Merrill Lynch Edge Select Aggressive Portfolio: ETF allocation and returns (2024)

Data Source: from January 1985 to December 2023 (~39 years)
Consolidated Returns as of 31 December 2023
Live Update: Jan 03 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time

PORTFOLIO • LIVE PERFORMANCE (USD currency)

0.76%

1 Day

Jan 03 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time

1.56%

Current Month

January 2024

The Merrill Lynch Edge Select Aggressive Portfolio is a Very High Risk portfolio and can be implemented with 12 ETFs.

It's exposed for 84% on the Stock Market.

In the last 30 Years, the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Aggressive Portfolio obtained a 8.31% compound annual return, with a 13.28% standard deviation.

Table of contents

Asset Allocation and ETFs

The Merrill Lynch Edge Select Aggressive Portfolio has the following asset allocation:

84% Stocks

16% Fixed Income

0% Commodities

The Merrill Lynch Edge Select Aggressive Portfolio can be implemented with the following ETFs:

Weight (%)TickerCurrencyETF NameInvestment Themes
29.00

VUG

USDVanguard GrowthEquity, U.S., Large Cap, Growth
21.00

VEU

USDVanguard FTSE All-World ex-USEquity, Global ex-US, Large Cap
19.00

VTV

USDVanguard ValueEquity, U.S., Large Cap, Value
9.00

EEM

USDiShares MSCI Emerging MarketsEquity, Emerging Markets, Large Cap
3.00

IJS

USDiShares S&P Small-Cap 600 ValueEquity, U.S., Small Cap, Value
3.00

IJT

USDiShares S&P Small-Cap 600 GrowthEquity, U.S., Small Cap, Growth
5.00

IEI

USDiShares 3-7 Year Treasury BondBond, U.S., Intermediate-Term
4.00

LQD

USDiShares Investment Grade Corporate BondBond, U.S., All-Term
3.00

MBB

USDiShares MBSBond, U.S., Long-Term
2.00

BIL

USDSPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-BillBond, U.S., Ultra Short-Term
1.00

BNDX

USDVanguard Total International BondBond, Developed Markets, All-Term
1.00

HYG

USDiShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate BondBond, U.S., Intermediate-Term

Most of Lazy Portfolios are made of common components (asset classes), very simple and well defined. For a more complete view, find out the most common ETFs you can use to build your portfolio.

Portfolio and ETF Returns as of Dec 31, 2023

The Merrill Lynch Edge Select Aggressive Portfolio guaranteed the following returns.

Returns are calculated in USD, assuming:

January 2024 return is calculated on the hypothesis of a newly built portfolio, with the starting asset allocation.

MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO

Consolidated returns as of 31 December 2023

Live Update: Jan 03 2024, 04:00PM Eastern Time

Swipe left to see all data

Chg (%)Return (%)Return (%) as of Dec 31, 2023
1 DayTime ET(*)Jan 20241M6M1Y5Y10Y30YMAX
(~39Y)
Merrill Lynch Edge Select Aggressive Portfolio-0.76-1.564.797.1021.4811.108.138.3110.42
US Inflation Adjusted return4.796.4217.426.735.195.657.43
Components

VUG

USDVanguard Growth-1.0104:00PM, Jan 03 2024-2.704.3210.2346.8319.1513.9710.9912.31

VEU

USDVanguard FTSE All-World ex-US-0.6304:00PM, Jan 03 2024-1.754.905.3515.867.474.105.097.75

VTV

USDVanguard Value-0.6204:00PM, Jan 03 2024-0.015.086.629.3311.729.739.2410.83

EEM

USDiShares MSCI Emerging Markets-0.5504:00PM, Jan 03 2024-1.723.603.608.992.911.824.178.71

IJS

USDiShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value-3.1204:00PM, Jan 03 2024-3.4013.359.2814.6911.087.9910.3911.93

IJT

USDiShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth-2.4104:00PM, Jan 03 2024-3.1112.179.5317.1210.228.799.4710.07

IEI

USDiShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond0.1404:00PM, Jan 03 2024-0.152.313.204.260.781.254.165.77

LQD

USDiShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond-0.2304:00PM, Jan 03 2024-0.904.874.939.402.802.985.176.76

MBB

USDiShares MBS0.1304:00PM, Jan 03 2024-0.464.183.034.750.141.263.955.30

BIL

USDSPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill0.0304:00PM, Jan 03 20240.040.432.644.941.721.092.253.10

BNDX

USDVanguard Total International Bond0.3104:00PM, Jan 03 2024-0.083.224.838.790.922.414.716.64

HYG

USDiShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond-0.2704:00PM, Jan 03 2024-0.613.196.7411.004.093.375.406.90

Returns over 1 year are annualized | Available data source: since Jan 1985

(*) Eastern Time (ET - America/New York)

US Inflation is updated to Nov 2023.

Pending updates, the monthly inflation is set at 0% for the subsequent periods.

Current inflation (annualized) is 1Y: 3.45% , 5Y: 4.09% , 10Y: 2.80% , 30Y: 2.51%

In 2023, the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Aggressive Portfolio granted a 2.46% dividend yield. If you are interested in getting periodic income, please refer to the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Aggressive Portfolio: Dividend Yield page.

