Home Prices Have Surged in 2021 — Here Are the Cities That Saw the Largest Jump - Credible (2024)

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Key takeaways

  • Boise, Idaho, experienced the largest percentage change in median home prices among all U.S. metro areas at 12.99%, jumping from $410,100 in December 2020 to $463,383 in June 2021.
  • All but two of the metro areas listed are based in either the Southern or Western U.S.
  • More individuals appear to be favoring lower-cost areas over higher-priced employment hubs. This is especially true in California. Of the six California metro areas on the list, all are located in either the state’s Central Valley or Inland Empire.
  • Of the 25 metro areas, those with the three highest median home prices are located in California: Sacramento, $540,983; Stockton, $496,403; Riverside, $474,390.
  • Boise also saw the largest median home price change by dollar amount at $53,283.

Boise, Idaho, saw the largest jump in median home price

It’s no secret: Home prices in the U.S. have soared this year. Driven largely by a deep inventory shortage, historically low mortgage rates, and intense homebuyer demand, homes are now more expensive than they were at the end of last year.

“Since the beginning of the pandemic, we have seen a trend of homeowners migrating out of larger city hubs to more affordable areas,” said Robert Humann, chief revenue officer at Credible. “With the ability to work remotely growing in popularity, areas with lower taxes and more affordable housing are winning out in the real estate market.”

Real estate brokerage HouseCanary, known for its gold standard valuation tools, found the top 25 metropolitan areas in the U.S. with the highest median home price change from December 2020 to June 2021. According to its data, the top 25 metro areas experienced a cumulative increase of 9.32% during that timespan. Boise, Idaho, saw the largest median home price increase of all metro areas at nearly 13%.

Buyers are favoring the South and West

“Looking at the markets experiencing the highest price growth, we have seen large migration to states with no income tax, including Florida, Washington, Nevada and Texas,” said Chris Stroud, co-founder and chief of research at HouseCanary. Of the 25 metro areas on the list, 10 are based in Florida.

“There is a general migration pattern toward southern, southwestern and mountain states,” Stroud said. “While these themes were present before COVID-19 hit the U.S. in spring 2020, they have significantly accelerated as the pandemic has altered the way many Americans work and live.”

Only two metro areas on the list — Atlantic City, New Jersey, and Lebanon, New Hampshire — are located outside of the Southern and Western U.S.

Stroud added that more flexibility among employers and an increase in remote work spurred by the COVID-19 pandemic has led to a migration out of high-cost employment hubs. This is especially true in California, where individuals are leaving expensive coastal cities like Los Angeles and San Francisco and flocking to lower-cost regions like the Central Valley and Inland Empire.

Six California metro areas made the list — and all of them are based in either the Central Valley or Inland Empire. Sacramento ($540,983) finished with the highest median home price of all metro areas on the list, followed by Stockton ($496,403), and Riverside ($474,390).

Here are the top 25 metro areas that saw the biggest jump in median home prices from December 2020 to June 2021:

Metro areaPercent changeMedian price
(Dec. 1, 2020)
Median price
(June 1, 2021)
1Boise, Idaho12.99$410,100$463,383
2Provo-Orem, Utah12.22$406,509$456,187
3Ocala, Fla.12.1$189,639$212,592
4Modesto, Calif.10.92$387,432$429,732
5Cape Coral-Fort Myers, Fla.10.31$287,073$316,659
6Atlantic City-Hammonton, N.J.9.51$246,709$270,166
7Stockton, Calif.9.47$453,471$496,403
8Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, Ariz.9.43$344,770$377,267
9Visalia, Calif.9.21$281,766$307,717
10Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, Fla.9.07$259,963$283,546
11Lake Havasu City-Kingman, Ariz.9.02$236,867$258,233
12Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, Calif.8.83$497,086$540,983
13Punta Gorda, Fla.8.75$256,357$278,792
14Spokane-Spokane Valley, Wash.8.73$322,886$351,064
15Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif.8.72$436,351$474,390
16North Port-Sarasota-Bradenton, Fla.8.7$325,616$353,953
17Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, Nev.8.68$334,999$364,076
18Panama City, Fla.8.64$277,776$301,776
19Fresno, Calif.8.44$328,887$356,643
20Tucson, Ariz.8.4$262,984$285,063
21Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, Fla.8.24$271,476$293,855
22Port St. Lucie, Fla.8.22$276,247$298,960
23Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, Fla.8.15$293,864$317,828
24Naples-Marco Island, Fla.8.14$411,066$444,513
25Lebanon, N.H.8.04$255,703$276,273

Median home prices come from HouseCanary’s MSA level median home price indices. HouseCanary’s MSA level median home price indices track the historical median home price over time within each available MSA. The 25 MSAs shown exhibited the highest percent change in median home price between December 2020 and June 2021.

Data by HouseCanary. Analysis by Credible.

