What is BlackRock Probability Of Bankruptcy? (NYSE:BLK) - Macroaxis (2024)

BLKStockUSD836.124.420.53%

BlackRock's odds of distress is less than 5% at the moment. It is unlikely to undergo any financial straits in the next 24 months. Bankruptcy prediction helps decision makers evaluate BlackRock's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the BlackRock balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out BlackRock Piotroski F Score and BlackRock Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy BlackRock Stock please use our How to buy in BlackRock Stock guide.

BlackRock

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Short Term Coverage Ratios

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Probability Of Bankruptcy

BlackRock Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

BlackRock's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

=

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current BlackRock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 5%

Most of BlackRock's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, BlackRock is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of BlackRock probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting BlackRock odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of BlackRock financial health.

Is BlackRock's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BlackRock. If investors know BlackRock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BlackRock listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.103

Dividend Share

20

Earnings Share

36.54

Revenue Per Share

119.596

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.068

The market value of BlackRock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BlackRock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BlackRock's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BlackRock's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BlackRock's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BlackRock's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between BlackRock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BlackRock is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BlackRock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

BlackRock Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for BlackRock is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of BlackRock Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since BlackRock's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of BlackRock's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of BlackRock's interrelated accounts and indicators.

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Click cells to compare fundamentals

The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, BlackRock has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 89.99% lower than that of the Capital Markets sector and 87.56% lower than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.

BlackRock Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses BlackRock's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of BlackRock could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BlackRock by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

BlackRock is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

BlackRock Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.02650.02790.03870.0440.04470.0647
Asset Turnover0.0890.08620.09160.130.150.14
Net Debt126M(1.4B)(5M)1.1B966M1.0B
Total Current Liabilities1.2B1.0B1.4B1.3B1.2B1.5B
Non Current Liabilities Total132.5B138.3B112.4B77.5B80.7B119.4B
Total Assets168.6B177.0B152.6B117.6B123.2B119.8B
Total Current Assets23.5B28.7B20.2B16.4B19.2B16.7B
Total Cash From Operating Activities2.9B3.7B4.9B5.0B4.1B2.2B

BlackRock ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, BlackRock's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to BlackRock's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environment Score

Governance Score

Social Score

BlackRock Fundamentals

Return On Equity0.14
Return On Asset0.0329
Profit Margin0.31 %
Operating Margin0.36 %
Current Valuation123.63 B
Shares Outstanding148.94 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.95 %
Shares Owned By Institutions88.10 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.35 M
Price To Earning19.81 X
Price To Book3.17 X
Price To Sales6.97 X
Revenue18.66 B
Gross Profit8.79 B
EBITDA7.47 B
Net Income5.5 B
Cash And Equivalents7.42 B
Cash Per Share43.42 X
Total Debt9.7 B
Debt To Equity0.22 %
Current Ratio1.74 X
Book Value Per Share264.96 X
Cash Flow From Operations4.14 B
Short Ratio2.11 X
Earnings Per Share36.54 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.69 X
Target Price916.23
Number Of Employees19.8 K
Beta1.38
Market Capitalization124.53 B
Total Asset123.21 B
Retained Earnings32.34 B
Working Capital17.93 B
Current Asset8.32 B
Current Liabilities3.04 B
Z Score8.59
Annual Yield0.02 %
Five Year Return2.38 %
Net Asset123.21 B
Last Dividend Paid20.0

About BlackRock Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze BlackRock's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of BlackRock using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlackRock based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

The firm primarily provides its services to institutional, intermediary, and individual investors including corporate, public, union, and industry pension plans, insurance companies, third-party mutual funds, endowments, public institutions, governments, foundations, charities, sovereign wealth funds, corporations, official institutions, and banks. BlackRock, Inc. was founded in 1988 and is based in New York City with additional offices in Boston, Massachusetts London, United Kingdom Gurgaon, India Hong Kong Greenwich, Connecticut Princeton, New Jersey Edinburgh, United Kingdom Sydney, Australia Taipei, Taiwan Singapore Sao Paulo, Brazil Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Washington, District of Columbia Toronto, Canada Wilmington, Delaware and San Francisco, California. Blackrock operates under Asset Management classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 19900 people.

BlackRock Investors Sentiment

The influence of BlackRock's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in BlackRock. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Investor biases related to BlackRock's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BlackRock. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BlackRock can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BlackRock. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

BlackRock's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for BlackRock's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average BlackRock's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on BlackRock.

BlackRock Implied Volatility

24.5

BlackRock's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BlackRock stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BlackRock's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BlackRock stock will not fluctuate a lot when BlackRock's options are near their expiration.

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BlackRock in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BlackRock's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BlackRock options trading.

Pair Trading with BlackRock

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if BlackRock position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BlackRock will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with BlackRock Stock

0.76AMP Ameriprise Financial Fiscal Quarter End 31st of March 2024 PairCorr
0.63AXP American Express Fiscal Quarter End 31st of March 2024 PairCorr

Moving against BlackRock Stock

0.72GROW US Global Investors Report 14th of June 2024 PairCorr
0.54ESAC ESGEN Acquisition CorpPairCorr
0.48FRHC Freedom Holding CorpPairCorr

The ability to find closely correlated positions to BlackRock could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace BlackRock when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back BlackRock - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling BlackRock to buy it.

The correlation of BlackRock is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other equities. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as BlackRock moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if BlackRock moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for BlackRock can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

When determining whether BlackRock is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if BlackRock Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Blackrock Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Blackrock Stock:

Check out BlackRock Piotroski F Score and BlackRock Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy BlackRock Stock please use our How to buy in BlackRock Stock guide.