Capital Growth as of Dec 31, 2023

An investment of 1$, since January 1994, now would be worth 10.95$, with a total return of 995.40% (8.31% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 5.20$, with a net total return of 420.14% (5.65% annualized).

An investment of 1$, since January 1985, now would be worth 47.76$, with a total return of 4676.39% (10.42% annualized).

The Inflation Adjusted Capital now would be 16.38$, with a net total return of 1538.01% (7.43% annualized).

Portfolio Metrics as of Dec 31, 2023

Metrics of Merrill Lynch Edge Select Aggressive Portfolio, updated as of 31 December 2023.

Metrics are calculated based on monthly returns, assuming:

MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO

Advanced Metrics

Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 31 December 2023 (~39 years)

Swipe left to see all data

Metrics as of Dec 31, 2023
1M3M6M1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
(~39Y)
Investment Return (%)4.7910.897.1021.484.9111.108.138.188.3110.42
Infl. Adjusted Return (%) details 4.7911.156.4217.42-0.696.735.195.465.657.43
US Inflation (%)0.00-0.240.643.455.644.092.802.592.512.78
Pending updates, the monthly inflation after Nov 2023 is set at 0%.Returns / Inflation rates over 1 year are annualized.

DRAWDOWN

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)-8.85-23.81-23.81-23.81-45.65-45.65-45.65
Start to Recovery (# months) details 524*24*24*414141
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082022 012022 012022 012007 112007 112007 11
Start to Bottom (# months)3999161616
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022009 022009 02
Bottom to End (# months)2151515252525
End (yyyy mm)2023 12---2011 032011 032011 03
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-33.96-33.96
Start to Recovery (# months) details 5656
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082022 012022 012022 012007 112000 042000 04
Start to Bottom (# months)3999163030
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022002 092002 09
Bottom to End (# months)2151515252626
End (yyyy mm)2023 12---2011 032004 112004 11
Longest negative period (# months) details 932323263118118
Period Start (yyyy mm)2023 022021 032021 032021 032004 011999 051999 05
Period End (yyyy mm)2023 102023 102023 102023 102009 032009 022009 02
Annualized Return (%)-0.50-0.23-0.23-0.23-0.10-0.21-0.21
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress
Deepest Drawdown Depth (%)-9.43-28.49-28.49-28.49-46.48-46.48-46.48
Start to Recovery (# months) details 528*28*28*636363
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082021 092021 092021 092007 112007 112007 11
Start to Bottom (# months)3131313161616
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022009 022009 02
Bottom to End (# months)2151515474747
End (yyyy mm)2023 12---2013 012013 012013 01
Longest Drawdown Depth (%)
same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest

same as
deepest
-37.60-37.60
Start to Recovery (# months) details 7373
Start (yyyy mm)2023 082021 092021 092021 092007 112000 012000 01
Start to Bottom (# months)3131313163333
Bottom (yyyy mm)2023 102022 092022 092022 092009 022002 092002 09
Bottom to End (# months)2151515474040
End (yyyy mm)2023 12---2013 012006 012006 01
Longest negative period (# months) details 936*465768140140
Period Start (yyyy mm)2023 022021 012020 012018 012006 021997 071997 07
Period End (yyyy mm)2023 102023 122023 102022 092011 092009 022009 02
Annualized Return (%)-4.15-0.69-0.06-0.01-0.38-0.31-0.31
Drawdowns / Negative periods marked with * are in progress

RISK INDICATORS

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Standard Deviation (%)14.1314.6615.6512.9313.4313.2813.40
Sharpe Ratio1.170.190.600.540.510.460.48
Sortino Ratio1.680.270.800.730.680.600.63
Ulcer Index3.2610.218.506.5810.2711.1210.13
Ratio: Return / Standard Deviation1.520.340.710.630.610.630.78
Ratio: Return / Deepest Drawdown2.430.210.470.340.180.180.23
% Positive Months details 58%61%65%65%64%63%65%
Positive Months7223979154229305
Negative Months514214186131163

LONG TERM RETURNS

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized8.1312.9812.9816.18
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized5.360.660.66
Best 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized5.1911.0211.0212.87
Worst 10 Years Return (%) - Annualized3.51-1.87-1.87

ROLLING PERIOD RETURNS

Inflation Adjusted:

Inflation Adjusted:

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Over the latest 30Y
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized52.3923.5519.3912.989.158.31
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-38.83-12.16-2.310.665.06
% Positive Periods77%85%97%100%100%100%
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized49.1920.6816.7811.026.735.65
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-38.97-14.28-4.83-1.872.92
% Positive Periods71%80%86%96%100%100%
Over all the available data source (Jan 1985 - Dec 2023)
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized52.3923.5522.3216.1812.8711.05
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-38.83-12.16-2.310.665.067.89
% Positive Periods79%89%98%100%100%100%
Best Rolling Return (%) - Annualized49.1920.6817.9912.879.588.12
Worst Rolling Return (%) - Annualized-38.97-14.28-4.83-1.872.925.24
% Positive Periods74%84%89%97%100%100%

WITHDRAWAL RATES (WR)

