What will happen when AI takes over jobs?
A 2020 World Economic Forum report predicted that robotics and automation would displace 85 million jobs globally in the coming five years. Yet, it also predicted that the technologies would create 97 million new jobs—generally ones requiring more skills and education.
Technology-driven societal changes, like what we're experiencing with AI and automation, always engender concern and fear—and for good reason. A two-year study from McKinsey Global Institute suggests that by 2030, intelligent agents and robots could replace as much as 30 percent of the world's current human labor.
How Many Jobs Will AI Replace? According to the World Economic Forum's "The Future of Jobs Report 2020", AI is expected to replace 85 million jobs worldwide by 2025. Though that sounds scary, the report goes on to say that it will also create 97 million new jobs in that same timeframe.
Once it arrives, general AI will begin taking jobs away from people, millions of jobs—as drivers, radiologists, insurance adjusters. In one possible scenario, this will lead governments to pay unemployed citizens a universal basic income, freeing them to pursue their dreams unburdened by the need to earn a living.
Despite the misconception that automation and AI decreases job opportunities, it may actually prompt a huge spike in new positions. According to the World Economic Forum Future of Jobs Report, 85 million jobs will be replaced by machines with AI by the year 2025.
AI can lead to unfair outcomes.
AI use cases including facial recognition and predictive analytics could adversely impact protected classes in areas such as loan rejection, criminal justice and racial bias, leading to unfair outcomes for certain people.
Psychologists, caregivers, most engineers, human resource managers, marketing strategists, and lawyers are some roles that cannot be replaced by AI anytime in the near future”.
- Customer service executives. Customer service executives don't require a high level of social or emotional intelligence to perform. ...
- Bookkeeping and data entry. ...
- Receptionists. ...
- Proofreading. ...
- Manufacturing and pharmaceutical work. ...
- Retail services. ...
- Courier services. ...
- Doctors.
The “new automation” of the next few decades—with much more advanced robotics and artificial intelligence (AI)—will widen the range of tasks and jobs that machines can perform, and have the potential to cause much more worker displacement and inequality than older generations of automation.
Research giant PwC has predicted that AI will replace up to 40% of jobs by 2030, with the financial sector being the most vulnerable to automation. So, it pretty much looks as though the AI disruption is already happening.
How long until AI becomes self aware?
However, experts expect that it won't be until 2060 until AGI has gotten good enough to pass a "consciousness test". In other words, we're probably looking at 40 years from now before we see an AI that could pass for a human.
With artificial intelligence automating all kinds of work, we can think of a more comfortable future for ourselves that will create new jobs and not displace them. According to a report on the Future of Jobs by World Economic Forum, AI will create 58 million new artificial intelligence jobs by 2022.
The best and most direct way to control AI is to ensure that its values are our values. By building human values into AI, we ensure that everything an AI does meets with our approval.
Prior to the global Covid pandemic in 2019 labour markets were tight with relatively low unemployment rates (even if some may debate about the quality of some of the jobs). The WEF forecast that AI would cause the loss of a staggering 85 million jobs by 2025!
Worldwide, a billion people could lose their jobs over the next ten years due to AI, and 375 million jobs are at risk of obsolescence from AI automation.
Despite this, computerization, under which we can safely count AI, doesn't have an effect on unemployment. In other words, although physical robots do eliminate jobs to some extent, computers and AI don't have the same effect. What this study doesn't show, though, is the link between AI and economic growth.
AI applications that are in physical contact with humans or integrated into the human body could pose safety risks as they may be poorly designed, misused or hacked. Poorly regulated use of AI in weapons could lead to loss of human control over dangerous weapons.
AI also raises near-term concerns: privacy, bias, inequality, safety and security. CSER's research has identified emerging threats and trends in global cybersecurity, and has explored challenges on the intersection of AI, digitisation and nuclear weapons systems.
The key to making AI work is human insight, contextual awareness, and creativity. And thus the reason AI can never replace humans is simple — human beings will continue to give value that machines or computers or devices are not proficient of.
- Travel agent. It amazes me that a travel agent is still a job in 2020. ...
- Taxi drivers. ...
- Store cashiers. ...
- Fast food cooks. ...
