What Is the Average Index Fund Return? | The Motley Fool (2024)

What Is the Average Index Fund Return? | The Motley Fool (1)

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How would you like to own shares of 500 of the biggest companies traded on U.S. stock exchanges in one fell swoop? That's what you get when you invest in the S&P 500 index, which tracks the performance of 500 of the largest stocks weighted by market cap that trade on the Nasdaq and the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). And, you can profit handsomely from such an investment: The average annual return for the S&P 500 is close to 10% over the long term.

The performance of the S&P 500 index is better in some years than it is in others, though. Here's how the S&P 500 index has performed in recent decades -- and why it's an attractive option for many investors.

S&P 500 annual returns

Over the past 30 years, the S&P 500 index has delivered a compound average annual growth rate of 10.7% per year.

Data source: Slickcharts.com.
YearS&P 500 Return
19927.62%
199310.08%
19941.32%
199537.58%
199622.96%
199733.36%
199828.58%
199921.04%
2000-9.10%
2001 -11.89%
2002-22.10%
200328.68%
200410.88%
20054.91%
200615.79%
20075.49%
2008-37%
200926.46%
2010 15.06%
20112.11%
201216%
201332.39%
201413.69%
20151.38%
201611.96%
201721.83%
2018-4.38%
201931.49%
202018.40%
202128.71%
2022-18.11%

This table underscores one issue with relying on average annual returns. The performance of the S&P 500 index in most years was far from its average return during the period. Throughout most of the 1990s, for example, the S&P 500 delivered returns that were well above its historical long-term average return. On the other hand, during the first decade of the 21st century, the index underperformed its long-term average return.

However, the table also points to why investing in the S&P 500 index over the long run can be rewarding. The index delivered negative annual returns in only five years during the past three decades. In 11 of those years, the S&P 500 index generated annual returns of more than 20%.

Buying and holding the S&P 500 index over the long run pays off. The following chart shows just how much it's done so over the past 30 years.

If you had invested $10,000 in the S&P 500 index in 1992 and held on with dividends reinvested, you'd now have more than $170,000. The market volatility in 2022 could cause this return to decline somewhat. However, the index has proven to be a winner over the long term.

History of the S&P 500 index

The origins of the S&P 500 index date back to 1923 when Standard Statistics Company created an index consisting of 233 stocks. That stock index was updated weekly. In 1926, though, the company unveiled a daily index that included 93 stocks.

Standard Statistics Company merged with Poor Publishing in 1941, forming Standard & Poor's. In 1957, Standard & Poor's launched the S&P 500 index. It was the first stock market index calculated by a computer.

However, the S&P 500 index wasn't the first stock market index. That honor belongs to the Dow Jones Transportation index, which was created in 1884. This index was followed 11 years later by the Dow Jones Average, which was renamed the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI)in 1896.

While the Dow Jones Industrial Average soon became associated with the overall U.S. stock market, it initially included only 12 stocks and was later expanded to 30 stocks. The S&P 500 has given a better picture of the overall U.S. stock market because of its much greater number of stocks compared to the Dow Jones.

There are other indexes that include even more U.S. stocks. For example, the Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index (NASDAQMUTFUND:WFIVX) consists of all stocks traded on major U.S. stock exchanges. It originally included 5,000 stocks but today has around 3,450 stocks.

However, the S&P 500 index is more widely known than the Wilshire 5000. And, although it includes far fewer stocks, it tracks overall U.S. stock market returns quite well (and does so significantly better than the Dow Jones).

What Is the Average Index Fund Return? | The Motley Fool (3)

^SPX data by YCharts.

How can you invest in the S&P 500 index?

There are three ways to invest in the S&P 500 index:

  1. Buy shares of all 500 individual stocks.
  2. Buy a mutual fund that tracks the S&P 500 index.
  3. Buy an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that tracks the S&P 500 index.

Investing in each S&P 500 stock individually isn't a very practical approach. That was especially the case before online brokerages that didn't charge for stock trades became popular. For a long time, buying low-cost mutual funds was the best way for investors to track the performance of the S&P 500 index.

Today, several S&P 500 ETFs are available that have very low annual expense ratios (the percentage of the fund's assets that go toward annual fees). The most widely traded of these ETFs include:

Data source: Yahoo! Finance.
ETFExpense Ratio
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT:IVV)0.03%
SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEMKT:SPY)0.09%
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT:VOO)0.03%

The main difference between buying S&P 500 ETFs vs. mutual funds is that ETFs trade like a stock. You can buy or sell an ETF instantly through a brokerage at the then-current price. Mutual funds are priced daily, and your purchase or sale isn't instantaneous.