1Y3Y5Y10Y20Y30YMAX
Safe WR (%)34.0427.2613.338.487.6011.73
Perpetual WR (%)0.006.304.945.175.356.92

Terms and Definitions

  • Annualized Portfolio Return: it's the annualized geometric mean return of the portfolio
  • Deepest/Longest Drawdown: a drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. The deepest (or maximum) drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained. The longest drawdown is the period observed from a peak to the subsequent peak with the greatest duration.
  • Longest negative period: it's the maximum period for which an overall negative return has been observed
  • Standard Deviation: it's a measure of the dispersion of returns around the mean
  • Sharpe Ratio: it's a measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's calculated by dividing the excess return of the portfolio over the risk-free rate by the portfolio standard deviation. The risk-free rate here considered is the 1-3 Mth T-Bill return
  • Sortino Ratio: another measure of risk-adjusted performance of the portfolio. It's a modification of the Sharpe Ratio (same formula but the denominator is the portfolio downside standard deviation)
  • Ulcer Index: it's a measure of downside risk that quantifies the depth and duration of drawdowns in an investment portfolio
  • Best/Worst 10Y returns: the best and the worst 10-year return over a time frame
  • Rolling Returns: N-year returns over a time frame, calculated over all the available data source (best, worst, % of positive returns). Each rolling period, longer than the longest negative period, yielded a non-negative minimum return.
  • Safe Withdrawal Rate (SWR): it's the percentage of the original portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year with inflation adjustment, without the portfolio running out of money (dollar amount withdrawal).
  • Perpetual Withdrawal Rate (PWR): it's the percentage of portfolio balance that can be withdrawn at the end of each year, while retaining the inflation adjusted portfolio balance (percentage withdrawal).

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Portfolio Components Correlation

Correlation measures to what degree the returns of the two assets move in relation to each other.

Correlation coefficient is a numerical value between -1 and +1. If one variable goes up by a certain amount, the correlation coefficient indicates which way the other variable moves and by how much.
Asset correlations are calculated based on monthly returns.