- Administrative legal jobs. ...
- Lawyer. ...
- HR roles. ...
- Tradespeople.
Will AI take over doctors?
In short, AI innovations in healthcare don't substitute human doctors. They just enhance what they already can do by taking on certain tasks. By some estimates, technology is about to replace 80% of what doctors currently do. So one thing is clear: medical experts should be aware that their jobs are going to change.
- Organ creator. ...
- Augmented-reality journey builder. ...
- Metaverse planner. ...
- Biofilm installer. ...
- Earthquake forecaster. ...
- Makeshift structure engineer. ...
- Algorithm bias auditor. ...
- Rewilder.
- Healthcare. AI's adoption in the healthcare sector promises to bring a lot of benefits to adopters. ...
- Customer Service and Experience. ...
- Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance (BFSI) ...
- Logistics. ...
- Retail. ...
- Cybersecurity. ...
- Transportation. ...
- Marketing.
A 2020 World Economic Forum report predicted that robotics and automation would displace 85 million jobs globally in the coming five years.
Read more about what AI is and how we're measuring it on page 5 of the full report. » In contrast to past analyses, this report finds that better paid professionals and bigger, high-tech metro areas are the most exposed to AI. AI could affect work in virtually every occupational group.
A McKinsey Global Institute report suggests that between 400 million to 800 million jobs worldwide will be lost due to automation by 2030. The report claims that the U.S. could lose between 16 to 54 million jobs by 2030. The pace at which robots are entering our workforce is staggering.
Robots are programmed to work within their frame. It is possible that some day a machine will be able to think on its own, but in the real world, this will not be achieved soon. Artificial Intelligence isn't capable of analyzing context, thinking critically through complicated scenarios, developing complex strategies.
Up to 34% of jobs risk being lost to automation by 2040. But technology will also create new workforce opportunities.
AI and neuroscience researchers agree that current forms of AI cannot have their own emotions, but they can mimic emotion, such as empathy. Synthetic speech also helps reduce the robotic like tone many of these services operate with and emit more realistic emotion.
In his 2020 book, The Precipice: Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity, Toby Ord, a Senior Research Fellow at Oxford University's Future of Humanity Institute, estimates the total existential risk from unaligned AI over the next century to be about one in ten.
What year will the singularity happen?
While futurist Ray Kurzweil predicted 15 years ago that the singularity—the time when the abilities of a computer overtake the abilities of the human brain—will occur in about 2045, Gale and his co-authors believe this event may be much more imminent, especially with the advent of quantum computing.
Since 2000, at least 260,000 jobs have been lost in the US to automation. This represents roughly 2% of the country's total manufacturing workforce, and the numbers only increase each year exponentially. Automation is also predicted to create 58 million new jobs.
A robot can work 24/7 with little to no pay or benefits and is often faster than a human with fewer errors. Robots can also be helpful to employees as they can easily do jobs that are repetitive, monotonous, or dangerous and leave interesting jobs to humans.
- Use good data hygiene. Only the data types necessary to create the AI should be collected, and the data should be kept secure and only maintained for as long as is necessary to accomplish the purpose.
- Use good data sets. ...
- Give users control. ...
- Reduce algorithmic bias.
If virtually every job becomes automated, humans become unnecessary. With a twisted enough mindset, one might even argue that the mass elimination of humanity is for the good of Earth, as climate change and overpopulation would be issues no longer. The elite could wipe out the world with ease.
Despite this, computerization, under which we can safely count AI, doesn't have an effect on unemployment. In other words, although physical robots do eliminate jobs to some extent, computers and AI don't have the same effect. What this study doesn't show, though, is the link between AI and economic growth.
- Travel agent. It amazes me that a travel agent is still a job in 2020. ...
- Taxi drivers. ...
- Store cashiers. ...
- Fast food cooks. ...
- Administrative legal jobs. ...
- Lawyer. ...
- HR roles. ...
- Tradespeople.
With artificial intelligence automating all kinds of work, we can think of a more comfortable future for ourselves that will create new jobs and not displace them. According to a report on the Future of Jobs by World Economic Forum, AI will create 58 million new artificial intelligence jobs by 2022.