Warren Buffett's favorite investment

Billionaire investor Warren Buffett has said that an S&P 500 index fund is the best investment most people can make. In fact, he stated that he wants his wife's money invested in such a fund after he's gone. This investment advice might seem a bit surprising since Buffett is well-known for his stock-picking ability.

First of all, he isn't necessarily saying that it's a bad idea to buy individual stocks if and only if you have the time, knowledge, and desire to do it right. However, most investors don't.

Buying a mutual fund or an ETF that tracks the S&P 500 is easy and quick. It doesn't require the research that investing in stocks with solid growth prospects demands. Investing in an S&P 500 fund (either a low-cost mutual fund or an ETF) guarantees that you'll do as well as the stock market over time. And, over the long term, that performance has been quite good.

Related index fund topics

Keith Speights has positions in Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

What Is the Average Index Fund Return? | The Motley Fool (2024)

FAQs

What Is the Average Index Fund Return? | The Motley Fool? ›

The average stock market return is about 10% per year, as measured by the S&P 500 index. In some years, the market returns more than that, and in other years, it returns less. The S&P 500 index comprises about 500 of America's largest publicly traded companies and is a benchmark for annual returns.

What is the average rate of return on index funds? ›

The average stock market return is about 10% per year, as measured by the S&P 500 index. In some years, the market returns more than that, and in other years, it returns less. The S&P 500 index comprises about 500 of America's largest publicly traded companies and is a benchmark for annual returns.

What is a good return on index funds? ›

Attractive returns: Like all stocks, major indexes will fluctuate. But over time indexes have made solid returns, such as the S&P 500's long-term record of about 10 percent annually. That doesn't mean index funds make money every year, but over long periods of time that's been the average return.

What is the average rate of return for Motley Fool? ›

10-year, 30-year, and 50-year average stock market returns
PeriodAnnualized Return (Nominal)Annualized Real Return (Adjusted for Inflation)
10 years (2012-2021)14.8%12.4%
30 years (1992-2021)9.9%7.3%
50 years (1972-2021)9.4%5.4%

Does Motley Fool have an index fund? ›

How to invest with us. The Motley Fool 100 Index ETF was rated against the following numbers of Large Growth funds over the following time periods: 1,117 funds in the last three years and 1,035 in the last five years. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

What is the average 5 year return on index funds? ›

S&P 500 5 Year Return is at 54.51%, compared to 57.45% last month and 71.33% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 44.37%.

Do index funds return 10%? ›

While the index is not immune to overall market downturns, long-term investors have historically earned a nearly 10% average annual return. However, as with all investments, it's important to note that past performance can't be used to predict future results.

What is the 80 20 rule for index funds? ›

80% of your portfolio's losses may be traced to 20% of your investments. 80% of your trading profits in the US market might be coming from 20% of positions (aka amount of assets owned). 80% of the US stock market capitalisation comes from around 20% of the S&P 500 Index.

How long should you stay in an index fund? ›

Ideally, you should stay invested in equity index funds for the long run, i.e., at least 7 years. That is because investing in any equity instrument for the short-term is fraught with risks. And as we saw, the chances of getting positive returns improve when you give time to your investments.

What is the return of the S&P 500 index fund? ›

S&P 500 1 Year Return is at 1.15%, compared to 0.91% last month and -1.71% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 6.29%. The S&P 500 1 Year Return is the investment return received for a 1 year period, excluding dividends, when holding the S&P 500 index.

Do rich people invest in index funds? ›

Some millionaires are all about simplicity. They invest in index funds and dividend-paying stocks. They seek passive income from equity securities just like they do from the passive rental income that real estate provides. These millionaires simply don't want to spend their time managing investments.

Is S&P 500 Index Fund a good investment? ›

Is an S&P 500 index fund a good investment? As long as your time horizon is three to five years or longer, an S&P 500 index fund could be a good addition to your portfolio.

Is Fidelity 500 Index Fund good? ›

Our recommendation for the best overall S&P 500 index fund is the Fidelity 500 Index Fund (FXAIX). With a 0.015% expense ratio, this fund is the cheapest one on our list.

How much will $10,000 be worth in 30 years? ›

Over the years, that money can really add up: If you kept that money in a retirement account over 30 years and earned that average 6% return, for example, your $10,000 would grow to more than $57,000.

