Why Are Cross Currency Pairs so Volatile? | Forex Blog (2024)

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Cross Currency Pairs

In forex, cross-currency pairs refer to currencies traded directly with each other, or they can be used to pair currencies to trade against each other. Through cross-exchange transactions, one can directly convert the money into desired currency now.

For instance: you can cross-exchange Euros directly with yens without linking initial US dollar conversion. With the forex marketplace growth, cross currency pairs are becoming the most shared practice for transactions.

Yet, these are known to be volatile. For example, if the cross-currency pair rates decline or increase up to 0.7% in a standard period, it is considered the volatile pair in the forex shop. So, let’s find out which currency pair is more prone to volatility risk and discover some of the significant reasons behind it.

Types of Cross Currency Pairs

It is usually comprised of three types that are as follows:

Minor pair

Minor cross-currency pairs are the ones that do exclude US dollar conversion but require conversion into some of the other largest world currencies.

For instance: the pair must include Euro, Yen, Pound, Swiss Franc, or New Zealand /Australian Dollar, to name some, either alone or in pairs. Like, EUR/GBP, GBP/CAD, GBP/CHF, etc. These are less volatile.

Major currency pair

Those are currency pairs that include only markets where recent transactions have taken place. Like EUR/USD, USD/JPY, or USD/CHF. It does include US dollar currency transactions. Most importantly, these major currency pairs are measured as the most traded and the safest to transact with.

When we compare USD to CHF, we learn that the US dollar and Swiss franc have a direct relationship, unlike other currencies that undergo the same market conditions. It shows that major pairs give fewer volatile readings because both the currencies are positively correlated.

Why Are Cross Currency Pairs so Volatile? | Forex Blog (1)

Exotic Cross Currency Pair

Exotic currency comprises pairs of most dealt and recently evolving currencies. For instance, it includes pairs of USD/TRY, US Dollar/ MXN.

Moreover, contrastingly, Exotic currency pairs are more volatile and thus are prone to more risk. It is further discussed in detail below.

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What are The Top Cross-Currency Pairs and Rate Volatility?

Because of the increased liquidity in exotic cross-currency pairs, all currency pairs are more volatile. In this context, volatility refers to either the frequency or strength of price changes.

For example: if we take the Japanese Yen or Euro, these currencies are commonly utilized in trading or, to say, it involves major buying and selling. So, their prices change almost frequently within a given time.

However, the volatility rate of the currency depends on the base and quote currencies in a pair. Exotic cross-currency includes the currencies that have lower trading participants in the forex market. Therefore, it is also characterized as the riskiest trading cross currency.

Reasons for Cross Currency Pairs Volatility

A country’s economic stability, change in the market flow of trading, and government or political debt are the primary causes for cross-currency volatility.

National Debt

The country whose government owes a significant amount of national or public debt has less financial capital. In turn, this causes inflation that decreases the currency value of the respective country. Then, the investors usually prefer to sell their assets in the open market because the import rate of such countries also increases than the export prices, impacting the trade rate and the currency’s demand.

However, mostly the countries in debt borrow more money to establish their economy that further outrages their market rate. The rise in inflation in the country also affects the trading rate of the country as the export and import rates change.

Moreover, the current account deficit also makes the cross-currency so volatile. The counties that don’t have any public or government debt have fewer account shortfalls. Thus, they have strong currency frequency and demand.

Economic stability

The ups and downs in the country’s economic condition are the major factors of change in exchange rates. However, the prices are also altered due to inflation that directly affects the currency value.

The lower inflation rate in the country doesn’t call for an increment in the service prices, goods, or taxes. Thus, lower inflation calls for less interest rate and leads to greater currency value. In turn, the trading increases as the lenders get the most profit than paying more.

Why Are Cross Currency Pairs so Volatile? | Forex Blog (3)

Political instability

As it is a politically peaceful country that attracts more foreign traders, the cross-currency pairs are more volatile. Investors prefer to invest in countries with stable political and economic conditions to reduce risk and enjoy benefits.

Political stability increases the demand or value for the country’s currency as the lenders prefer the stable foreign exchange to earn profit. Therefore, the rise in currency demand is directly proportional to the country’s exchange rate increase.

Cross Currency Pairs Final thoughts

A higher instability rate tends to be riskier, and in the forex market, it goes for exotic pairs. Due to the uncertainty in their prices, their trading volume is low that causes an increment in the volatility rate, making it risky for trading.

Nevertheless, benefits do not come without risks. Foreign exchange traders use exotic cross-currency pairs to exchange currencies in the foreign exchange market. The most common volatile currency pair is AUD/JPY that has yielded average volatility of 1.12% in 2021. The least volatile pair in 2021 is EUR/CHF having a volatility of 0.3%.

Thus, the cross-currency pairs are volatile because of their change in demand and trading utility that causes ups and downs to the base and quotes currencies.

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  1. can I trade more than 0.01 lot

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    1. You can open a position as long as the leverage letting you.

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Why Are Cross Currency Pairs so Volatile? | Forex Blog (2024)

FAQs

What makes a currency pair volatile? ›

In simple terms, volatility refers to the price fluctuations of assets. It measures the difference between the opening and closing prices over a certain period of time. For example, a currency pair that fluctuates between 5-10 pips is less volatile than a forex pair that fluctuates between 50-100 pips.

