Mutual Funds That Consistently Beat the Market? Not One of 2,132. (2024)

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Strategies

No actively managed stock or bond funds outperformed the market convincingly and regularly over the last five years. Index funds have generally been better.

Mutual Funds That Consistently Beat the Market? Not One of 2,132. (1)

By Jeff Sommer

Jeff Sommer is the author of Strategies, a weekly column on markets, finance and the economy.

It’s very hard to beat the stock or bond markets with any regularity.

Each year, some investors manage to do it, of course, but can they do it consistently? A new study of actively managed mutual funds by S&P Dow Jones Indices asked that question and came up with a startling result.

It found that not a single mutual fund — not one — managed to beat its benchmark in either the U.S. stock or bond markets regularly and convincingly over the last five years. These results are even worse than those of 2014 and 2015, when I last examined this subject closely.

“If you want to be adventurous and pick stocks or actively managed funds, go ahead, of course,” Tim Edwards, global head of index investment strategy at S&P Dow Jones Indices, said in an interview. “But understand the risks you are taking.”

These findings support practical advice that has been the academic consensus for decades. Forget about trying to beat the odds and outsmarting everybody else. Instead, use low-cost stock and bond index funds that mirror the overall market, and keep them for decades. Don’t bother with fads or fancy market timing.

While it’s possible to beat index funds, it’s not easy to do over the long run, and as Paul Samuelson, the first American to win the Nobel in economics said in the 1970s, it isn’t worthwhile for most of us to try.

Yet especially in a year like this — when both the stock and bond markets have had horrendous losses — it’s tempting to seek a better way. Why stick with index funds, which merely match the market, and ensure that you have had what any sane person would consider terrible results?

Picking stocks and bonds on your own — or getting a professional to do it — may seem a better way to go. But before you take that route, examine the latest evidence. It shows that as bad as index funds have been, actively managed funds have generally been worse.

The Scorecards

For 20 years, S&P Dow Jones Indices has been providing “scorecards” that compare the performance of active mutual fund managers with a series of benchmarks, or indexes, that capture the broad stock and bond markets, or discrete pieces of them. Many mutual funds and exchange-traded funds mirror these indexes, and a basic question for any investment strategy is: Does it beat the index? S&P Dow Jones Indices also tabulates how many funds beat the indexes persistently, year in and year out.

In a nutshell, these report cards have never been particularly good for actively managed funds. The studies have found that most actively managed mutual funds do worse than their benchmark index, both over the long run and in the vast majority of calendar years, in the United States and elsewhere around the globe. For example, the last time the average active U.S. stock fund beat the S&P 500 stock index for a full calendar year was in 2009. And over a full 20-year period ending last December, fewer than 10 percent of active U.S. stock funds managed to beat their benchmarks.

Still, every year, some actively managed funds do outperform the indexes. If you own one that does, you may not care about all the others that fail to do so.

But then the issue is, will this outperformance persist? Another way of putting the question is this: Are these funds beating the market because they are lucky or because some investors are more skillful than others?

There is no absolutely correct, quantifiable answer to these questions. Some investors are undoubtedly more knowledgeable than others and make better decisions. But are they good enough to stay ahead of the market year after year, especially when fees and expenses are included?

The most recent evidence isn’t encouraging.

You may think that it’s easier to beat the market when stocks and bonds are falling in value. As it turns out, that’s not the case.

Lack of Persistence

Over the last five years, not a single mutual fund has beaten the market regularly, using the definition that S&P Dow Jones Indices has employed for two decades.

The S&P Dow Jones team looked at all the 2,132 broad, actively managed domestic stock mutual funds that had been operating for at least 12 months as of June 2018. (The study excluded narrowly focused sector funds and leveraged funds that, essentially, used borrowed money to magnify their returns.)

The team selected the 25 percent of the funds with the best performance over the 12 months through June 2018. Then the analysts asked how many of those funds remained in the top quarter for the four succeeding 12-month periods through June 2022.

The answer was none.

Not a single one of the initial 2,132 funds managed to achieve top-quartile performance for those five successive years. That hasn’t happened for stock funds since 2011. This time, S&P Dow Jones Indices did the same measurements for fixed-income funds and came up with the same result: zero. Not a single bond fund remained in the top quarter for every 12-month period.

