Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (2024)

Home Real Estate

2023-02-16T17:13:05Z

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (1)

Sean Duan/Getty Images
  • According to Black Knight, 14 of the 50 largest US markets have seen home prices fall by 6% or more.
  • The San Francisco Bay Area leads the nation with the largest drop in home prices.
  • Softening home prices in some of the most expensive cities will benefit buyers.

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Fatigued home shoppers across the country have more of a reason to relax — if ever so slightly — as home prices continue to slide from their peak in 2022.

Steep mortgage rates and still-high home prices in major cities sidelined many homebuyers last year who may not have been able to stomach such high monthly payments. But there's a chance for them to come off the sidelines — in fact, some already have — as prices fall in some key areas.

The biggest declines have taken place in some of the priciest markets throughout the western United States, a February report from research firm Black Knight reveals. Leading the nation with the largest drop from the 2022 peak is San Francisco, where home prices have fallen nearly 17%. Other cities with double-digit home-price declines from last year's peaks include Seattle, San Jose, and Phoenix.

"Price declines are more pronounced in the Western U.S. with every major market in the West seeing prices pull back by 6% or more through December on a seasonally adjusted basis," researchers wrote, adding that 14 of the 50 largest markets have witnessed home prices fall by 6% or more from their 2022 peaks.

Still, it's very expensive to buy a home in San Francisco and Los Angeles. In a separate report from the California Association of Realtors that focuses on the third-quarter of 2022, the state-wide median home price for the period was a staggering $829,760. That's twice as expensive as the US median of $372,700, according to current Fed data.

Here's a look at the cities with the biggest home-price declines as well as how much a typical home costs, according to Redfin's December data. Buyers could consider these spots as places to score a deal — as long as mortgage rates don't rise any further.

14. Portland, Oregon

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (2)

Shutterstock/Sean Pavone

Change from peak home price: -6.1%

Median home price: $499,950

13. Raleigh, North Carolina

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (3)

Walter Bibikow/Getty Images

Change from peak home price: -6.3%

Median home price: $380,000

12. Riverside, California

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (4)

Steve Jacobs

Change from peak home price: -6.8%

Median home price: $565,000

11. Denver, Colorado

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (5)

Jon Paciaroni/Getty Images

Change from peak home price: -6.9%

Median home price: $527,500

10. Salt Lake City, Utah

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (6)

f11photo/Getty Images

Change from peak home price: -6.9%

Median home price: $495,000

9. Los Angeles, California

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (7)

halbergman/Getty Images

Change from peak home price: -7.6%

Median home price: $917,500

8. San Diego, California

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (8)

Steve Proehl

Change from peak home price: -8.6%

Median home price: $795,000

7. Sacramento, California

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (9)

Getty Images.

Change from peak home price: -9.3%

Median home price: $443,750

6. Las Vegas, Nevada

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (10)

George Rose/Getty Images

Change from peak home price: -9.3%

Median home price: $375,000

5. Austin, Texas

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (11)

benedek/Getty Images

Change from peak home price: -9.7%

Median home price: $533,000

4. Phoenix, Arizona

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (12)

Getty Images

Change from peak home price: -10.5%

Median home price: $410,000

3. Seattle, Washington

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (13)

John Moore/Getty Images

Change from peak home price: -11.3%

Median home price: $774,500

2. San Jose, California

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (14)

Sean Duan/Getty Images

Change from peak home price: -12.7%

Median home price: $1.18 million

1. San Francisco, California

Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (15)

Getty Images

Change from peak home price: -13%

Median home price: $1.27 million

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Homebuyers have a better shot at scoring a deal on a house in the 14 cities where home prices have plummeted the most (2024)

FAQs

Where have property values dropped the most? ›

Leading the nation with the largest drop from the 2022 peak is San Francisco, where home prices have fallen nearly 17%. Other cities with double-digit home-price declines from last year's peaks include Seattle, San Jose, and Phoenix.

Where is real estate dropping in the US? ›

Among the most expensive cities that saw prices falling are Anaheim, California, with the median price of $1,132,000, down 1.6% from a year ago; Los Angeles, with the median price of $829,100, down 1.3%; and Boulder, Colorado, with the median price of $759,500, down 2.0%.

What is the #1 thing that determines the value of a home? ›

Ultimately, the financial backing in a deal determines the property's value, and it's most often a mortgage lender making the call.

What is the biggest drop in housing prices in the US? ›

Home prices in March saw the biggest annual drop since 2012 as pending home sales continue to abate, according to a new report. Last month, median U.S. home prices dropped — led by pandemic boomtowns and pricey Bay Area markets — by 3.3% to $400,528, according to real estate brokerage Redfin.

