What Is The 4% Rule For Retirement Withdrawals? | Bankrate (2024)

What Is The 4% Rule For Retirement Withdrawals? | Bankrate (1)

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Within the vast topic of retirement, the concept of “the 4% rule” hits right at the core of most people’s concerns: how much money is enough money to have in your savings when you finally reach retirement?

There’s no shortage of advice about how much you should save for retirement, but there’s a lot less clarity around how much money you’ll ultimately need when the time comes. This is what the 4% rule addresses.

What is the 4% rule?

The 4% rule is a popular retirement withdrawal strategy that suggests retirees can safely withdraw the amount equal to 4 percent of their savings during the year they retire and then adjust for inflation each subsequent year for 30 years.

The 4% rule is a simple rule of thumb as opposed to a hard and fast rule for retirement income. Many factors influence the safe withdrawal rate such as risk tolerance, tax rates, the tax status of your portfolio (i.e., the ratio of tax-deferred assets to taxable assets to tax-free assets) and inflation, among others.

The upside to this go-to rule is its simplicity. Having a guideline for retirement spending that’s this clean and simple makes planning much easier. The downsides are that it’s a number that might become outdated by the time you reach retirement, and that any flat number doesn’t adjust for market conditions, which surely will change year to year.

Let’s dig into the 4% rule a bit more — and unpack whether or not it might be a helpful guiding rule for your own retirement planning or whether it’s ill-equipped for the dynamic set of factors that rule over long-term savings and future spending.

History of the 4% rule

In 1994, using historical data on stock and bond returns over a 50-year period — 1926 to 1976 — financial advisor William Bengen challenged the previous go-to thinking that withdrawing 5 percent yearly in retirement was a safe bet.

Based on a deep dive into the half century of market data, Bergen concluded that essentially any conceivable economic scenario (even the more tumultuous ones) would allow for a 4 percent withdrawal during the year they retire and then they’d adjust for inflation each subsequent year for 30 years.

Bengen used a 60/40 portfolio model (60 percent equities, 40 percent bonds) and was conducted during a period of higher bond returns (higher interest rates) compared with current rates.

What the 4% rule doesn’t account for

Not to dismiss the diligent work of William Bengen and the financial community that supported his conclusion, but, as with all pieces of conventional wisdom, the 4% rule doesn’t account for countless variations in each person’s individual situation. This is not so much the result of a failing in the rule itself, or the math that backs it up, but an inherent failing of attaching any firm, flat rule to governing long-term financial planning, given that the economic landscape over the long term is anything but flat and firm.

Here are a few factors that opting for a set-it-and-forget-it 4% flat withdrawal rate in retirement doesn’t include:

  • Medical expenses: Most of us will encounter them as we get older, especially in the golden years of retirement, but exactly what kind of medical expenses you’ll incur ourselves is practically impossible to predict. Some are also exponentially more costly than others. The other big variable that impacts the viability of the 4% rule: life expectancy. Needless to say, the longer you live, the longer you’ll need your savings to last.
  • Market fluctuations: The economy is unlikely to stay perfectly consistent and even-keeled for the entirety of your retirement years. In a booming economic environment, withdrawing more than 4% annually might be perfectly fine; in more uncertain times, you might need to pull back your spending a bit. Unfortunately, there’s no prescriptive, guiding rule for financial management that beats simply keeping an eye on your money and acting accordingly at any given time.
  • Personal tax rate: A big factor is your personal tax rate, which is affected by a number of factors including the types of investment accounts you have, the size of those accounts and your other income, deductions, credits and what state you live in.

Should you use the 4% rule?

So do these personal — and in some cases, wholly unknowable — details of our financial futures render the 4% rule useless? Not at all. It just needs to be adapted for personal use.

And that’s really the point, both of the 4% rule and any other financial rules of thumb: It’s less of a hard-and-fast mandate on what to do and more of a well-informed starting place, from which your own personal retirement savings and spending plan can be thoughtfully crafted. It doesn’t solve everything you need to consider about retirement finances, but many people consider it a very useful frame of reference to jump off from.

That said, the applicability of the 4% rule also depends on where your retirement assets are invested. If you’re primarily saving for retirement somewhere other than a portfolio of mostly stocks and bonds, then the 4% rule is less likely to apply to your holdings. And even then, depending on the allocation between stocks and bonds, 4 percent might not be the right figure for your portfolio. Or it might be fitting today, but not 20 or 30 years from now. In any case, it’s between you and your financial advisor to figure out what projected withdrawal rate makes the most sense.