While scoring in the top 25 percent year after year is a fairly high hurdle, it strikes me as a reasonable one. But S&P Dow Jones Indices also used an easier test. How many funds ended up in the top 50 percent year after year over five years? For those 2,132 stock funds, the answer was only 1 percent. That’s still a dismal result.

Consider a very big public school with more than 2,100 students in a class. Not all the high performers will always score in the top 25 percent of their class, but I’d expect that at least some of them would, every year, over five years. If not a single person managed to do that, I’d wonder why. If only 1 percent — 21 of 2,100 — had better-than-average performance every year over five years, I’d think that something was wrong with the school or with the scores.

The Implications

Why did all the actively managed funds perform so badly in the S&P Dow Jones tests? In an interview, Mr. Edwards said two things were going on.

“First, it’s always hard to consistently beat the market,” he said. “We’ve got two decades that show that. Very few people can do that in the best of times.

“The more subtle thing is the fact that no one has been able to do it lately,” he continued. “And what that shows is that whatever worked well for investors from, say, 2017 to 2021 just didn’t work in 2022, when the markets turned.” In other words, the markets are efficient enough that it’s hard to be better than average for long, and when trends change sharply as they did this year, nearly everyone is wrong-footed.

This is a classic reason for relying mainly on index funds — essentially, accepting overall market returns, no better and no worse. Note that for the 20 years through June, the S&P 500 annually returned more than 9 percent, on average — which means your investment doubled in value every eight years. That’s roughly what an index fund would have done for you — and it’s better than the vast majority of actively managed funds were able to do.

On the other hand, given this year’s losses in both stocks and bonds, it’s also clear that investing in broad, diversified index funds is no panacea. These funds don’t protect you when the market falls. And they have other major problems, which I’ll come back to in other columns: They don’t allow you to vote directly on the policies of individual companies, and they include within them companies that you may dislike or even abhor.

Some actively managed funds did better than the overall market over the last 15 or 20 years. Though they were unable to do so consistently year after year, they had good stretches, and those periods were strong enough to make them outperform over the entire span. Such funds may well be worth owning.

“Those that have managed to do that are impressive,” Mr. Edwards said. “But which funds will be able to do it over the next 20 years?” Unfortunately, we don’t know.

That’s why cheap, broad index funds make sense as core investments for the long haul, even in a year like this one, when the markets have been falling.

Jeff Sommer writes Strategies, a column on markets, finance and the economy. He also edits business news. Previously, he was a national editor. At Newsday, he was the foreign editor and a correspondent in Asia and Eastern Europe. @jeffsommer Facebook

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Mutual Funds That Consistently Beat the Market? Not One of 2,132. (2024)

FAQs

Mutual Funds That Consistently Beat the Market? Not One of 2,132.? ›

From 2010 through 2021, anywhere from 55% to 87% of actively managed funds that invest in S&P 500 stocks couldn't beat that benchmark in any given year. Compared with that, the results for 2022 were cause for celebration: About 51% of large-cap stock funds failed to beat the S&P. 500.

What is the most consistent mutual fund? ›

Best-performing U.S. equity mutual funds
TickerName5-year return
STSEXBlackRock Exchange BlackRock13.05%
SSAQXState Street US Core Equity Fund12.09%
PRBLXParnassus Core Equity Investor12.09%
SRFMXSarofim Equity11.71%
3 more rows
Jun 1, 2023

What mutual funds are the best at the market crashes? ›

  1. Federal Bond Funds. Several types of bond funds are particularly popular with risk-averse investors. ...
  2. Municipal Bond Funds. Next on the list are municipal bond funds. ...
  3. Taxable Corporate Funds. ...
  4. Money Market Funds. ...
  5. Dividend Funds. ...
  6. Utilities Mutual Funds. ...
  7. Large-Cap Funds. ...
  8. Hedge and Other Funds.

Do any mutual funds outperform the S&P 500? ›

From 2010 through 2021, anywhere from 55% to 87% of actively managed funds that invest in S&P 500 stocks couldn't beat that benchmark in any given year. Compared with that, the results for 2022 were cause for celebration: About 51% of large-cap stock funds failed to beat the S&P. 500.