What four cities will have home prices decline? ›

In a recent note to clients, the strategists warned that by the end of 2024, home prices are set to plunge by 19% in Austin, 16% in Phoenix, 15% in San Francisco and 12% in Seattle.

Will house prices go down in 2023 usa? ›

Although home prices are expected to improve in the second half of the year, the California median home price is projected to decrease by 5.6 percent to $776,600 in 2023, down from the median price of $822,300 recorded in 2022.

Are US house prices likely to drop? ›

BENGALURU, May 31 (Reuters) - U.S. home prices will decline less than previously expected this year before stagnating in 2024, despite widespread expectations interest rates will remain higher for longer, according to property analysts polled by Reuters.

Will 2023 be a good time to buy a house? ›

Homebuyer.com data analysis indicates that, for first-time home buyers, June 2023 is a good time to buy a house relative to later in the year. This article provides an unbiased look at current mortgage rates, housing market conditions, and market sentiment.

At what age does a house start losing value? ›

If you haven't renovated your home in the past 30 years or so, it won't show well when you put it on the market. In other words, it won't get the same price as a similar home that's been maintained and updated.

What brings more value to a house? ›

In many cases, a kitchen or bathroom remodel can offer a 100 percent or greater return on your investment—and that number could be even higher depending on the finishes you choose, the amount of labor you're willing to do yourself, and how much of an upgrade these changes offer over your home's current condition.

When was the last housing market crash in USA? ›

Currently they indicate a period of decline in some markets and growth in others, and a decline in transactions overall – but certainly not as significant a decline as seen in the housing market crash of 2008-2009. A recession would put stress on the housing market, and experts predict one in the near future.

What happens if the US housing market crashes? ›

As prices become unsustainable and interest rates rise, purchasers withdraw. Borrowers are discouraged from taking out loans when interest rates rise. On the other side, house construction will be affected as well; costs will rise, and the market supply of housing will shrink as a result.

What are the most undervalued housing markets in the US? ›

What are the most undervalued housing markets in the US in 2023?
Omaha, NE22.3%
San Francisco Bay Area, CA28.6%
Philadelphia, PA28.7%
Chicago, IL29.4%
Baltimore, MD29.5%
15 more rows
Feb 9, 2023

What is the slowest month in real estate? ›

Typically, winter time is the slowest of the year to sell a property, specifically November, December, and January. However, there are some exceptions because there are several conditions that affect the housing market.

What is the hottest real estate in the USA? ›

That's the takeaway from a new Bankrate analysis of nearly 200 housing markets around the country. The personal finance website ranked the top most attractive and active housing markets and found that Gainesville, Georgia, was No. 1.

What state has the hottest real estate market? ›

The hottest housing markets include those markets in North Carolina, Colorado and Texas that were also popular during the pandemic, including Raleigh and Durham, Denver and Austin. Markets to watch that improved the most between November and December 2022 include Portland, Oregon, Richmond, Virginia, and St. Louis.

Will recession lower home prices? ›

Will house prices go down in a recession? While the cost of financing a home typically increases when interest rates are on the rise, home prices themselves may actually decline. “Usually, during a recession or periods of higher interest rates, demand slows and values of homes come down,” says Miller.

What is the most likely cause for falling housing prices? ›

Rising interest rates (making mortgage payments more expensive) Economic recession / high unemployment (reducing demand and causing home repossessions). Fall in bank lending and fall in availability of mortgages (making it difficult to buy).

Do home prices decline in a recession? ›

What Happens to Home Prices in a Recession? Home prices generally fall during recessions, with home values slipping in four out of the five major recessions between 1980 and 2008.

What is the best date to close on a house? ›

If you need to be occupying your home by a certain date to save on rent, it's a much better deal to close at the end of the previous month (for example, January 30) instead of the beginning of the current month (February 1).

Is 2024 a good time to buy a house? ›

With mortgage rates declining faster than expected, home prices are likely to remain mostly flat throughout 2024. This will be good news for buyers who have been waiting on the sidelines for a good time to enter the market.

Will mortgage rates drop in 2024? ›

"Possibly in 2024, but it will depend on the Fed's decisions about raising rates in the second half of the year," says Fleming. "And even if they do go down, it won't be back to the rates of yesteryear. 6% mortgage rates used to be normal, and that's more reasonable to expect too."

Are home prices dropping in Florida? ›

Are home prices in Florida dropping or rising? Over the past few years, home prices in Florida have skyrocketed. Per Redfin data, in the middle of 2020, the median sale price was $275,600 — by April 2023, that figure had jumped to $400,800.