What Is The 4% Rule For Retirement Withdrawals? | Bankrate (2024)

FAQs

What Is The 4% Rule For Retirement Withdrawals? | Bankrate? ›

The 4% rule is a popular retirement withdrawal strategy that suggests retirees can safely withdraw the amount equal to 4 percent of their savings during the year they retire and then adjust for inflation each subsequent year for 30 years.

What is the 4% withdrawal rule example? ›

How the 4% Rule Works. The 4% rule is easy to follow. In the first year of retirement, you can withdraw up to 4% of your portfolio's value. If you have $1 million saved for retirement, for example, you could spend $40,000 in the first year of retirement following the 4% rule.

What is the safe withdrawal rate in 2023? ›

The 4% rule is a nice rule of thumb that clients should understand, but it shouldn't dictate a person's plan for retirement income, says Matt Sampson, a certified financial planner and senior investment advisor at Arnerich Massena in Portland, Ore.

Is a 4% withdrawal rate still a good retirement rule of thumb? ›

The risk of running out of money is an important risk to manage. But, if you're already retired or older than 65, your planning time horizon may be different. The 4% rule, in other words, may not suit your situation. It includes a very high level of confidence that your portfolio will last for a 30-year period.

Is $750 000 enough to retire on? ›

Many Americans target $1 million as their "dream nest egg" for retirement, but the truth is that in many states, even $750,000 can be more than enough. Although your longevity and your lifestyle can greatly impact how much you'll need for a successful retirement, the state in which you live can also play a big role.

Which is the biggest expense for most retirees? ›

Housing. Housing expenses—which include mortgage, rent, property tax, insurance, maintenance and repair costs—remained the largest expense for retirees.

What is considered a large withdrawal? ›

Thanks to the Bank Secrecy Act, financial institutions are required to report withdrawals of $10,000 or more to the federal government. Banks are also trained to look for customers who may be trying to skirt the $10,000 threshold. For example, a withdrawal of $9,999 is also suspicious.

What are the new 401k withdrawal rules for 2023? ›

Also included in the bill are massive changes to the original 50% penalty for not taking Required Minimum Distributions on time: The hefty 50% penalty for not taking RMDs will drop to 25% in 2023. The penalty drops to 10% if you take the required amount by the end of the second year that it was due.

How safe is a 3% withdrawal rate? ›

Whereas last year's research suggested that a 3.3% withdrawal rate was a safe starting point for new retirees with balanced portfolios over a 30-year horizon, this year's research points to 3.8% as a safe starting withdrawal percentage, with annual inflation adjustments to those withdrawals thereafter.

What is a realistic safe withdrawal rate? ›

In summary, the four percent rule is a popular guideline that suggests retirees can safely withdraw 4% of their retirement balance each year without fear of running out of money. This can be an effective method to start your financial planning, but it shouldn't be your only tool.

Why the 4% rule no longer works for retirees? ›

The traditional 4% rule has served retirees well for decades but may no longer be relevant due to rising costs and increased market volatility. Retirees should consider using a rate closer to 3.3% withdrawal rate instead, as well as looking into other sources of income.

What is a good monthly retirement income? ›

According to data from the BLS, average incomes in 2021 after taxes were as follows for older households: 65-74 years: $59,872 per year or $4,989 per month. 75 and older: $43,217 per year or $3,601 per month.

Where is the safest place to put your retirement money? ›

Most of our experts agree that one of the safest places to keep your money is in a savings account insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). “High-yield savings accounts are an excellent option for those looking to keep their retirement savings safe.

Is $3000 a month good to retire? ›

If you have a low living cost and can supplement your income with a part-time job or a generous pension, then retiring on $3,000 a month is certainly possible.

What percentage of retirees have a million dollars? ›

In fact, statistically, around 10% of retirees have $1 million or more in savings. The majority of retirees, however, have far less saved.

How many years will $500 000 last in retirement? ›

$500,000 will last: Years, Months, and Days: 7 years 7 months 21 days.

What is the average Social Security check? ›

According to the Social Security Administration (SSA), the average monthly retirement benefit for Security Security recipients is $1,781.63 as of February. Several factors can drag that average up or down, but you have the most control over the biggest variable of all — the age that you decide to cash in.

