Stocks Higher After Hot CPI Inflation Report (2024)

The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the other major indexes held modest gains Tuesday, as Wall Street reacted to a hotter-than-expected inflation report. Meanwhile, artificial intelligence leader Oracle (ORCL) soared on the stock market today after reporting strong earnings results.

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3% in morning action, while the S&P 500 gained 0.4%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite moved up 0.5% after the opening bell.

Among U.S. exchange traded funds, the Nasdaq 100 tracker Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) was up 0.5%, while the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) rose 0.4%.

The 10-year Treasury yield ticked higher to 4.14%. Further, oil prices slipped in early trades, as West Texas Intermediate futures inched lower, trading just below $78 a barrel.

Be sure to read how to adjust to changing market conditions, with IBD's new exposure levels.

Stock Market Today

The Labor Department's consumer price index rose 0.4% in February, in line with estimates, with a hotter-than-expected annual increase of 3.2%. It was expected to rise 3.1% year over year.

Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, climbed 0.4%, more than the 0.3% estimate, with a year-over-year rise of 3.8%. Econoday expected a 3.7% annual increase.

Early Tuesday, AI giant Oracle soared more than 10% in morning trade after posting better-than-expected quarterly earnings, with sales that hit the mark expected by analysts. Oracle stock jumped as the company said artificial intelligence is boosting demand for its cloud-computing business.

Other earnings reports came from Kohl's (KSS) and On Holding (ONON). Kohl's fell 0.2% in morning trading, while On shares plunged more than 16%.

Elsewhere, Southwest Airlines (LUV) tumbled more than 12% after the company updated its financial outlook ahead of the J.P. Morgan Industrials Conference. Southwest said it will trim its capacity plans and re-evaluate its forecasts for the year because of aircraft delivery delays from Boeing (BA).

Dow Jones Rises

On Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average moved up 0.1% and the S&P 500 slipped 0.1%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite dropped 0.4%.

Monday's Big Picture column commented, "With risks increasing, IBD maintains a suggested exposure level of 60% to 80% in stocks for your portfolio. Lately, there hasn't been much new leadership to take up the slack for the softening leading stocks."

Now is an important time to read IBD's The Big Picture column amid the continuing stock market rally. Be sure to read how to adjust to changing market conditions, with IBD's new exposure levels.

Learn How To Time The Stock Market With IBD's ETF Market Strategy

Best Stocks To Buy And Watch In Stock Market Today

Duolingo (DUOL), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), Fortinet (FTNT) and Block (SQ) — plus Dow Jones components Disney (DIS), IBM (IBM) and Procter & Gamble (PG) — are among the best stocks to buy and watch on the stock market today.

Block was featured in this Stocks Near A Buy Zone column. And Fifth Third is a recent addition to the IBD Leaderboard portfolio.

An essential resource for daily breakouts is IBD MarketSurge's "Breaking Out Today" list. It shows MarketSurge Growth 250 stocks that are breaking out past new buy points. There were no new breakouts Monday.

Meanwhile, the MarketSurge "Near Pivot" list shows stocks nearing buy points in bases, like D.R. Horton (DHI), which is approaching an 157.93 cup entry. Shares were slightly down Tuesday.

Get Real-Time Buy And Sell Alerts On Stock Market Leaders With IBD Leaderboard

Dow Jones Stocks: Disney Attempts Breakout

Disney is trying to break out past a big cup-with-handle base's 112.92 buy point, according toIBD MarketSurge chart analysis. Disney stock rose 0.1% on the stock market today.

IBM stock is also attempting a breakout above a flat base's 196.90 buy point, but dropped 0.3% Monday. IBM shares moved up 0.4% Tuesday.

Consumer products giant Procter & Gamble fell 0.2% Monday, holding above a 158.38 buy point in a cup base. P&G stock was up a fraction Tuesday.

4 Top Growth Stocks To Watch In The Stock Market Rally

Square Eyes Buy Point

IPO Leader Duolingo added a handle to a cup base, taking the buy point to 241.86. Duolingo shares were up 4.3% Monday. The stock added 1.1% Tuesday.

Fifth Third Bancorp climbed 1% Monday, further above a 35.73 buy point. Shares were up 0.3% Tuesday.

Cybersecurity leader Fortinet is adding a handle to a long cup base, taking the buy point to 73.91. The stock was up 0.3% Tuesday.

Square-parent Blockis adding a high handle to a cup base, taking thecorrect buy point to 83.29. A short-lived breakout past an 80.29 entry failed last week when the stock fell 7% from the buy trigger. Square stock rose 1.8% Tuesday, just below the buy trigger.

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Best Bets On Stock Market Today

These are four best stocks to watch in today's stock market, including a Dow Jones leader.

Company NameSymbolCorrect Buy PointType Of Buy Point
Novo Nordisk (NVO)105.69Flat base
Merck (MRK)119.65Cup base
DraftKings (DKNG)39.35Cup base
Spotify (SPOT)202.88Flat base
Source: IBD Data As Of Feb. 28, 2024

Join IBD experts as they analyze leading stocks in the current stock market rally on IBD Live

Magnificent Seven Stocks: Nvidia, Tesla

Among Magnificent Seven stocks, Nvidia (NVDA) rose 2.1%, while Tesla (TSLA) dropped 2.5% in morning trading.

