Will Your Tax Refund Be Smaller in 2023? - Experian (2024)

In this article:

  • Why Is Your Refund Smaller in 2023?
  • Other Reasons Your Refund May Be Smaller
  • How to Prepare for Tax Season

Will your tax refund be smaller in 2023? About halfway through the 2023 tax filing season (for 2022 taxes), the IRS reported the average refund was down 11.2%: $3,140 per taxpayer in 2023 compared with $3,241 in 2022.

Your refund may be smaller this year because of pandemic-related tax credits and deductions sunsetting, along with other factors that may play a role. Here's how your tax refund might change on your 2022 taxes.

Why Is Your Refund Smaller in 2023?

One reason your refund may be smaller this year is that pandemic-related tax credits and tax rule changes temporarily increased your tax refund last year. Among the key differences for 2022 taxes:

  • There are no more Economic Impact (stimulus) Payments. The federal government didn't issue any stimulus payments in 2022, so it's no longer possible to claim one on your 2022 taxes.
  • Child tax credits are back to normal. During COVID-19, parents claimed up to $3,600 per child in dollar-for-dollar tax child tax credits. In 2022, the child tax credit reverted to pre-pandemic levels: $2,000 per child.
  • Child and dependent care credits are lower. Under the American Rescue Plan this credit was as high as $8,000. Now, it's returned to its pre-COVID levels. Parents can receive a credit for up to 35% of up to $6,000 in qualifying care expenses for two or more children, or 35% of up to $3,000 for one child.
  • The earned income tax credit (EITC) drops if you don't have kids. During the pandemic, low-income taxpayers without children were eligible to receive a tax credit of up to $1,502. For 2022, this credit tops out at $560 for people without children.
  • Charitable contributions aren't deductible unless you itemize. In 2021, a special rule made it possible to deduct charity contributions even if you took the standard deduction. That rule no longer applies for the 2022 tax year.

Other Reasons Your Refund May Be Smaller

Changes to your income and withholding may also affect the size of your return. Although these factors aren't specific to the 2022 tax year, they may have an impact on this year's tax refund if they apply to you.

  • Reduced withholdings: If you reduced the amount of money withheld from your paychecks—maybe in response to tax changes in the prior year—you're likely to get less back at tax time.
  • Added a side gig: Income from a side hustle will increase your tax bill. If you didn't pay quarterly estimates throughout the year, or your estimates were low, you are likely to owe.
  • Sold investments: Capital gains on the profitable sale of investments, including real estate, are taxable.
  • No student loan interest deductions: If you paid off your student loans or no longer meet IRS income requirements for deducting interest, your student loan interest deduction may have changed.
  • Decreased retirement contributions: Contributing less to your employer's traditional 401(k) plan or a traditional IRA increases your adjusted gross income and raises your tax bill.
  • Changed filing status: Any change in your filing status—single, head of household, married filing separately or married filing jointly—can change the way your tax liability is calculated and the amount of tax you owe.

How to Prepare for Tax Season

Preparing for this—or any—tax season and getting the refund you're entitled to is a matter of following a few basic steps.

1. Get Your Records in Order

Gather up your W-2, 1099 forms and any other documents you'll need to prepare and file your taxes. Throughout the year, be sure to save receipts for deductible expenses and any correspondence you receive from the IRS or your state taxing authority.

2. Meet With a Tax Professional

Although tax preparation software (or your own individual know-how) can help you do your own taxes efficiently, meeting with a tax pro helps ensure that you're claiming all the deductions and credits you're entitled to claim. A tax advisor can also help you plan for the year to come.

3. Get Online Help at IRS.gov

The IRS offers a wealth of information and interactive help for taxpayers. Among the most useful:

  • Use Free File to file your IRS tax return. Guided online tax preparation is available to taxpayers with adjusted gross incomes of $73,000 or less; free fillable forms are available for anyone.
  • Set up an online account and use the IRS tool to verify your identity. From there, you can access a range of benefits:
    • Get a six-digit identity protection PIN that prevents other people from filing a tax return using your Social Security number or Individual Taxpayer Identification Number.
    • Request a copy of your tax record, including transcripts of past tax returns, tax account information, wage and income statements, and more.
  • Get answers to common tax questions about filing a tax return, claiming a dependent, eligibility to claim tax credits or deduct expenses, and more using the Interactive Tax Assistant.