COMPONENTS MONTHLY CORRELATIONS

Monthly correlations as of 31 December 2023

Swipe left to see all data

Asset

VUG

VEU

VTV

EEM

IJS

IJT

IEI

LQD

MBB

BIL

BNDX

HYG

VUG

-

0.83

0.68

0.83

0.65

0.67

0.68

0.86

0.83

-0.09

0.80

0.84

VEU

0.83

-

0.90

0.96

0.82

0.76

0.74

0.90

0.85

-0.13

0.76

0.93

VTV

0.68

0.90

-

0.82

0.86

0.83

0.54

0.78

0.73

0.18

0.62

0.85

EEM

0.83

0.96

0.82

-

0.77

0.72

0.69

0.84

0.78

-0.14

0.70

0.88

IJS

0.65

0.82

0.86

0.77

-

0.98

0.42

0.69

0.69

-0.08

0.57

0.77

IJT

0.67

0.76

0.83

0.72

0.98

-

0.39

0.66

0.68

0.00

0.59

0.73

IEI

0.68

0.74

0.54

0.69

0.42

0.39

-

0.92

0.92

0.02

0.94

0.85

LQD

0.86

0.90

0.78

0.84

0.69

0.66

0.92

-

0.98

0.05

0.96

0.98

MBB

0.83

0.85

0.73

0.78

0.69

0.68

0.92

0.98

-

0.03

0.97

0.94

BIL

-0.09

-0.13

0.18

-0.14

-0.08

0.00

0.02

0.05

0.03

-

0.10

0.13

BNDX

0.80

0.76

0.62

0.70

0.57

0.59

0.94

0.96

0.97

0.10

-

0.90

HYG

0.84

0.93

0.85

0.88

0.77

0.73

0.85

0.98

0.94

0.13

0.90

-

Asset

VUG

VEU

VTV

EEM

IJS

IJT

IEI

LQD

MBB

BIL

BNDX

HYG

VUG

-

0.79

0.76

0.68

0.71

0.82

0.33

0.73

0.55

0.00

0.65

0.81

VEU

0.79

-

0.89

0.92

0.85

0.86

0.27

0.73

0.54

-0.02

0.54

0.84

VTV

0.76

0.89

-

0.72

0.90

0.88

0.05

0.55

0.33

-0.12

0.40

0.81

EEM

0.68

0.92

0.72

-

0.75

0.74

0.26

0.68

0.51

-0.02

0.47

0.74

IJS

0.71

0.85

0.90

0.75

-

0.95

0.01

0.52

0.33

-0.14

0.39

0.78

IJT

0.82

0.86

0.88

0.74

0.95

-

0.12

0.63

0.41

-0.11

0.51

0.84

IEI

0.33

0.27

0.05

0.26

0.01

0.12

-

0.73

0.88

0.19

0.76

0.36

LQD

0.73

0.73

0.55

0.68

0.52

0.63

0.73

-

0.84

0.09

0.89

0.81

MBB

0.55

0.54

0.33

0.51

0.33

0.41

0.88

0.84

-

0.14

0.81

0.58

BIL

0.00

-0.02

-0.12

-0.02

-0.14

-0.11

0.19

0.09

0.14

-

0.16

0.01

BNDX

0.65

0.54

0.40

0.47

0.39

0.51

0.76

0.89

0.81

0.16

-

0.72

HYG

0.81

0.84

0.81

0.74

0.78

0.84

0.36

0.81

0.58

0.01

0.72

-

Asset

VUG

VEU

VTV

EEM

IJS

IJT

IEI

LQD

MBB

BIL

BNDX

HYG

VUG

-

0.80

0.79

0.66

0.70

0.79

0.18

0.62

0.43

0.02

0.49

0.77

VEU

0.80

-

0.85

0.91

0.76

0.76

0.13

0.62

0.40

0.00

0.38

0.80

VTV

0.79

0.85

-

0.68

0.88

0.85

-0.09

0.44

0.21

-0.09

0.28

0.76

EEM

0.66

0.91

0.68

-

0.64

0.61

0.15

0.58

0.37

-0.01

0.33

0.68

IJS

0.70

0.76

0.88

0.64

-

0.95

-0.10

0.42

0.21

-0.11

0.27

0.74

IJT

0.79

0.76

0.85

0.61

0.95

-

-0.01

0.48

0.27

-0.08

0.35

0.76

IEI

0.18

0.13

-0.09

0.15

-0.10

-0.01

-

0.71

0.86

0.13

0.74

0.27

LQD

0.62

0.62

0.44

0.58

0.42

0.48

0.71

-

0.82

0.06

0.86

0.74

MBB

0.43

0.40

0.21

0.37

0.21

0.27

0.86

0.82

-

0.09

0.79

0.50

BIL

0.02

0.00

-0.09

-0.01

-0.11

-0.08

0.13

0.06

0.09

-

0.08

0.01

BNDX

0.49

0.38

0.28

0.33

0.27

0.35

0.74

0.86

0.79

0.08

-

0.60

HYG

0.77

0.80

0.76

0.68

0.74

0.76

0.27

0.74

0.50

0.01

0.60

-

Asset

VUG

VEU

VTV

EEM

IJS

IJT

IEI

LQD

MBB

BIL

BNDX

HYG

VUG

-

0.78

0.82

0.69

0.73

0.78

-0.07

0.34

0.18

-0.01

0.17

0.64

VEU

0.78

-

0.82

0.87

0.74

0.73

-0.12

0.35

0.13

-0.04

0.17

0.69

VTV

0.82

0.82

-

0.72

0.85

0.76

-0.14

0.29

0.10

-0.01

0.12

0.66

EEM

0.69

0.87

0.72

-

0.68

0.68

-0.10

0.30

0.12

-0.04

0.15

0.61

IJS

0.73

0.74

0.85

0.68

-

0.90

-0.17

0.26

0.08

-0.03

0.12

0.67

IJT

0.78

0.73

0.76

0.68

0.90

-

-0.18

0.23

0.07

-0.05

0.13

0.63

IEI

-0.07

-0.12

-0.14

-0.10

-0.17

-0.18

-

0.64

0.79

0.18

0.57

0.06

LQD

0.34

0.35

0.29

0.30

0.26

0.23

0.64

-

0.71

0.01

0.69

0.63

MBB

0.18

0.13

0.10

0.12

0.08

0.07

0.79

0.71

-

0.18

0.56

0.29

BIL

-0.01

-0.04

-0.01

-0.04

-0.03

-0.05

0.18

0.01

0.18

-

0.06

-0.03

BNDX

0.17

0.17

0.12

0.15

0.12

0.13

0.57

0.69

0.56

0.06

-

0.39

HYG

0.64

0.69

0.66

0.61

0.67

0.63

0.06

0.63

0.29

-0.03

0.39

-

Asset

VUG

VEU

VTV

EEM

IJS

IJT

IEI

LQD

MBB

BIL

BNDX

HYG

VUG

-

0.67

0.84

0.66

0.75

0.81

0.03

0.34

0.21

0.03

0.22

0.61

VEU

0.67

-

0.71

0.70

0.65

0.63

-0.01

0.32

0.15

0.03

0.21

0.61

VTV

0.84

0.71

-

0.68

0.86

0.78

-0.02

0.30

0.15

0.02

0.18

0.64

EEM

0.66

0.70

0.68

-

0.64

0.64

0.03

0.28

0.16

0.03

0.20

0.55

IJS

0.75

0.65

0.86

0.64

-

0.91

-0.10

0.24

0.10

-0.02

0.15

0.67

IJT

0.81

0.63

0.78

0.64

0.91

-

-0.10

0.22

0.08

-0.03

0.15

0.61

IEI

0.03

-0.01

-0.02

0.03

-0.10

-0.10

-

0.73

0.81

0.23

0.67

0.14

LQD

0.34

0.32

0.30

0.28

0.24

0.22

0.73

-

0.75

0.09

0.75

0.59

MBB

0.21

0.15

0.15

0.16

0.10

0.08

0.81

0.75

-

0.25

0.63

0.32

BIL

0.03

0.03

0.02

0.03

-0.02

-0.03

0.23

0.09

0.25

-

0.15

0.01

BNDX

0.22

0.21

0.18

0.20

0.15

0.15

0.67

0.75

0.63

0.15

-

0.40

HYG

0.61

0.61

0.64

0.55

0.67

0.61

0.14

0.59

0.32

0.01

0.40

-

If you want to learn more about historical correlations, you can find out here how the main asset class are correlated to each other.

