The Bell Curve and Cognitive Elites (2024)

The Bell Curvewas a seminal work on IQ and its impact in society, published in 1994 by psychologistRichard J. Herrnstein and libertarian political scientist Charles Murray.

Its central argument is that human intelligence, measured by IQ tests,is influenced substantially by both inherited and environmental factors, and IQ is better predictor of financial income, job performance, and involvement in crime than are parental socioeconomic statusor education level.

Another thesis of The Bell Curve is that those with high intelligence, the “cognitive elite”, are becoming increasingly separated from those of average and below-average intelligence – and that this has important social implications.

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This claim is supported by the facts. Here is a ‘bell curve’ distribution of IQ scores in the general US population. It is called a bell curve because of its bell shape. It has a similar shape for all populations in which IQ has been measured.

This curve tells us that the average IQ score is 100, and about 95% of the population have an IQ score (measured by a valid IQ test) somewhere between 70 and 130. 68% have an IQ level between 85 and 115. Each 15 IQ point interval is called one standard deviation – so we can say that 95% of the population have an IQ between -2 and +2 standard deviations from 100. Mensa requires an IQ of 130 which puts you in the top 2% of the population.

Now look at this data on college students, based on SAT scores. First, going back to 1930 (translating back from standard deviations to IQ scores!) you can see that the average IQ of all college graduates was 111. The average IQ of Ivy League colleges was 120. That’s not that different.

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But if we jump forward to 1990, just before The Bell Curve was written, you see a very different picture.

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While the average IQ of all college graduates in the country has barely changed (from 111 to 113), the average IQ of Ivy League college graduates has increased from 120 to 142. That’s an extraordinary gain.

The mean of theelite 12 universities in the US rose toover 140.

Refer to the bell curve above to see just how ‘off the curve’ that is.

That was back in 1990. Now the IQ level may be even greater, assuming it has not reached close to its natural limit – as we find in elite athletes.

The Bell Curve was controversial, and generated a lot of inaccurate and misleading public reports and discussion about IQ. To counter these reports an IQ manifesto was issued in the Wall Street Journal in December 1994, signed by 52 professors specializing in intelligence and related fields, including around one third of the editorial board of the journalIntelligence.This IQ manifesto – called ‘Mainstream Science on Intelligence’ represents the findings widely accepted in the expert community in 1994. We have come on since then in our understanding of IQ considerably but these points are still accepted and provide a good starting point for our current understanding.

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The following 18 conclusions are taken from Mainstream Science on Intelligence (1994):

  • “Intelligence is a very general mental capability … it reflects a broader and deeper capability for comprehending our surroundings …”
  • “Intelligence, so defined, can be measured, and intelligence tests measure it well. They are among the most accurate (in technical terms, reliable and valid) of all psychological tests and assessments.”
  • “While there are different types of intelligence tests, they all measure the same intelligence.”
  • “The spread of people along the IQ continuum … can be represented well by the … ‘normal curve’.”
  • “Members of all racial-ethnic groups can be found at every IQ level”
  • “IQ is strongly related, probably more so than any other single measurable human trait, to many important educational, occupational, economic, and social outcomes … Whatever IQ tests measure, it is of great practical and social importance”
  • “A high IQ is an advantage because virtually all activities require some reasoning and decision-making”
  • “The practical advantages of having a higher IQ increase as life’s settings become more complex”
  • “Differences in intelligence certainly are not the only factor affecting performance in education, training, and complex jobs … but intelligence is often the most important”
  • “Certain personality traits, special talents, [etc] are important … in many jobs, but they have narrower (or unknown) applicability or ‘transferability’ across tasks and settings compared with general intelligence”
  • “Heritability estimates range from 40% to 80%.”
  • “Members of the same family also tend to differ substantially in intelligence”
  • “Genetically caused differences are not necessarily irremediable”

Heritability estimates show that between 20% and 60% of individual differences in IQ are due to environmental influences, including education, diet and training.

What is also becoming apparent is that IQ and problem-solving IQ training – such as you find in elite universities – strongly interact. A higher IQ may give you entry to an elite university, which in turn provides a training environment to develop cognitive skills and strategies, raising the student’s IQ even further. There is a ‘virtuous circle’ effect. IQ levels on entering Harvard may be 10 or more points lower than IQ levels on leaving Harvard.

The opposite is the case for children who graduate from high school and end up in environments that do not stimulate their minds. Their IQ levels could – over a four year period – drop from high IQs of 115 or more to average levels.