4. Adjust Your Withholding and Pay Estimates

Once your taxes are done, make a plan for the year to come. Adjust your withholding, if necessary, to make sure your next tax bill will be covered. If you're self-employed and/or have outside income, consider calculating quarterly estimated taxes for the coming year so you'll owe less in the end.

The Bottom Line

While your tax refund may be a bit smaller in 2023 than it was last year, taking the time to file an accurate return and claim all of your eligible credits and deductions is still the best route to getting the maximum refund.

As an expert in taxation and financial matters, I bring a wealth of knowledge and experience to shed light on the intricacies of the article discussing why tax refunds might be smaller in 2023. My deep understanding of tax regulations, recent changes, and financial planning enables me to provide valuable insights into the factors influencing the size of tax refunds.

Let's delve into the concepts covered in the article:

  1. Pandemic-Related Tax Credits and Deductions:

    • The article highlights that pandemic-related tax credits and rule changes temporarily increased tax refunds in the previous year. This includes the absence of Economic Impact Payments (stimulus payments) in 2022, child tax credits reverting to pre-pandemic levels, and a decrease in child and dependent care credits. Additionally, the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) for individuals without children has decreased.
  2. Charitable Contributions and Itemization:

    • A significant change for the 2022 tax year is that charitable contributions are no longer deductible unless you itemize. In 2021, a special rule allowed deductions for charitable contributions even if the standard deduction was taken.
  3. Other Reasons for Smaller Refunds:

    • The article mentions various factors unrelated to pandemic-related changes that can affect tax refunds. These include reduced withholdings, income from a side gig, capital gains from selling investments, changes in student loan interest deductions, decreased retirement contributions, and alterations in filing status.
  4. Preparing for Tax Season:

    • The article provides practical tips for preparing for tax season, emphasizing the importance of getting records in order, meeting with a tax professional, and utilizing online resources provided by the IRS. It also advises adjusting withholding and pay estimates for the upcoming year.
  5. Online Help at IRS.gov:

    • The IRS website is highlighted as a valuable resource, offering tools such as Free File for tax return filing, online account management for identity verification, and access to a range of services, including obtaining a six-digit identity protection PIN and requesting tax records.
  6. Adjusting Withholding and Pay Estimates:

    • The article concludes by advising individuals to adjust their withholding after filing taxes and to consider calculating quarterly estimated taxes for the coming year, especially for those who are self-employed or have additional income.

In summary, the article provides a comprehensive overview of the various factors contributing to smaller tax refunds in 2023, covering both pandemic-related changes and general financial considerations. The inclusion of practical tips for tax preparation and planning adds a layer of actionable advice for readers.

Will Your Tax Refund Be Smaller in 2023? - Experian (2024)

FAQs

Is everyone getting a smaller tax refund in 2023? ›

Nearly three-quarters of filers received a tax refund in 2023, with an average payment worth about $3,176, down about 3% from the previous year. Some tax experts say refunds could end up being much bigger in 2024, with some people receiving up to 10% more than they did last year.

How come my tax refund is lower this year? ›

There are many events that may reduce your refund, including: Starting an additional job (especially self-employment) Getting a significant raise, but your W-4 staying the same. Selling stock, crypto, or other investments.

Why is my refund so slow this year 2023? ›

Tax Refund Delays

Here are common reasons for why your refund may be delayed: The return is being used to claim the Earned Income Tax Credit or Child Tax Credit - both of these require additional processing times for identity verification purposes.

Why is my tax refund so small 2024? ›

You may be in line for a smaller tax refund this year if your income rose in 2023. Earning a lot of interest in a bank account could also lead to a smaller refund. A smaller refund isn't necessarily terrible, since it means you got paid sooner rather than loaning the IRS money for no good reason.

