Top 3 Easy Ways to Protect Yourself from a Debt Ceiling Default (2024)

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Top 3 Easy Ways to Protect Yourself from a Debt Ceiling Default (1)If the US Government does not raise the federal debt ceiling limit by its deadline, there will be serious repercussions felt throughout the American economy and around the world.

Many people are fearful of the results that could take place if the debt ceiling is not raised. But, there are several things that you can do in order to ensure that your personal finances are in order should the United States government default on its debts.

How To Protect Yourself from a Debt Ceiling Default

Stick To Your Budget

One of the best things that you can do if the United States government defaults on its debts because of failing to raise the debt ceiling limit is to stick to your monthly budget. You should have a written monthly budget already, and a time of crisis where the world financial markets may see disturbances is not a time to deviate from your budget.

Dave Ramsey is famous for often saying that you need to have a plan for every single dollar of income that you earn. Every dollar needs to have a name whether it is allocated for rent, electric, credit card debt, or something else. You should know where every dollar is going before the month even begins. Now is the time to stick to your budget.

Keep Investing

One of the worst things that you can do is panic during a financial crisis. We all saw it during the 2008 recession when housing prices and the stock market tanked. Investors ran for the hills and withdrew their investments in record numbers even from their retirement accounts.

There was a huge flight by investors from equities to bonds and cash during the last recession, and there is a huge risk in doing this. Selling your investments in a panic for safer options will force you into selling at a low point in the market which is contrary to the number one rule of the financial markets, “Buy Low, Sell High”.

The best thing that you can do if the US defaults on its debt is to continue your current investing plan. You will be able to buy new stocks and mutual fund shares at bargain discount prices. I love when the market tanks because everything is on sale!

Stockpile Your Cash

In addition to sticking to your monthly written budget, it may be a good idea to stockpile a little bit of cash in the event of a US default. Now, I’m not saying that you need to run out and buy gold or keep your money buried under the mattress in your house. But, there has never been a better time to have an emergency fund in place. Most professional financial planners recommend saving three to six months of living expenses in an emergency fund.

4 Reasons Not Raising the Debt Ceiling Would Be Bad

a reader sent me an email asking why not raising the debt ceiling would be a bad idea. This obviously is a very hot topic right now with Congressmen fighting in Washington every day on the subject of the debt ceiling. I’m not a big fan of politics, but I wanted to point out a few of the repercussions that we all could see in the near to mid-term if our elected officials fail to act by the August 2nd deadline.

1. Defaulting on Bonds

If the debt ceiling is not raised, the US will technically be in default of some of its loans, its bonds. The negative implications of defaulting will have far reaching aspects. It will amount to more than just the Chinese government, who own $268 billion of US government debt, not receiving their investments back.

A default would hurt everyone and be felt in the pockets of every American as well. Many politicians are discussing a stop-gap measure that will prevent a default temporarily and the US Treasury said that other bills will go unpaid in an effort not to default on US bonds. But, debt rating agencies such as Moody’s have already mentioned that a short-term fix may still result in a downgrade of US bonds which will still have very negative effects on the market.

2. Bond Covenants

There are many bond funds in America that have stipulations from their investors and boards of directors that they cannot own bonds of a country or institution that has defaulted. Many will be forced to automatically sell those US government bonds. With the flood of bonds entering the market, prices will drop in order to find buyers for so many government bonds.

3. Interest Rates Will Rise

Bond prices and interest rates are inversely related. So, if bond prices fall, interest rates will rise. Bond interest rates, as most of us know, help determine the prices of other financial instruments such as the interest we pay on our car loans and mortgages. Our borrowing costs will increase as a result of bond rates rising.

4. Value of the Dollar

The value of the US dollar will tank versus every other currency in the world. It will become more expensive for importers to do business. Everything that we purchase from overseas manufacturers will be more expensive because the value of the dollar will fall. Think about how you would feel or react if the price of everything on the shelf of our stores went up overnight?

I know that the idea of increasing the limit on how much our country can borrow is not a popular one. I don’t want to be in debt, and I don’t want our country to be seriously in debt either. But, unfortunately, sticking our heads in the sand and refusing to confront the situation is not a viable option either as you can see by some of the repercussions that are listed above. We cannot continue to kick the can down the road for another generation to address later.

There is a lot of fear in the financial markets with the deadline for a resolution on the debt ceiling issue looming. It is very reminiscent of the recession of 2008, and there is a fear that panic can lead to rash decisions by people. The best advice is to shore up your finances by saving your money, staying within your monthly budget, and continuing to invest with your established investing plan.

What about you? Are you getting worried about the looming debt ceiling deadline? Do you think Congress will wait right up until the end to pass something?

