The World's Most Successful Investor Is a Swing Trader (2024)

  • Swing trading has made many a hedge fund manager a fortune – including the world’s most successful investor.
  • Today, Nicholas Vardy shares how this man built his fortune and how swing trading can work for small investors too.

Yesterday, I revealed how billionaire Paul Tudor Jones II made his fortune by swing trading.

Swing trading techniques helped Tudor Jones build his hedge fund from a tiny $30,000 startup to a $7.8 billion leader in the industry.

But Tudor Jones isn’t alone.

I’ve also written about the world’s greatest investor, mathematics professor Jim Simons, who founded Renaissance Technologies in 1982.

Since 1988, Simons’ Medallion Fund has generated average annual returns of 66% before fees.

Bloomberg has called Simon’s quant system “a money printing press.”

But Simons experienced extraordinary success only after he began to focus on identifying reliable and repeatable short-term patterns in the market in 1990.

Today, Simons works with an army of rocket scientists who spend their lives mining reams of data going back to the 1700s to pick stocks.

For Warren Buffett, the ideal holding period for an investment is “forever.”

For the Medallion Fund, the average holding period is two days.

The surprising conclusion?

Simons, the most successful investor in history, is a swing trader.

What a Successful Swing Trade Looks Like

Let’s look at some examples of the kinds of successful swing trades that made Simons a billionaire.

Take a look at the candlestick stock chart below.

As I’ve discussed before, candlesticks offer a wealth of information on where a stock is headed next.

The World's Most Successful Investor Is a Swing Trader (1)

Remember, what swing traders are looking for is streaks. They want to identify periods where every day is the same color.

So you see a stock go red, red, red many days in a row because traders are trading in lockstep… pushing the stock down… But then the reversal happens.

All it takes is one upward swing, and suddenly the machines have completely altered course.

They swing back to buying instead of selling.

When this happens, the days afterward all go green.

Let’s look at another example.

You can clearly see here that this stock suffered several big consecutive down days.

The candlestick chart shows successive bars of red.

The World's Most Successful Investor Is a Swing Trader (2)

But then the stock reverses.

You see the reversal with the first green bar. And then you see the swing higher.

On this swing trade, you could’ve made 125% in nine days.

Here’s another example…

The World's Most Successful Investor Is a Swing Trader (3)

You see a drop of six consecutive days. Then you have a reversal day, followed by the inevitable swing upward.

This single trade would’ve made 104% in under a week

In all these examples, you are seeing algorithmic trading in action.

Again, the quant algorithms are programmed to pick up similar patterns.

They often operate in lockstep. So when one trading system is selling, most of the others are too.

Then, as the sentiment swings in a positive direction, the same stocks rebound, almost as predictably as day follows night.

I use sophisticated software similar to what the biggest hedge funds use.

If my computers switch to buying from selling, it is very likely that the other computers are doing the exact same thing.

Once you know what to look for, it becomes straightforward to predict these movements.

All this is invisible to most investors. But computers programmed with the right algorithm can recognize these patterns in milliseconds.

Two More Edges to Swing Trading

Previously, I’ve discussed why swing trading offers you several edges over other forms of trading. Here are two more advantages…

First, swing trading removes human emotion from trading.

The human mind was not designed for trading. Humans are driven by emotions that can change on a whim.

In contrast, machines are completely predictable. Program a computer with an algorithm, and it will make the exact same decisions every time.

The good news is these algorithms have made Wall Street trading far more predictable than ever before. After Wall Street’s quant algorithms push a stock lower, it’s all but inevitable you’ll see a swing higher as those same computers push it higher.

It’s like Isaac Newton’s third law: For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction.

Second, swing trading works in any market. Up. Down. Sideways.

I don’t worry about what the overall market is doing. Instead I stay completely focused on the swings of individual stock prices.

An accomplished investment advisor and widely recognized expert on quantitative investing, global investing and exchange-traded funds, Nicholas has been a regular commentator on CNN International and Fox Business Network. He has also been cited inTheWall Street Journal,Financial Times,Newsweek, Fox Business News, CBS, MarketWatch, Yahoo Finance and MSN Money Central. Nicholas holds a bachelor’s and a master’s from Stanford University and a J.D. from Harvard Law School. It’s no wonder his groundbreaking content is published regularly in the free daily e-letterLiberty Through Wealth.

