The UK economy still can’t cope with the consequences of Brexit | CNN Business (2024)

The UK economy still can’t cope with the consequences of Brexit | CNN Business (1)

Queues of vehicles at the Port of Dover in England seen in July

London CNN

The UK government has delayed health and safety checks on food imports from the European Union for the fifth time in three years amid fears that the extra controls will push up food prices and disrupt vital supplies.

The latest foot-dragging demonstrates that Britain is still struggling to come to terms with the painful consequences of leaving the European Union in January 2020, which has piled costs on UK businesses and weighed on trade, investment and, ultimately, economic growth.

Brexit has already contributed to Britain’s particularly high inflation by introducing friction into the country’s most important trading relationship, and hitting the value of the pound, which has made imports more expensive. A recent study by the London School of Economics found that Brexit was responsible for about a third of UK food price inflation since 2019, adding nearly £7 billion ($8.8 billion) to Britain’s grocery bill.

The UK government is anxious to avoid doing anything that makes matters worse. Tuesday’s announcement also highlights long-running concerns that border checks on food imports from the EU — which supplies 28% of the food consumed in Britain — could choke off supplies.

A customer places their payment card on to a machine at a market in Oxford, UK, on Wednesday, July 19, 2023. Britain's inflation rate cooled more than expected to the lowest level in more than a year, a sign that soaring interest rates may be starting to curtail the worst wage-price spiral in the Group of Seven nations. Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg/Getty Images UK inflation slows to 6.8% but services are getting even more expensive

The government said Tuesday that extending the deadlines would “give stakeholders additional time to prepare for the new checks.”

Under the revised timetable, health certification for “high-risk food” and “medium-risk” animal and plant products, which was previously due to be introduced at the end of October, will be pushed back to January 2024. Physical inspections have been pushed back to the end of April, with the final controls on EU imports — safety and security declarations — postponed to October 2024.

Some UK industry groups welcomed the latest delays to border checks, which, they said, will add costs and friction to supply chains.

“These Brexit checks will fuel food price inflation whenever they are brought in, and so the longer they are held off the better,” said Shane Brennan, CEO of the Cold Chain Federation.

The association — representing businesses that deliver perishable produce, which needs chilled storage — is worried that some smaller EU suppliers may simply stop exporting their products to the United Kingdom in the face of new and costly bureaucracy.

But industry groups also urged the government to provide certainty for businesses, which have repeatedly prepared for checks only to see deadlines deferred.

Although the delay was the “right decision,” Brennan said it was “yet another blow” to the government’s credibility, and “this confusion at the top” would make it even more difficult to ensure EU businesses were ready to abide by the new rules.

Andrew Opie, director of food and sustainability at the British Retail Consortium, a trade association, added: “We need to ensure EU exporters, who have already seen multiple postponements of [UK] checks, will thoroughly prepare for January and April checks in the belief that controls will be implemented.”

Supply fears

UK food producers have been subject to full border controls on products heading into the EU since January 2021, when Britain exited the EU’s vast internal market and customs union. In turn, checks on EU food coming into the UK were supposed to come into effect at the same time but were first delayed in the middle of the pandemic.

The UK economy remains in a fragile state, after Covid-19 was swiftly followed by the twin ills of high inflation and rising interest rates.

England, London, Westminster, Whitehall, HM Treasury Building at the Corner of Parliament Square and Parliament Street. (Photo by: Steve Vidler/Prisma by Dukas/Universal Images Group via Getty Images) Steve Vidler/Prisma by Dukas/Universal Images Group via Getty Images Why inflation makes Britain's debt the costliest among rich economies

The UK inflation rate is the highest in the G7, with consumer prices rising 6.8% in July compared with a year ago. Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has pledged to halve inflation this year to around 5%.

In its Tuesday statement, the government said the latest timetable for border controls took into account “the small potential impact on inflation” and the government’s “firm commitment to bring the rate down.”

By its estimates, new checks are expected to add less than 0.2 percentage points to the rate of food inflation over three years.

Beyond inflation, food supply disruptions remain a lingering concern in the UK, which imports just under half of all the food it consumes.

Earlier this year, major UK supermarkets had to ration some fruit and vegetables after poor weather in key growing regions led to a collapse in imports.

A spokesperson for the Food and Drink Federation, which represents UK food manufacturers, said the latest delays to border checks were “unfortunate but necessary, to ensure that the appropriate infrastructure is in place so that supplies of food and drink from the EU aren’t disrupted.”

In an analysis published earlier this month, the FDF found that UK-EU trade in food and drink dropped substantially in the first quarter of 2021 and took nearly two years to recover.

— Olesya Dmitracova contributed reporting.

The UK economy still can’t cope with the consequences of Brexit | CNN Business (2024)

FAQs

The UK economy still can’t cope with the consequences of Brexit | CNN Business? ›

The UK government has delayed health and safety checks on food imports from the European Union for the fifth time in three years amid fears that the extra controls will push up food prices and disrupt vital supplies.