Past Readers’ Questions:

  • Is A $1,000 Emergency Fund Enough To Start?
  • How To Prioritize Which Bills To Pay First
  • Should You Put Your Emergency Fund In Mutual Funds?
  • How Do You Start Saving If You Live Paycheck To Paycheck?
  • How To Find A Payment Plan Without Cutting Necessities
  • Is My Money Safe In A Bank?
  • What To Invest In After The Company Match

Do you have a money question that you would like to ask? Email me your money, investing, retirement, savings, or other question to Questions [at] MoneyQandA.com. If I pick your question for the next article in the series, I’ll send you a free copy of Dave Ramsey’s book,The Total Money Makeover.

Top 3 Easy Ways to Protect Yourself from a Debt Ceiling Default (2024)

FAQs

What is the safest place for money if the US defaults on debt? ›

If you have money in U.S. government money market funds, U.S. Treasury money market funds, or treasury bills maturing in June or July SELL those securities and hold cash deposits or perhaps even prime money market funds until the debt ceiling crisis is over.

How do I prepare for debt ceiling default? ›

That means tamping down on excess spending, making a budget, and shoring up emergency savings to cover at least three months of living expenses. Since a debt default would likely send interest rates soaring, any credit card debt you're saddled with may soon cost you more.

What are the odds of debt ceiling default? ›

There's just a 2% possibility the U.S. government will default on its loans, according to analysts at Deutsche Bank, despite days of stalled-out negotiations.

Will the debt ceiling affect Social Security? ›

The debt ceiling, or limit, is the amount of money the U.S. government is allowed to borrow to meet its financial obligations, including Social Security and Medicare benefits, interest on the debt, military salaries and tax refunds, as well as a vast range of other expenses.

Where do I put money if US defaults? ›

Gold: The Traditional Safe Haven

“If the debt ceiling is not raised and the government defaults on its debt obligations, investors may turn to gold and other precious metals to protect their wealth.”

What happens to money markets if US defaults on debt? ›

A15: If a money market mutual fund held securities on which the U.S. Treasury defaulted on the payment of interest or principal, then the fund would need to sell those defaulted securities, unless the fund's board of trustees determines that disposing of the securities would not be in the best interests of the fund.

Will the stock market crash if the debt ceiling isn t raised? ›

Failure to raise the debt ceiling would send financial markets into turmoil, raise interest rates at a moment when elevated borrowing costs already weigh on economic activity and all but ensure a recession.

Should you take money out of stock market? ›

It can be nerve-wracking to watch your portfolio consistently drop during bear market periods. After all, nobody likes losing money; that goes against the whole purpose of investing. However, pulling your money out of the stock market during down periods can often do more harm than good in the long term.

How would a default affect Medicare? ›

Unlike a government shutdown, where Social Security and Medicare benefits continue to flow, that may not be the case with a default, according to Adco*ck. “There's a good chance that benefits for retirees and people with disabilities and survivors would be disrupted,” he said.

What are the odds the US will default? ›

' There is a one-in-four chance that Washington negotiators fail to raise the debt ceiling and the U.S. government is unable to pay its bills on time.

Will Treasury bills be affected by debt ceiling? ›

In fact, we have already seen evidence of significant market stress correlated with debt ceiling tensions. Yields on Treasury bills with maturity dates around the X-date have increased considerably—directly increasing the cost of borrowing for the government and thus the cost to taxpayers.

Is there a chance the US defaults? ›

Is there a high chance of a US debt default now? No — but what's shocking is that this is even possible. I'd put the chances of the US going into technical default at two to three percent — and that itself is incredible.

Will I get my Social Security check if the government defaults? ›

If the U.S. defaults, what happens to Social Security? It's possible your check could be delayed, although the length of the interruption would depend on how long it takes lawmakers to fix the fiscal situation. Seniors and other recipients should monitor the negotiations over the debt limit, Johnson said.

What will happen to Social Security if the economy collapses? ›

If trust fund assets are exhausted without reform, benefits will necessarily be lowered with no effect on budget deficits. The author is the Chief Actuary of the Social Security Administration.

What happens to Social Security if the US hits the debt ceiling? ›

So what will happen to Social Security payments if the debt ceiling is reached within the next week or two? The short answer is that those payments could be temporarily paused, delayed, or reduced, although beneficiaries will likely get them eventually.

How do I protect my 401k from government default? ›

Having a diversified 401(k) of mutual funds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that invest in stocks, bonds and even cash can help protect your retirement savings in the event of an economic downturn. How much you choose to allocate to different investments depends in part on how close you are to retirement.

What are the odds of the US Treasury default? ›

Feroli stressed that there is a 1-in-4 chance of the government reaching the X-date, which could have potentially severe consequences for the economy.

Are T bills safer than bank deposits? ›

Treasury securities, including Treasury bills, also known as T-bills, offer higher APYs than many other savings options right now. And Treasury securities are among the safest places to put your money because they are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government.

What happens to mortgage rates if the US defaults? ›

How would a debt-ceiling breach impact mortgage rates? It could get even more expensive to buy a home because a default would force the Treasury Department to pay higher interest on its bonds to convince investors to stick around — and mortgage rates and other borrowing costs tend to follow Treasury rates.

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