The Middle East is pitching itself as the future of crypto. Will companies follow? (2024)

ProofofStateis the Wednesday editionofFortune Crypto where Leo Schwartz delivers insider insights on policy and regulation.

As the results from Super Tuesday trickled in last night, crypto fundraising groups seemed to have scored a decisive victory. Rep. Katie Porter, who faced $10 million worth of negative ads from digital asset PACs, lost her bid to become the Democratic Senate candidate for California, while other pro-crypto candidates across the country notched primary victories.

Even if the crypto industry’s preferred candidates sweep into office in November, the calculus remains the same: Blockchain regulation remains a contentious topic in the U.S., where even broadly popular bills have difficulty passing through our cumbersome legislative process.

Last week, I had the opportunity to attend the Web Summit conference in Qatar, the first Middle Eastern country to host the flagship tech conference. The decision reflected the region’s ascendance, with sovereign wealth funds from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates serving as key limited partners in venture funds across the world, and both homegrown and foreign startups springing up across the area.

Crypto has been a main area of focus for several of the Gulf countries, especially the emirates of Dubai and Abu Dhabi, which saw an opportunity during the pandemic to pitch themselves as digital asset hubs. Even after the collapse of FTX, as other governments sought to distance themselves from the cancerous industry, Dubai and Abu Dhabi raced to establish new regulations.

On the sidelines of the conference, I interviewed eight investors, both from the Middle East and the U.S., to understand why the region had embraced blockchain even during the bear market, and what it means for the global industry. “If you want to leapfrog the Western countries, you have to take some risks in places where they won’t,” said Alfred Chuang, the San Francisco–based general partner of Race Capital, who began regular trips out to the Gulf region during the pandemic. “I’ve never seen the Middle East be this aggressive before.”

With billions of dollars to spend, the largest sovereign wealth funds in the Middle East—think Sanabil from Saudi Arabia and Mubadala from the United Arab Emirates—established themselves as limited partners in top U.S. crypto-focused venture firms, from Andreessen Horowitz to Haun Ventures. The outflow of capital created an awkward dynamic, with some Silicon Valley investors, who proudly tout their democratic ideals in public, loath to admit they privately took money from governments associated with human rights abuses. “They’re still seen as closed societies and slightly authoritarian,” said Etienne vantKruys, an Amsterdam-based founder of a crypto venture fund. “But still, these guys come here.”

VantKruys added that in the past few years, the UAE especially has emphasized not just spending capital outside the region, but attracting companies to set up offices in Dubai and Abu Dhabi with open regulation. The list includes everyone from Binance and Bybit to Paxos and Coinbase.

Investors from the region also told me that venture capital, both from private firms (many of which still count state funds as LPs) and governmental firms are spending on local development. Sharif El-Badawi—the CEO of Dubai Future District Fund, a venture fund of funds and investment vehicle for Dubai—pointed to Crypto Oasis, a Dubai-based community of more than 1,000 blockchain companies. “It’s really a greenfield here,” he said. “There’s a lot of opportunity to build for locals, too.”

Several investors told me that the nascent nature of markets in countries like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE meant that economies could be built from the ground up using novel technology like tokenization. The logic made sense as I wandered around Doha’s business district, replete with gleaming new skyscrapers.

Hasan Haider, the Bahrain-based founder of venture firm Plus VC, was more skeptical, though he’d invested in Rain, one of the major exchanges in the region. “I don’t see a lot of the use cases being real use cases,” he told me. “How is consumer adoption going to come?”

Even the regional edge of regulation, which isn’t hampered by the pesky problem of U.S.-style bureaucracy, doesn’t seem like a slam dunk. The much celebrated Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) in Dubai has just started to dip its toes into crypto supervision. “They don’t have enforcers yet,” El-Badawi told me. Saudi Arabia seemed to put the brakes on its regulatory efforts after the FTX collapse, though companies are hopeful there will still be progress.

The more existential overhang for the Middle East may be the risks of inviting such a volatile industry to set up shop—a lesson that the Bahamas learned in 2022. Noor Sweid, the founder of Dubai-based Global Ventures, shook off the concerns. “You’re better off trying and failing than failing to try.”

Leo Schwartz
leo.schwartz@fortune.com
@leomschwartz

DECENTRALIZED NEWS

Bitcoin briefly rose above its all-time high on Tuesday before a slight correction. But how is the number calculated anyway? (Fortune)

Crypto super PACs spent more than $13 million to influence races in California, Texas, Alabama, and North Carolina ahead of Super Tuesday. (Politico)

One of the reasons for the downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price is miners cashing out of their old block rewards, with one research firm linking selloffs to miners. (CoinDesk)

Digital Currency Group filed a motion on Wednesday to dismiss a lawsuit from the New York attorney general, describing the allegations as a “thin web of baseless innuendo.” (Fortune)

New court documents revealed that Binance.US laid off more than 200 employees, or two-thirds of its staff, after the SEC’s lawsuit last June. (Fortune)

MEME O’ THE MOMENT

A good week for HODLers:

The Middle East is pitching itself as the future of crypto. Will companies follow? (1)

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The Middle East is pitching itself as the future of crypto. Will companies follow? (2024)

FAQs

What is the future prediction for cryptocurrency? ›

UK fintech firm Finder carried out a study based on expert price predictions of 40 crypto industry specialists on how Bitcoin is expected to perform through to 2030. Bitcoin, it found, is likely to hit an average peak price of $87,875 in 2024, with some experts predicting it will climb as high as $200,000.