Home » All » Data Insights » Home Prices Have Surged in 2021 — Here Are the Cities That Saw the Largest Jump

Home Prices Have Surged in 2021 — Here Are the Cities That Saw the Largest Jump - Credible (2024)

FAQs

Which cities have the highest increase in house prices? ›

U.S. metros with the biggest increases in home values in 2022
  • FarmingtonNew Mexico. 20.3% ...
  • North Port-Sarasota-BradentonFlorida. 19.5% ...
  • Naples-Immokalee-Marco IslandFlorida. 17.2% ...
  • Greensboro-High PointNorth Carolina. 17% ...
  • Myrtle Beach-ConwayS.Carolina/N.Carolina. ...
  • Oshkosh-NeenahWisconsin. ...
  • Winston-SalemNorth Carolina. ...
  • El PasoTexas.
Feb 13, 2023

What four cities will have big home prices decline? ›

By the fourth quarter of 2024, the firm expects home prices to fall 19% in Austin, 16% in Phoenix, 15% in San Francisco, and 12% in Seattle.

Which three US cities reported the highest price increase in houses that are for sale? ›

Metro areaPercent change
1Boise, Idaho12.99
2Provo-Orem, Utah12.22
3Ocala, Fla.12.1
4Modesto, Calif.10.92
21 more rows
May 10, 2023

Which cities have the most overvalued homes? ›

The most overvalued markets to purchase a home tend to be in California, but also include Seattle, Washington, and “Zoom towns” such as Boise, Idaho, and Greeley, Colorado. The most overvalued markets to rent a home are mostly found in California and Florida.

Which city has the highest real estate prices in the US? ›

Most Expensive Housing Markets in the US 2023
  • Teton County, Wyoming. ...
  • San Mateo County, California. ...
  • Santa Clara County, California. ...
  • Marin County, California. ...
  • Dukes County, Massachusetts. ...
  • San Miguel County, Colorado. ...
  • San Francisco County, California. ...
  • New York County, New York.
Apr 13, 2023

Which US city has the most expensive housing? ›

The most expensive city in the U.S. in terms of housing costs is San Jose, California. It combined the highest monthly housing costs in our study with the second-highest home values, but San Francisco wasn't far behind.

Where have home prices dropped the most in the US? ›

Leading the nation with the largest drop from the 2022 peak is San Francisco, where home prices have fallen nearly 17%.

Is the US housing market declining? ›

Home sales declined 3.4 percent from March 2023 to April 2023, the National Association of Realtors says. However, the decline since April of last year was a much steeper 23.2 percent. The nationwide median sale price in April 2023 was $388,800, a 1.7 percent year-over-year decrease.

What are the hottest real estate cities in the US? ›

Rounding out the top five real estate markets were Knoxville, Tennessee; Fort Myers, Florida; Sarasota, Florida; and Charlotte, North Carolina. Those cities have become particularly attractive to house hunters who have been priced out of expensive metros, said Bankrate analyst Jeff Ostrowski.

Where is real estate booming in USA? ›

Key Findings: The hottest housing markets include those markets in North Carolina, Colorado and Texas that were also popular during the pandemic, including Raleigh and Durham, Denver and Austin.

In which states are house prices most overvalued? ›

At a state level, Hawaii, South Carolina and North Carolina were the most overvalued housing markets, Fitch said.

What state has the worst housing shortage? ›

Story at a glance

California currently has the largest deficit of homes at 980,000.

Which city has the biggest housing bubble? ›

The city of Toronto has the highest risk of a housing bubble, according to a recent survey released by investment bank UBS. Other cities at a high risk include Frankfurt, Hong Kong, Munich, Zurich and Vancouver.

Where is the most unaffordable place to live? ›

Full Data Set
RankCountyMedian Home Price
1Ada County, Idaho$452,219
2Collier County, Florida$435,313
3Travis County, Texas$456,690
4Williamson County, Texas$378,412
9 more rows
May 1, 2023

Who has the highest property taxes? ›

Texas places four major metros in the top 15, while three New York metros are represented—including Rochester, which has the nation's highest property taxes at a 2.4% effective rate. The data used in this analysis is from the U.S. Census Bureau.

Where is the world's most expensive place to live? ›

Singapore and New York City tied for the first rank amongst the world's most expensive cities in 2022, pushing Israel's Tel Aviv from the first place in 2021 to the third place in 2022.

Where is the most expensive place to live? ›

Tied with New York, Singapore often tops the list.

What is the most unaffordable city in the United States? ›

The least affordable was Miami, where the median-priced home costs $598,000 and would require a monthly payment of $3,183 to cover mortgage and taxes — more than 85 percent of the local median household income of $44,581 (or $3,715 a month). Los Angeles and New York followed — no surprise given their steep home prices.