Will house prices go down in Florida 2023? ›

Overall, the Florida housing market is likely to remain strong in 2023, with continued demand for homes and steady price growth.

Will we ever be able to buy a house? ›

Yes—in two years' time. Both the housing market and millennial demand remain red hot, recent data from the Bank of America suggests. Sixty-seven percent (67%) of millennials said they are likely to purchase a property in the next two years, the 2022 Millennial Home Improvement Survey found.

What should you not do when staging a house? ›

20 Most Common Staging Mistakes
  1. Too Much Furniture.
  2. Furniture That Doesn't Fit the Room.
  3. Household Smells.
  4. Keeping Knick Knacks on Display.
  5. Excessive Dark Paint.
  6. Drastically Different Paint Colors Throughout the Home.
  7. Pushing All Furniture Against the Walls.
  8. A Lack of Light.

How high will interest rates go in 2023? ›

Since the start of 2022, the Fed has hiked rates 10 times to combat rising inflation. As of May 2023, the federal funds rate ranges from 5.00% to 5.25%. If this prediction is correct, it won't be surprising to see some of the best high-yield savings accounts offering rates exceeding 4%.

How much did house prices drop in the recession 2008? ›

The median price for a U.S. home sold during the fourth quarter of 2008 fell to $180,100, down from $205,700 during the last quarter of 2007. Prices fell by a record 9.5% in 2008, to $197,100, compared to $217,900 in 2007. In comparison, median home prices dipped a mere 1.6% between 2006 and 2007.

What is the oldest age to buy a house? ›

Thanks to the Equal Credit Opportunity Act, there is no age limit to taking out a mortgage. As long as you can meet the financial requirements, you're allowed to take out a loan at any time. To take out a mortgage over 60 you will need to be able to prove your ability to repay the loan.

Is it smart to buy a house at 50 years old? ›

The Bottom Line

If you're in your 50s, it's not too late to buy a new home, but it's key to ask the right questions and make the wisest decisions possible. Above all, make sure you won't be stuck making mortgage payments years after retirement. Gallup. "Most U.S. Employed Adults Plan to Work Past Retirement Age."

What age owns the most homes? ›

Homeownership rates by generation

Younger millennials (23 to 31 years old) comprise only 18% of the share of homebuyers. 60% of older millennials (roughly 40-42 years old) own a home. At that age, 73% of the Silent Generation owned homes, 68% of Baby Boomers owned homes and 64% of Generation X owned homes.

Does flooring increase home value? ›

So the short answer to “does new flooring increase home value?” is yes—if you're smart about your selections. The right upgrades also make your house move faster on the market. Follow these 5 pro tips to get the most out of this wise home investment.

Does painting increase home value? ›

But will painting your house increase the value? Yes, it can absolutely affect your resale value! Online real estate giant, Zillow, has conducted paint color analyses like this one over the past few years to determine which exterior and interior paint colors add the most value to your home during resale.

What decreases home value? ›

What hurts property value can be things specific to your house — such as deferred maintenance issues, outdated kitchens and bathrooms, or a noisy location — or by outside factors such as your local real estate market or the state of the overall economy.

What adds the most value to a kitchen remodel? ›

12 Ways to Add Value to Kitchens
  • Add an Island. If you have space, add a hardworking island or mobile workstation. ...
  • Make Sure It's the Right Height. ...
  • Use a Neutral Color Scheme. ...
  • Refresh Cabinets. ...
  • Swap Out Lighting. ...
  • Update Fixtures. ...
  • Add a Splashy Backsplash. ...
  • Update Finishes.

What adds more value to a home bedroom or bathroom? ›

Bathroom additions return the most, according to Remodeling magazine's report — an average of 86.4 percent. The addition of attic bedrooms, family rooms and sunrooms returned anywhere from 70 to more than 80 percent of the money spent — and that doesn't factor in the value of your own enjoyment of all that new space.

Will there be a crash in 2023? ›

According to recent data from CoreLogic, the answer may be no, at least for the time being. While there are signs of a slowdown in the housing market's year-over-year growth rate, the overall data and forecasts suggest that a crash is unlikely in 2023.

What was the worst housing market in history? ›

On December 30, 2008, the Case–Shiller home price index reported its largest price drop in its history. The credit crisis resulting from the bursting of the housing bubble is an important cause of the Great Recession in the United States.

Who was president when the housing market crashed? ›

In 1995 Clinton loosened housing rules by rewriting the Community Reinvestment Act, which put added pressure on banks to lend in low-income neighborhoods.

