Sarasota Housing Market: Prices, Trends, Forecast 2023 (2024)

The housing market in Sarasota is a topic of interest for many prospective homebuyers and real estate enthusiasts. Understanding the current state of the market can help individuals make informed decisions when it comes to buying or selling properties. In this blog post, we will explore the key aspects of the housing market in Sarasota, including median sale prices, average days on the market, competitiveness, migration trends, and environmental risks. Let's dive in and discover what the housing market in Sarasota looks like today.

Sarasota Housing Market Update

According to recent data by Redfin, a residential real estate brokerage, The current state of the housing market in Sarasota shows positive trends in terms of median sale prices. Despite a slight decrease in the median sale price per square foot, the overall median sale price has experienced a 0.9% growth compared to the previous year.

The average days on the market have increased, indicating a potentially less competitive environment for buyers. However, multiple offers on certain properties demonstrate that competition still exists, particularly for highly desirable homes. Understanding the market trends and migration patterns can provide valuable insights for individuals considering buying or selling a property in Sarasota.

Median Sale Prices and Market Trends

The median sale price of homes in Sarasota has experienced a modest increase over the past year. In April 2023, the median sale price reached $495,000, representing a 0.9% growth compared to the previous year. While this growth may seem relatively small, it indicates a steady upward trend in the market. However, it is important to note that the median sale price per square foot has decreased by 7.6% since last year, with a current value of $329.

Average Days on the Market

Homes in Sarasota tend to sell within a reasonable timeframe. On average, a property in Sarasota stays on the market for approximately 35 days before being sold. This is a significant increase compared to the previous year when homes sold much faster, taking only 6 days on average. The increase in the number of days may indicate a slightly less competitive market, allowing potential buyers more time to consider their options.

Competitiveness in the Sarasota Housing Market

The Sarasota housing market can be described as somewhat competitive. The Redfin Compete Score, which rates the competitiveness of an area on a scale of 0 to 100, assigns Sarasota a competitive score. Homes in Sarasota often receive multiple offers, and on average, they sell for about 3% below the listing price. Hot homes, in particularly desirable locations or with sought-after features, can sell for the list price and go pending in as little as 7 days.

Sarasota Housing Market Forecast for 2023:What to Expect

The Sarasota housing market has shown promising growth over the past year, with an average home value of $461,770 (Zillow Home Value Index). This represents a 5.0% increase compared to the previous year. Homes in Sarasota are in high demand, as evidenced by the relatively short median time it takes for a property to go pending, which is around 17 days. These figures indicate a healthy and active real estate market in the area.

Moreover, the median sale-to-list ratio of 0.976 suggests that homes in Sarasota are often sold very close to their listing prices. Additionally, there is a notable percentage of sales that occur over the list price, accounting for 11.8% of transactions. However, it is important to note that 71.0% of sales are still under the list price, indicating that buyers can find opportunities to negotiate favorable deals.

North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton MSA Forecast

Sarasota is part of the North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA). The average home value in this MSA is $459,249, showing a 4.5% increase over the past year. The forecast for the North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton MSA indicates a positive outlook, with a projected 1-year market forecast of +5.6%.

Similar to Sarasota, homes in the North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton MSA have a median sale-to-list ratio of 0.976, suggesting that properties generally sell close to their listed prices. There is also a notable percentage of sales that occur above the list price, accounting for 12.5% of transactions. However, 70.4% of sales still happen under the list price, indicating potential opportunities for buyers.

The median time it takes for a property to go pending in the North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton MSA is around 20 days, highlighting the strong demand for homes in the area.

Buyers and sellers can expect a competitive market, as homes in both areas often sell close to their listing prices. The relatively short median time to go pending indicates strong buyer demand. Overall, these forecasts suggest a favorable environment for those looking to participate in the Sarasota and North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton real estate markets.

Sarasota Housing Market: Prices, Trends, Forecast 2023 (1)

Sources:

  • https://www.realtor.com/realestateandhomes-search/Sarasota_FL/overview
  • https://www.redfin.com/city/16463/FL/Sarasota/housing-market
  • https://www.zillow.com/home-values/20362/sarasota-fl/
  • https://www.corelogic.com/category/intelligence/reports/home-price-insights/
Sarasota Housing Market: Prices, Trends, Forecast 2023 (2024)

FAQs

How much will Sarasota homes cost in 2023? ›

Based on recent data from Zillow, the Sarasota housing market is forecasted to continue its upward trend in 2023, with an average home value of $451,038, up 16.4% over the past year.

