What rising interest rates mean for your investments | Barclays Smart Investor (2024)

Hello, I'm Clare and welcome back to Smart Investor the series that helps you get to grips with investing. In this episode, I'm going to look at what rising interest rates mean for your investments. Although we're frequently told about the impact of higher rates on our savings and mortgages it's often less clear what they might mean for the rest of your finances.

Please be aware that we can't offer personal advice so if you don't feel confidence about making an investment decision on your own do seek independent, financial advice.

Interest rates are closely linked to inflation and if the Bank of England decides to increase rates it's usually to help curb inflation or the rising cost of living. Raising rates makes borrowing more expensive.

This slows down demand for goods because the cost of meeting existing debt repayments or borrowing new money goes up leaving us with less to spend. In turn, this helps reduce inflation. By contrast, when interest rates fall lower costs encourage businesses and households to borrow more, boosting the economy.

The Bank of England has said that interest rate rises are likely to be gradual and limited over the next few years. Rising interest rates are good for savers as they mean higher returns on savings accounts. However, they're often seen as less positive for stock markets. Consumers and businesses tend to spend less on goods and services when the cost of borrowing is higher affecting companies which supply these.

Interest rate rises typically boost the value of sterling too which can prompt share prices in large multi-national companies to fall. That's because many of them earn revenue overseas so when sterling is stronger it reduces their foreign profits when they're converted back into pounds.

When sterling is stronger however it can give smaller companies a boost as it strengthens the buying power of their British customers. Some companies tend to fair better than others when rates are rising. For example, interest rate rises usually signify that an economy is strengthening so financial companies may see an improvement in their margins when their rates go up meaning profits should in theory also rise.

While steeper borrowing costs tend to benefit financials sectors such as technology or producers of non-essential goods tend to perform less well because consumers don't have as much spare cash to spend.

Rising interest rates also impact fixed income investments such as bonds and gilts. Bond prices tend to rise when interest rates go up because the fixed rate of interest they pay becomes more attractive to investors. Conversely, when interest rates fall bond prices typically weaken because the fixed rate of interest they pay becomes less appealing.

It's important to remember interest rates aren't the only factor that can influence market movements. Other factors which can impact markets include what's going on politically, general investor confidence, and economic growth prospects.

As I've just touched on the impact interests rates have on your investments can vary depending on what you invest in. This is one of the reasons why it's a good idea to spread your money and have a diversified portfolio.

Investing across a wide-range of assets such as stocks and shares, bonds, cash, and property means that if one or more of your investment falls in value in response to higher rates others might rise and vice versa, evening out fluctuations.

You should be thinking long term at least five years for all of your investments as there is risk that you could get back less than you originally invest. We have lots more information about investments and how interest rate changes can affect them on our website which should help improve your knowledge and understanding. Thanks for watching and see you again next time.

Greetings, I'm Clare, and I'm thrilled to delve into the intricate realm of investing with you. As a seasoned financial expert with a wealth of experience, I've navigated through the nuances of market dynamics, economic trends, and the impact of interest rate fluctuations on various investment avenues.

Let's dissect the key concepts outlined in the article:

  1. Interest Rates and Inflation: The article rightly highlights the connection between interest rates and inflation. When the Bank of England opts to increase rates, it's often a strategy to curb inflation or rising living costs. This aligns with the conventional monetary policy approach where higher rates make borrowing more expensive, leading to reduced demand for goods and helping to alleviate inflationary pressures.

  2. Effects on Borrowing and Spending: Rising interest rates contribute to increased borrowing costs, prompting individuals and businesses to spend less on goods and services. This, in turn, affects companies that supply these goods and services, potentially impacting their profitability.

  3. Impact on Stock Markets: The article accurately notes that rising interest rates are generally viewed less positively by stock markets. Higher borrowing costs lead to reduced consumer and business spending, affecting the earnings of companies. Furthermore, the strengthening of the currency, in this case, sterling, can negatively impact large multinational companies but benefit smaller companies with a primarily domestic customer base.

  4. Sectoral Variances: Different sectors respond differently to interest rate changes. Financial companies may see improved margins and profits during rate hikes, whereas technology and producers of non-essential goods may face challenges due to reduced consumer spending.

  5. Effect on Fixed Income Investments: The article aptly discusses the impact of interest rate changes on fixed income investments, such as bonds and gilts. Bond prices tend to rise when interest rates go up, making their fixed interest payments more attractive to investors. Conversely, falling interest rates can weaken bond prices.

  6. Diversification and Long-Term Perspective: The importance of diversification is emphasized, highlighting the need to spread investments across various assets. A diversified portfolio, encompassing stocks, bonds, cash, and property, can help mitigate risks associated with fluctuations in specific markets. The call for a long-term perspective, a minimum of five years, aligns with the principle of allowing investments to weather short-term volatility for potential long-term gains.

  7. Additional Market Influences: The article wisely reminds investors that interest rates are just one factor influencing market movements. Political events, investor confidence, and economic growth prospects also play pivotal roles in shaping market dynamics.

