U.S. Trade Deficit With China and Why It's So High (2024)

Trade deficits are not inherently bad for an economy. Countries are limited in their resources, goods, and services for many reasons; it is typical to reach out to neighbors and establish trade relations. Over time, countries create differences in the amounts they trade with each other. The United States and China have had to overcome many differences to establish and maintain their trade relationship.

The U.S. trade deficit with China for 2020 was $310.8 billion—9% less than 2019's $345.2billion deficit. The trade deficit exists because U.S.exports to China were only $124 billion, whileimports from China were $435.5 billion.

Learn why the U.S.—China trade deficit sits at its current level and what's being done about it.

Key Takeaways

  • China remains a global player in the competition for world economic and trade leadership, challenging the U.S. for the top country spot.
  • Low-priced consumer goods produced in China have been dominating American imports over the years.
  • China can manufacture many goods at competitive prices, because of two comparative advantages: lower standards of living, and a partial pegging of the yuan to the dollar.
  • To keep export prices low, China buys a large volume of Treasurys. It has become one of the largest lender nations to the United States, currently second only to Japan.

Annual Trade Deficit

The U.S. trade deficit with China was $315.1 billion in 2012 and rose to $367.3 billion by 2015 before dropping to $346.8 billion the following year. By 2018, it had increased to $418.9 billion before falling to $345.2 billion in 2019. At the end of 2020, the deficit with China had dropped to $310.8 billion, the lowest since 2011.

What Causes the U.S.—China Trade Deficit?

China produces many consumer goods at lower costs than other countries can. Buyers, including those in the United States, are drawn to low prices. Most economists agree that China's competitive pricing is a result of two factors:

  • A lower standard of living, which allows companies in China to pay lower wages to workers
  • An exchange rate that is partially fixed to the value of the dollar

China is theworld's largest economy and has the world's largest population. It must divide its production among almost 1.4 billion residents. This is four times the number of people in the U.S. China sits at close to $14.3 billion in gross domestic product, while the U.S.'s GDP is just over $21.4 billion.

China has a much lower gross domestic product per capita, which economists use to measure standard of living.In 2019, its GDP per capita was $16,804, while the U.S. figure sat at $65,298.

Labor, goods, and services in China are therefore much cheaper than in the U.S. If the United States were to implement tariffs or other policies that influence government agencies and consumers to purchase goods and services made at home, U.S. consumers would have to pay higher prices.

Most people would rather pay as little as possible for computers, electronics, and clothing—so the U.S. imports much more than it exports to China. U.S. businesses also use Chinese labor to assemble or manufacture products to reduce production costs.

Note

In a nutshell, the trade deficit with China is caused by the country's lower costs of labor and American demand for the goods produced there.

The largest categories of U.S. imports from China are computers, cell phones, apparel, toys, games, and sporting goods. Many of these imports are from U.S. manufacturers that send raw materials to China for low-cost assembly. Once shipped back to the United States, they are considered imports.

Top United States exports to China are soybeans, semiconductors, industrial machines, crude oil, and passenger cars. In 2018, China canceled its soybean imports after U.S. President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on Chinese steel exports and other goods. By 2020, soybean exports to China had bounced back to $14 billion.

Effects of the Trade Deficit

U.S.companies that can't compete with cheaper Chinese goods must find ways to cut costs to stay competitive. As a result, U.S. manufacturing (measured by the number of jobs) declined by 35%between 1998 and 2010, before rebounding by about 7% through the end of 2020.Overall, manufacturing jobs in the United States have declined by about 30% since 1998.

Note

High trade deficits can lead to economic hardship, place jobs and capital outside of a country, and create trade wars as countries work to balance their partnership.

Trade imbalances become an issue when there isn't a relatively equal amount of trade between trading partners. For example, the U.S. feels that China isn't living up to its trade obligations, and thus that actions need to be taken. These usually result in trade embargoes or tariffs that can raise the costs of imports for the offending nation.

The U.S. economy is affected by the trade deficit. Jobs and capital are moved offshore, causing financial difficulties for consumers and smaller businesses. The tariffs imposed by the administration have been paid by U.S. companies, for the most part, further costing them $46 billion after losing over $1.7 trillion in stock values.

China is also one of the leading holders of U.S. Treasuries, which it purchases to reduce the value of its currency, thus allowing it to maintain a low exchange rate with the dollar. U.S. consumers benefit from low prices, and the government and economy benefit from capital being invested into the country.

What's Being Done

President Donald Trumpenacteda 25%tariffon steel imports and a 10% tariff on aluminum that went into effect onJuly 6, 2018, impacting $34 billion worth of Chinese imports.

On December 13, 2019, Trump announced a trade deal between the United States and China, in which both countries agreed to increase certain imports and exports. He signed it on January 15, 2020.

President Joe Biden, elected in November 2020, retained Trump's position on trade with China early in 2021 as his administration reviewed the former administration's policies.