Will my 2024 tax refund be lower? ›

Bigger tax refunds in 2024

Through the end of February, tax refunds are about 4% higher than last year – although they are still below the recent high of $3,473 in 2022, when pandemic benefits bolstered the typical refund check. All data reflects average tax refunds through the end of February for each year.

What is the average tax refund for 2023? ›

Average federal refund: According to the IRS the average refund was $3,140 as of 2/17/2023. Trustpilot: Learn more about TaxSlayer's TrustScore and how customers rate TaxSlayer trustpilot.com/review/taxslayer. Trusted by millions/Join the millions: Based on the millions of unique users that have filed with TaxSlayer.

What is the average tax return for a single person making $40 000? ›

What is the average tax refund for a single person making $40,000? Analysis by Lending Tree reports that the average tax refund for a person making between $25,000 and $49,999 is $2,845.81.

Why is TurboTax refund so low? ›

When you pay your TurboTax fees with your federal refund, the TurboTax fee plus a separate Refund Processing Service (RPS) fee are deducted from your total refund amount. So your IRS-issued tax refund might be less than the amount shown in TurboTax.

Why is my refund always so low? ›

If you didn't account for each job across your W-4s, you may not have withheld enough, so your tax refund could be less than expected in 2022. Not factoring eligibility changes for tax credits and deductions: There may be other impacts on your refund due to the credits you can take.

Should I be worried if my refund is still being processed? ›

If your refund status used to be your tax return is still being processed, but now the status says it is being processed, the IRS may have detected an issue in your tax return that could cause a delay in the release of your tax refund.

How do I know if my tax return has been flagged? ›

Taxpayers whose tax returns have been flagged for possible IDT should receive one of the following letters: Letter 5071C, Potential Identity Theft during Original Processing with Online Option – Provides online and phone options and is issued most widely.

How long can the IRS hold your refund for review 2023? ›

If the IRS is reviewing your return, it may have questions about your wages and withholding, or credits or expenses shown on your tax return. The review process could take anywhere from 45 to 180 days, depending on the number and types of issues the IRS is reviewing.

When should I expect my tax refund 2024 with child tax? ›

More In Credits & Deductions

If you claimed the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) or the Additional Child Tax Credit (ACTC), you can expect to get your refund by February 27 if: You file your return online.

How fast are people getting tax refunds 2024? ›

If you file an electronic return, expect a refund and opted for direct deposit, you should get it within 21 days of filing, as long as there are no issues with your return, like inaccuracies or incomplete information, according to the IRS.

How can I get a bigger tax refund? ›

How to boost your tax refund (or lower your tax bill)
  1. Work with a tax professional. ...
  2. Claim all eligible tax credits and deductions. ...
  3. Don't overlook deductible expenses. ...
  4. Choose the right filing status. ...
  5. Maximize your contributions. ...
  6. Adjust your W-4. ...
  7. File at the right time.
Mar 2, 2024

Are we getting a big tax refund in 2023? ›

In 2023, taxpayers received smaller refunds on average compared to the previous year. But so far this year, the average tax refund amount is $3,182, a more than 5% increase from the same time last season. (Just to clarify: The taxes being filed in spring 2024 are for 2023.)

Why is my 2023 tax return so much lower than 2022? ›

The IRS warned back in November 2022 that “refunds may be smaller in 2023” for various reasons, including the lack of economic impact payments last year and the greater difficulty around deducting charitable contributions.

How do I get a bigger refund 2023? ›

Claim the Child and Dependent Care Credit

The Child and Dependent Care Credit is based on a percentage of the amount you paid for the care of a qualifying child or dependent. For tax year 2023, the total expenses you can claim are capped at $3,000 for one eligible individual and $6,000 for two or more.

Will tax refunds be better in 2023? ›

Since the EITC is worth up to $7,430 for the 2023 tax year, average refund amounts will most likely increase further as tax season progresses.

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