What will happen to the real estate market in Florida in 2023? ›

In 2023, experts forecast that the Florida home prices may fall down to 20%. Mortgage Rates Have Almost Doubled: Mortgage rates almost doubled from April 2021's 3.12% to 6.27% for the week ending on April 13, 2023. Sellers are Coming Back, but Slowly: The number of listings dropped by 14.9% in March 2023.

Will 2023 be a good time to buy a house? ›

Homebuyer.com data analysis indicates that, for first-time home buyers, June 2023 is a good time to buy a house relative to later in the year. This article provides an unbiased look at current mortgage rates, housing market conditions, and market sentiment.

Is Sarasota housing market overvalued? ›

Study: North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton among nation's most overvalued housing markets. The North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton metro area ranks as one of the 10 most over-valued housing markets in the country, while Cape Coral-Fort Myers is at the top of the list.

Will 2023 be a good year to buy a house in Florida? ›

Overall, the Florida housing market is likely to remain strong in 2023, with continued demand for homes and steady price growth. However, the market may begin to stabilize as the growth rate slows down, which may lead to more balanced conditions between buyers and sellers.

What will the Florida housing market look like in 2023? ›

Home price growth will flatten, with a forecasted increase of 0.8%. Inventory will remain constrained, especially at the entry-level price segment. Mortgage rates are likely to bump up to 3.88 percent by the end of the year. Tight inventory and rising mortgage rates will lead to dropping sales.

Is 2023 a good time to invest in real estate? ›

Despite what some may think, 2023 is still a good year to invest in real estate, thanks to advantages like long-term appreciation, steady rental income, and the opportunity to hedge against inflation. Mortgage rates are expected to decline, but the housing market is likely to remain competitive due to low supply.

Are Florida homes overpriced? ›

A report released last week by Florida Atlantic University, in partnership with researchers at Florida International University, shows that Florida continues to have housing markets that are "significantly" overvalued, even with prices starting to come down.

Will mortgage rates go down in 2024? ›

Fannie Mae, Mortgage Bankers Association and National Association of Realtors expect mortgage rates to drop through the first quarter of 2024, by half a percentage point to about nine-tenths of a percentage point. Figures are the predicted quarterly average rates for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.

Will home interest rates go down in 2023? ›

“[W]ith the rate of inflation decelerating rates should gently decline over the course of 2023.” Fannie Mae. 30-year fixed rate mortgage will average 6.4% for Q2 2023, according to the May Housing Forecast. National Association of Realtors (NAR).

How high will interest rates go in 2023? ›

Since the start of 2022, the Fed has hiked rates 10 times to combat rising inflation. As of May 2023, the federal funds rate ranges from 5.00% to 5.25%. If this prediction is correct, it won't be surprising to see some of the best high-yield savings accounts offering rates exceeding 4%.

Will interest rates drop in 2023? ›

We expect that 30-year mortgage rates will end 2023 at 5.2%,” the organization noted in its forecast commentary. It since has walked back its forecast slightly but still sees rates dipping below 6%, to 5.6%, by the end of the year.

Is Boomer wealth surging in Sarasota? ›

A Covid-induced boom in early retirements is exacerbating America's inequalities, especially along this stretch of the Gulf Coast. Sarasota and its environs are seeing an influx of cash-rich baby boomers and work-from-home professionals that's pricing younger residents out of the housing market.

Why are people moving to Sarasota? ›

With no state income tax, warm sunny weather, a fun and lively arts culture, and some of the most beautiful beaches in the world, it's easy to see why so many people are relocating to Sarasota, Florida.

Is Sarasota a good place to invest? ›

Sarasota is one of the best vacation places in Florida, and while it is not among the most expensive places to live in, it is not also the cheapest. The latest property data showed 2021 was a good year for the city's real estate sector.

What is the average mortgage rate in Florida in 2023? ›

In 2023, the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate conventional mortgage is 6.85 percent, as reported by Mortgage News Daily. This marks a significant increase from just four weeks ago, when rates were below six percent.

Are Florida house prices dropping? ›

Are home prices in Florida dropping or rising? Over the past few years, home prices in Florida have skyrocketed. Per Redfin data, in the middle of 2020, the median sale price was $275,600 — by April 2023, that figure had jumped to $400,800.