You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

Complementary Tools for BlackRock Stock analysis

When running BlackRock's price analysis, check to measure BlackRock's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BlackRock is operating at the current time. Most of BlackRock's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BlackRock's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BlackRock's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BlackRock to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is BlackRock's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BlackRock. If investors know BlackRock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BlackRock listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.103

Dividend Share

20

Earnings Share

36.54

Revenue Per Share

119.596

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.068

The market value of BlackRock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BlackRock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BlackRock's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BlackRock's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BlackRock's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BlackRock's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between BlackRock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BlackRock is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BlackRock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

What is BlackRock Probability Of Bankruptcy? (NYSE:BLK) - Macroaxis (2024)

FAQs

Is BlackRock going under? ›

The Probability of Bankruptcy of BlackRock Inc (BLK) is 4.8% . This number represents the probability that BlackRock will face financial distress in the next 24 months given its current fundamentals and market conditions.

How much money does BlackRock actually have? ›

BlackRock, Inc. is an American multinational investment company. It is the world's largest asset manager, with $10 trillion in assets under management as of December 31, 2023. Headquartered in New York City, BlackRock has 78 offices in 38 countries, and clients in 100 countries.

What is Blackrocks rate of return? ›

Compare BLK With Other Stocks
BlackRock ROI - Return on Investment Historical Data
DateTTM Net IncomeReturn on Investment
2022-03-31$7.67B14.32%
2021-12-31$7.45B13.51%
2021-09-30$7.26B12.77%
55 more rows

Who owns the most shares in BlackRock Fund Advisors? ›

1. Larry Fink. Larry Fink, one of the original eight Blackrock owners and founders, currently holds the positions of CEO and Chairman and is the largest individual shareholder of the company. As of 6 November 2023, he held 435,260 shares of the asset management firm.

Is BlackRock in spy? ›

On February 13, 2024 - BlackRock Inc. filed a 13F-HR form disclosing ownership of 1,223,938 shares of SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (US:SPY) valued at $581,749,971 USD as of December 31, 2023.

Who owns BlackRock now? ›

BlackRock is not owned by a single individual or company. Instead, its shares are owned by a large number of individual and institutional investors. The biggest institutional shareholders such as The Vanguard Group and State Street are merely custodians of the stock for their clients.

How much does the CEO of BlackRock earn? ›

April 4 (Reuters) - BlackRock (BLK. N) , opens new tab CEO Laurence Fink's total pay for 2023 was $26.9 million, down from $32.7 million a year earlier, according to the company's regulatory filings on Thursday.

How much of Apple does BlackRock own? ›

BlackRock Inc. ownership in AAPL / Apple Inc.
SecurityAAPL / Apple Inc.
InstitutionBlackRock Inc.
Latest Disclosed Ownership1,043,713,019 shares
Ownership6.70%

How BlackRock owns the world? ›

BlackRock has evolved from a small startup to a global conglomerate. This market giant invests in experimenting in all areas, and as a result, it owns shares and voting rights in several of Europe's largest firms, including those in energy, oil and gas, and, of course, banking.

Is it safe to invest in BlackRock? ›

BlackRock currently has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.34, on a scale of 1 to 5 (Strong Buy to Strong Sell), calculated based on the actual recommendations (Buy, Hold, Sell, etc.) made by 16 brokerage firms.

Should I sell my BlackRock stock? ›

BlackRock's analyst rating consensus is a Strong Buy. This is based on the ratings of 10 Wall Streets Analysts.

What is BlackRock debt rating? ›

We assigned our 'AA-' issuer credit rating to BlackRock Funding Inc. The stable outlook reflects the outlook on parent company BlackRock Inc. In addition, we assigned our 'AA-' rating to BlackRock Funding Inc.'s proposed senior unsecured notes due 2029, 2034, and 2054.

Does BlackRock own Amazon? ›

Blackrock

With 613.38 million shares valued at $90.18 billion, it ranks as the third-largest shareholder among Amazon's top ten and the second-biggest institutional shareholder. These holdings represent 5.94% of Amazon's total outstanding stock. As of September 30, 2023, Blackrock managed assets totaling $9.1 trillion.

Who are BlackRock's biggest clients? ›

Companies using BlackRock Aladdin for Portfolio and Investment Management include: Microsoft, a United States based Professional Services organisation with 221000 employees and revenues of $211.92 billion, MetLife, a United States based Insurance organisation with 45000 employees and revenues of $66.41 billion, Swiss ...

What is the net worth of Larry Fink? ›

What is happening to BlackRock? ›

BlackRock is making management changes as it fights political scrutiny and molds the next generation of leaders. BlackRock is mandating 4 days in the office, starting in September. Read the memo on the firm's plans. BlackRock is cutting up to 500 jobs as the market turndown hits the world's largest money manager.

What is the issue with BlackRock? ›

BlackRock has been under fire from conservative U.S. politicians who say it has over-emphasized sustainability issues, citing past proxy votes. BlackRock did not address how the criticism may have shaped votes this year. Get a look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets with the Morning Bid U.S. newsletter.

Has BlackRock lost money? ›

At the beginning of 2023, Fink acknowledged that the year before, BlackRock had lost around $4 billion in assets under management as a result of boycotts against the company. However, that number, Fink said, was little in comparison with the $230 billion BlackRock brought in new money from U.S. clients.

Is BlackRock doing well? ›

Currently, BlackRock Inc's price-earnings ratio is 19.1. BlackRock Inc's trailing 12-month revenue is $18.3 billion with a 30.0% profit margin. Year-over-year quarterly sales growth most recently was 6.8%. Analysts expect adjusted earnings to reach $41.275 per share for the current fiscal year.

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