Drawdowns

A drawdown refers to the decline in value from a relative peak value to a relative trough. A maximum drawdown is the maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio before a new peak is attained.

MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO

Drawdown periods

Drawdown periods - Inflation Adjusted

Data Source: 1 January 1994 - 31 December 2023 (30 Years)

Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 31 December 2023 (~39 years)

Swipe left to see all data

Drawdown period

Recovery period

Total

Drawdown Start Bottom #MonthsEnd#Months #MonthsUlcer Index
-45.65% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Mar 2011 25 41 21.44
-33.96% Apr 2000 Sep 2002 30 Nov 2004 26 56 18.03
-23.81% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 15 24 12.39
-17.64% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 3 Jul 2020 4 7 7.92
-16.85% May 2011 Sep 2011 5 Mar 2012 6 11 7.50
-13.97% May 1998 Aug 1998 4 Nov 1998 3 7 6.38
-11.27% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 3 Apr 2019 4 7 5.43
-10.51% Jun 2015 Feb 2016 9 Jul 2016 5 14 5.56
-7.41% Apr 2012 May 2012 2 Sep 2012 4 6 3.38
-7.08% Feb 1994 Mar 1994 2 Aug 1994 5 7 4.38
-6.20% Aug 1997 Oct 1997 3 Feb 1998 4 7 3.62
-5.32% May 2019 May 2019 1 Jun 2019 1 2 3.07
-4.77% Feb 2018 Apr 2018 3 Aug 2018 4 7 3.35
-4.53% Jan 2000 Jan 2000 1 Mar 2000 2 3 2.82
-4.35% Sep 1994 Nov 1994 3 Mar 1995 4 7 2.82

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Drawdown period

Recovery period

Total

Drawdown Start Bottom #MonthsEnd#Months #MonthsUlcer Index
-46.48% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Jan 2013 47 63 19.74
-37.60% Jan 2000 Sep 2002 33 Jan 2006 40 73 19.45
-28.49% Sep 2021 Sep 2022 13 in progress 15 28 16.50
-18.01% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 3 Jul 2020 4 7 8.06
-14.45% May 1998 Aug 1998 4 Nov 1998 3 7 6.72
-12.35% Feb 2018 Dec 2018 11 Oct 2019 10 21 5.01
-10.69% Mar 2015 Feb 2016 12 Dec 2016 10 22 4.88
-7.71% Feb 1994 Mar 1994 2 May 1995 14 16 4.89
-6.83% Aug 1997 Oct 1997 3 Feb 1998 4 7 4.00
-4.47% May 2006 Jun 2006 2 Oct 2006 4 6 3.04
-4.36% Sep 2020 Oct 2020 2 Nov 2020 1 3 2.60
-4.16% Jul 1996 Jul 1996 1 Sep 1996 2 3 2.51
-3.95% Jan 2014 Jan 2014 1 May 2014 4 5 1.63
-3.86% Jul 1999 Sep 1999 3 Oct 1999 1 4 2.21
-3.11% Mar 1997 Mar 1997 1 May 1997 2 3 1.56

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Drawdown period

Recovery period

Total

Drawdown Start Bottom #MonthsEnd#Months #MonthsUlcer Index
-45.65% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Mar 2011 25 41 21.44
-33.96% Apr 2000 Sep 2002 30 Nov 2004 26 56 18.03
-23.81% Jan 2022 Sep 2022 9 in progress 15 24 12.39
-22.86% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 3 Jan 1989 14 17 11.68
-17.64% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 3 Jul 2020 4 7 7.92
-16.85% May 2011 Sep 2011 5 Mar 2012 6 11 7.50
-15.96% Aug 1990 Sep 1990 2 Feb 1991 5 7 9.08
-13.97% May 1998 Aug 1998 4 Nov 1998 3 7 6.38
-11.27% Oct 2018 Dec 2018 3 Apr 2019 4 7 5.43
-10.51% Jun 2015 Feb 2016 9 Jul 2016 5 14 5.56
-8.72% Jan 1990 Apr 1990 4 Jun 1990 2 6 5.23
-7.41% Apr 2012 May 2012 2 Sep 2012 4 6 3.38
-7.08% Feb 1994 Mar 1994 2 Aug 1994 5 7 4.38
-6.20% Aug 1997 Oct 1997 3 Feb 1998 4 7 3.62
-5.82% Sep 1986 Sep 1986 1 Jan 1987 4 5 3.25