What is the median home price in Florida 2023? ›

The median sale price for a single-family home in the state as of April 2023 is $410,000, according to Florida Realtors — and in the Miami area it's a much higher $585,000. By comparison, the nationwide median sale price is $388,800.

Will there be a housing crisis in 2023? ›

It's also worth noting that while foreclosure rates are up year-over-year, experts do not expect to see a wave of foreclosures in 2023, even where home values are depreciating, as many homeowners have substantial equity due to progressive home price appreciation in recent years.

Is Florida real estate cooling off? ›

At the end of 2022, the Florida Business Observer reported that home sales had fallen by nearly 40% in the publication's home state. At a glance, that puts Florida on par with the rapidly cooling real estate market in the country as a whole.

Will rent prices go down in Florida 2023? ›

While there's no consensus on what rents will do exactly in 2023 — go up a little, go down a little, or stay flat, according to three forecasts — what's clear is they are expected to return to more normal growth patterns, instead of the unsustainable, record rates seen in 2021 and 2022.

What are the real estate challenges in 2023? ›

Top 10 Issues Affecting Real Estate 2022-2023
  • Inflation and Interest Rates.
  • Geopolitical Risk.
  • Hybrid Work.
  • Supply Chain Disruption.
  • Energy.
  • Labor Shortage Strain.
  • The Great Housing Imbalance.
  • Regulatory Uncertainty.

Should you flip a house in 2023? ›

Is House Flipping Profitable in 2023? Yes! If you get the basics right, flipping homes in California is easier in 2023 than flipping homes in 2021's competitive market. You Make Money When You Buy Your Flip: Stick to the home flipper's 70% rule.

How to make money in real estate in 2023? ›

  1. House Flipping. Fix and flips are one of the most popular methods of making money in the real estate market. ...
  2. Rental Properties. Another way to invest in real estate is to buy property directly. ...
  3. House Hacking. ...
  4. Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) ...
  5. Online Real Estate Crowdfunding Platforms.
Jan 11, 2023

Why are Florida closing costs so high? ›

Sellers in Florida pay more in closing costs than buyers do, because sellers are responsible for covering the real estate commission fees on the deal. These typically amount to about 6 percent of the home's purchase price.

Is building a house cheaper than buying in Florida? ›

Overall, the average cost of homes for sale in Florida is $406,988, with an average price per square foot of around $207. Therefore, it's currently more expensive on average to buy an existing home in Florida than it is to build a house.

Why is Florida so unaffordable? ›

The high cost of housing is one of the main reasons why Florida is so expensive. The cost of living in Florida is also relatively high. The state has a sales tax of 6%, which is higher than the national average of 5.75%. And, Florida has some of the highest utility rates in the country.

Will 2024 be a good time to buy a home? ›

With mortgage rates declining faster than expected, home prices are likely to remain mostly flat throughout 2024. This will be good news for buyers who have been waiting on the sidelines for a good time to enter the market.

How long will rates stay high? ›

Economists have long expected the Fed would likely stop raising interest rates at some point in 2023, but “where” rates peak — a level known as the “terminal” rate — is actually more important than “when.”

Will mortgage rates go down to 3 percent? ›

Returning to mortgage rates of 3% or 4% is not going to happen, in my view,” says Yun, who points out that historically rates have been higher. The low rates of 2020 and 2021 were “unique” and those that got them were “lucky,” he says.

Will US home prices drop in 2023? ›

Although home prices are expected to improve in the second half of the year, the California median home price is projected to decrease by 5.6 percent to $776,600 in 2023, down from the median price of $822,300 recorded in 2022.

What will my home value be in 2023? ›

They expect home prices to improve in Q3 & Q4 this year, over in 2023 they expect the medium home will delince 5.6% compared to 2022, to $776,600 in 2023 ($822,300 in 2022). They had predicted a median 2023 price of $758,600 forecast last October.

What is the average US home price in 2023? ›

Average home price in the United States: $436,800

The median home sales price is $436,800 as of the first quarter of 2023. That's a 32% increase from 2020, when the median was $329,000.

Will Florida home prices keep rising? ›

Over the past few years, home prices in Florida have skyrocketed. Per Redfin data, in the middle of 2020, the median sale price was $275,600 — by April 2023, that figure had jumped to $400,800. The state remains one of the top markets people move to, and its increasing population will likely keep the market robust.

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