What is the 90% rule for mutual funds? ›

The 90/10 rule in investing is a comment made by Warren Buffett regarding asset allocation. The rule stipulates investing 90% of one's investment capital towards low-cost stock-based index funds and the remainder 10% to short-term government bonds.

Which mutual fund has given consistent returns? ›

  • Nifty 50 Index - 15%
  • Motilal Oswal Nasdaq 100 Index - 15%
  • Mirae Asset Large Cap Fund - Direct G -15%
  • Axis Bluechip Fund - Direct G - 15%
  • Parag Parikh Long term Equity - Direct G -12.5%
  • Motilal Oswal Multi Cap 35 fund - Direct G -12.5%
  • Kotal Emerging Equity - Direct G - 10%

What are the top 3 mutual funds? ›

Large Value
  • #1. Fidelity® Growth & Income Portfolio FGRIX.
  • #2. Fidelity® New Millennium Fund® FMILX.
  • #3. Fidelity® Large Cap Stock Fund FLCSX.

What is the safest investment of all time? ›

What are the safest types of investments? U.S. Treasury securities, money market mutual funds and high-yield savings accounts are considered by most experts to be the safest types of investments available.

Is there a better investment than mutual funds? ›

ETFs can be more tax-efficient than actively managed funds due to lower turnover and fewer capital gains. ETFs are bought and sold on an exchange at different prices throughout the day while mutual funds can be bought or sold only once a day at one price.

Should I get out of mutual funds now? ›

However, if you have noticed significantly poor performance over the last two or more years, it may be time to cut your losses and move on. To help your decision, compare the fund's performance to a suitable benchmark or to similar funds. Exceptionally poor comparative performance should be a signal to sell the fund.

Which funds does Dave Ramsey invest in? ›

Dave divides his mutual fund investments equally between four types of funds: Growth and income, growth, aggressive growth, and international. This lowers your investment risk because now you're invested in hundreds of different companies all over the world in a whole bunch of different industries.

Which mutual fund is best for next 5 years? ›

Best Performing Hybrid Mutual Funds
Fund Name3-year Return (%)*5-year Return (%)*
Quant Absolute Fund Direct-Growth34.37%20.07%
Kotak Multi Asset Allocator FoF - Dynamic Direct-Growth23.90%16.93%
ICICI Prudential Equity & Debt Fund Direct-Growth28.08%15.61%
ICICI Prudential Multi Asset Fund Direct-Growth27.07%15.43%
6 more rows

Which Fidelity funds beat the S&P? ›

On average, the Fidelity Contrafund has beaten the S&P 500 Index by 2.41% per year. Growth of $10,000 invested in Contrafund versus S&P 500 Index, September 17, 1990 to March 31, 2023. Total value March 31, 2023 for Contrafund was $509,991, compared to $252,113 for the S&P 500 Index.

What if I invest $10,000 in mutual funds for 5 years? ›

If a SIP of Rs 10,000 had been started in it 5 years ago, today this amount would have been Rs 12.72 lakh. The fund has given an annual return of 30.62 percent in these five years.

What if I invest $10,000 every month in mutual funds? ›

Even a small investment of Rs. 10,000 in mutual funds can generate substantial returns over a long investment period. The returns will be dependent on various factors like the choice of fund, market trends, and the performance of the particular scheme.

What is the 75% rule for mutual funds? ›

Diversified management investment companies have assets that fall within the 75-5-10 rule. A 75-5-10 diversified management investment company will have 75% of its assets in other issuers and cash, no more than 5% of assets in any one company, and no more than 10% ownership of any company's outstanding voting stock.

Which mutual fund is best for 2023? ›

Best Mutual Funds to invest in 2023 (Equity Mutual Funds)
FundAUM (In Crs)Expense Ratio
Kotak Equity Opportunities Direct Growth₹12514 Cr0.5 %
Motilal Oswal Large and Midcap Fund Direct Growth₹1543 Cr0.68 %
ICICI Prudential Large & Mid Cap Fund Direct Plan Growth₹7364 Cr1.07 %
18 more rows

What is the safest mutual fund? ›

Bond Mutual Funds

The three types of bond funds considered safest are government bond funds, municipal bond funds, and short-term corporate bond funds.