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Drawdown period

Recovery period

Total

Drawdown Start Bottom #MonthsEnd#Months #MonthsUlcer Index
-46.48% Nov 2007 Feb 2009 16 Jan 2013 47 63 19.74
-37.60% Jan 2000 Sep 2002 33 Jan 2006 40 73 19.45
-28.49% Sep 2021 Sep 2022 13 in progress 15 28 16.50
-23.52% Sep 1987 Nov 1987 3 May 1989 18 21 12.31
-18.95% Jan 1990 Sep 1990 9 Apr 1991 7 16 9.26
-18.01% Jan 2020 Mar 2020 3 Jul 2020 4 7 8.06
-14.45% May 1998 Aug 1998 4 Nov 1998 3 7 6.72
-12.35% Feb 2018 Dec 2018 11 Oct 2019 10 21 5.01
-10.69% Mar 2015 Feb 2016 12 Dec 2016 10 22 4.88
-7.71% Feb 1994 Mar 1994 2 May 1995 14 16 4.89
-6.83% Aug 1997 Oct 1997 3 Feb 1998 4 7 4.00
-6.25% Sep 1986 Sep 1986 1 Jan 1987 4 5 3.65
-4.90% Jun 1991 Jun 1991 1 Aug 1991 2 3 2.53
-4.47% May 2006 Jun 2006 2 Oct 2006 4 6 3.04
-4.45% Jan 1992 Mar 1992 3 Dec 1992 9 12 2.24

Rolling Returns

( more details)

A rolling return is a measure of investment performance that calculates the return of an investment over a set period of time, with the starting date rolling forward. This approach can provide a more accurate representation of the investment's historical performance and helps investors to evaluate the investment's consistency over time.

MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO

Annualized Rolling Returns

Annualized Rolling Returns - Inflation Adjusted

Data Source: 1 January 1994 - 31 December 2023 (30 Years)

Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 31 December 2023 (~39 years)

Inflation Adjusted:

Swipe left to see all data

Rolling
Period

Worst Period

15th Percentile

50th Percentile

85th Percentile

Best Period

LatestNegative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -38.83 03/2008
02/2009
0.61$ -6.68 0.93$ 12.08 1.12$ 21.34 1.21$ 52.39 03/2009
02/2010
1.52$ 21.48 22.92%
2Y -20.62 03/2007
02/2009
0.63$ -2.24 0.95$ 11.03 1.23$ 17.66 1.38$ 35.25 03/2009
02/2011
1.82$ -0.11 19.29%
3Y -12.16 04/2000
03/2003
0.67$ 0.26 1.00$ 9.47 1.31$ 15.83 1.55$ 23.55 03/2009
02/2012
1.88$ 4.91 14.15%
5Y -2.31 03/2004
02/2009
0.88$ 2.18 1.11$ 7.42 1.43$ 13.96 1.92$ 19.39 01/1995
12/1999
2.42$ 11.10 2.33%
7Y 0.72 03/2002
02/2009
1.05$ 5.33 1.43$ 7.43 1.65$ 9.99 1.94$ 13.13 03/2009
02/2016
2.37$ 9.75 0.00%
10Y 0.66 03/1999
02/2009
1.06$ 5.75 1.74$ 8.19 2.19$ 9.72 2.52$ 12.98 03/2009
02/2019
3.38$ 8.13 0.00%
15Y 4.93 03/1994
02/2009
2.05$ 5.96 2.38$ 7.23 2.84$ 8.31 3.31$ 10.42 01/2009
12/2023
4.42$ 10.42 0.00%
20Y 5.06 04/2000
03/2020
2.68$ 6.48 3.51$ 7.61 4.33$ 8.61 5.21$ 9.15 04/2003
03/2023
5.76$ 8.18 0.00%
30Y 8.31 01/1994
12/2023
10.95$ 8.31 10.95$ 8.31 10.95$ 8.31 10.95$ 8.31 01/1994
12/2023
10.95$ 8.31 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods

Swipe left to see all data

Rolling
Period

Worst Period

15th Percentile

50th Percentile

85th Percentile

Best Period

LatestNegative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -38.97 03/2008
02/2009
0.61$ -9.31 0.90$ 9.03 1.09$ 18.46 1.18$ 49.19 03/2009
02/2010
1.49$ 17.42 28.65%
2Y -22.26 03/2007
02/2009
0.60$ -5.68 0.88$ 8.26 1.17$ 14.90 1.32$ 32.44 03/2009
02/2011
1.75$ -4.82 21.96%
3Y -14.28 04/2000
03/2003
0.62$ -1.85 0.94$ 7.04 1.22$ 12.88 1.43$ 20.68 03/2009
02/2012
1.75$ -0.69 19.69%
5Y -4.83 03/2004
02/2009
0.78$ 0.09 1.00$ 5.33 1.29$ 11.41 1.71$ 16.78 03/2009
02/2014
2.17$ 6.73 13.95%
7Y -1.79 03/2002
02/2009
0.88$ 2.79 1.21$ 4.80 1.38$ 8.02 1.71$ 11.35 03/2009
02/2016
2.12$ 6.04 1.44%
10Y -1.87 03/1999
02/2009
0.82$ 3.51 1.41$ 5.73 1.74$ 7.51 2.06$ 11.02 03/2009
02/2019
2.84$ 5.19 3.32%
15Y 2.38 03/1994
02/2009
1.42$ 3.57 1.69$ 4.79 2.01$ 6.25 2.48$ 7.92 02/2003
01/2018
3.13$ 7.66 0.00%
20Y 2.92 04/2000
03/2020
1.77$ 4.26 2.30$ 5.30 2.81$ 6.13 3.28$ 6.73 11/2001
10/2021
3.67$ 5.46 0.00%
30Y 5.65 01/1994
12/2023
5.20$ 5.65 5.20$ 5.65 5.20$ 5.65 5.20$ 5.65 01/1994
12/2023
5.20$ 5.65 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods

