Vanguard Total Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy 2023 | VTSAX | Macroaxis (2024)

VTSAXFundUSD115.970.040.03%

Vanguard Total Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy is used to show its chance of financial distress over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Vanguard Total Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting Vanguard Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Vanguard balance sheet as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Vanguard Total Piotroski F Score and Vanguard Total Altman Z Score analysis.

Vanguard

Vanguard Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

Vanguard Total's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

=

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Vanguard Total Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 1%

Most of Vanguard Total's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Vanguard Total Stock is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of Vanguard Total probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Vanguard Total odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Vanguard Total Stock financial health.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Total's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Total is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Total's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Vanguard Total Probability Of Bankruptcy Component Assessment

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Vanguard Total Stock has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 1.0%. This is much higher than that of the Vanguard family and significantly higher than that of the Large Blend category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.

Vanguard Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Vanguard Total's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the mutual funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Vanguard Total could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vanguard Total by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

Vanguard Total is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy among similar funds.

Vanguard Fundamentals

About Vanguard Total Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Vanguard Total Stock's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Vanguard Total using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vanguard Total Stock based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this mutual fund, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index, which represents approximately 100 percent of the investable U.S. stock market and includes large-, mid-, small-, and micro-cap stocks. It invests by sampling the index, meaning that it holds a broadly diversified collection of securities that, in the aggregate, approximates the full index in terms of key characteristics.

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Vanguard Total in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Vanguard Total's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Vanguard Total options trading.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Check out Vanguard Total Piotroski F Score and Vanguard Total Altman Z Score analysis.

Note that the Vanguard Total Stock information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vanguard Total's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

Complementary Tools for Vanguard Mutual Fund analysis

When running Vanguard Total's price analysis, check to measure Vanguard Total's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vanguard Total is operating at the current time. Most of Vanguard Total's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vanguard Total's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vanguard Total's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vanguard Total to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Total's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Total is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Total's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Vanguard Total Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy 2023 | VTSAX | Macroaxis (2024)

FAQs

How safe is the Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund? ›

As government securities, the fund's holdings have very high credit quality, although some are not backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government. The portfolio managers seek to add value primarily by emphasizing specific issues that appear attractively priced based on historical yield-spread relationships.

What is the projection for VTSAX? ›

The average price target is $140.59 with a high forecast of $165.49 and a low forecast of $114.93. The average price target represents a 15.90% change from the last price of $121.31. The highest, average, and lowest price target of all analysts.

Is it better to buy VTSAX or VTI? ›

VTI vs VTSAX: Key Takeaways

As you'll see in the table above, VTI and VTSAX are nearly identical in every way. The only difference is that VTI's expense ratio is slightly lower at 0.03% compared with 0.04% for VTSAX. This is in alignment with other Vanguard comparisons, such as VOO versus VFIAX.

Is Vanguard Total stock market a good investment? ›

NYSEMKT: VTI

The real story here is that this highly diversified ETF is a great starting point for new investors and can be used as a foundation for growth both in your portfolio and in your investment knowledge.

Is it safe to invest with Vanguard? ›

At Vanguard, all customers are covered by the US investor protection scheme called SIPC. The SIPC investor protection scheme shields you from the loss of cash and securities in case the broker goes bust. The limit of SIPC protection is $500,000, which includes a $250,000 limit for cash.

What is the safest money market fund? ›

Our picks at a glance
RankFundMinimum investment
1Vanguard Federal Money Market Fund (VMFXX)$3,000
2Schwab Value Advantage Money Fund Investor Shares (SWVXX)$0
3PIMCO Government Money Market Fund (AMAXX)$1,000
4Vanguard Cash Reserves Federal Money Market Fund Admiral Shares (VMRXX)$3,000
3 more rows
Mar 18, 2024

Is VTSAX good long term? ›

VTSAX is great if you are looking for a fund you can invest in and maximize the efficiency of the use of your money to retire early. VTSAX allows you to get diversification, has a good history of returns, and provides a dividend that you can reinvest.

Why is VTSAX a good investment? ›

As of January 2023, its 30-day yield is 1.63%, and it's a very tax-efficient fund to own in a taxable brokerage account. VTSAX is the world's first trillion-dollar fund. Between its other share classes, including the ETF share class VTI, $1.2 trillion is invested in the Vanguard Total Stock Market Fund.

Is VTSAX better than spy? ›

SPY - Performance Comparison. In the year-to-date period, VTSAX achieves a 3.74% return, which is significantly lower than SPY's 4.50% return. Over the past 10 years, VTSAX has underperformed SPY with an annualized return of 11.60%, while SPY has yielded a comparatively higher 12.19% annualized return.

What is the downside of VTSAX? ›

Risk Factors

VTSAX has generated a negative alpha over the past five years of -0.95, demonstrating that managers in this portfolio find it difficult to pick securities that generate better-than-benchmark returns.

Why pick VTSAX over VTI? ›

VTI vs VTSAX: Who Should Invest

Investors who prefer to trade during the day to take advantage of price fluctuations may prefer an ETF like VTI, whereas a more passive buy-and-hold investor may prefer a mutual fund like VTSAX.

Why is VTSAX more expensive than VTI? ›

Because VTI is an ETF that trades daily, it can be traded for as low as $1.00. As a mutual fund, VTSAX is usually accompanied by higher investment minimums. That said, while investment minimums are higher for VTSAX, Vanguard is an investor-focused provider of low-cost and easy-to-access mutual funds.

What is the Warren Buffett Rule? ›

The Buffett Rule is the basic principle that no household making over $1 million annually should pay a smaller share of their income in taxes than middle-class families pay. Warren Buffett has famously stated that he pays a lower tax rate than his secretary, but as this report documents this situation is not uncommon.

Is it better to invest in total stock market or S&P 500? ›

For investors with small-cap exposure elsewhere in their portfolios, the large- and mid-cap S&P 500 fund may suffice. But for a broader, one-stop-shopping fund, the total market index offers maximum diversification within the U.S. equity universe.

What stock does Vanguard own the most? ›

Top 50 Vanguard Group Inc Holdings
StockCompany NameShares Owned
AMZNAmazon Com Inc$ 117.16B
NVDANvidia Corporation$ 101.28B
GOOGLAlphabet Inc$ 68.98B
METAMeta Platforms Inc$ 65.96B
52 more rows

Is a federal money market account safe? ›

Like other deposit accounts, money market accounts are insured by the FDIC or NCUA, up to $250,000 held by the same owner or owners. Money market accounts tend to pay you higher interest rates than other types of savings accounts.

Are money market mutual funds in danger? ›

Low Risk and Short Duration

As stated above, money market funds are often considered less risky than their stock and bond counterparts. That's because these types of funds typically invest in low-risk vehicles such as certificates of deposit (CDs), Treasury bills (T-Bills), and short-term commercial paper.

What are the risks of money market funds? ›

Because they invest in fixed income securities, money market funds and ultra-short duration funds are subject to three main risks: interest rate risk, liquidity risk and credit risk.

What happened to Vanguard Prime money market fund? ›

The $125.3 billion Prime fund will transition to a government money market fund and be renamed Vanguard Cash Reserves Federal Money Market Fund in late September 2020 to better meet investor needs and lower risk.

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