Which city has the most unaffordable housing? ›

All the cities on this graphic are classified as severely unaffordable⁠—and, for the 12th year in a row, Hong Kong takes the top spot as the world's most unaffordable housing market, with a score of 23.2.

What is the most expensive state to live in right now? ›

According to several studies on cost of living, Hawaii is the most expensive U.S. state to live in. Prices are typically double in Hawaii compared to those on the mainland, and the continued rise in inflation is making costs ranging from housing to health care much more expensive.

Which US cities are home values most likely to plummet in a recession? ›

If a major downturn hits the U.S. economy, home prices in the New York City, Chicago and Philadelphia areas are the most vulnerable to declines, according to a new report from real-estate data company Attom Data Solutions.

When was the last housing market crash in USA? ›

Currently they indicate a period of decline in some markets and growth in others, and a decline in transactions overall – but certainly not as significant a decline as seen in the housing market crash of 2008-2009. A recession would put stress on the housing market, and experts predict one in the near future.

Are Florida house prices dropping? ›

Are home prices in Florida dropping or rising? Over the past few years, home prices in Florida have skyrocketed. Per Redfin data, in the middle of 2020, the median sale price was $275,600 — by April 2023, that figure had jumped to $400,800.

Will 2023 be a good time to buy a house? ›

Homebuyer.com data analysis indicates that, for first-time home buyers, June 2023 is a good time to buy a house relative to later in the year. This article provides an unbiased look at current mortgage rates, housing market conditions, and market sentiment.

Will house prices go down in 2023 usa? ›

Although home prices are expected to improve in the second half of the year, the California median home price is projected to decrease by 5.6 percent to $776,600 in 2023, down from the median price of $822,300 recorded in 2022.

Will house prices drop in 2023 usa? ›

Historically, home prices tend to rise over time, not fall. Prices are currently coming down in some markets, and the national median price was ever-so-slightly lower in February 2023 than it was in 2022, but experts do not expect dramatic drops.

What happens if the US housing market crashes? ›

As prices become unsustainable and interest rates rise, purchasers withdraw. Borrowers are discouraged from taking out loans when interest rates rise. On the other side, house construction will be affected as well; costs will rise, and the market supply of housing will shrink as a result.

Will home prices drop in 2023 in Florida? ›

Overall, the Florida housing market is likely to remain strong in 2023, with continued demand for homes and steady price growth. However, the market may begin to stabilize as the growth rate slows down, which may lead to more balanced conditions between buyers and sellers.

Will I ever afford a house? ›

Stick to the 28/36 Rule. No matter how you finance your home purchase, most experts agree that people should not spend more than 28% of their gross income on housing expenses, and no more than 36% on debt. For example, if you earn $5,000 each month, your ideal mortgage payment should be no more than $1,400 per month.

What cities are people moving to 2023? ›

Based on migration data from the U.S. Census Bureau, Americans are moving to Austin, Texas; Raleigh, North Carolina; Orlando, Florida; Dallas, Texas; and Phoenix, Arizona. The most moved-to cities are based on percentage increases in population since 2010.

What state has the best quality of houses? ›

Real Estate Housing Market Statistics 2023
Overall RankingStateNew Construction3
1Texas1
2California3
3New York11
4New Jersey13
37 more rows
Feb 13, 2023

What place in the US has the best houses? ›

Without further ado, here are the ten best places to buy a house in the U.S. in 2022 or 2023.
  • Tampa, Florida. Tampa, Florida, makes the top of our list for several reasons. ...
  • Atlanta, Georgia. ...
  • Jacksonville, Florida. ...
  • Austin, Texas. ...
  • Raleigh, North Carolina. ...
  • Charlotte, North Carolina. ...
  • San Antonio, Texas. ...
  • Dallas, Texas.

What is the hottest housing market in us? ›

February 2023 – Top 20 Hottest Housing Markets
Hottest MetrosHotness RankMedian Listing Price If Active Within Period
Manchester-Nashua, N.H.1$562,000
Rochester, N.Y.1$232,000
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, Conn.3$396,000
Springfield, Mass.4$322,000
16 more rows
Mar 14, 2023

Where is the slowest real estate market? ›

The Bay Area has the worst performing housing market in the nation, according to a new report.

Where have house prices risen the least? ›

These are the least overvalued housing markets in the U.S., according to Moody's Analytics:
  • Maryland (-5.2 percent as of September 30)
  • Illinois (1.7 percent as of September 30)
  • New York (6.0 percent as of September 30)
  • California (6.3 percent as of September 30)
  • Alaska (6.4 percent as of September 30)
Nov 24, 2022

Do houses appreciate more than inflation? ›

Looking at the data, inflation-adjusted returns, even factoring in inflation, have almost always been positive in history - meaning that price appreciation for real estate is greater than the inflation rate!