Why is forex so volatile? ›

Since currencies are affected by so many political, economical, and social events, there are many occurrences that cause prices to become volatile. Traders should be mindful of current events and keep up on financial news in order to find potential profit and to better avoid potential losses.

What are the forex cross pairs? ›

A cross currency pair is one that consists of a pair of currencies traded in forex that does not include the U.S. dollar. Common cross currency pairs involve the euro and the Japanese yen.

What pairs move 100 pips a day? ›

The AUD/JPY, AUD/USD, CAD/JPY, NZD/JPY, GBP/AUD, USD/MXN, USD/TRY, and USD/ZAR move the most pips daily but are not the most liquid currency pairs. Among highly liquid currency pairs, the EUR/USD and the GBP/USD move between 70 to 120 pips daily, followed by the USD/CHF and the USD/JPY.

What currency pair is the most volatile? ›

The 10 most volatile forex pairs (USD)
  1. USD/ZAR - ​Volatility: 12.9% ...
  2. AUD/USD - Volatility: 9.6% ...
  3. NZD/USD - Volatility: 9.5% ...
  4. USD/MXN - Volatility: 9.2% ...
  5. GBP/USD - Volatility: 7.7% ...
  6. USD/JPY - Volatility: 7.6% ...
  7. USD/CHF - Volatility: 6.7% ...
  8. EUR/USD - Volatility: 6.6%

Why is GBPUSD so volatile? ›

Employment numbers are also very important for both economies, as they usually guide monetary policy for the Central Banks. Both the US Bureau of Labor Statistics and the UK Office of National Statistics release employment figures monthly. The figures usually spur much volatility on the GBP-USD pair.

Why is forex trading so addictive? ›

All of this can induce reward pathways in the brain. When a day trader makes a profit or even gets excited about a potential one, the brain releases so-called feel-good neurochemicals, such as dopamine and serotonin. This can cause you to become addicted, just like with casino gambling or using illicit drugs.

Why is forex so stressful? ›

According to Business Insider, it is the second-most stressful job on Wall Street, just behind investment banking. Forex traders need to make a lot of decisions, and they must act quickly to make the best decisions. The pressure is so high that over 75% of traders quit within the first two years.

Is Gold more volatile than forex pairs? ›

Many forex brokers also offer Gold trading, and some traders consider them similar, but their volatility levels differ. Notably, the volatility of the gold market frequently surpasses that of the Forex market.

What are the most traded cross pairs? ›

The definition of 'major currency pairs will differ among traders, but most will include the four most popular pairs to trade - EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD and USD/CHF. 'Commodity currencies' and 'cross pairs' are also categorized as majors.

What are the most popular cross pairs? ›

The most popular cross-currency pairs
  • EUR/JPY. ...
  • EUR/CHF. ...
  • EUR/GBP. ...
  • GBP/JPY. ...
  • GBP/CAD. ...
  • EUR/TRY. ...
  • USD/HKD. The USD/HKD is another popular exotic forex pair, with the greenback up against the Hong Kong dollar as the quote currency. ...
  • NZD/SGD. The NZD/SGD sees the New Zealand dollar pitted against the Singapore dollar.

What are the most liquid forex cross pairs? ›

What are the most liquid currency pairs in forex?
  • EUR/USD is the most liquid forex pair and represents 20-30% of the forex market by trading volume. ...
  • USD/JPY comes second with the Japanese Yen being one of the most heavily traded currencies and a major safe-haven currency too.

Is 20 pips a day enough? ›

Chasing profits: Trying to make more than 20 pips a day can lead to risky trading decisions and potential losses. Not having a solid risk management plan: Risk management is crucial in forex trading, and not having a proper plan in place can result in significant losses.

Is 50 pips a day possible? ›

There are definitely profits to be had trading 50 pips a day. Basically, every successful trade will grant you a profit of 50 pips, which stands for percentage in point.

Is it possible to have 10 pips a day? ›

Going for 10 pips is a basis on which you can start collecting small gains and confidence. But, in my opinion, going strictly for 10 pips every time is not going to get you very far. Ending up with AVERAGE gains of 10 pips per trade is great, but that implies some of your trades are going to be worth more, some less.

What does it mean when a currency is volatile? ›

Currency volatility is the frequency and extent of changes in a currency's value. It is measured by calculating the dispersion of exchange rate changes around the mean, expressed in terms of daily, weekly, monthly or annual standard deviations. The larger the number, the greater the volatility over a period of time.

What determines volatility? ›

Volatility is a statistical measure of the dispersion of data around its mean over a certain period of time. It's calculated as the standard deviation multiplied by the square root of the number of periods of time, T. In finance, it represents this dispersion of market prices, on an annualized basis.

What is volatile currency? ›

Currency rate volatility, which is often calculated by measuring the standard deviation or variance of currency price movements, informs traders about how much a currency may change compared to its average over a certain time period.

What is the indicator of currency volatility? ›

Volatility Index (VIX)

Volatility Index or VIX is a real-time index representing future market volatility expectations. It is generally measured for stocks but can be correlated to the currency pairs as well. It indicates volatility in the market by identifying the level of fear/stress in the market.

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