Swipe left to see all data

Rolling
Period

Worst Period

15th Percentile

50th Percentile

85th Percentile

Best Period

LatestNegative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -38.83 03/2008
02/2009
0.61$ -4.40 0.95$ 12.91 1.12$ 23.54 1.23$ 52.39 03/2009
02/2010
1.52$ 21.48 20.79%
2Y -20.62 03/2007
02/2009
0.63$ 0.04 1.00$ 11.71 1.24$ 17.92 1.39$ 36.24 10/1985
09/1987
1.85$ -0.11 14.61%
3Y -12.16 04/2000
03/2003
0.67$ 3.05 1.09$ 11.21 1.37$ 16.27 1.57$ 23.55 03/2009
02/2012
1.88$ 4.91 10.62%
5Y -2.31 03/2004
02/2009
0.88$ 3.27 1.17$ 10.33 1.63$ 15.25 2.03$ 22.32 01/1985
12/1989
2.73$ 11.10 1.71%
7Y 0.72 03/2002
02/2009
1.05$ 5.56 1.46$ 9.03 1.83$ 14.23 2.53$ 19.45 01/1985
12/1991
3.47$ 9.75 0.00%
10Y 0.66 03/1999
02/2009
1.06$ 6.18 1.82$ 8.71 2.30$ 13.93 3.68$ 16.18 10/1985
09/1995
4.48$ 8.13 0.00%
15Y 4.93 03/1994
02/2009
2.05$ 6.24 2.47$ 8.09 3.21$ 10.62 4.54$ 17.07 01/1985
12/1999
10.63$ 10.42 0.00%
20Y 5.06 04/2000
03/2020
2.68$ 7.01 3.88$ 8.44 5.05$ 10.72 7.66$ 12.87 01/1985
12/2004
11.25$ 8.18 0.00%
30Y 7.89 11/1993
10/2023
9.76$ 8.47 11.47$ 9.23 14.14$ 9.83 16.64$ 11.05 01/1985
12/2014
23.22$ 8.31 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods

Swipe left to see all data

Rolling
Period

Worst Period

15th Percentile

50th Percentile

85th Percentile

Best Period

LatestNegative
Periods
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
Growth
of 1$
Ann.
Return
From
To
Growth
of 1$
1Y -38.97 03/2008
02/2009
0.61$ -6.73 0.93$ 9.79 1.09$ 19.94 1.19$ 49.19 03/2009
02/2010
1.49$ 17.42 25.38%
2Y -22.26 03/2007
02/2009
0.60$ -3.03 0.94$ 8.54 1.17$ 14.96 1.32$ 32.44 03/2009
02/2011
1.75$ -4.82 16.63%
3Y -14.28 04/2000
03/2003
0.62$ -0.20 0.99$ 8.29 1.26$ 12.97 1.44$ 20.68 03/2009
02/2012
1.75$ -0.69 15.24%
5Y -4.83 03/2004
02/2009
0.78$ 0.86 1.04$ 7.59 1.44$ 11.98 1.76$ 17.99 01/1985
12/1989
2.28$ 6.73 10.27%
7Y -1.79 03/2002
02/2009
0.88$ 3.18 1.24$ 6.87 1.59$ 10.55 2.01$ 14.94 01/1985
12/1991
2.64$ 6.04 1.04%
10Y -1.87 03/1999
02/2009
0.82$ 3.99 1.47$ 6.06 1.80$ 10.41 2.69$ 12.87 10/1990
09/2000
3.35$ 5.19 2.29%
15Y 2.38 03/1994
02/2009
1.42$ 3.74 1.73$ 5.80 2.32$ 7.67 3.02$ 13.46 01/1985
12/1999
6.65$ 7.66 0.00%
20Y 2.92 04/2000
03/2020
1.77$ 4.76 2.53$ 5.79 3.08$ 7.40 4.17$ 9.58 01/1985
12/2004
6.22$ 5.46 0.00%
30Y 5.24 11/1993
10/2023
4.62$ 5.82 5.46$ 6.54 6.69$ 7.18 7.99$ 8.12 01/1985
12/2014
10.41$ 5.65 0.00%
Annualized rolling and percentiles/median returns over full calendar month periods

If you need a deeper detail about rolling returns, please refer to the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Aggressive Portfolio: Rolling Returns page.

Seasonality

In which months is it better to invest in Merrill Lynch Edge Select Aggressive Portfolio?

Both the Average Return and the Gain Frequency (Win %) are useful to get an idea of what happened in the past.
For further information about the seasonality, check the

Asset Class Seasonality

page.