What are the top 10 most overvalued real estate markets? ›

The top 10 most overvalued housing markets in the US were as follows: Boise, Idaho (73%); Austin, Texas (68%); Ogden, Utah (65%); Las Vegas, Nevada (61%); Atlanta, Georgia (58%); Phoenix, Arizona (58%); Provo, Utah (57%); Fort Meyers, Florida (56%); Spokane, Washington (56%); and Salt Lake City, Utah (56%).

What are the 3 states most at risk of a housing downturn? ›

California, Illinois, New Jersey, and Delaware are home to the most at-risk housing markets, according to a Special Housing Risk report released by real estate data firm ATTOM. “Some parts of the country remain considerably more exposed to housing market declines than others,” says Rob Barber, CEO of ATTOM.

What state has the biggest housing crisis? ›

California's chronic shortage of housing manifests itself in sky-high housing costs, the nation's worst poverty and its highest level of homelessness.

What is the least affordable state to live in? ›

Hawaii and California are the LEAST affordable places to live in the U.S as incomes fail to keep up with soaring property prices.

What cities have the worst housing crisis? ›

The 10 Markets With the Greatest Need for New Housing
RankMarketNew Units Needed/Year
1New York City10,000
2Dallas – Fort Worth19,000
3Houston15,000
4Los Angeles6,000
6 more rows
Feb 24, 2023

What cities have the worst housing crisis in the world? ›

Canadian city Toronto was found to have the highest risk of a housing bubble developing in a recent survey released by investment bank UBS. Other cities at a high risk were Frankfurt, Hong Kong, Munich, Zurich and Vancouver.

Where is the fastest growing housing market in the US? ›

U.S. metros with the biggest increases in home values in 2022
  • FarmingtonNew Mexico. 20.3% ...
  • North Port-Sarasota-BradentonFlorida. 19.5% ...
  • Naples-Immokalee-Marco IslandFlorida. 17.2% ...
  • Greensboro-High PointNorth Carolina. 17% ...
  • Myrtle Beach-ConwayS.Carolina/N.Carolina. ...
  • Oshkosh-NeenahWisconsin. ...
  • Winston-SalemNorth Carolina. ...
  • El PasoTexas.
Feb 13, 2023

What is the least affordable housing market in 2023? ›

Hong Kong is the least affordable market, with a median multiple of 18.8. Sydney was the second least affordable at 13.3, Vancouver at 12.0, Honolulu at 11.8, San Jose at 11.5, Los Angeles 11.3, Auckland 10.7, Melbourne at 9.9, Toronto at 9.5 and San Diego at 9.4.

What is the most affordable way to live? ›

13 Cheap Housing Alternatives
  • Renting a Guest House. ...
  • Living in a Mobile Home. ...
  • Moving into a Tiny Home. ...
  • Living in a Shipping Container Home. ...
  • Living as a Live-In Caretaker. ...
  • Being an On-Site Property Manager. ...
  • Renting Out a Room in Your Home. ...
  • Move in with Friends or Family.
Nov 10, 2022

What city has the least affordable housing? ›

Top 10 least affordable cities in the world
  • Hong Kong.
  • Sydney.
  • Vancouver.
  • Honolulu.
  • San Jose.
  • Los Angeles.
  • Auckland.
  • San Francisco.
Mar 22, 2023

What state has the most unaffordable housing? ›

According to worldpopulationreview.com, Hawaii is the most expensive state to live in, with its housing costing three times the national average. New York and California rank as the second and third most expensive states in which to live, respectively.

What are the most undervalued housing markets in the US? ›

What are the most undervalued housing markets in the US in 2023?
Omaha, NE22.3%
San Francisco Bay Area, CA28.6%
Philadelphia, PA28.7%
Chicago, IL29.4%
Baltimore, MD29.5%
15 more rows
Feb 9, 2023

What state is the highest to buy a house? ›

California, Colorado and Hawaii were the top three most expensive, at $537,000, $537,125 and $805,775 in monthly median sale prices last year, respectively.

What is the cheapest state to live in 2023? ›

1. Mississippi. Coming in as the cheapest state to live in in the United States is Mississippi with a cost of living index score of 83.3. It also has the lowest average housing costs in the nation at 33.7% below the national average.

Which states have housing crisis? ›

  • California, 978,000.
  • Texas, 322,000.
  • Florida, 289,000.
  • New York, 234,000.
  • Washington, 140,000.
  • New Jersey, 137,000.
  • Colorado, 127,000.
  • Arizona, 123,000.
Jul 21, 2022

Where is the hottest housing market? ›

The hottest housing markets include those markets in North Carolina, Colorado and Texas that were also popular during the pandemic, including Raleigh and Durham, Denver and Austin. Markets to watch that improved the most between November and December 2022 include Portland, Oregon, Richmond, Virginia, and St.

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