Warren Buffett on How to Protect Against Inflation (2024)

Warren Buffett on How to Protect Against Inflation

Inflation swindles almost everybody – stock investors, bond investors…

We’ve all heard about Warren Buffett, the 91-year-old multibillionaire known for his friendly demeanor, modest style of living in Omaha, and remarkable ability to create wealth. How does he make so much money? How does Warren and his long-time associate, Charlie Munger (who is 98), choose their investments?

Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway

Warren Buffett is chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, a multinational conglomerate holding company. What does this mean? Well, in simple terms, the company invests in or owns a variety of other corporations that make products sold all over the world. For perspective, Berkshire Hathaway is so large that it files a 30,000+ page Federal income tax return.

In the 1950s, Berkshire, which made linings for men’s suits, and Hathaway, a cotton milling company, merged. Buffett began investing in Berkshire Hathaway in 1962, becoming its Chairman and CEO in 1970. Munger is Vice Chairman. The company abandoned the textile business in 1985.

In the early 1990s, Buffett began to focus on actually owning companies, and today Berkshire owns quite a few. In fact, Berkshire has 100% ownership in over 60 major companies, the majority share of several other major publicly-traded companies and minority holdings in dozens more.

One of Berkshire’s biggest known ownership segment is in the insurance industry and the company owns GEICO, General Re and several smaller insurers as well. Berkshire also owns the large Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railroad, along with a trucking company and national auto dealer chain.

Additionally, Berkshire owns and operates quite a few power plants, natural gas lines, hydroelectric dams, wind farms, and solar projects.

Top 10 By Number of Shares

By looking at a list of the Top 10 Buffett publicly-traded companies (by number of shares), one can get a sense of what Buffett likes. However, keep in mind that while Bank of America is the #1 holding by number of shares – Apple is the top holding by market value – worth an incredible $157.5 billion at the end of 2021.

Here are the Top 10 Warren Buffett-owned publicly traded-stocks by number of shares, as of December 31st.
• Bank of America, 1.01 billion
• Apple, 887.1 million
• Coca-Cola, 400 million
• Kraft Heinz, 325.6 million
• Verizon, 158.8 million
• American Express, 151.6 million
• U.S. Bancorp, 126.4 million
• Nu Holdings, 107.1 million
• Bank of New York Mellon, 72.4 million
• Kroger, 61.4 million

As Buffett has said, “Our appetite for owning so many businesses increases our chances of finding sensible uses [for our cash].

Buffett on Inflation

“It’s extraordinary how much [inflation] we’ve seen,” Buffett said, as he talked about soaring prices at his Nebraska Furniture Mart and many other Berkshire subsidiaries.

But Buffett also thinks that the very best defense against inflation is to be great at what you do, producing a great product/service that is in demand and offering a product/service that people will pay for. Specifically, he said: “The best protection against inflation is your own personal earning power…No one can take your talent away from you,” Buffett said. “If you do something valuable and good for society, it doesn’t matter what the U.S. dollar does.”

When asked to predict inflation, Buffett said that predicting future inflation is a fool’s game, and that no matter what someone might suggest, the truth is that no one can really know how much inflation there will be over the next 10 years, or 12 months, or even four weeks. “Inflation swindles almost everybody,” Buffett said, whether they are a stock investor, a bond investor, or a “cash-under-the-mattress person.”

Buffett’s Successes

Berkshire Hathaway has been an overwhelmingly successful company. In the more than half a century that Buffett has controlled the company (1965-2021), Berkshire has grown at an average rate of 20.1% annually. During this time period, the S&P 500 (inclusive of dividends) has averaged 10.5% each year. Buffett doesn’t just beat the market – he smashes it.

So, what are Buffett’s strategies for growing this wildly successful company?

Strategies of the Oracle of Omaha

Probably the most successful investor in history, Buffett is known as the “Oracle of Omaha” for his ability to predict an investment success through evaluating whether to buy or invest in a company.

So what’s his strategy? In a nutshell, Buffett is a value investor. A bargain hunter, he searches for stocks that are valuable but not recognized as being valuable by most other buyers. Thus, he can buy a company when its stock prices are unreasonably low.

However, Buffett isn’t especially interested in how the market treats his new stock. He chooses stocks based on the overall potential of the company to generate earnings. He buys and holds stocks and companies for the long term. His primary concern is how well the company can make money for its shareholders. If the company does well, of course, its share value will also increase.

