Stocks create more TSP millionaires: Time to play it safe(r)? | Federal News Network (2024)

The red hot stock market cooled off somewhat in September. And it sent a serious message to the 6 million current and former feds — from your letter carrier to astronauts — with their retirement nest egg in the Thrift Savings Plan, Uncle Sam’s in-house 401k plan.

Unfortunately with things like investing for retirement, people often boil the tea leaves before they read them properly.

Believers in long-time investing for retirement see the TSP’s stock...

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The red hot stock market cooled off somewhat in September. And it sent a serious message to the 6 million current and former feds — from your letter carrier to astronauts — with their retirement nest egg in the Thrift Savings Plan, Uncle Sam’s in-house 401k plan.

Unfortunately with things like investing for retirement, people often boil the tea leaves before they read them properly.

Believers in long-time investing for retirement see the TSP’s stock indexed funds as the way to go. They invest for the long haul and hope the market is down while they are buying, and up when they are cashing in. For them a so-called “safe” investment like the Treasury securities G fund is actually a risk. While the G fund was the only positive return last month in the TSP, over the last 20 years it has trailed most of the funds most of the time — big time in many cases.

Many investors consider the G fund the safest bet. Many switched to the G fund during the Great Recession (2008-9) when stocks tanked. Some still have not come back although the market returns since then have been very, very good, until last month. Which no doubt has some people thinking about protecting their assets and moving, at least temporarily, into the G fund until things get better.

Others say having most or all of your TSP in the G fund is actually a risky choice, especially in times of high inflation. The TSP was projected to provide one-third to one-half of all the money feds under the FERS plan have in retirement. But because of its diet COLA feature, during times of high inflation their accounts grow smaller as their income decreases. If the 2022 CSRS-FERS-Social Security is 6%, those under the FERS program will get only 5%. And those COLA catch-ups don’t begin until age 62 for feds under the FERS retirement plan.

Financial planner Athur Stein doesn’t believe in market-timing. He tells his clients (based on their age and goals) to think long term. He’s my guest today at 10 a.m. on our Your Turn radio show. Here’s a preview of what he’ll be talking about:

The TSP stock funds declined in September. True, but not significant. The stock funds should not be used as a short-term investment. The stock funds are an appropriate investment for money you will need to withdraw and spend 10-30 years from now.

Year-to-date returns remain strong, 9% to 16% for the three funds.

Stocks create more TSP millionaires: Time to play it safe(r)? | Federal News Network (1)

Nearly Useless Factoid

By David Thornton

In 2013, the city of Keene, New Hampshire set the Guinness World Record for most lit jack-o-lanterns on display with 30,581.

Source: Keene Pumpkin Festival

Stocks create more TSP millionaires: Time to play it safe(r)? | Federal News Network (2024)

FAQs

Can TSP make you a millionaire? ›

Federal employees who are members of the Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) have the potential of becoming a TSP millionaire, with a fat nest egg in addition to their CSRS or FERS annuity. As of November 2022, there are 65,000 TSP millionaires.

What does Dave Ramsey say about TSP? ›

In a nutshell, Ramsey advises federal employees to invest at least 5% in a Roth TSP, then invest the rest in a Roth IRA. He also recommends investing in a handful of TSP funds -- funds C,S, and I -- with a higher percent in the C Fund (at least 60 to 80%).

How many TSP investors are millionaires? ›

The latest figures show that there are now 76,889 millionaires as of the end of 2022.

What is the best fund for TSP 2023? ›

TSP Performance Up in March and Year-to-Date in 2023

The C Fund is up 7.49% so far in 2023. The Fund with the best return so far this year is the I Fund which is up 8.63%. Some investors will note that the I Fund is near the bottom in popularity among TSP investors. 3.6% of participant allocation goes into the I Fund.

How to invest in the TSP to be a millionaire? ›

The Simple Recipe to become a TSP Millionaire
  1. Contributions: Put in as much as you can afford.
  2. Investing: Invest your account aggressively.
  3. Time: Let your account grow for 30 years.
  4. Ignore every financial crisis.
  5. Ignore everyone who is not a TSP millionaire.
Feb 16, 2022

What is the safest investment in TSP? ›

The G Fund is invested in short-term U.S. Treasury securities specially issued to the TSP. Payment of principal and interest is guaranteed by the U.S. government. Thus, there is no “credit risk.”

Should I leave my money in TSP when I retire? ›

Leave it in the TSP and let it grow

Depending on when you begin retirement, you can simply leave the money in the TSP let it continue to grow. If you do not need to access it yet, it might be wise to let it be. Similar to other retirement accounts, you will need to begin minimum withdrawals at age 72.

Is TSP better than 401k? ›

While they may not have as many funds to choose from, TSP participants do have one big advantage over most 401(k) investors: lower fees. The total expense ratio, which covers both investment and administrative fees, is 0.066% for individual TSP funds.

What is the average TSP balance at retirement? ›

Average TSP account balances for Uniformed Service Members crested over $40,000 by the end of 2021, while balances for new 'Blended Retirement System' (BRS) participants reached close to $10,000 in just four years since the BRS became operational.

What are the most aggressive TSP funds? ›

The conservative funds are the G and F funds and the aggressive funds are the C, S, and I funds.

What is the most aggressive TSP account? ›

The C, S, and I funds are the more aggressive of the funds in the TSP. The reason they are called “aggressive” is because they have a much higher chance of sustaining major growth over time. But because of this, they can also be much more volatile than the G and F funds.