Swipe left to see all data

Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency

1.96
60%

-1.50
40%

-0.81
80%

1.88
80%

0.07
60%

1.76
80%

3.01
100%

-0.07
40%

-3.50
20%

1.52
60%

5.26
80%

2.23
80%

Best 7.4
2019
2.1
2019
3.2
2023
9.3
2020
4.3
2020
5.8
2019
6.1
2022
5.3
2020
1.6
2019
4.8
2022
10.0
2020
4.8
2023
Worst -4.2
2022
-5.8
2020
-11.8
2020
-7.5
2022
-5.3
2019
-6.8
2022
0.3
2021
-3.7
2022
-8.6
2022
-2.5
2023
-1.7
2021
-4.1
2022

Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Dec 2023

Swipe left to see all data

Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency

0.79
50%

-0.03
50%

0.17
70%

1.45
80%

0.60
80%

0.96
70%

2.33
90%

-0.09
60%

-2.06
40%

0.92
60%

3.17
80%

0.46
60%

Best 7.4
2019
4.7
2015
6.9
2016
9.3
2020
4.3
2020
5.8
2019
6.1
2022
5.3
2020
1.6
2017
6.4
2015
10.0
2020
4.8
2023
Worst -4.5
2016
-5.8
2020
-11.8
2020
-7.5
2022
-5.3
2019
-6.8
2022
-1.3
2014
-5.7
2015
-8.6
2022
-6.9
2018
-1.7
2021
-6.2
2018

Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Dec 2023

Swipe left to see all data

Monthly Average Return (%) and Gain Frequency
Return (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Average
Gain Frequency

1.14
62%

0.64
56%

0.92
69%

1.74
79%

0.98
64%

0.40
62%

1.37
67%

-0.21
59%

-0.67
51%

0.84
64%

1.69
72%

2.03
77%

Best 11.1
1987
7.9
1991
7.9
2009
10.3
2009
8.8
1990
5.8
2019
7.9
2009
6.1
1986
8.4
2010
9.9
2011
10.0
2020
11.7
1991
Worst -8.0
2009
-8.2
2009
-11.8
2020
-7.5
2022
-7.4
2010
-6.8
2008
-6.9
2002
-12.8
1998
-9.1
2008
-17.7
1987
-6.1
2000
-6.2
2018

Monthly Seasonality over the period Feb 1985 - Dec 2023

Monthly Returns

This section provides a visual/tabular representation of the performance variability in the Merrill Lynch Edge Select Aggressive Portfolio over time. It illustrates the distribution of monthly returns, showcasing the range and frequency of positive and negative returns.

MERRILL LYNCH EDGE SELECT AGGRESSIVE PORTFOLIO

Monthly Returns Distribution

Data Source: 1 January 1994 - 31 December 2023 (30 Years)

Data Source: 1 January 1985 - 31 December 2023 (~39 years)

229 Positive Months (64%) - 131 Negative Months (36%)

305 Positive Months (65%) - 163 Negative Months (35%)

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(Scroll down to see all data)

Investment Returns, up to December 2013, have been derived using the historical series of equivalent ETFs / Assets, instead of the actual ETFs of the portfolio.
You can find additional information on extended Data Sources here.

In particular, the series derived from equivalent datasets are:

  • VUG - Vanguard Growth (VUG), up to December 2004
  • VEU - Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US (VEU), up to December 2007
  • VTV - Vanguard Value (VTV), up to December 2004
  • EEM - iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (EEM), up to December 2003
  • IJS - iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value (IJS), up to December 2000
  • IJT - iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth (IJT), up to December 2000
  • IEI - iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond (IEI), up to December 2007
  • LQD - iShares Investment Grade Corporate Bond (LQD), up to December 2002
  • MBB - iShares MBS (MBB), up to December 2007
  • BIL - SPDR Blmbg Barclays 1-3 Mth T-Bill (BIL), up to December 2007
  • BNDX - Vanguard Total International Bond (BNDX), up to December 2013
  • HYG - iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond (HYG), up to December 2007

Portfolio efficiency

The following portfolios granted a higher return over 30 Years and a less severe drawdown at the same time.

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30 Years Stats (%)

% Allocation

Portfolio Author Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum +10.88 12.36 -43.61 80200
Warren Buffett Portfolio Warren Buffett +9.64 13.66 -45.52 90100
US Stocks Minimum Volatility +9.63 13.73 -43.27 10000
Stocks/Bonds 60/40 Momentum +9.45 9.58 -32.52 60400
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 +9.14 12.51 -41.09 80200
Simple Path to Wealth JL Collins +8.90 11.77 -38.53 75250
Robust Alpha Architect +8.78 11.11 -44.20 702010
Shield Strategy Aim Ways +8.67 8.85 -19.36 423820
Dedalo Four Dedalo Invest +8.35 12.42 -43.94 80200
Edge Select Aggressive Merrill Lynch +8.31 13.28 -45.65 84160

Here's a list containing the Best Classic Portfolios, with the highest returns over 30 Years and Very High Risk categorization.

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30 Years Stats (%)

% Allocation

Portfolio Author Return Dev.Std Drawdown Stocks Bonds Comm
Technology +13.84 24.02 -81.08 10000
US Stocks Momentum +12.13 15.30 -53.85 10000
Stocks/Bonds 80/20 Momentum +10.88 12.36 -43.61 80200
US Stocks +10.02 15.54 -50.84 10000
US Stocks Value +9.87 15.39 -55.41 10000

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