Do you buy when the housing market crashes? ›

Is Buying A Home During A Recession Worth It? In general, buying a home during a recession will get you a better deal. The number of foreclosures or owners who have to sell to stay afloat increases, typically leading to more homes available on the market and lower home prices.

What happens to my mortgage if the economy collapses? ›

Recessions and housing market crashes may cause your house's value to decrease. However, your set mortgage rates won't lower, meaning your monthly payments will be higher than your home's worth. While many may dip into their savings to help pay the steep bills, others may need outside assistance.

What are the signs of the housing bubble? ›

There are several signs that indicate a housing bubble, such as rapid price increases, high levels of debt, and a rise in the number of speculative buyers. In the past, housing bubbles have led to significant economic problems, such as the Great Recession of 2008.

What are the most overrated real estate markets? ›

The most overvalued markets to purchase a home tend to be in California, but also include Seattle, Washington, and “Zoom towns” such as Boise, Idaho, and Greeley, Colorado. The most overvalued markets to rent a home are mostly found in California and Florida.

What state has the lowest housing inventory? ›

Five states—Kansas, Washington, Nebraska, Utah, and Missouri—have averaged less than one month of housing supply since the beginning of 2022. In contrast, eight states have averaged more than 2 months' supply, including expensive states for housing like New York, New Jersey, and Hawaii.

Where in the US are housing prices the lowest? ›

8 of the Cheapest Housing Markets in the U.S.
  • West Virginia. You'll find West Virginia at the top of almost every affordable housing market list in 2022. ...
  • Kentucky. ...
  • Alabama. ...
  • Ohio. ...
  • Indiana. ...
  • Michigan. ...
  • Pennsylvania. ...
  • Florida.

What drives down property value? ›

A home's value is affected by local real estate trends, the housing market, the home's condition, age, location and property size.

What is the major cause of loss of value in real property? ›

Economic obsolescence refers to the loss of value of a real estate property due to factors that are external to the property. Common causes of economic obsolescence include a change in aircraft flight patterns, increased crime rates, construction of a busy highway, construction of a landfill nearby, etc.

What causes property value to decline? ›

Changes in the real estate market can lower the value of your home. Natural disasters and climate change can lower your property value because the property is a greater risk to purchase. Foreclosures in your neighborhood can also drive down property value.

Do property values drop in a recession? ›

Will house prices go down in a recession? While the cost of financing a home typically increases when interest rates are on the rise, home prices themselves may actually decline. “Usually, during a recession or periods of higher interest rates, demand slows and values of homes come down,” says Miller.

What actually increases property value? ›

Supply and demand. The basic law of supply and demand have a major effect on the housing market. Simply put, as the housing supply decreases or as demand rises, creating an inventory shortage, home values go up. A real estate inventory shortage means that there are fewer sellers than there are buyers.

What is the most common reason a property fails to sell? ›

The most common reason why a house fails to sell is because the asking price is too high for the current market or for what the home offers. If your asking price is unreasonable and doesn't compare favorably to similar properties, it's unlikely your house will sell.

Why increased property value is bad? ›

That's because a jump in home value can translate to higher property taxes. At a time when inflation is driving up the price of most things, higher property taxes can be even more of an unwelcome surprise than usual.

What devalues a neighborhood? ›

Ultimately, unsightly yards and foreclosures affect the resale value of your home because they bring down the average home values in the neighborhood.

What are the best colors to sell a house? ›

When you're painting your house to sell, you'll want to stick with neutral or earthy tones, though you can choose white, beiges, greys, or even off-white colors. Depending on the room, you can even choose neutral shades of blue or green (like in the kitchen). You'll also want to avoid white in bathrooms.

Will my house lose value in 2023? ›

In 2023, the national annual median price for homes for sale is projected to rise by another 5.4%, which is less than half the pace seen in 2022. Even if a homeowner decides to sell their home, they will likely have a lot of equity in it.

Why is my house losing value on Zillow? ›

Home sales in your area are affecting the data

Zillow relies on data from neighboring homes to calculate your home value. If homes in your area are selling for under market value, that will affect your estimated home value.

Is it better to have cash or property in a recession? ›

In addition, during recessions, people with access to cash are in a better position to take advantage of investment opportunities that can significantly improve their finances long-term.

Do food prices go down in a recession? ›

Because people have less money to spend, demand falls, taking the prices of many goods and services with it. Because a decline in disposable income affects prices, the prices of essentials, such as food and utilities, often stay the same.

Do houses still sell during a recession? ›

During a recession, there are usually less buyers, so houses stay on the market longer. This makes sellers more likely to lower their listing prices, so that their home is easier to sell. You might even get lucky with a home at an auction.

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