How much does the average retired person live on per month? ›

People ages 65 and older had an average income of $55,335 in 2021. Average annual expenses for people ages 65 and older totaled $52,141 in 2021. 48% of retirees surveyed reported spending less than $2,000 a month in 2022. 1 in 3 retirees reported spending between $2,000 and $3,999 per month.

How much does the average retired person live on per year? ›

Average Retirement Income in 2021

According to the United States Census Bureau, the median annual income for individuals ages 65 and older is $47,620, while the mean annual income is $75,254.

Why do banks ask why you are withdrawing money? ›

banks are required to report any suspicious activity, including large deposits, to the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN). Banks may ask why you're withdrawing money to prevent illegal activity. The main concern with large withdrawals is funding terrorists, money laundering, and other criminal activity.

Do banks flag large cash withdrawals? ›

Withdrawal limits are set by the banks themselves and differ across institutions. That said, cash withdrawals are subject to the same reporting limits as all transactions. If you withdraw $10,000 or more, federal law requires the bank to report it to the IRS in an effort to prevent money laundering and tax evasion.

Should I pull my money out of the bank 2023? ›

Do no withdraw cash. Despite the recent uncertainty, experts don't recommend withdrawing cash from your account. Keeping your money in financial institutions rather than in your home is safer, especially when the amount is insured. "It's not a time to pull your money out of the bank," Silver said.

At what age is 401k withdrawal tax free? ›

The IRS allows penalty-free withdrawals from retirement accounts after age 59½ and requires withdrawals after age 72. (These are called required minimum distributions, or RMDs). There are some exceptions to these rules for 401(k) plans and other qualified plans.

Will my employer know if I take a 401k withdrawal? ›

The short answer is yes — if you make a 401(k) withdrawal, your employer will know. This is because your employer is responsible for all aspects of offering your 401(k) plan, including hiring the record keeper.

What is the best way to withdraw from 401k? ›

The most common way is to take out a loan from the account. This is usually the easiest and quickest way to access your funds. Another option is to roll over the account into an IRA. This can be a good choice if you want to keep the money invested for growth.

How much money is too much to withdraw? ›

That said, cash withdrawals are subject to the same reporting limits as all transactions. If you withdraw $10,000 or more, federal law requires the bank to report it to the IRS in an effort to prevent money laundering and tax evasion. Few, if any, banks set withdrawal limits on a savings account.

What's the most you can withdraw from a bank at once? ›

Your ATM Withdrawal and Daily Debt Purchase limit will typically vary from $300 to $2,500 depending on who you bank with and what kind of account you have. There are no monetary limits for withdrawals from savings accounts, but federal law does limit the number of savings withdrawals to six each month.

How long will $800 000 last in retirement? ›

How long will $800,000 last in retirement? Your money is projected to last approximately 30 years with monthly withdrawals totaling $2,024,574.

Is 6% a safe withdrawal rate? ›

The sustainable withdrawal rate is the estimated percentage of savings you're able to withdraw each year throughout retirement without running out of money. As an estimate, aim to withdraw no more than 4% to 5% of your savings in the first year of retirement, then adjust that amount every year for inflation.

What is the withdrawal rate Dave Ramsey? ›

Ramsey's 8% Distribution Rule.

What is the 7% withdrawal rule? ›

What is the 7 percent rule? The 7 percent rule is a retirement planning guideline that suggests you can comfortably withdraw 7 percent of your retirement savings annually without running out of money.

What are the biggest retirement mistakes retirees must avoid? ›

35 Retirement Planning Mistakes That Waste Your Money
  • Having No Retirement Plan. ...
  • Not Knowing How Much You Need To Retire. ...
  • Not Increasing the Amount You Save After a Pay Increase. ...
  • Not Taking Your Employer's 401(k) Match. ...
  • Having Incorrect Beneficiary Designations. ...
  • Paying High Retirement Account Fees.
Apr 24, 2023

Can I live off interest on a million dollars? ›

Once you have $1 million in assets, you can look seriously at living entirely off the returns of a portfolio. After all, the S&P 500 alone averages 10% returns per year. Setting aside taxes and down-year investment portfolio management, a $1 million index fund could provide $100,000 annually.

How many people have $3,000,000 in savings? ›

1,821,745 Households in the United States Have Investment Portfolios Worth $3,000,000 or More.

Is $1,500 a month enough to retire on? ›

That means that many will need to rely on Social Security payments—which, in 2021, averages $1,544 a month. That's not a lot, but don't worry. There are plenty of places in the United States—and abroad—where you can live comfortably on $1,500 a month or less.