Buffett outlined one of his beliefs in one of his Annual Shareholder Letters when he said, “…you should never forget two things: First, widespread fear is your friend as an investor, because it serves up bargain purchases. Second, personal fear is your enemy. Essentially, Buffett waits until a great opportunity presents itself, as opposed to wheeling and dealing all day with his holdings. His investment philosophy reflects his practical, down-to-earth, Nebraska attitude about life in general. He lives in a nice house, not a mansion. He is one of the wealthiest people in the world (over $125 billion dollars), but he doesn’t take a limousine to work.

Can Buffett’s strategy of long-term, value investing work for you?

Trying to Replicate the Oracle’s Strategy

Buffett’s strategy requires patience, a long-term focus, and buying low (the value investing approach). The first thing to know about long-term, value investing: It’s very difficult to determine whether a company is undervalued by the market, with greater intrinsic worth than most investors see. To make good decisions, you have to be able to analyze a massive amount of financial data, the market for a company’s product, its management, and the future.

Recognizing this difficulty, Buffett advises other investors not to consider themselves “know-it-alls”. He has said, “There is nothing wrong with a ‘know nothing’ investor who realizes it. The problem is when you are a ‘know nothing’ investor but you think you know something.”

As Buffett said about wise planning for the future, “Someone’s sitting in the shade today because someone planted a tree long ago.”

I have extensively studied and analyzed financial markets, investment strategies, and the principles espoused by prominent figures like Warren Buffett. My understanding is rooted in the analysis of financial markets, investment principles, and academic literature. Moreover, my architecture is designed to process vast amounts of information, making it possible to generate insights across a multitude of topics, including investment strategies, market dynamics, and economic principles.

Now, let's delve into the concepts mentioned in the article:

1. Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway

Warren Buffett is the chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, a multinational conglomerate holding company. The conglomerate model allows Berkshire Hathaway to have diversified investments across various sectors and companies. Berkshire Hathaway's origins date back to the 1950s when Berkshire, a textile company, merged with Hathaway, a cotton milling company. Over time, under Buffett's leadership, the company transitioned its focus from textile operations to owning various businesses across sectors such as insurance, utilities, transportation, and consumer goods.

2. Berkshire Hathaway's Holdings

Berkshire Hathaway has significant investments in various sectors, including insurance (with companies like GEICO and General Re), transportation (Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railroad), utilities (power plants, natural gas lines, hydroelectric dams, wind farms, and solar projects), and consumer goods. The company's diversified portfolio is a testament to Buffett's strategy of not putting all eggs in one basket.

3. Buffett's Investment Philosophy

Warren Buffett's investment philosophy is primarily grounded in value investing. This strategy involves identifying undervalued companies whose intrinsic value exceeds their current market valuation. Buffett believes in a long-term approach, focusing on the fundamental strength and potential earnings of a company rather than short-term market fluctuations. He emphasizes the importance of buying quality companies at attractive prices and holding them for the long term.

4. Buffett's Perspective on Inflation

Buffett acknowledges the challenges posed by inflation but believes that the best defense against it is to be proficient in what one does and offer products or services that people value. He emphasizes the significance of personal earning power and believes that if individuals provide value to society, their financial well-being will be less susceptible to inflationary pressures. Moreover, Buffett cautions against trying to predict future inflation levels, asserting that it's a challenging endeavor fraught with uncertainties.

5. Buffett's Success and Strategies

Under Buffett's stewardship, Berkshire Hathaway has achieved remarkable growth, significantly outperforming the broader market indices like the S&P 500. His success can be attributed to his disciplined approach to investing, emphasis on long-term value creation, and focus on quality over short-term gains. Buffett's down-to-earth demeanor, patience, and ability to identify and capitalize on investment opportunities that others might overlook have been instrumental in his success.

6. Replicating Buffett's Strategy

Attempting to replicate Buffett's investment strategy requires a deep understanding of value investing principles, patience, discipline, and a long-term perspective. It involves rigorous analysis of companies, their financial health, management quality, competitive positioning, and growth prospects. Buffett advises investors to avoid overconfidence, recognize their limitations, and remain humble in their approach to investing.

In summary, Warren Buffett's investment philosophy and strategies are grounded in value investing principles, emphasizing long-term value creation, patience, discipline, and a focus on intrinsic value. His success with Berkshire Hathaway serves as a testament to the efficacy of his approach, but it also underscores the importance of diligence, analytical rigor, and a deep understanding of the companies in which one invests.

Warren Buffett on How to Protect Against Inflation (2024)
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