What's happening to the UK property market? (2024)

Home buyers are trying to take advantage of the slow property market to knock down house prices, but sellers are not budging easily.

A report by one of Britain's leading estate agents, Hamptons, has revealed a snapshot of Britain's housing market this spring and how buyers and sellers are faring.

It paints a picture of a stand-off between buyers and sellers, with the former expecting price reductions to reflect much higher mortgage rates than in recent years, but the latter standing firm if they have no desperate need to sell.

While sellers have lost some power compared to last year, when the market was red hot, they are managing to shift their homes for closer to their asking price than in any April before the pandemic, according to Hamptons.

This suggests that house prices may not fall as much as previously thought, the estate agent said, adding to signs of a slight recovery in the property market in recent weeks.

More home buyers are trying to take advantage of a market slowdown to ask for price cuts

There have been signs that after a dramatic mortgage spike-induced slowdown, the property market is finding its feet as mortgage rates level off at about 4 to 5 per cent. This is still far higher than the 2 to 2.5 per cent average seen early last year before rates started to rise.

House prices reversed seven months of falls, rising by 0.5 per cent in April, according to the most recent Nationwide Building Society.

Meanwhile, Bank of England data published last week showed a 'significant' rise in the number of mortgage approvals.

Mortgage rates have fallen from the 6 per cent-plus highs they reached at the end of last year - after the mini-Budget triggered a financial market panic - though they are still far more expensive than they were in early 2022, continuing to hamper demand.

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Low offers are more common but not often accepted

More potential buyers asked for big price reductions last month, with 20 per cent of all offers more than 10 per cent below asking price, up from 12 per cent this time last year.

However, only around a third of these discounted offers - or just 7 per cent of all offers at any level - were accepted by sellers, according to Hamptons,which analysed data from some 550 estate agency branches across Britain.

More modest offers of at least 5 per cent off also increased significantly, taking them back almost to April 2019 levels.

Around 39 per cent of buyers were hoping for discounts of at least 5 per cent under the asking price, up from 22 per cent a year ago.

More potential buyers asked for big price reductions last month, but only some accepted

Aneisha Beveridge, head of research at Hamptons, said: 'A single-digit annual increase in the number of new homes coming onto the market has not been enough to push stock levels to the point where the scales are tipped in favour of buyers.

'While there are more buyers putting in cheeky offers than a year ago, the majority are unsuccessful.

'Rather, sellers are sticking to their guns and are holding out for a figure which is closer to their asking price than in any April pre-2021.'

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A quarter of homes sold for above their asking price

Sellers have lost some power compared to last year, but they continue to achieve closer to their asking prices than they did pre-Covid.

The average home sold in England & Wales in April achieved 99 per cent of its asking price - this is down compared to April last year but ahead of the 98.1 per cent in April 2019.

Meanwhile, astonishingly, just over a quarter of homes sold in England & Wales last month went for above their asking price, up from 17 per cent in April 2019.

Hamptons said the uptick in achieved prices has been driven by first-time buyers and investors, acting as mortgage rates have come down from their peak.

Last month, the average investor paid 100.1 per cent of the asking price for a property in England & Wales.

A quarter of homes sold for above their asking price last month

Price reductions rise in the North, but fall in the South

While homes in the South, where affordability is stretched, are still more likely to be sold following a price cut, it was Northern regions that saw the biggest increase in sellers agreeing to lower their price tags.

The share of homes sold following a price reduction in the North East, North West and Yorkshire & the Humber rose to 45 per cent in April, up from 41 per cent in March.

Half of homes in the four Southern regions last month were sold following a reduction, a slight improvement from 51 per cent in March.

A record one in four homes priced above £1million sold within two weeks

Homes take longer to sell... except for £1m-plus ones

The average home in Britain took 49 days to sell in April, up from 28 days in April last year, butgenerally this year's sellers have found a buyer quite quickly, Hamptons said.

Nearly a quarter (23 per cent) of all the homes that came onto the market so far this year sold within two weeks, in line with pre-pandemic norms.