What is the future of the crypto industry? ›

Analysts estimate that the global cryptocurrency market will more than triple by 2030. This all leads to one big trend. Cryptocurrency, once only understood among a relatively fringe community of anti-establishment investors, is now becoming a household name – and quickly.

What crypto will be big in 2024? ›

Smog Token also went multi-chain in February 2024, bringing $SMOG to Ethereum through Wormhole and allowing $ETH holders to get positioned. With a historic airdrop incoming, $SMOG is definitely one of the next big cryptos for 2024.

Which crypto will boom in 2025? ›

Top 15 Cryptos That Will Make You Rich in 2024-2025
  • Avalanche (AVAX): Avalanche is a decentralized platform that enables the creation of custom blockchain networks and decentralized applications (dApps). ...
  • Chainlink (LINK): Chainlink is a decentralized oracle network that connects smart contracts with real-world data.
Apr 11, 2024

How much will $100 Bitcoin be worth in 10 years? ›

A $100 investment in Bitcoin could purchase 0.00607 BTC today based on a price of $16,466.14 at the time of writing. If Bitcoin hits the $1 million price target by Wood in 2030, the $100 investment would turn into $6,070. This represents a gain of 5,970% from now until 2030.

How much will $1 Bitcoin be worth in 2025? ›

Bitcoin Overview
YearMinimum PriceMaximum Price
2025$115,285.47$133,872.61
2026$165,756.42$200,472.95
2027$240,935.90$288,284.17
2028$359,657.03$422,196.78
8 more rows

Will digital currency replace cash? ›

Will a U.S. CBDC replace cash or paper currency? The Federal Reserve is committed to ensuring the continued safety and availability of cash and is considering a CBDC as a means to expand safe payment options, not to reduce or replace them.

How much will 1 Bitcoin be worth in 5 years? ›

We predict that Bitcoin will hold an average price of $60,000 in 2024, thanks to the Halving event, and settle more in 2025 with an average of $65,000. In 2026, we see Bitcoin trading as high as $90,000 by the end of the year. By 2030, we predict that Bitcoin could reach a high of $160,000.

Will cryptocurrency replace cash? ›

It's unlikely that cryptocurrency, in its current form, will replace fiat currency in developed countries. However, it is possible in financially struggling nations.

Will crypto have a bull run in 2024? ›

It's 2024. Bitcoin is breaching all-time highs again, memecoins are popular once more and decentralized-finance projects are advertising eye-popping yields. All of this sounds like a bull-market atmosphere — but it might be a while until everyone's feeling the frenzy.

Which is the most trusted cryptocurrency? ›

Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin was created by a mysterious person or group of people using the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto, and its blockchain-based, decentralized transaction verification and public ledger system revolutionized how people think about digital security.

Which crypto has best future? ›

Top 10 Cryptos to Invest In April 2024
  • Introduction to Crypto.
  • Top 10 Cryptos in 2024. Bitcoin (BTC) Ethereum (ETH) Binance Coin (BNB) Solana (SOL) Ripple (XRP) Dogecoin (DOGE) Polkadot (DOT) SHIBA INU (SHIB) Cardano (ADA) Avalanche (AVAX)
  • Conclusion.

What coins will 100x in 2024? ›

Meme coins often hook traders in with the chance to win big. There are a ton of these trendy tokens out right now, but KangaMoon (KANG), Book of Meme (BOME) and Dogecoin (DOGE) all stick out as top contenders for 2024.

Which crypto can go 100x? ›

Top 6 cryptos under $1 that could do 100x by 2025
  • Smog Token (SMOG) Smog Token has taken the crypto world by storm since its recent launch on the Solana blockchain. ...
  • Bitcoin Minetrix (BTCMTX) ...
  • Sponge V2 (SPONGEV2) ...
  • Meme Kombat ($MK) ...
  • Verasity ($VRA) ...
  • Beam ($BEAM) ...
  • Conclusion.
Feb 15, 2024

Which crypto will boom in next 5 years? ›

Cryptos that could boom in 2024 include SingularityNET and Fetch.ai, both of which may capitalize on the popularity of AI. Bitcoin is another crypto that could be poised for a strong performance in 2024, thanks to the SEC's approval of Bitcoin ETFs.

Will crypto be around in 10 years? ›

Key Takeaways. Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency, is most likely to remain popular with speculators over the next decade. Bitcoin, the blockchain, will probably continue to be developed to address long-standing issues like scalability and security.

What will $1000 of Bitcoin be worth in 2030? ›

If Wood is correct and Bitcoin reaches $3.8 million, if you invested $1,000 in Bitcoin now, it would be worth $54,280 in 2030. This would result in a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 95%.

What is the long term prediction for crypto? ›

Fidelity Predicts: $1B per 1 BTC by 2038 — 2040

Fidelity has been closely monitoring the development of Bitcoin more than most TradFi institutions. Jurrien Timmer, the Director of Global Macro at Fidelity Investments, thinks the value of a single Bitcoin could reach $1 billion by the year 2038 — 2040.

What will crypto be like in 2025? ›

Pal believes that Bitcoin could go as high as $1 million by 2025. As of now, $1,000 is worth around 0.0155 BTC. If BTC were to go to $1 million, 0.0155 Bitcoin would be worth $15,500. This would mark a return of 1,450%.

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