Is $1,000 a month enough for retirement? ›

Someone at a typical retirement age of 62 to 65 can plan on a 5% withdrawal rate from their investments based on the $1,000-a-month rule. But retirees in their 50s should plan on withdrawing less than 5% per year so that their funds last for the duration of a long retirement period.

Is $4,000 a month enough to retire on? ›

First, let's look at some statistics to establish a baseline for what a solid retirement looks like: Average monthly retirement income in 2021 for retirees 65 and older was about $4,000 a month, or $48,000 a year; this is a slight decrease from 2020, when it was about $49,000.

Where is the safest place to put $100,000? ›

Best Investments for Your $100,000
  • Index Funds, Mutual Funds and ETFs.
  • Individual Company Stocks.
  • Real Estate.
  • Savings Accounts, MMAs and CDs.
  • Pay Down Your Debt.
  • Create an Emergency Fund.
  • Account for the Capital Gains Tax.
  • Employ Diversification in Your Portfolio.
Apr 19, 2023

How much money does a 75 year old need to retire? ›

Financial experts generally recommend saving anywhere from $1 million to $2 million for retirement. If you consider an average retirement savings of $426,000 for those in the 65 to 74-year-old range, the numbers obviously don't match up.

What is the best retirement portfolio for a 70 year old? ›

At age 60–69, consider a moderate portfolio (60% stock, 35% bonds, 5% cash/cash investments); 70–79, moderately conservative (40% stock, 50% bonds, 10% cash/cash investments); 80 and above, conservative (20% stock, 50% bonds, 30% cash/cash investments).

How long will my money last using the 4 rule? ›

How Long Will My Money Last Using The 4% Rule? The 4% rule is designed to make your money last for at least 30 years in retirement. By withdrawing 4% of your initial retirement portfolio annually, adjusted for inflation, you can maintain a steady income without depleting your savings too quickly.

What is an example of withdrawal in economics? ›

The examples of withdrawal (which is a variable that leaks out from the circular flow of income) are taxes, imports and savings.

How long will $1 million last in retirement? ›

A recent analysis determined that a $1 million retirement nest egg may only last about 20 years depending on what state you live in. Based on this, if you retire at age 65 and live until you turn 84, $1 million will probably be enough retirement savings for you.

What is the 4 safe withdrawal rate study? ›

The Trinity Study is the source of the 4% Rule. This rule states that if you only withdraw 4% of your initial portfolio yearly, you can sustain your lifestyle for a very long period. And your withdrawal is adjusted for inflation every year.

How long will $500000 last retirement? ›

How long will $500,000 last in retirement? If you have $500,000 put away, that will last 25 years if you withdraw $20,000 per year. And that number will only grow if you invest it and get a 7% annual return.

Does the 4% rule include Social Security? ›

The 4% rule assumes that you'll also receive the full Social Security benefits you expect based on your age, career earnings, and when you start taking them.

How long will 500000 dollars last in retirement? ›

Yes, you can retire at 55 with $500k. According to the 4% rule, if you retire with $500,000 in assets, you should be able to take $20,000/ yr for a 30-year or longer. Additionally, putting the money in an annuity will offer a guaranteed annual income of $24,688 to those retiring at 55.

Can I withdraw $20000 from bank? ›

The amount of cash you can withdraw from a bank in a single day will depend on the bank's cash withdrawal policy. Your bank may allow you to withdraw $5,000, $10,000 or even $20,000 in cash per day. Or your daily cash withdrawal limits may be well below these amounts.

How much money can you withdraw from a bank without it being reported? ›

If you withdraw $10,000 or more, federal law requires the bank to report it to the IRS in an effort to prevent money laundering and tax evasion. Few, if any, banks set withdrawal limits on a savings account.

How many people have $1000000 in retirement savings? ›

In fact, statistically, around 10% of retirees have $1 million or more in savings.

What is the safest withdrawal? ›

He says corrected data indicate a safe withdrawal rate should be between 2% and 3%, depending on the portfolio asset mix and life expectancy of the investor. This article from Morningstar also puts the safe withdrawal rate below 4%. Their number based on 2022 market data is 3.8%, up from 3.3% in 2021.

How many withdrawals look bad? ›

Withdrawing from one or two classes generally won't have too much of an impact on your GPA. However, if you withdraw from too many classes, or if they're all high-level courses, you could be in trouble.

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