The World's Most Successful Investor Is a Swing Trader (2024)

FAQs

The World's Most Successful Investor Is a Swing Trader? ›

Simons, the most successful investor in history, is a swing trader.

Who is the most successful swing trader in the world? ›

Simons, the most successful investor in history, is a swing trader.

Are swing traders more successful? ›

We've seen estimations that as many as 90% of swing traders fail to make money in the stock market – meaning they either break even or lose money. That suggests that the average swing trading success rate is somewhere around 10% – meaning 10% of swing traders actually bring in profit over the course of a year.

Can you become rich swing trading? ›

Swing traders aim to make a lot of small wins that add up to significant returns. For example, other traders may wait five months to earn a 25% profit, while swing traders may earn 5% gains weekly and exceed the other trader's gains in the long run.

Why swing trading is better than investing? ›

Swing trading offers advantages such as maximizing short-term profit potential, minimal time commitment, and flexibility of capital management. Key disadvantages include being subject to overnight and weekend market risk, along with missing longer-term trending price moves.

Has anyone made money swing trading? ›

When done correctly using sound trading rules, swing trading can absolutely produce big gains. Even though you're aiming for 5-10% profit in a swing trade, those gains add up quickly when you reinvest the profits in new stocks and grow the overall size of your portfolio.

How much does the average swing trader make? ›

While ZipRecruiter is seeing annual salaries as high as $175,500 and as low as $21,500, the majority of Swing Trading salaries currently range between $34,000 (25th percentile) to $100,500 (75th percentile) with top earners (90th percentile) making $153,500 annually across the United States.

How hard is it to make a living swing trading? ›

Swing trading can be difficult for the average retail trader. Professional traders have more experience, leverage, information, and lower commissions; however, they are limited by the instruments they are allowed to trade, the risk they are capable of taking on, and their large amount of capital.

What personality is swing trading? ›

Swing Trading

Swing traders almost always hold their trades overnight. So if you'd be nervous holding a trade while away from a computer, this is not the style for you. Swing trading generally requires a larger stop-loss than day trading. The ability to keep calm when a trade is against you is vital.

Is swing trading harder than day trading? ›

Day trading requires full dedication and time. It takes less expertise to swing trade than day trading. Hence, beginners can get success as swing traders more quickly than in day trading. Day traders make several transactions a day, multiplying profit opportunities.

What is the most profitable swing trading strategy? ›

Wait for the price to break below Support. If the price breaks below Support, then wait for a strong price rejection (a close above Support) If there's a strong price rejection, then go long on the next candle open. Set your stop loss 1 ATR below the candle low and take profits before Resistance.

Why is swing trading so hard? ›

Swing trading can be challenging, as it involves making quick decisions based on market movements and potentially holding positions for only a few days. It also requires a solid understanding of technical analysis and the ability to monitor the markets closely.

How much money needed for swing trading? ›

There is no minimum requirement for starting swing trading in India. Irrespective of whether one trades with Rs. 50,000 or Rs. 5 lakhs, the capital should be sufficient to cover prices of selected stocks.

What is the best timeframe for swing trading? ›

Start with trades to hold the trade for a few days. This is called 'Positional Trading' or 'Swing Trading'. An active swing trader usually keeps his trading position open for a few days. The best lookback period for a swing trader is 6 months to 1 year.

Is swing trading a future? ›

Swing trading futures involves buying and selling a contract over a few days or weeks, without the intention of taking delivery of the product. So, in as much as you can swing trade the contracts, you have to be careful not to buy into contracts that are already approaching expiration dates.

What is the truth about swing trading? ›

Swing trading is a form of trading where traders hold positions in a given stock for longer than one day. The stocks are held for a few days or even a few weeks. This form of trading is popular in the Indian stock market. It attempts to capture gains in an asset over a few days to several weeks.