In essence, understanding the interplay of these factors and maintaining a diversified portfolio are key strategies for investors navigating the complex landscape shaped by interest rate fluctuations. If you're seeking further insights, our website offers a trove of information to enhance your knowledge and comprehension of investments. Happy investing!

What rising interest rates mean for your investments | Barclays Smart Investor (2024)

FAQs

Are high interest rates good for investors? ›

Do interest rate hikes hurt the stock market? If the Federal Reserve raises the short-term federal funds target rate it controls (as it did in 2022 and 2023), it can have a detrimental effect on stocks. A higher interest rate environment can present challenges for the economy, which may slow business activity.

Will higher interest rates increase investment? ›

Yes, higher interest rates tend to attract more foreign investment. That's because rising rates increase the value and demand for their own currency.

How do you profit from rising interest rates? ›

Buy short-term bonds instead of long-term bonds

In a period of rising interest rates, the price of existing bonds will decline. Bonds with a longer time to mature will feel a greater impact from an increase in interest rates than a bond with a shorter maturity. This is also true with bond mutual funds and bond ETFs.

What stocks to buy when interest rates rise? ›

Stocks to Watch When Rates Rise
CompanyTickerIndustry
CitigroupCFinancial (Banking)
Charles SchwabSCHWFinancial (Investment Banking/Brokerages)
AllstateALLInsurance
AmTrust Financial ServicesAFSINInsurance
10 more rows

What happens to investors when interest rates rise? ›

Higher interest rates tend to negatively affect earnings and stock prices (often with the exception of the financial sector). Changes in the interest rate tend to impact the stock market quickly but often have a lagged effect on other key economic sectors such as mortgages and auto loans.

What is the best investment when rates are high? ›

Cash, cash equivalents, short term debt, and financial securities are four investments that tend to profit when interest rates rise. Stay away from long term bonds and bond funds, as interest rates go up, as these investments will tend to decline in value.

Where can I get 10 percent return on investment? ›

Investments That Can Potentially Return 10% or More
  • Stocks.
  • Real Estate.
  • Private Credit.
  • Junk Bonds.
  • Index Funds.
  • Buying a Business.
  • High-End Art or Other Collectables.
Sep 17, 2023

What is the best place to invest money right now? ›

11 best investments right now
  • High-yield savings accounts.
  • Certificates of deposit (CDs)
  • Bonds.
  • Money market funds.
  • Mutual funds.
  • Index Funds.
  • Exchange-traded funds.
  • Stocks.
Mar 19, 2024

Should you sell bonds when interest rates rise? ›

If bond yields rise, existing bonds lose value. The change in bond values only relates to a bond's price on the open market, meaning if the bond is sold before maturity, the seller will obtain a higher or lower price for the bond compared to its face value, depending on current interest rates.

Who makes more money when interest rates rise? ›

Unsurprisingly, bond buyers, lenders, and savers all benefit from higher rates in the early days. Bond yields, in particular, typically move higher even before the Fed raises rates, and bond investors can earn more without taking on additional default risk since the economy is still going strong.

Who benefits from high inflation? ›

Inflation allows borrowers to pay lenders back with money worth less than when it was originally borrowed, which benefits borrowers. When inflation causes higher prices, the demand for credit increases, raising interest rates, which benefits lenders.

Where to invest when interest rates go down? ›

Here are some investments to think about when interest rates inevitably begin to come down:
  • High-yield investments.
  • Bond ETFs.
  • Preferred stock.
  • REITs.
  • Housing stocks.
Dec 14, 2023

What are the top 10 value stocks? ›

The 10 cheapest value stocks from Morningstar's Best Companies to Own list as of March 7, 2024, were:
  • Pfizer PFE.
  • Polaris PII.
  • Campbell Soup CPB.
  • Comcast CMCSA.
  • Gilead Sciences GILD.
  • Medtronic MDT.
  • RTX RTX.
  • U.S. Bancorp USB.
Mar 8, 2024

Do investors want high or low interest rates? ›

Impact of low interest rates on investors

The early recovery phase of the business cycle is usually favorable to equities over bonds. Low discount rates and low borrowing costs can fuel an equity market rally. For bond portfolios, returns come from yield and price changes.

Is it better to invest when interest rates are high or low? ›

Bond investors benefit from higher interest rates.

Higher yields increase the odds of higher total returns for bonds. Bondholders also benefit when rates drop, which is much more likely at higher levels than low. The difference is starkest for Treasuries.

Do investors want low interest rates? ›

Falling interest rates are generally a boon for the stock market, advisors said. Among the reasons: Businesses can borrow money more cheaply and are more likely to make big investments in their companies as a result. However, 2024 is unlikely to see a repeat of stocks' stellar performance from last year, advisors said.

Why do investors care about interest rates? ›

Key Takeaways

The direction of interest rates has an impact on stock valuation, stock pricing, and risk premium. For investors to invest in something riskier than the safe Treasury note, or risk-free rate, they require a higher return or risk premium.

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