This is especially true for £1million-plus homes with a record one in four selling within two weeks, up from 23 per cent in April 2022.

'The £1m plus market has held up a little better,' Beveridge said.

'Cash has played an increasingly important role in this sector of the market and has insulated buyers from interest rate rises the like of which haven’t been seen for nearly two decades.

'This all points towards a major price correction looking increasingly unlikely in 2023. Rather, we expect activity to track 2019 levels throughout the remainder of the year as the market treads a more sustainable path.'

Some links in this article may be affiliate links. If you click on them we may earn a small commission. That helps us fund This Is Money, and keep it free to use. We do not write articles to promote products. We do not allow any commercial relationship to affect our editorial independence.

As a seasoned real estate analyst with years of experience in the property market, my insights are grounded in a deep understanding of economic trends, buyer-seller dynamics, and the intricate factors influencing housing prices. My expertise is demonstrated through the ability to dissect and interpret the complex interplay of variables shaping the property landscape.

The article you've shared delves into the current state of the British housing market, specifically highlighting the dynamics between home buyers and sellers. Let's break down the key concepts and shed light on the critical points:

  1. Buyer-Seller Standoff: The article portrays a standoff between home buyers and sellers. Buyers are leveraging the slow property market to negotiate lower prices, anticipating the impact of higher mortgage rates. On the other hand, sellers, unless under urgent circ*mstances, are holding firm on their asking prices.

  2. Market Recovery Signals: Despite the buyer-seller standoff, the report from Hamptons suggests that sellers are managing to sell their homes for prices closer to their asking prices than in any April before the pandemic. This hints at a potential recovery in the property market.

  3. Mortgage Rates and Market Trends: Mortgage rates have played a pivotal role in recent market trends. The article notes a dramatic spike in mortgage rates, causing a slowdown. However, there are indications of a market stabilization as mortgage rates level off at 4 to 5 per cent, although still higher than the 2 to 2.5 per cent average seen early the previous year.

  4. House Price Movements: House prices, which experienced a seven-month decline, reversed by rising 0.5 per cent in April, according to Nationwide Building Society. This, coupled with a 'significant' rise in mortgage approvals, suggests a potential shift in market dynamics.

  5. Negotiation Trends: The article highlights a rise in buyers seeking significant price reductions, with 20 per cent of offers more than 10 per cent below the asking price. However, sellers are resistant, with only around 7 per cent of all offers being accepted.

  6. Regional Variances: There are regional differences in the market. While homes in the South, where affordability is stretched, are more likely to be sold following a price cut, Northern regions have experienced a rise in sellers agreeing to lower their prices.

  7. Price Achievements and Market Duration: Sellers, despite a slight decline in power compared to the previous year, continue to achieve close to their asking prices. The average time for a home to sell has increased to 49 days, up from 28 days the previous year.

  8. Market Segmentation: Higher-priced homes, especially those above £1 million, have demonstrated resilience. A record one in four such homes sold within two weeks, indicating a specific market segment's robustness.

In conclusion, the nuances of the current British housing market reveal a delicate balance between buyer aspirations for lower prices and seller determination to maintain values. The interplay of mortgage rates, regional variations, and market segments all contribute to the intricate landscape that defines the real estate market's current state.

What's happening to the UK property market? (2024)

FAQs

What's happening to the UK property market? ›

Average UK house price £281,913

Are house prices in UK dropping? ›

UK house prices have fallen -0.3% in the last year, bringing the average house price to £263,900. Here's whether house prices are rising or falling in your region, city and local area in March 2024.

Should I buy a house now or wait until 2024 UK? ›

Interest rates heavily influence the cost of homeownership. When rates are low, mortgages are more affordable. Monitor interest rates and lock in a low rate when possible. Interest rates are expected to remain stable in 2024, so now could be an ideal time to secure an affordable mortgage.

What is the outlook for the property market in the UK? ›

UK house price forecast in summary

The average UK house price is £261,142. It is forecast that UK house prices will drop 1%-3% during 2024.

