What Are The Odds of Winning with Pocket Aces? (2024)

Pocket Aces are the best possible starting hand in a game of Texas Hold’em. While you’re not going to automatically win the pot just because you picked up pocket aces, the hand does have around an 85 percent chance of winning head-to-head against a random two-card hand.

Let’s take a look at how pocket aces stack up against a few other specific hands in Texas Hold’em.

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What Are The Odds of Winning with Pocket Aces? (2)

Odds of Winning With Pocket Aces

The following numbers represent the probability of pockets aces winning against other hands during the preflop betting round, with no community cards on the board:

What Are The Odds of Winning with Aces Against Kings?

When pocket aces go heads-up against pocket kings preflop, pocket aces have around an 81 percent chance of winning. That probability goes up slightly if one of the aces and one of the kings share the same suit.

If both cards in each hand are the same suits (like A♠ A versus K♠ K), pocket aces become an 82.36 percent favorite to win.

What Are The Odds of Winning with Aces Against Ace-King?

Ace-King is a powerful preflop starting hand, but pocket aces crush ace-king when the two hands go head-to-head. Pocket aces beat ace-king offsuit around 92 percent of the time.

The suited version of ace-king (like AK) fares a bit better against pocket aces, but still loses around 87 percent of the time.

What Hand Has the Best Odds Against Pocket Aces?

Suited connector hands like 8♣ 7♣ and 7♣ 6♣ have the best odds against pocket aces, but are still a major underdog preflop. Pocket aces hold 76.83 percent equity against both of these hands if the suited connector doesn’t share the suit with one of the aces.

The odds go down slightly if the suit is shared with one of the aces (like 8♣ 7♣ against A♣ A). In this case, pocket aces have a 77.88 percent chance of winning.

How Often Will I Get Pocket Aces in Texas Hold’em?

The probability of picking up pocket aces (or any particular pocket pair) in Texas Hold’em is once every 221 hands. You’ll sometimes see pocket aces several times in a single session, however, and you’ll also experience lengthy stretches without picking up aces.

In the long run, all players at the table have the same chance of being dealt pocket aces in a particular hand.

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What Are The Odds of Winning with Pocket Aces? (3)

Note: Are you here just to learn how to play poker...or do you want to know how to win too? Get this free guide with 10 quick poker strategy tips if you want to come out on top.

What Are The Odds of Winning with Pocket Aces? (4)

What Are The Odds of Winning with Pocket Aces? (2024)

FAQs

What Are The Odds of Winning with Pocket Aces? ›

The probability you will get pocket aces in any one hand is 6/1326, or once every 221 hands. According to my 10-player Texas Hold 'em section (/games/texas-hold-em

texas-hold-em
Texas hold 'em (also known as Texas holdem, hold 'em, and holdem) is one of the most popular variants of the card game of poker. Two cards, known as hole cards, are dealt face down to each player, and then five community cards are dealt face up in three stages.
https://en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Texas_hold_'em
/10players. html) the probability of winning with pocket aces is 31.36%, assuming all players stay in until the end.

What are the odds of pocket aces winning? ›

Pocket Aces are the best possible starting hand in a game of Texas Hold'em. While you're not going to automatically win the pot just because you picked up pocket aces, the hand does have around an 85 percent chance of winning head-to-head against a random two-card hand.

Can you beat Pocket aces? ›

Any hand can do it. Even in a heads-up situation, pocket Aces is only an 81/19 favorite over ANY OTHER POCKET PAIR. That means you could have pocket deuces and, at least one time out of five, you're going to beat those pocket Aces.

What are the odds of getting a pair of aces? ›

There are six ways to get either a pair of aces or a pair of kings in two cards (4*3/2). The probability of getting a pair of aces is 6/1326=0.004525.

How often do pocket aces win in poker? ›

On average, how many times do you get dealt pocket Aces in Texas Holdem Poker before folding them? In heads up (one on one) action, pockets aces will win about 80% of the time. The problem with trying to answer this question is that you never know what is going to happen until it happens.

How should you bet with pocket aces? ›

Isolation Raise & 3-Bet With AA

In a cash game, you should default use 3-bets, 4-bets, and even 5-bets with pocket aces. The default strategy is to play them aggressively, minimizing opponents' chances of outdrawing you. Pocket aces demand assertiveness.

Should you go all in with pocket aces? ›

If you have aces and face a 3bet, the default move would be to 4bet your hand or go all-in, depending on your stack size. By doing so, you will definitely be making money in the long run, no matter your opponent's strategy.

Why are pocket aces so good in poker? ›

Why Are Pocket Aces Good? Aces are the most powerful starting hand in Hold'em! In fact, against any other random hand, Pocket Rockets will win at showdown about 85% of the time! As such, if you're wondering when to fold pocket aces preflop, the correct answer would be NEVER!

Why do I always lose with pocket aces? ›

Pocket aces, while the best starting hand possible in Texas Hold'em, is still just one pair. Every other two starting cards still have equity against you, and when you are playing at the micro stakes in particular and getting lots of callers before the flop, you will lose with pocket aces frequently.

What are the odds of 2 people getting pocket aces? ›

There are 4*3/2=6 ways to arrange 2 aces out of 4. So the answer is 6/1326 = 1/221.

What are the odds of pocket aces back to back? ›

“ For example, what's the odds of getting aces twice in a row in the next two hands is 1 in 48841. But the odds of getting aces twice in a row given that you got aces in the first hand is only 1 in 221.

What is the best hand to beat pocket aces? ›

The hand with the most equity against pocket Aces is 56s (of a different suit to the Aces) and has ~23.1% equity. The hand with the least equity against Aces is A2o (2 is same suit as one of the Aces) which has about 6.5% equity.

How to quickly calculate poker odds? ›

It's a very simple calculation to figure basic pot odds: take the amount that's in the pot ($100) and divide it by the size of the bet you need to call ($50), which comes out to 2-1 odds (two times your bet).

What are the best starting hands in poker? ›

The best starting hands in Texas Hold'em poker are undoubtedly the pocket pairs with pocket aces on the top, followed by pocket kings and pocket queens. The pocket pairs (Ace-Ace, King-King, Queen-Queen) are the best hands to play in the preflop betting round.

How do I calculate odds? ›

To convert from a probability to odds, divide the probability by one minus that probability. So if the probability is 10% or 0.10 , then the odds are 0.1/0.9 or '1 to 9' or 0.111. To convert from odds to a probability, divide the odds by one plus the odds.

What are the odds of getting pocket aces three times in a row? ›

For the last ace, 1/49. To get the probability of all this happening, multiply the individual probabilities together: (4/52) x (3/51) x (2/50) x (1/49). Which works out to 1/270,725.

What are odds of getting pocket aces twice? ›

The question should be “what's the odds of getting pocket aces twice in a row given…. “ For example, what's the odds of getting aces twice in a row in the next two hands is 1 in 48841. But the odds of getting aces twice in a row given that you got aces in the first hand is only 1 in 221.

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