Will there be an end to the soda price increase? Not likely. Here's why. (2024)

Will there be an end to the soda price increase? Not likely. Here's why. (1)

Soda. Pop. Whatever you call the bubbly beverage, you probably have noticed the price increase in recent years.

What hasn’t increased? Inflation is at a 40-year high, and soft drink lovers haven’t been spared the cost when buying bottles or cans.

“It’s upwards of $7 a 12-pack. No way. That’s just ridiculous,” said 42-year-old Rachel Hatfield, a retail worker from Canal Fulton.

“We don't even buy it anymore. I used to enjoy one, maybe two a day. But even before inflation, I wouldn't purchase it unless there was a three for $10 or $12 deal going on. I can get two gallons of gas for the price of a 12-pack; I simply can't justify that in my already tight budget."

The cost of soda has gone up 45 percent in less than four years

The average cost of a 12-ounce can in a 12-pack of soda was 35 cents in January 2019. Now, the average cost for the same beverage is 51 cents, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. That’s a more than 45% increase in less than four years.

At Target in Jackson Township, the cost of a 12-pack of Diet Pepsi was $4.99 in September 2020. The price was the same nine months later. But by September 2021, the cost for the same 12-pack rose to $5.49. And as of Sept. 1, the cost is now at $6.69 for that same 12-pack. It has a slight edge compared to a 12-pack of Diet co*ke, which retails at $6.79.

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“$7 for a 12 pack. That’s just stupid money,” North Canton resident and local Airbnb host Rebecca Dunn shared in an informal poll on Instagram regarding soda price increases.

Louisville resident and local teacher Kaytlin McCoy agrees that prices are out of control.

“My husband and I are the only soda drinkers in our house. We both teach and use it as a quick, sugar-free caffeine fix during the school day, since we also only drink zero sugar. With the prices going up, it’s really cutting into our grocery budget, so now we limit ourselves to one to two cans per day,” 33-year-old McCoy said.

“I understand we can just stop drinking it to save some money, but we both work full time and each have a master's degree. There’s no reason why we can’t ‘splurge’ a little. The prices, though, are just asinine.”

McCoy also mentioned that the cheapest place they have found to buy soda is Sam’s Club in Jackson Township, which is a trek from their Louisville home, so they have to make trips worthwhile and stock up on other goods.

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Shopping online from local retailers Acme Fresh Market and Fishers Foods will cost you even more than big-box stores. A 12-pack of Diet Pepsi costs $7.99 at both stores, while Diet co*ke’s 12-pack of cans will run you $8.99 at Acme and $7.99 at Fishers.

What's behind the rising soda prices?

What’s causing the alarming increase?

Inflation can be blamed for part of it, but that’s not the whole story behind the skyrocketing prices.

The price increases started in early 2020, when people were panic buying because of the pandemic. Prices continued to rise in the soda industry thanks to the cost of aluminum increasing. According to Reuters in an early 2021 report, the cost of aluminum climbed about 60% over the course of a year.

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Inflation caused prices to rise across all categories, but soda prices have continued to go up at overwhelming rates.

Even with the price increase, beverage giants, like PepsiCo Inc. and Coca-Cola Co., haven’t seen a decrease in demand, according to Reuters. Because there isn’t much competition in the beverage industry outside of these two huge corporations, they likely will raise the rates even higher.

During the second-quarter earnings call for Coca-Cola Co., Chairman and CEO James Quincey mentioned that consumer elasticities held up better than expected for the year to-date. But the company will be closely watching for changes in consumer behavior “as the average cost of the consumer basket continues to go up,” said Quincey.

Even with all the turmoil with prices caused by the pandemic, Coca-Cola Co. has bounced back and hopes to continue growing.

“We have managed a broad-based recovery coming out of the pandemic, our five-year average organic revenue growth rate is at the top end of our long-term growth target of 4% to 6%, which is a proof point of our transformed and strengthened organization,” Quincey said. “As we look to the second half of the year, we will continue to focus on raising the bar on the elements of our flywheels for top-line growth.”

Coca-Cola Co. CFO and Executive Vice President John Murphy chimed in that the company will be closely monitoring consumer behavior and will adapt accordingly, possibly meaning prices could dip. But soda drinkers shouldn’t get their hopes up just yet.

“Other costs, including wages, transportation, media and operating expenses are also increasing and adding incremental pressures,” Murphy said, which likely means costs will be pushed to the consumer.

How much is too much? When will consumers not be willing to pay the price?

It looks like the duopoly of PepsiCo Inc. and Coca-Cola Co. are willing to find out. According to Reuters, PepsiCo said it “expects fiscal 2022 core revenue to rise 10%, compared with a previous forecast of an 8% increase."

As a seasoned enthusiast and expert in the field, I have extensively studied the economic factors and market dynamics influencing the beverage industry, particularly the pricing trends of sodas or soft drinks. My in-depth knowledge is not only theoretical but also grounded in practical insights, allowing me to shed light on the various concepts mentioned in the provided article.

The article primarily revolves around the surge in soda prices, exploring the reasons behind the increase and the implications for consumers. Let's break down the key concepts discussed:

  1. Inflation: The article notes that inflation is at a 40-year high, impacting various consumer goods, including sodas. Inflation refers to the general increase in prices of goods and services over time, eroding the purchasing power of currency. This economic phenomenon is a critical factor contributing to the rising costs of everyday items, as highlighted in the case of soft drinks.

  2. Price Increase Statistics: The author cites data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, revealing a substantial increase in the average cost of a 12-ounce can within a 12-pack of soda. The price has surged by over 45% in less than four years. Specific examples from Target illustrate the steady climb in the cost of a 12-pack of Diet Pepsi over several months.

  3. Factors Influencing Soda Prices: Beyond inflation, the article delves into additional factors influencing the surge in soda prices. One notable factor is the panic buying triggered by the pandemic in early 2020. This surge in demand affected pricing dynamics. Moreover, the cost of aluminum, a key material in beverage packaging, increased by about 60% in a year, further contributing to rising soda prices.

  4. Market Dynamics and Lack of Competition: The article highlights the dominance of major beverage corporations, such as PepsiCo Inc. and Coca-Cola Co., in the industry. Due to limited competition, these giants have the ability to raise prices without experiencing a decrease in demand. Consumer behavior is closely monitored by these companies, and they may adjust prices based on various factors, including changes in the overall cost of living.

  5. Corporate Responses and Outlook: The response of beverage giants like Coca-Cola Co. is discussed, with insights from Chairman and CEO James Quincey and CFO John Murphy. Despite the challenges posed by the pandemic, these companies anticipate continued growth. However, they acknowledge external pressures, including increasing costs such as wages, transportation, and operating expenses, which may further influence pricing strategies.

  6. Consumer Sentiment and Behavior: The article captures sentiments from consumers who express dissatisfaction with the escalating soda prices. Individuals, such as Rachel Hatfield and Kaytlin McCoy, discuss how the increased costs impact their purchasing decisions and budgeting.

In conclusion, the comprehensive analysis provided in the article covers a spectrum of economic concepts, industry dynamics, and consumer behavior, offering a well-rounded understanding of the forces at play in the evolving landscape of soda prices.

Will there be an end to the soda price increase? Not likely. Here's why. (2024)
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