Artificial intelligence titan Nvidia slid another 2% Monday, falling sharply for second straight session. Nvidia stock, however, remains more than 70% above a flat base's 505.48 entry and is an IBD Leaderboard stock.

Tesla stock rallied 1.4% Monday, still holding near its recent lows. Shares remain sharply below their 50-day and 200-day moving averages and more than 40% off their 52-week high.

Dow Jones Leaders: Apple, Microsoft

Among Dow Jones stocks in the Magnificent Seven, Apple (AAPL) andMicrosoft (MSFT) traded mixed after Tuesday's stock market open.

Apple stock climbed 1% Monday, snapping a seven-day losing streak. Shares remain sharply below their long-term 200-day line. The stock was down 0.8% Tuesday morning.

Microsoft shares are trying to find support at the 50-day line in recent sessions, a key area to watch. The software giant gained 0.9% on the stock market today.

Be sure to follow Scott Lehtonen on X, formerly known as Twitter, at @IBD_SLehtonen for more on growth stocks, the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the stock market today.

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Stocks Higher After Hot CPI Inflation Report (2024)

FAQs

Is higher CPI good or bad for stocks? ›

In general stock markets prefer a lower CPI that allows consumers to keep spending, and business to continue investing. What is the CPI reading used for? Because the CPI is an indicator of the cost of living governments use CPI data to set payments for large groups of people.

What happens to stock prices when CPI increases? ›

A rising CPI may indicate robust economic growth and heightened demand for goods and services, positively impacting the overall stock market. Conversely, a declining CPI might suggest an economic slowdown or potential deflationary pressures, negatively impacting the overall stock market.

Does high inflation cause stocks to go up? ›

How Does Inflation Affect Stocks? Inflation hurts stocks overall because consumer spending drops. Value stocks may do well because their prices haven't kept up with their peers. Growth stocks tend to be shunned by investors.

What is the return of the stock market after inflation? ›

Average annual return of the S&P 500

Over the long term, the average historical stock market return has been about 7% a year after inflation. Looking at long periods of time rather than any one year shows something else—remarkable consistency.

Is high CPI bullish or bearish? ›

It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

What does CPI mean for stocks? ›

The Consumer Price Index is an important economic metric. It measures the average change in prices paid by consumers over a period of time for a basket of goods and services. The index is calculated and published monthly by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Is it good for the CPI to increase? ›

Which Is Better, a High or Low CPI? In general, a low CPI is better than a very high one but a healthy and growing economy does experience some inflation.

What are the worst investments during inflation? ›

Cash, fixed-rate bonds and certain types of stocks are generally seen as poor investment choices during high inflation.

Who benefits from high interest rates? ›

Unsurprisingly, bond buyers, lenders, and savers all benefit from higher rates in the early days. Bond yields, in particular, typically move higher even before the Fed raises rates, and bond investors can earn more without taking on additional default risk since the economy is still going strong.

What is the relationship between CPI and the stock market? ›

CPI data influences central banks' decisions about interest rates. If CPI is surging, central banks might raise interest rates to curb inflation. Higher interest rates can make borrowing more expensive for companies, impacting their profitability and, consequently, stock prices.

Is the stock market overvalued right now? ›

Based on the latest S&P 500 monthly data, the market is overvalued somewhere in the range of 92% to 154%, depending on the indicator, up from last month's 88% to 148%. This is the highest range we have seen since January 2022.

Are bank stocks a good buy during inflation? ›

Bank stocks increase in value during periods of inflation, which makes them appealing to investors. Higher net interest margins: Banks earn money from the difference between the interest rates they charge on loans and the interest rates they pay on deposits.

What is current inflation rate today? ›

Basic Info. US Inflation Rate is at 3.48%, compared to 3.15% last month and 4.98% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 3.28%.

How do you adjust stock returns for inflation? ›

Inflation-adjusted return = (1 + Stock Return) / (1 + Inflation) - 1 = (1.233 / 1.03) - 1 = 19.7 percent.

What happens to stock prices after a recession? ›

During a recession, you can expect stock prices to fall across the board. This happens for a number of reasons. For one, as we mentioned before, consumer confidence plummets during economic downturns. People are less likely to spend money – which means businesses make less profit.

Is it better if CPI is high or low? ›

Which Is Better, a High or Low CPI? In general, a low CPI is better than a very high one but a healthy and growing economy does experience some inflation.

Is it better to have a low CPI or high CPI? ›

CPI isn't necessarily better or worse when it is high or low, but an extreme negative or positive change can indicate problems within the economy. This is because a higher CPI indicates higher inflation, while a falling CPI can go as far as to indicate deflation.

Is CPI greater than 1 good? ›

If the ratio has a value higher than 1 then it indicates the project is performing well against the budget. A CPI of 1 means that the project is performing on budget. A CPI of less than 1 means that the project is over budget.

Is CPI above 1 good? ›

CPI = earned value (EV) / actual cost (AC). A CPI ratio with a value higher than 1 indicates that a project is performing well budget-wise. A CPI value of 1 indicates that a project is performing on budget. A CPI value that is less than 1 indicates that a project is over budget.

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