Is USO a good buy right now?
The USO ETF (NYSEARCA:USO) is backed by solid fundamentals and a strong chart. Buy it. The following demand outlook is from the latest OPEC oil market report: World oil demand growth in 2021 remains unchanged from last month's assessment, showing growth of 6.0 mb/d despite some offsetting revisions.
Returns: USO investors who jumped in on this oil ETF at the start of 2022 have enjoyed a nearly 39% return year-to-date. Those who've held this investment for a year have seen its value double, generating nearly 80.5% in returns during the past 12 months.
Given the current short-term trend, the fund is expected to rise 12.82% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $84.82 and $105.36 at the end of this 3-month period.
Over the long term, the negative roll yields add up, causing United States Oil Fund investors to experience losses. Therefore, investors planning to gain exposure to the oil market over the long term should avoid investments in the United States Oil Fund.
The news has set off an oil buying frenzy among Americans hoping to profit on a rebound. But most of these investors have made a terrible investment. There's one simple reason that all but ensures funds like USO will never fully recover from today's lows. Even worse, it could get cut in half again!
- ConocoPhillips – Overall Best Oil Stock to Buy Now. ...
- Marathon Petroleum – Top US-Based Oil & Gas Stock for Long-Term Growth. ...
- Antero Resources – Best Oil Stock for Momentum. ...
- ExxonMobil – Great Oil Stock to Own for Dividends. ...
- BP – Diversify Your Oil Stock Investments Overseas.
Fund name | Expense ratio | 1-year return |
---|---|---|
United States Brent Oil Fund LP | 0.90%. | 108.77%. |
iPath Pure Beta Crude Oil ETN | 0.85%. | 99.46%. |
United States Oil Fund LP | 0.79%. | 96.39%. |
ProShares K-1 Free Crude Oil Strategy ETF | 0.68%. | 85.38%. |
- Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM)
- Chevron (NYSE:CVX)
- Halliburton (NYSE:HAL)
- Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD)
- Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY)
- EOG Resources (NYSE:EOG)
- Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN)
Because oil prices are largely uncorrelated to stock market returns or the direction of the U.S. dollar, these products follow the price of oil more closely than energy stocks and can serve as a hedge and a portfolio diversifier.
Any company trading under $5 per share, is considered to be a penny stock. This is one of the main reasons USO had to reverse split, which is widely ignored by most media outlets.
What kind of stock is USO?
Historically, USO has achieved its investment objective by primarily investing in the Benchmark Futures Contract and oil futures contracts for light, sweet crude oil traded on NYMEX and ICE Futures with the same maturity month as the Benchmark Futures Contract.
USO. The USO is designed to track the price movements of the WTI futures spot month contract. If the front month contract is within two weeks of expiration, the positions on the front month contract will be rolled over to the second front contract.
The price of crude reached a seven-year high level. Shrinking crude inventories, supply disruption in the Gulf of Mexico following a couple of hurricanes and surging fuel demand are pushing oil prices higher.
USO is an Exchange Traded Fund, meaning it operates like a mutual fund (it takes your money and invests it in products that align with its prospectus) but trades on an exchange.
Buy Stock in an Oil and Gas Company. If you want to invest in oil with little money, the best place to look is probably your brokerage account. With the new advent of no-fee stock trades at all of the big brokerage houses, you can buy shares of stock without worrying about fees cutting into your investment.
He's forecasting a 1,000% return over the next year and a half and a 300% return by the end of this year. It's easy to dismiss something like this by simply saying the idea is nuts, but there are actual reasons why it's incredibly unlikely UCO is going to hit $300 by the end of 2021.
Fund Summary
USO invests primarily in futures contracts for light, sweet crude oil, other types of crude oil, diesel-heating oil, gasoline, natural gas, and other petroleum-based fuels.
Of the 7.86 million barrels per day the U.S. imported in 2020, the majority came from its North American neighbors: Canada, with 4.13 million barrels (52.5%), and Mexico, with 750,000 (9.6%). But imports coming from outside North America are significant.
- Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM) Exxon Mobil had a tough run in 2020, but has been in a strong recovery since November. ...
- FuelCell Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ: FCEL) ...
- Chevron Corporate (NYSE: CVX) ...
- NextEra Energy Inc (NYSE: NEE) ...
- Kinder Morgan (NYSE: KMI) ...
- ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP)
Best Value Oil and Gas Stocks | ||
---|---|---|
Price ($) | 12-Month Trailing P/E Ratio | |
Surge Energy Inc. (ZPTAF) | 7.30 | 1.2 |
Frontera Energy Corp. (FEC.TO) | CA$14.35 | 1.8 |
Baytex Energy Corp. (BTEGF) | 4.42 | 1.9 |
Which gas stock is best?
Best Value Natural Gas Stocks | ||
---|---|---|
Price ($) | 12-Month Trailing P/S Ratio | |
Southwestern Energy Co. (SWN) | 5.60 | 0.7 |
DCP Midstream LP (DCP) | 34.23 | 0.7 |
Chesapeake Energy Corp. (CHK) | 82.46 | 1.2 |
Energy stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were a popular bet heading into 2022. So far, so good – the sector has been by far and away the best performer in the young year.
...
ETFs: ETF Database Realtime Ratings.
Symbol | OIL |
---|---|
ER | 0.85% |
Commission Free | N/A |
Annual Dividend Rate | $0.00 |
Dividend Date | N/A |
The largest Oil ETF is the United States Oil Fund LP USO with $2.84B in assets.
Is oil still a good investment in 2021 and beyond? Since 2020, crude oil prices have experienced a tremendous rebound. In February 2021, oil prices hit pre-pandemic prices of $60 a barrel. Similarly, natural gas prices, which bottomed out in April 2020, have rebounded.
Fastest Growing Energy Stocks | ||
---|---|---|
Price ($) | Market Cap ($B) | |
EQT Corp. (EQT) | 42.36 | 15.9 |
Coterra Energy Inc. (CTRA) | 29.42 | 23.9 |
Pioneer Natural Resources Co. (PXD) | 254.75 | 61.9 |
Company | 2021 net income (crude oil averaged $71) |
---|---|
Chevron Corp. | $16 billion |
BP North America | $13 billion |
ConocoPhillips/Phillips 66 | $8 billion |
TOTAL | $79 billion |
Oil prices fell from a high of $133.88 in June 2008 to a low of $39.09 in February 2009. 1 Over the same time period, natural gas prices fell from $12.69 to $4.52. 2 The lower price for oil and gas due to the financial crisis was the major impact on the sector.
Keep an eye on oil prices
When crude oil prices rise, oil stock prices tend to go up, too. When crude oil prices tumble, so will the prices of most oil and gas stocks.
The stock market has proven to produce the highest gains over long time periods. One hundred dollars invested in the S&P 500 in 1928 would have been worth more than $500,000 in 2019. By comparison, the same $100 invested in 10-year Treasuries would have been worth only a little more than $8,000.
What is an inverse oil ETF?
Inverse/Short Oil ETFs seek to provide the opposite daily or monthly return of various oil-based natural resource prices. These funds can invest in a single commodity or a combination of several, including crude oil (Brent and WTI), gasoline and heating oil. The funds use futures and can be leveraged.
The splits will not change the total value of a shareholder's investment. All reverse splits will be effective prior to market open on April 21, 2020, when the funds will begin trading at their post-split price. The ticker symbols for the funds will not change.
- The United States Oil Fund is an ETF that has been set up to track the price of oil on a given day. ...
- Specifically, USO focuses on daily price movements of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil — light, sweet crude produced mainly in the U.S.
...
NAV^
NAV^ | $76.65 |
---|---|
Shares Outstanding | 37,923,603 |
Total Net Assets | $2,906,933,616.03 |
Estimated Yield on Cash Holdings* as of 04/22/2022 | 0.29% |
Whammo presto, the holders of USO lost 13.4% of their exposure to crude oil. They now control less oil. If the spot price stays near $40/barrel, the value of those April contracts will decay back to $40/barrel over the next month and investors will lose their shirts.
While USO rolls over its entire oil futures portfolio on a month-to-month basis (by selling the current month's expiring contracts and investing entirely in the upcoming month's contracts), USL spreads out its futures contract investment equally over 12 months.
How can this be? Oil ETFs are exchange traded funds made up of oil futures contracts. Oil futures contracts expire, however, so the ETF must actively move from the expiring contract to the next contract, a process called “rolling”, to maintain the value of the fund.
No U.S. federal income tax is paid by USO on its income. Instead, USO will furnish shareholders each year with tax information on IRS Schedule K-1 (Form 1065) and each U.S. shareholder is required to report on its U.S. federal income tax return its allocable share of the income, gain, loss and deduction of USO.