What is a good 10 year return on a mutual fund? ›

Debt Funds with Best Returns in 10 Years
Debt Funds10-year Return
Reliance Income Fund7.64%
HDFC Income Fund7.18%
HDFC Dynamic Debt Fund7.15%
Aditya Birla Sun Life Banking & PSU Debt Fund8.87%
4 more rows

Why mutual funds are not performing well? ›

The most common types of risks associated with investing in mutual funds are market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, interest rate risk, and inflation risk; as a result, your mutual fund performance may suffer.

Who is the best mutual fund company? ›

Best Mutual Fund Companies in India
  • HDFC Mutual Fund.
  • DSP BlackRock Mutual Fund.
  • Aditya Birla Sun Life Mutual Fund.
  • Kotak Mutual Fund.
  • L&T Mutual Fund.
  • Tata Mutual Fund.
  • Nippon India Mutual Fund.
  • Sundaram Mutual Fund.
7 days ago

How many mutual funds should I have? ›

Ideally, 6 to 8 funds are good enough to build your MF portfolio. As the size of the portfolio increases, you may invest in a maximum of 10 funds to reduce the risk of being overdependent on any particular fund or fund house.

How can I get 10% interest? ›

How Do I Earn a 10% Rate of Return on Investment?
  1. Invest in Stocks for the Long-Term. ...
  2. Invest in Stocks for the Short-Term. ...
  3. Real Estate. ...
  4. Investing in Fine Art. ...
  5. Starting Your Own Business (Or Investing in Small Ones) ...
  6. Investing in Wine. ...
  7. Peer-to-Peer Lending. ...
  8. Invest in REITs.

How can I double my money without risk? ›

5 Ways to Double Your Money
  1. Take Advantage of 401(k) Matching.
  2. Invest in Value and Growth Stocks.
  3. Increase Your Contributions.
  4. Consider Alternative Investments.
  5. Be Patient.
Nov 1, 2022

What is the best investment without losing money? ›

Here are the best low-risk investments in June 2023:

Short-term certificates of deposit. Money market funds. Treasury bills, notes, bonds and TIPS. Corporate bonds.

What is the downside of mutual fund? ›

Taxes: The taxes can bite you when the mutual fund decides to provide distributions based on their investment choices and you have no control over it. You'll have to pay capital gains when it happens. Slow trading: The trade execution time is slower than with other investments.

What investments generally have the highest potential returns? ›

Individual stocks

Stocks offer the biggest potential return on your investment while exposing your money to the highest level of volatility.

Are mutual funds ever worth it? ›

Mutual funds may be a good investment for anyone looking for diversification in their portfolios. Learn whether mutual funds can be the right investment for you. Mutual funds offer diversification and convenience at a low cost, but whether to invest in them depends on your individual situation.

What happens to mutual funds if the market crashes? ›

When the markets are in a slump, your entire corpus will be affected. So instead of a lump sum, an investor should consider investing through an STP (systematic transfer plan). In this, you invest your lump sum in a debt fund and it gets transferred to an equity fund in SIP mode.

Will mutual funds go up in 2023? ›

Yes, we are talking about debt mutual funds here, not equity mutual funds. Debt mutual funds are likely to offer better returns in 2023. They will offer even higher returns when the RBI starts cutting interest rates.

How long should you keep money in a mutual fund? ›

If you are actually looking at equity funds to help you achieve your long term goals then you at least need to give yourself a holding period of 8-10 years.

What funds does Warren Buffett invest in? ›

Through his holding company, Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett invests in only two ETFs: the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust. An S&P 500 ETF is an investment that aims to track the S&P 500 index itself, which means it includes all the same stocks as the index.

Why does Dave Ramsey say not to invest in ETFs? ›

ETFs tend to have the lowest fees because they're usually passively managed index funds. Most mutual funds, by contrast, are actively managed, and human management isn't cheap. Ramsey says he doesn't like ETFs because he's a buy-and-hold guy. Unlike mutual funds, ETFs trade on stock exchanges.

What is the biggest wealth building tool Dave Ramsey? ›

If you want to build wealth, you have to plan for it. Next, get out of debt, and stay out of debt. Your most powerful wealth-building tool is your income. And when you spend your whole life sending payments to Sallie Mae, banks and credit card companies, you end up with less money to save and invest for your future.