Is Brexit still affecting the UK economy? ›

The average Briton was nearly £2,000 worse off in 2023, while the average Londoner was nearly £3,400 worse off last year as a result of Brexit, the report reveals.* It also calculates that there are nearly two million fewer jobs overall in the UK due to Brexit – with almost 300,000 fewer jobs in the capital alone.

Why is Brexit bad for UK businesses? ›

Smaller businesses lack the same resources, staffing power and financial stability to relocate or claim financial assistance, making it much harder for them to respond to these challenges. A recent survey by the British Chambers of Commerce found that half of small businesses are finding it harder to export to the EU.

Why is the UK economy struggling? ›

WEAK PRODUCTIVITY

Output per hour worked in similar countries has also increased only slowly since the global financial crisis. But low levels of business investment, Brexit barriers to trade, low public investment and problems with skills training have been cited as factors that have left Britain lagging its peers.

Was Brexit a success or failure? ›

Success or failure? 13% of Britons consider Brexit more of a success than a failure. 57% consider it more a failure than a success. Just over one in four say it has been neither, including 21% that say it has been neither a success nor a failure and 6% that say it has been both equally.

Is Brexit the cause of UK recession? ›

The usual suspects have been quick to blame Brexit for the news that the UK ended 2023 in recession. Fortunately, the claim that the economy would still be growing if only we had remained in the EU can easily be debunked.

Did Brexit cause inflation? ›

So while Brexit may not have been the biggest reason for our surging food inflation, the higher costs it added may have played a significant part. But here's a small crumb of comfort - even with these changes, academics at Oxford Economics believe food is 7% cheaper in the UK than on average in the EU.

What did Brexit mean and its effect on business? ›

Brexit is the abbreviation of “Britain Exit,” which refers to the decision of the United Kingdom to leave the European Union. Brexit involves the process of negotiating new trade deals, citizen registration rules, borders, etc.

What UK companies are most affected by Brexit? ›

The automotive, airline, pharmaceutical and financial services industries are now likely to suffer the most. Industries across the UK were not prepared for Brexit.

How did Brexit affect UK trade? ›

In our baseline model, UK to EU trade declined by 16% and trade from EU to UK by 24%. We further examine the variation across member states, product types, time horizons and role of extensive and intensive margin.

How to fix the British economy? ›

Britain is in a rut. Here are five ways to fix the economy
  1. 1 Unfreezing the tax thresholds and taxing wealth. Income is more heavily taxed than wealth. ...
  2. 2 A broad-based devolution to cities and regions. ...
  3. 3 Bring down interest rates. ...
  4. 4 Boost social housing. ...
  5. 5 Support to get the long-term sick back to work.
Feb 15, 2024

What are the main economic problems in the UK? ›

HL: The UK economy is under pressure from a number of complex and interconnected issues. These challenges, which include inflation, the ongoing war in Ukraine, and stagnation in living standards, inter alia, have coalesced into a fragile economy which policymakers are finding extremely difficult to manage.

Will the UK economy survive? ›

The CBI's latest UK Economic Forecast shows that:

UK GDP growth is projected to rise to 1.0% in 2024. Momentum should continue in 2025, with GDP growth anticipated to reach 1.9% - broadly in line with the average pre-COVID growth rate (of 2.0% between 2010-19).

Are British happy with Brexit? ›

Share of people who think Brexit was the right or wrong decision 2020-2024. As of May 2024, 55 percent of people in Great Britain thought that it was wrong to leave the European Union, compared with 31 percent who thought it was the right decision.

Has Brexit benefited the UK? ›

Research by the Centre for European Reform suggests the UK economy is 2.5% smaller than it would have been if Remain had won the referendum. Public finances fell by £26 billion a year. This amounts to £500 million a week and is growing.

Are British people leaving the UK? ›

In the year ending June 2022, around 471,000 British people emigrated to other countries, while up to June 2023, this number rose to 508,000 Brits leaving the UK.

How has Brexit affected trade in the UK? ›

By the end of 2023, goods trade had shrunk to levels not seen since 2015. This isn't just part of a general slowing of goods trade around the world – the UK's goods exports and imports have contracted by 13.2 per cent and 7.4 per cent since 2019, by far more than any other G7 country.

Is the UK in a cost of living crisis? ›

Why is the UK having a cost of living Crisis? People affected by the cost-of-living crisis in the UK have seen prices of rent, energy and food increase dramatically, while their income, such as housing benefit, has not increased proportionally. This has made it harder for people to make ends meet.

What is the status of Brexit? ›

Following a referendum held on 23 June 2016, Brexit officially took place at 23:00 GMT on 31 January 2020 (00:00 1 February 2020 CET). The UK is the only sovereign country to have left the EU. The UK had been a member state of the EU or its predecessor, the European Communities (EC), since 1 January 1973.

What has changed since Brexit? ›

The economy and trade

Official figures have shown that its economy was alone among G7 countries in having shrunk. A report by the Centre for European Reform in December 2022 is the latest to illustrate how Brexit has hit the UK's GDP, investment and trade.

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