How much would $8000 invested in the S&P 500 in 1980 be worth today? ›

Comparison to S&P 500 Index

To help put this inflation into perspective, if we had invested $8,000 in the S&P 500 index in 1980, our investment would be nominally worth approximately $912,320.82 in 2023. This is a return on investment of 11,304.01%, with an absolute return of $904,320.82 on top of the original $8,000.

What is the S&P 500 rate of return last 10 years? ›

Basic Info. S&P 500 10 Year Return is at 156.3%, compared to 161.0% last month and 215.4% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 112.6%.

Can you live off index funds? ›

Index fund investing might not seem as exciting as buying individual stocks, but that doesn't mean they can't build wealth effectively. It is possible (even likely) to build a million-dollar retirement nest egg using nothing but index funds.

Do index funds double every 7 years? ›

How long has it historically taken a stock investment to double? NYU business professor Aswath Damodaran has done the math. According to his math, since 1949 S&P 500 investments have doubled ten times, or an average of about seven years each time.

Should I just keep buying index funds? ›

If you're new to investing, you can absolutely start off by buying index funds alone as you learn more about how to choose the right stocks. But as your knowledge grows, you may want to branch out and add different companies to your portfolio that you feel align well with your personal risk tolerance and goals.

Can you retire a millionaire with index funds? ›

Absolutely. In fact, they may be your best bet to retire rich.

What is the 4% index fund rule? ›

The 4% rule means one can withdraw $4,000 annually for every $100,000 in the portfolio, increasing each year with inflation. This equates to estimating a 90% chance it would last for at least 30 years.

How many index funds should you hold? ›

Experts agree that for most personal investors, a portfolio comprising 5 to 10 ETFs is perfect in terms of diversification. But the number of ETFs is not what you should be looking at. Rather, you should consider the number of different sources of risk you are getting with those ETFs.

How much is $10,000 invested in Apple 20 years ago? ›

As a result, $10,000 in AAPL stock purchased 20 years ago would be worth about $7.51 million today, assuming reinvested dividends.

How much to invest in S&P 500 to be a millionaire? ›

Data source: Author's calculations. As you can see from the chart, investing $5,000 annually in the S&P 500 would make you a millionaire in a little over 30 years, assuming average 10.25% annual returns.

Should I invest all my money in S&P 500? ›

Legendary investor Warren Buffet once said that all it takes to make money as an investor is to 'consistently buy an S&P 500 low-cost index fund. ' And academic research tends to agree that the S&P 500 is a good investment in the long term, despite occasional drawdowns.

What is the average S&P 500 return over 25 years? ›

The index acts as a benchmark of the performance of the U.S. stock market overall, dating back to the 1920s. The index has returned a historic annualized average return of around 11.88% since its 1957 inception through the end of 2021.

What is the expected 30 year return on the S&P 500? ›

Stock Market Average Yearly Return for the Last 30 Years

The average yearly return of the S&P 500 is 9.773% over the last 30 years, as of the end of April 2023. This assumes dividends are reinvested. Adjusted for inflation, the 30-year average stock market return (including dividends) is 7.085%.

What is the average return of the S&P 500 last 3 years? ›

S&P 500 3 Year Return is at 37.30%, compared to 43.16% last month and 50.15% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 22.95%. The S&P 500 3 Year Return is the investment return received for a 3 year period, excluding dividends, when holding the S&P 500 index.

Does Warren Buffett have index funds? ›

Buffett bet that over 10 years, an S&P 500 index fund would outperform five actively managed hedge funds. His investment, the Vanguard 500 Index Fund Admiral Shares (NASDAQMUTFUND:VFIAX), not only won, but it trounced the competition -- earning returns of nearly 126% while the hedge funds averaged just 36%.

Does Buffett own index funds? ›

B -0.44%) shareholders, he wrote that his will recommends that most of the cash that goes to his family be put in a low-cost S&P 500 index fund. But does Buffett own any index funds himself? The answer is yes. Here are the only two index funds in Buffett's portfolio -- and how they could make you money.

Do millionaires use index funds? ›

Ultra-rich investors may hold a controlling interest in one or more major companies. But, many millionaires hold a portfolio of only a few equity securities. Many may hold index funds since they earn decent returns and you don't have to spend time managing them.

Is an S&P 500 index fund risky? ›

They're low-risk: Any fund offers the safety of diversification. With 500+ stocks in their portfolio, S&P 500 funds are especially diversified, their securities representing a range of industries.