How can I triple my money in 5 years? ›

To triple your money in five years, you must earn an annualized 24.6% return. That's a tall order. Out of 4,817 stock and bond funds in Morningstar's database, just 127 managed to hurdle that bar over the past five years. (All fund-performance data is to March 1.)

Which mutual fund gives highest return in 1 year? ›

Best Mutual Funds to Invest in 2023 for 1 Year
  • Franklin India Short-Term Income Plan – Direct Plan-Growth.
  • Edelweiss Banking and PSU Debt Fund – Direct Plan-Growth.
  • Nippon India Short-Term Fund – Growth.
  • IDFC Bond Fund – Short-Term Plan Regular Plan-Growth.
May 24, 2023

Which mutual fund has highest return in 1 year? ›

Top Performing Funds (based on one year returns)
CategoryTop Performer1 yr
Dynamic Asset AllocationHDFC Balanced Advantage Fund - D (G)49.70
Aggressive HybridQuant Mid Cap Fund - Direct (G)82.90
Multi Asset AllocationQuant Multi Asset Fund - RP (G)67.20
Banking and PSU FundInvesco India Banking & PSU Debt - D (G)10.70
40 more rows

What is the most aggressive Fidelity mutual funds? ›

Fidelity International Value Fund (FIVLX)

You'll want to keep in mind that the net expense ratio for FIVLX is the highest among the best Fidelity funds for aggressive investors at 1.01%.

What is the safest fund at Fidelity? ›

What is Fidelity's safest fund? The safest Fidelity funds are those in the lowest-risk categories. While it's not possible to determine which specific fund has the absolute lowest risk, the categories with the lowest Morningstar risk ratings are cash reserve and money market funds.

Is Vanguard or Fidelity index funds better? ›

In fact, Fidelity is our overall pick for the best online broker in 2022, so it is very hard to beat. All that said, Vanguard still offers some of the lowest-cost funds in the industry and will appeal to buy-and-hold investors, retirement savers, and investors who want access to professional advice.

What is 15x15x15 rule in mutual fund? ›

More About the 15x15x15 Rule for Mutual Fund Investments

It says that if you invest Rs. 15,000 per month via SIP in an equity mutual fund that is capable of generating an average return of 15%, you are most likely to become a crorepati in 15 years (as stated in the example above).

What if I invest $50,000 in mutual fund? ›

Considering 9% returns, an investment of Rs 50,000 can fetch you Rs 2,80,220 in fd in 20 years. Many people even ensure to use the FD Calculator to correctly estimate how much they can earn after a certain time period based on the ROI.

What if I invest $1,000 in mutual funds for 10 years? ›

Evaluating this equation, the future value of the monthly SIP of Rs 1000/month over 10 years at a 12% annual rate of return would be approximately Rs 2.32 lakhs. In this, you are making an investment of Rs 1.2 lakhs and gaining Rs 1.12 lakhs, making a total return Rs 2.32 lakhs.

What if I invest $20,000 a month for 10 years? ›

If an investor invests 20,000 per month for 10 years at the interest rate of 12%, he will be able to generate INR 47 lakh, i.e., more than double the amount he earned in the first five years. In addition, the earnings in 15 years will double the income that an investor had generated in the first 10 years.

How much do I need to invest monthly to be a millionaire in 10 years? ›

Here it's important to understand that the longer we have to save and grow our money, the less we have to save each month to reach our goal. If we want to become a millionaire in 10 years, we would need to save about $6,000 per month.

How much to invest per month to be a millionaire in 10 years? ›

Tax-advantaged investing first

In order to max out a tax-deductible 401(k) with a contribution limit of $19,500 per year, you'd be contributing $1,625 per month – which knocks a pretty convenient, tax-deferred chunk out of your monthly $3,583 obligation to your future millionaire self.

Can you live off of a mutual fund? ›

The Active Option: Stocks and ETFs

If you have a substantial amount to invest, it can be possible to make a living investing in dividend mutual funds. If you have that much discretionary capital on hand, however, you may be better served by diversifying your portfolio by investing in other securities.