The Bell Curve and Cognitive Elites (2024)

FAQs

The Bell Curve and Cognitive Elites? ›

They maintain that cognitive ability is the best predictor of worker productivity. Herrnstein and Murray argue that due to increasing returns to cognitive ability, a cognitive elite is being formed in America. They argue that this elite is getting richer and progressively more segregated from the rest of society.

What is a cognitive elite? ›

Members of the cognitive elite work in jobs that usually keep them off the shop floor, away from the construction site, and close to others who also tend to be smart.

What is the bell curve of human intelligence? ›

Based on the 68-95-99.7 Rule, approximately 68% of the individuals in the population have an IQ between 85 and 115. Values in this particular interval are the most frequent. Approximately 95% of the population has IQ scores between 70 and 130. Approximately 99.7% of the population has IQ scores between 55 and 145.

What is the bell curve in psychology? ›

The bell curve is a continuous probability distribution that is symmetrical on both sides of the mean, so the right side of the center is a mirror image of the left side. This shows that a small number of populations fall under both sides while average people lie in the bigger and middle portion of the graph.

Does IQ follow a normal distribution? ›

A graph of intelligence quotient (IQ), a measure of human intelligence, is an example of normal distribution, in which the most frequent scores are clustered near the center. The mean score is 100. The shaded region between 85 and 115 accounts for about 68 percent of the total area, hence 68 percent of all IQ scores.

What are the four cognitive abilities? ›

4 Types of cognitive abilities
  • Attention. Attention is the ability to stay focused on a task despite distractions or having multiple tasks to perform at once. ...
  • Memory. ...
  • Logic and reasoning. ...
  • Auditory and visual processing.
Feb 3, 2023

What is the highest level of cognitive ability? ›

Therefore, Evaluating is the highest level of Cognitive ability.

Why is the bell curve so important? ›

The bell curve graph is useful for repeated measurements of equipment. The bell curve graph is also useful in measuring characteristics in biology. The bell curve also has its relevance for statistical experiments like when coins are flipped several times.

What is Elon Musk's IQ? ›

Elon's IQ is estimated to be around 155, while Albert Einstein's is 160. With such a slight margin, Musk is undoubtedly an incredibly smart person. Who is the smartest person on earth in 2022? Born in 1975 in Adelaide, Australia is a mathematician, Terence Tao with an IQ score of 230.

Do IQ scores have a bell shaped distribution? ›

Scores of an IQ test have a bell-shaped distribution with a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 14.

What is an example of a bell curve? ›

A good example of a bell curve or normal distribution is the roll of two dice. The distribution is centered around the number seven and the probability decreases as you move away from the center. Here is the percent chance of the various outcomes when you roll two dice.

What is the opposite of a bell curve? ›

In statistics, an inverted bell curve is a term used loosely or metaphorically to refer to a bimodal distribution that falls to a trough between two peaks, rather than (as in a standard bell curve) rising to a single peak and then falling off on both sides.

What is the 95 rule? ›

The Empirical Rule is a statement about normal distributions. Your textbook uses an abbreviated form of this, known as the 95% Rule, because 95% is the most commonly used interval. The 95% Rule states that approximately 95% of observations fall within two standard deviations of the mean on a normal distribution.

What is the 65 98 99 rule? ›

Sixty-eight percent of the data is within one standard deviation (σ) of the mean (μ), 95 percent of the data is within two standard deviations (σ) of the mean (μ), and 99.7 percent of the data is within three standard deviations (σ) of the mean (μ).

Does IQ increase with age? ›

Can IQ change with age? Yes. However, there is heavy debate over exactly how IQ and intelligence change with age. Studies have demonstrated that a person's fluid intelligence tends to decrease starting in their late 20s, while their crystallized intelligence tends to increase as they grow older.

What does it mean to be cognitively gifted? ›

Superior cognitive ability gifted identification is characterized by one who fundamentally thinks differently than peers. Superior cognitive ability students are identified by an ability score two standardized deviations above the norm on a state approved assessment for gifted ability.

What is an example of a cognitive enhancer? ›

Certain B vitamins, fish oil and herbal supplements (such as Gingko biloba and extracts of Bacopa monnieri) may offer a safer option to pharmaceutical drugs to enhance cognitive performance. The benefits may not be as immediate but the effects are reportedly much longer lasting.

What does cognitive mean on IEP? ›

A cognitive impairment (also known as an intellectual disability) is a term used when a person has certain limitations in mental functioning and in skills such as communication, self-help, and social skills. These limitations will cause a child to learn and develop more slowly than a typical child.

What is elite institution cognitive disorder? ›

Gladwell's premise is that our society largely suffers from Elite Institutional Cognitive Disorder (EICD), part of what expert's call Relative Positional Disorder, or the tendency to compare your performance based on those immediately around you.

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