What is ideal return on swing trading? ›

Let's start with the basics of a swing trading strategy. Rather than targeting 20% to 25% profits for most of your stocks, the profit goal is a more modest 10%, or even just 5% in tougher markets.

How often do swing traders trade? ›

In conclusion, you can swing trade as often as you want. It all depends on how long your trades last, the number of trades your capital can carry, and how many trades you can comfortably manage at a time. On average though, many swing traders take about 20-22 trades per month.

Is swing trading better than long term? ›

In the short term, swing trade investors may see larger profits than those using long-term time frames. At the rapid rate investors buy and sell their stock, swing trades generate profits quicker, and long-term investment professionals wait weeks or even months before the stock is sold and generate a profit.

What kind of returns do swing traders make? ›

Even with a meager 2% monthly profit, a swing trader would earn 24% in a year, which is more than Warren Buffett's 20% annualized return. While no strategy can guarantee success, a swing trading strategy is your best chance at making money in the stock market.

How long does it take to master swing trading? ›

For learning swing trading, it takes at least 6 months and for intraday trading, at least a year. So don't get discouraged by the time required because this is a skill that will make you money for the rest of your life. There is no retirement in trading as you can trade from your home even when you're 80.

What is the 1 rule for swing trading? ›

Because of the short-term nature of this technique, swing traders must adhere to some very basic rules, including: If the trade moves in your favor, carry it overnight–the odds favor follow-through. Expect to exit the next day around the objective point.

Can you live off of swing trading? ›

Stock investing is a risk: you can lose your money. Please consult a licensed stock advisor before investing. I s it possible to make a living swing trading? Yes, you can.

Which type of trader is most successful? ›

Short-sell trading: Here, traders simply believe that the market is bearish and act accordingly. You borrow shares from a broker and sell them in the open market. You wait until the price falls enough for you to buy the stocks back at a lower rate. The difference acquired by this process is the profit.

How do you master swing trading? ›

How to swing trade stocks
  1. Open a live trading account. Open a live trading account to start swing trading stocks. ...
  2. Research markets using technical analysis. ...
  3. Choose an asset to swing trade. ...
  4. Use risk management conditions. ...
  5. Monitor your position. ...
  6. Exit trade.

How long do swing trades last? ›

With swing trading, or what's sometimes called momentum trading, trading account positions typically last two to six days, but could last as long as two weeks.

Is 4 hour good for swing trading? ›

Swing traders usually use 4-hour charts. This period falls exactly between that of the investor and the day trader. As a swing trader, you are prone to sit on the fence, and that's good, because here you are almost alone.

Which is more profitable scalping or swing trading? ›

Swing traders will earn much more profit per trade – but you'll have to be patient, as you may not realize that profit for a few weeks in some cases. Scalpers, on the other hand, earn minuscule profit percentages per trade. After all, this strategy entails capitalizing on minor price movements over a few minutes.

How long does it take to make money swing trading? ›

It takes at least 6 to 12 months to consistently make money from day trading or swing trading, if working at it full time or with a mentor. Six months is the quickest; most take longer.

Why is swing trading best? ›

Swing trading makes trades based on swings in stocks, commodities, and currencies that take place over days or weeks. As swing trade positions blossom over a longer period of time, there is greater potential for higher gains (or losses) compared to day trading.

Why do people fail at swing trading? ›

Traders fail due to being undercapitalized.

Sometimes the market is easier to trade and you make money right away. But usually, there is a learning curve which means losing some of your capital at the start. After that learning curve, you still need enough capital so that the risk on any single trade is small.

What is the 5 3 1 rule in trading? ›

Intro: 5-3-1 trading strategy

The numbers five, three and one stand for: Five currency pairs to learn and trade. Three strategies to become an expert on and use with your trades. One time to trade, the same time every day.

How many stocks should I buy for swing trading? ›

For SwingTrader performance, we use a model portfolio. To keep things simple, eight full positions of equal weight put us at 100% invested. It's a number suggested by IBD Founder William J. O'Neil in his book "How To Make Money In Stocks." That means a full position starts out at 12.5%.

Can you swing trade on 1 hour timeframe? ›

Swing Trading Time Frames

Generally, the time frames for swing trading you want to use are the weekly, daily, 4-hour and 1-hour charts.

