.8% in 2023 – based on the change in average GDP over the four quarters compared with 2022. That is down from 2.1% last year but up from their 0.5% estimate in December.

Pre-packaged food items, like chips and cookies, offer shelf-stable options to help ensure your stock doesn't go bad as you're building consumer awareness of your expanded offerings. Toothpaste, deodorant, shampoo, toilet paper, and other grooming and personal care items are always in demand.

Should I save before a recession? ›

Should You Keep Saving During a Recession? Yep. Having savings goals is never a bad idea, even during a recession.

Some stock market sectors, like health care and consumer staples, generally perform better than others in a recession. Healthy large cap stocks also tend to hold up relatively well during downturns. Investing in broad funds can help reduce recession risk through diversification.

Do no withdraw cash. Despite the recent uncertainty, experts don't recommend withdrawing cash from your account. Keeping your money in financial institutions rather than in your home is safer, especially when the amount is insured. "It's not a time to pull your money out of the bank," Silver said.

Generally, money kept in a bank account is safe—even during a recession. However, depending on factors such as your balance amount and the type of account, your money might not be completely protected. For instance, Silicon Valley Bank likely had billions of dollars in uninsured deposits at the time of its collapse.

By the numbers: The three banks that failed this year — Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), First Republic Bank (FRB) and Signature Bank — accounted for 2.4% of all assets in the banking sector.

While the prices of individual items may behave unpredictably due to unexpected economic factors, it is true that a recession might cause the prices of some items to fall. Because a recession means people usually have less disposable income, the demand for many items decreases, causing them to get cheaper.

Since the beginning of 2022, cash equivalents have materially outperformed stocks and bonds and - with short-term interest rates all but certainly headed higher before they head lower and a recession increasingly likely to hit soon - cash continues to look like it is king in 2023 and potentially beyond.

A long-standing rule of thumb for emergency funds is to set aside three to six months' worth of expenses. So, if your monthly expenses are $3,000, you'd need an emergency fund of $9,000 to $18,000 following this rule.

Bonds and cash have historically outperformed most stocks during recessions. Selling stocks in favor of bonds and cash before a recession may leave you unprepared if stocks bounce back before the economy does, which has happened historically during many recessions.

Eliminate As Much Debt As You Can

And if you're spending a large portion of your income on credit card and loan payments, that leaves little to save for a rainy day. Eliminating debt is an important part of how to prepare for a recession, and a debt snowball can be an effective method to use.

Is it good to buy a house during a recession? ›

During a traditional recession, the Fed will usually lower interest rates. This creates an incentive for people to spend money and stimulate the economy. It also typically leads to more affordable mortgage rates, which leads to more opportunity for homebuyers.

Increased stress all around. One of the most prevalent ways that recessions affect the average person is simply that stress goes up. It doesn't matter if you're comfortable in your job security and have a hefty financial cushion, or if you're struggling to make ends meet and have $100 in your savings account.