What is the 5 25 rule mutual fund? ›

One issuer cannot contribute more than 25% of the portfolio's fair market value. Five or fewer issuers cannot contribute more than 50% of its fair market value.

What is a stable mutual fund? ›

The goal of stable value funds in a portfolio is capital preservation. They invest, directly or indirectly, in high-quality, short- to intermediate-term fixed income investments, and are distinguished from bond funds by maintaining a constant $1 share price net asset value (NAV).

What is the best stable value fund? ›

Top Performing Managers of Stable Value Fixed Income, 4th Quarter 2022
Stable Value Fixed Income1 year gross return1 year net return
Putnam Stable Value Fund: 35bps2.652.29
MissionSquare PLUS Fund Gross2.282.28
Putnam Stable Value Fund: 45bps2.652.18
Galliard Stable Return Fund Core2.112.13
6 more rows
Mar 9, 2023

What are the safest types of mutual funds? ›

Money market mutual funds

These mutual funds own safe securities such as cash and very short-term debt, making them generally safer than either stock- or bond-based mutual funds but also lower-return.

What budget does Dave Ramsey recommend? ›

The method recommends the following: Use 50% of the money you earn for necessary expenses, such as housing and transportation. Use 20% of your income for savings (including debt payoff). Use 30% of your income for anything you want.

How do you know if a mutual fund is good or not? ›

6 Parameters to Analyze Whether a Mutual Fund Is Right for You
  1. Expense Ratio. The expense ratio is the percentage of total assets that a mutual fund charges an investor annually for managing their money. ...
  2. Fund Performance vs Benchmark Performance. ...
  3. Risk Level. ...
  4. Fund's History. ...
  5. Portfolio Turnover Ratio. ...
  6. Fund Manager.
Jul 13, 2022

What is a disadvantage of owning a mutual fund? ›

Mutual funds are one of the most popular investment choices in the U.S. Advantages for investors include advanced portfolio management, dividend reinvestment, risk reduction, convenience, and fair pricing. Disadvantages include high fees, tax inefficiency, poor trade execution, and the potential for management abuses.

Should I put my money in a stable value fund? ›

Stable value funds are an excellent choice for conservative investors and those with relatively short time horizons, such as workers nearing retirement. These funds will provide income with minimal risk and can serve to stabilize the rest of the investor's portfolio to some extent.

What is the safest investment with the highest return? ›

The Best Safe Investments of June 2023
Investment TypeSafetyLiquidity
Treasury bills, notes and bondsHighHigh
Money market mutual fundsHighHigh
Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS)HighHigh
High-yield savings accountsHighHigh
3 more rows
May 9, 2023

How should 70 year old invest? ›

At age 60–69, consider a moderate portfolio (60% stock, 35% bonds, 5% cash/cash investments); 70–79, moderately conservative (40% stock, 50% bonds, 10% cash/cash investments); 80 and above, conservative (20% stock, 50% bonds, 30% cash/cash investments).

What is the safest retirement fund? ›

U.S Treasury securities are considered the safest investment option, as they are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S government.

Which mutual fund is not risk? ›

Debt funds are low risk mutual funds that invest in money market instruments, government bonds, etc. As a result, the risk associated with these instruments is lower. There are multiple schemes under the debt funds category. Some of which are liquid funds, dynamic bond funds, gilt funds, ultra-short-term funds, etc.

Which is best mutual fund to invest today? ›

Fund Name
  • Axis Bluechip Fund.
  • Mirae Asset Large Cap Fund.
  • Parag Parikh Long-Term Equity Fund.
  • UTI Flexi Cap Fund.
  • Axis Midcap Fund.
  • Kotak Emerging Equity Fund.
  • Axis Small Cap Fund.
  • SBI Small Cap Fund.
May 10, 2023

Which is the best mutual fund 2023? ›

Best Mutual Funds to invest in 2023 (Equity Mutual Funds)
FundAUM (In Crs)Expense Ratio
Quant Mid Cap Fund Growth Option Direct Plan₹1872 Cr0.63 %
PGIM India Midcap Opportunities Fund Direct Growth₹8072 Cr0.43 %
Motilal Oswal Midcap 30 Direct Growth₹4033 Cr0.76 %
Tata Small Cap Fund Direct Growth₹3841 Cr0.25 %
17 more rows

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