Is now a good time to buy a house UK? ›

Property analysts, estate agents and economists believe that this is a buyer's market, with activity, sales and prices all recovering faster than expected since the start of 2024. Some experts have suggested that now may be the time to buy, as house price falls have bottomed out – and values may soon rise again.

Will house prices go down in a recession UK? ›

House prices can be affected by recessions depending on how severe they are. Previous recessions have shown that house prices often fall during a prolonged economic dip and rise in unemployment.

What will happen to UK house prices in the next 5 years? ›

Meanwhile, Statista is playing it safe, estimating an average growth of 1.7% from 2023 to 2027. As far as UK house price predictions for the next 5 years go, it is very likely that house prices will continue to rise, perhaps at a slower rate than before due to the factors mentioned above.

Is it a buyers or sellers market UK? ›

Zoopla's latest UK Housing Market Report highlights that around 20% of sellers have had to reduce their asking price by more than 10% to close a sale. This trend, alongside a 12% increase in price reductions in January year-on-year, signals a competitive environment where sellers are vying for buyers' attention.

How high will mortgage rates go in 2024 UK? ›

Mortgage rates are now past their recent peak. An 85% Loan-to-Value (LTV) 2-year fixed mortgage rate has come down from a peak of 6.35% in August 2023, to 5.03% in January 2024, according to the Bank of England.

Are mortgage rates likely to go down in 2024 UK? ›

Inflation is anticipated to keep falling in 2024 and may reach the BoE's 2% target earlier than expected. As inflation has declined faster than expected this year, the BoE could start cutting the base rate in 2024 and possibly fall to 4% by the end of next year, according to data from private bank Berenberg.

What is the long term outlook for London property? ›

As the economy recovers in the next five-years, house prices for mainstream properties are forecast to rise by almost 14 percent. In 2023, the average house price in London ranged between 350,000 British pounds and 1.4 million British pounds, depending on the borough.

What is the future of housing in the UK? ›

The UK house price predictions for the next 5 years (2023-2027) The housing market is predicted to slow down due to the expected base rate rise, resulting in high mortgage rates. As a result, fewer buyers can afford homes, leading to a drop in house prices.

Is the UK property market a good investment? ›

When considering investments in the UK in 2024, property stands out as a compelling option for long-term growth and financial stability. Property investment offers various advantages, including potential capital gains and the ability to leverage tax benefits. One significant factor to consider is capital gains tax.

What time of year is cheapest to buy a house UK? ›

For this reason, November and December can be a good time to get a bargain. Sellers who are under no pressure to move often delist their properties with a view to re-launching in the new year. Those who remain are keen to sell their property and may accept a lower price.

What is the best month to buy a house UK? ›

What month is the best time to buy a house? April or May are generally the best times to buy a house in the UK. There are usually more properties on the market as sellers emerge from winter and consider a move, while the market is generally more active once the weather starts to warm up and the clocks go forward.

Is buying a house in 2024 a good idea? ›

Yes. This is the best time to buy a house in California. With the current trend in the CA housing market, you'll find better deals on your dream home during Q2 2024. As per Fannie Mae, mortgage rates may drop more in Q2 of 2024 due to economic changes, inflation, and central bank policy adjustments.

Will UK house prices fall in 2024? ›

The squeeze on available cash and uncertainty that consumers are facing will both likely moderate the price potential homebuyers are willing to pay for a property at the moment. This will result in a smaller housing market in 2024, and we expect house prices to fall between 2% and 4% this year.

Are house prices in London falling? ›

London house prices fell 4.8 per cent between February 2024 and 2023. House prices across England and Wales decreased by 1.1 per cent, according to the latest House Price Index from the Office for National Statistics, with the capital registering the steepest drop.

Will UK house prices ever rise again? ›

UK house prices are on track to beat forecasts of a decline in 2024, a leading estate agent has said, as a mortgage pricing war and expectations of Bank of England interest rate cuts rekindle the property market.

How much will houses cost in London in 2024? ›

Asking prices for houses coming to market in London have snuck up 2.8 per cent in February 2024, according to Rightmove's latest House Price Index. The average asking price for a London house is now £682,989, up £18,439 from £664,550 in January 2024.

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