How should a beginner invest in the S&P 500? ›

Investing in the S&P 500

You can't directly invest in the index itself, but you can buy individual stocks of S&P 500 companies, or buy a S&P 500 index fund through a mutual fund or ETF. The latter is ideal for beginner investors since they provide broad market exposure and diversification at a low cost.

What is S&P 500 downside? ›

Fund description

The Invesco S&P 500® Downside Hedged ETF (Fund) is an actively managed exchange-traded fund (ETF) that seeks to achieve positive total returns in rising or falling markets that are not directly correlated to broad equity or fixed-income market returns.

Is Vanguard or Fidelity better for index funds? ›

Performance and Cost. As the innovator of index funds, Vanguard offers an impressive range of index funds today with low expense ratios. Fidelity has a comparable selection of funds, but its fees generally aren't as competitive as Vanguard's. That said, Fidelity does offer some zero-cost funds for its own customers.

Which index fund is best for 2023? ›

Best Index Funds in India to Invest in 2023
  • UTI Nifty Next 50 Index Fund Direct-Growth.
  • Axis Nifty Next 50 Index Fund Direct-Growth.
  • Motilal Oswal S&P BSE Low Volatility Index Fund Direct-Growth.
  • Nippon India Nifty SmallCap 250 Index Fund Direct-Growth.
May 24, 2023

What is the best index fund for a Roth IRA? ›

7 Best Funds to Hold in a Roth IRA
FundInception DateTotal Annualized Return Since Inception
Vanguard Total World Stock Index Fund Admiral Shares (ticker: VTWAX)2/7/20199.1%
DFA US Small Cap Value Portfolio I (DFSVX)3/2/199310.8%
iShares Core High Dividend ETF (HDV)3/29/20119.8%
Schwab U.S. REIT ETF (SCHH)1/13/20116.3%
3 more rows
May 30, 2023

How much does an S&P 500 index fund return? ›

Basic Info. S&P 500 1 Year Return is at 1.15%, compared to 0.91% last month and -1.71% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 6.29%. The S&P 500 1 Year Return is the investment return received for a 1 year period, excluding dividends, when holding the S&P 500 index.

What is the average rate of return of the S&P 500 Index Fund? ›

S&P 500 Annual Total Return is at -18.11%, compared to 28.71% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 9.29%. The S&P 500 Annual Total Return is the investment return received each year, including dividends, when holding the S&P 500 index.

What is the average index fund return over 30 years? ›

Over the past 30 years, the S&P 500 index has delivered a compound average annual growth rate of 10.7% per year. Data source: Slickcharts.com.

What is the 10 year return of the S&P 500? ›

S&P 500 10 Year Return is at 156.3%, compared to 161.0% last month and 215.4% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 112.6%.

What is the 20 year average of the S&P 500? ›

Stock Market Average Yearly Return for the Last 20 Years

The historical average yearly return of the S&P 500 is 10.05% over the last 20 years, as of the end of April 2023. This assumes dividends are reinvested. Adjusted for inflation, the 20-year average stock market return (including dividends) is 7.335%.

What is the lifetime average return of the S&P 500? ›

The index acts as a benchmark of the performance of the U.S. stock market overall, dating back to the 1920s. The index has returned a historic annualized average return of around 11.88% since its 1957 inception through the end of 2021.

What is the average return of the S&P 400 index? ›

Evolution. The index returned an average annual return of 11.66% between July 1991 and April 2023 .

What is the average return of the S&P 500 next 5 years? ›

The S&P 500 5 year average return is 13.57%.

How long should you keep your money in an index fund? ›

Ideally, you should stay invested in equity index funds for the long run, i.e., at least 7 years. That is because investing in any equity instrument for the short-term is fraught with risks. And as we saw, the chances of getting positive returns improve when you give time to your investments.

Has the S&P 500 ever lost money over a 10 year period? ›

The term “Lost Decade for Stocks” refers to the ten-year period from 12/31/1999 through 12/31/2009, when the S&P 500® generated an annualized total return of -0.9% over the period. This was only the second time that the market actually had a negative total return over a decade period.

Is S&P 500 safe long term? ›

History shows us that investing in an S&P 500 index fund -- a fund that tracks the S&P 500's performance as closely as possible -- is remarkably safe, regardless of timing. The S&P 500 has never produced a loss over a 20-year holding period.

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