President Biden also publicly proclaimed that he would take measures to ensure the U.S. remained the top economy and power in the world. His new policies will address China's unfair trade practices, forced-labor programs, unfair import and export subsidies, censorship, and illicit use of American intellectual property.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

What does the U.S. import from China?

The U.S. imports more than 100 different categories of goods from China. The most common imports include cell phones, computers, and apparel. Cell phones and related household goods accounted for about $61.8 billion worth of imports in 2020.

What is the U.S. trade deficit with Mexico?

The U.S. trade deficit with Mexico was roughly $108 billion in 2021. This is less than the $114 billion deficit in 2020, but it's more than the $100 billion deficit in 2019.

U.S. Trade Deficit With China and Why It's So High (2024)

FAQs

U.S. Trade Deficit With China and Why It's So High? ›

In a nutshell, the trade deficit with China is caused by the country's lower costs of labor and American demand for the goods produced there. The largest categories of U.S. imports from China are computers, cell phones, apparel, toys, games, and sporting goods.

Why does the US have a deficit with China? ›

According to one study, U.S. firms were handicapped by tariff-related higher costs of their imported inputs, and coupled with China's retaliatory tariffs, this resulted in U.S. exports to China being 23 percent lower than they would have been in the absence of the trade war.

Why is the US trade deficit so high? ›

The most significant cause of the trade deficit is the low rate of U.S. domestic savings by households, firms, and the government relative to its investment needs. To make up for that shortfall, Americans must borrow from countries abroad (such as China) with excess savings.

Why does the US trade so much with China? ›

It supports US jobs.

While expanding foreign trade can disrupt US employment, trade with China also creates and supports a significant number of American jobs. Exports to China support over 1 million US jobs, and Chinese companies invested in the United States employ over 160,000 workers.

Is the trade deficit with China a problem? ›

Countries run a deficit when the value of their imports exceeds the value of their exports. According to recent polling by the Pew Research Center, about four in ten Americans see the US trade deficit with China as a very serious problem.

What would happen if China called in all U.S. debt? ›

Consequences of Owing Debt to the Chinese

If China called in all of its U.S. holdings, the U.S. dollar would depreciate, whereas the yuan would appreciate, making Chinese goods more expensive.

How much does the US owe China in debt? ›

The United States pays interest on approximately $850 billion in debt held by the People's Republic of China.

Does the US have a trade imbalance with China? ›

U.S. export totaled $153.8 billion, an increase of 1.6% ($2.4 billion) from 2021; U.S. imports from China totaled $536.8 billion, an increase of 6.3% ($31.8 billion); and the trade deficit with China was $382.9 billion, an increase of 8.3% of ($29.4 billion).

Who is the US highest trade deficit with? ›

The largest deficit in goods in the United States is with China. In fact, over 65% of the trade deficit – or $419 billion – is because of imports from China.

Who has the largest trade deficit in the world? ›

This statistic shows the 20 countries with the highest trade balance deficit worldwide in 2022. In 2022, the United States reported the highest trade balance deficit with approximately 1.31 trillion U.S. dollars.

What would happen if US stopped trading with China? ›

In a very simplistic world, if America stops trading with China, China lose that ($462–$115) = $347B of GDP or 3.1% of the overall GDP. China's GDP is expected to grow at 6%/yr.

How dependent is China on the US? ›

China has at least a 70% dependence on the U.S. and its allies for more than 400 items, ranging from luxury goods to raw materials needed for Chinese industries, a new analysis of trade data has found.

Who is China biggest trading partner? ›

China's Imports and Exports by Country in 2022
CountryImports (2022 USD)Balance (2022 USD)
🇺🇸 United States$177.7B+$401.1B
🇭🇰 Hong Kong$7.8B+$287.4B
🇳🇱 Netherlands$12.5B+$104.9B
🇮🇳 India$17.5B+$100.3B
6 more rows
Aug 24, 2023

Who is winning the trade war between US and China? ›

Economists routinely say that no one wins a trade war because costs rise on all sides. If that's the case, the U.S., which started the fight and eventually slapped steep tariffs on three-quarters of everything China sold to the U.S. to force changes in Chinese economic policy, lost by not winning.

Does the US have a surplus or deficit with China? ›

The U.S. goods trade deficit with China was $310.3 billion in 2020, a 9.9 percent decrease ($34.0 billion) over 2019. The United States has a services trade surplus of an estimated $24.8 billion with China in 2020, down 37.3 percent from 2019.

Does the US still have tariffs on China? ›

The United States is currently imposing a 25 percent tariff on approximately $250 billion of imports from China and a 7.5 percent tariff on approximately $112 billion worth of imports from China.

Does China have debt like the US? ›

A major lender abroad, China is facing a debt bomb at home: trillions of dollars owed by local governments, their financial affiliates, and real estate developers.

Why is the world in debt to China? ›

International Loans

The "New Silk Road" project, which finances the construction of port, rail and land infrastructure across the globe, has created much debt to China for participating countries.

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