Is swing trading bad for taxes? ›

If you were not fortunate enough to make a profit in the previous year, you can file for capital losses on your taxes instead. Swing traders can take a maximum capital loss of $3,000 per year. If your losses were greater than $3,000, you'll roll over the excess into forthcoming years.

What percentage of loss is swing trading? ›

Swing traders, while waiting for a larger profit to emerge, make several small wins to add to their ultimate profit. This helps them secure more substantial profit volume. But to do that, swing traders keep their stop loss level low at 2-3 percent and manage to keep the profit-to-loss ratio at 3:1.

What is the best swing trader? ›

One of the best options for swing trading is the FBS Trader all-in-one trading platform. It includes popular trading tools like MetaTrader 4 and MetaTrader 5 and a set of free educational materials.

Who is most successful traders of all time? ›

Top 10 Greatest Traders of All Time
  1. George Soros. George Soros, aka "the man who broke the Bank of England," was born a Jew in Hungary in 1930, survived the Holocaust, and fled the country then. ...
  2. Jesse Livermore. ...
  3. William Delbert Gann. ...
  4. Paul Tudor Jones. ...
  5. Jim Rogers. ...
  6. Richard Dennis. ...
  7. John Paulson. ...
  8. Steven Cohen.
Apr 20, 2023

What is the maximum profit from swing trading? ›

The best time frame for swing trading can also extend to a few weeks, depending on the market. Usually, traders who hold for a longer duration expect to make 20-25% profits on their stocks. However, the profit goal for swing trade stocks is in the range of 5-10%.

Who is the father of swing trading? ›

Dan Zanger, called the father of swing trading, holds a world record for stock market portfolio appreciation which gained over 29,000%. In under two years, he turned $10,775 into $18 million.

What is the No 1 book for swing trading? ›

Best for Swing Trading Technical Analysis: "How to Swing Trade" by Brian Bazim. There are numerous great books about technical analysis. "How to Swing Trade" is our top pick in this category because it focuses specifically on how to use technical analysis for swing trading.

Is swing trading difficult? ›

Swing trading can be challenging, as it involves making quick decisions based on market movements and potentially holding positions for only a few days. It also requires a solid understanding of technical analysis and the ability to monitor the markets closely.

Are swing traders more successful than day traders? ›

Day trading has more profit potential than swing trading. There is a big risk involved in day trading and the profit targets are based on smaller price moves. Swing trading is less intense and may realize profits exceeding those of day trading due to the length of time they are in the market for each trade.

How one trader made $2.4 million in 28 minutes? ›

By exercising the options to buy the Altera stock at $36 a share, then selling it for more, the trader made about $2.4 million in net profit, reports said. Fortune noted on Wednesday that the extremely well-timed maneuver came less than a minute after the Journal reporter's tweet at 3:32 p.m.

Who is the richest person by trading? ›

Top 10 Richest Stock Market Investors In The World 2023
  • Warren Buffet. ...
  • Ken Griffin. ...
  • Jim Simons. ...
  • Ray Dalio. ...
  • Carl Icahn. ...
  • Steve Cohen. ...
  • Paul Tudor Jones. ...
  • George Soros.

How many traders get rich? ›

What percentage of day traders make money and how many fail? Approximately 1-20% of day traders make money day trading. Just a tiny fraction of day traders make any significant amount of money. That means that between 80 to 99% of them fail.

Can you live off swing trading? ›

Yes, it is possible to make money through swing trading. However, there are no guarantees in the stock market and swing trading carries risks like any other investment approach.

Is swing trading more profitable than investing? ›

Without a doubt, swing trading offers better returns – both in terms of profit and time. You may earn less profit percentage per swing trade compared to investing – that much is true.

How do you become a master in swing trading? ›

How to swing trade stocks
  1. Open a live trading account. Open a live trading account to start swing trading stocks. ...
  2. Research markets using technical analysis. ...
  3. Choose an asset to swing trade. ...
  4. Use risk management conditions. ...
  5. Monitor your position. ...
  6. Exit trade.

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