However, penny stocks generally have a well-deserved reputation for burning investors. It is possible to achieve strong returns by investing in young companies with small valuations or depressed stock prices, but typically it's better to invest only in companies that are larger and have less speculative valuations.
In the event oil and gas were found and the wells produce, then the royalties kick in. So if the oil well produce 100 barrels a day, and the price of oil is $80 per barrel that month, then the cash flow is 100x$80 = $8,000/day The royalty owner, who agreed to 15% royalty, would receive $8,000 x 0.15 = $1,200/day.
What is the minimum amount of shares you can buy?
The answer is simple: There is no minimum limit to start investing in the Indian stock market. You simply need to have sufficient capital to cover the price of a stock. So, you do not need a huge amount of money to start trading in India. It is possible to buy stocks for even less than Rs 10!
The price of crude reached a seven-year high level. Shrinking crude inventories, supply disruption in the Gulf of Mexico following a couple of hurricanes and surging fuel demand are pushing oil prices higher.
Summary. The United States Oil Fund has gained 13% year-to-date amid crude oil prices climbing back above pre-pandemic levels. Crude oil term structure has turned backwardation amid tightening supplies, though historically points to a short-term top in USO.
Leveraged ETFs rarely reach a price close to zero, and they can't go negative. Before anything like that happens, the fund managers either reverse split the fund's shares or redeem the shareholders with whatever is still left. Leveraged ETFs reset daily, which is why they are only recommended for short-term trading.
WTI Crude | 112.5 | +0.12% |
---|---|---|
Brent Crude | 111.9 | -0.05% |
Natural Gas | 8.365 | +0.73% |
Heating Oil | 3.779 | -0.53% |
Gasoline •1 day | 3.895 | -1.19% |
USO Oil Reverse Stock Split
As of this morning, shareholders of the USO oil ETF are realizing the effects of an 8 for 1 reverse stock split.
Historically, USO has achieved its investment objective by primarily investing in the Benchmark Futures Contract and oil futures contracts for light, sweet crude oil traded on NYMEX and ICE Futures with the same maturity month as the Benchmark Futures Contract.
Buy Stock in an Oil and Gas Company. If you want to invest in oil with little money, the best place to look is probably your brokerage account. With the new advent of no-fee stock trades at all of the big brokerage houses, you can buy shares of stock without worrying about fees cutting into your investment.
USO. The USO is designed to track the price movements of the WTI futures spot month contract. If the front month contract is within two weeks of expiration, the positions on the front month contract will be rolled over to the second front contract.
Name | Symbol | % Assets |
---|---|---|
Fidelity® Inv MM Fds Government Instl | FRGXX | 21.56% |
Goldman Sachs FS Government Instl | FGTXX | 15.50% |
Morgan Stanley Instl Lqudty Govt Instl | MVRXX | 1.78% |
United States Treasury Bills | N/A | 1.60% |
Why does backwardation happen?
Backwardation can occur as a result of a higher demand for an asset currently than the contracts maturing in the future through the futures market. The primary cause of backwardation in the commodities' futures market is a shortage of the commodity in the spot market.
A trader can hold the majority of these ETFs including TQQQ, FAS, TNA, SPXL, ERX, SOXL, TECL, USLV, EDC, and YINN for 150-250 days before suffering a 5% underperformance although a few, like NUGT, JNUG, UGAZ, UWT, and LABU are more volatile and suffer a 5% underperformance in less than 130 days and, in the case of JNUG ...
If you are confused about ETFs for long-term buy-and-hold investing, experts say, ETFs are a great investment option for long-term buy and hold investing. It is so because it has a lower expense ratio than actively managed mutual funds that generate higher returns if held for the long run.
Key Takeaways. Triple-leveraged (3x) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) come with considerable risk and are not appropriate for long-term investing. Compounding can cause large losses for 3x ETFs during volatile markets, such as U.S. stocks in the first half of 2020.
The price of oil fluctuates according to three main factors: current supply, future supply, and expected global demand. Members of OPEC control 40% of the world's oil.
If you choose to buy futures or options directly in oil, you will need to trade them on a commodities exchange. The more common way to invest in oil for the average investor is to buy shares of an oil ETF. Finally, you can also invest in oil through indirect exposure by owning various oil companies.
Rank | Exporter | Crude Oil Exports (US$) |
---|---|---|
1. | Saudi Arabia | $113,748,793,842 |
2. | Russia | $72,564,294,000 |
3. | Iraq | $50,828,799,000 |
4. | United States | $50,285,962,000 |