What are the most risky TSP funds? ›

By this measure, the I Fund is the riskiest, with a maximum drawdown of -60.89%, which occurred during the 2008-2009 global financial crisis.

How much should I contribute to TSP to max out 2023? ›

Your catch-up contributions will be in addition to the 2023 TSP regular contribution limit, which means employees can contribute up to $30,000 in 2023. To maximize the catch-up contribution amount of $7,500 for 2023, employees will need to contribute an additional $288 per pay period ($7,500/26 = $288.46).

What is the best investment in the TSP? ›

– What is the safest TSP fund? The G fund is generally the safest option as it invests in government securities. Although you won't lose money investing in this fund, your rate of return will be low. This may be a good option if you are close to retirement.

What is the best amount to invest in TSP? ›

Getting a match on your contributions is free money! That's why it's important to invest at least enough to get the match. Most TSP participants are on top of it: More than 8 out of 10 (84%) put in at least 5% of their pay to get the full match.

What is the highest TSP account balance? ›

The largest TSP account as of September was just under $6.5 million, while as of year-end 2021 the largest account — possibly, but not necessarily, the same one — was just under $11 million.

Is TSP losing money? ›

The vast majority of offerings in the 401(k)-style Thrift Savings Plan did not have a good month in December—or a good year in 2022 for that matter. The S Fund, invested in small and mid-sized businesses, had the worst performance for December, losing 6.55%. It was down 26.26% for 2022.

Which TSP fund has least risk? ›

The fifth core fund, the G Fund, invests in very low-risk, low-yield government bonds and guarantees principal protection to investors.

How do I avoid paying taxes on my TSP withdrawal? ›

Eligible rollover distributions of your traditional balance may be rolled over to a traditional IRA, an eligible employer plan, or a Roth IRA. taxed in the current year, and no income tax will be withheld. You won't be taxed on this money until you withdraw it from the traditional IRA or the eligible employer plan.

What happens to TSP after retirement? ›

Staying with the TSP

You can keep your TSP account after you separate from federal service as long as you have a vested balance of $200 or more. Many participants choose to keep their money in the TSP because of the TSP's low-cost funds.

What is the most profitable TSP fund? ›

Best Performance Among Lifecycle Funds

The Lifecycle (L Funds) with the highest returns were the most aggressive funds as their percentage of stocks in the account is the highest. This means the L 2065, L 2060, and L 2055 provided investors with the best annual returns (19.90%).

What is better the TSP or Roth? ›

Beyond this, the TSP is better if your taxes are high today and you expect them to be much lower in retirement. It is better to use your deduction against the higher tax rate. The Roth IRA is better the further away you are from retirement.

What is the average TSP interest? ›

TSP Funds
“Classic” TSP Lifecycle Funds 8/1/2005 - 5/3/2023TSP L Income FundTSP L 2030 Fund
3-Year Return4.56%9.12%
5-Year Return3.69%6.04%
10-Year Return3.82%6.84%
Annual Return Since 8/1/20054.1%6.4%
8 more rows

How do I maximize my TSP retirement? ›

Maximizing Agency or Service Contributions

To receive the maximum Agency or Service Matching Contributions, you must contribute 5% of your basic pay each pay period.

Which TSP is most conservative? ›

However, the L Income Fund is the most conservative of the L Funds. It focuses on money preservation while providing a small exposure to the riskier funds (C, S, and I Funds) in order to reduce inflation's effect on your purchasing power.

What is the most aggressive American fund? ›

AFIFX is often the most aggressive of the American funds, yet it's still slightly less volatile than the S&P 500. The fund has topped the index by an average of 76 basis points (a basis point is one one-hundredth of a percent) per year over the past 15 years.

Why is TSP performing so poorly? ›

The TSP's performance in April 2022 reflected the worst showing for the stock market and most of the funds in the Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) in months. Inflation, the Russia/Ukraine war, and a general negative sentiment about the direction of the country have taken a toll on financial markets.

How risky is the C fund in TSP? ›

The C Fund is a heavily diversified investment but it does come with the risks. The C Fund is moderately volatile and is subject to market risk as the price of stocks in the S&P 500 Index rise and fall. Further, you are exposed to inflation risk if your C Fund investment does not grow enough to offset inflation.

Should I stop investing in my TSP? ›

Given the current economic and market cycle, if you're nearing retirement and your cash reserves are not close to at least 6-12 months of your expenses, you may want to consider slowing down your TSP contributions so that you are able to take more of your paycheck home and use that additional capital to build up your ...

How do you get a 5% match on TSP? ›

If you're a FERS or eligible BRS participant, you receive Agency/Service Matching Contributions on the first 5% of pay you contribute every pay period.

What is the new TSP amount for 2023? ›

The Thrift Savings Plan (TSP) contribution limits have been announced for 2023. The 2023 IRS annual limit for regular TSP contributions is $22,500, and the TSP Catch-up annual contributions limit is $7,500.

How long will my TSP last? ›

TSP Withdrawal Comparison
FeaturesAnnuityTSP
How Long Will Money Last?Lifetime30 Years+
Annual Fees0 – 1.50%1% – 4%
TaxationTaxable/Tax-FreeTaxable/Tax-Free
Death BenefitAccount BalanceAccount Balance
3 more rows

Can I use my TSP to buy stocks? ›

You can choose to have your retirement dollars invested in everything from a short-term U.S. Treasury security to index funds made of domestic and international stocks.

Is 5% in TSP good? ›

Contributing to the TSP

But here's the deal. The U.S. government will provide a 5% contribution of your basic pay to the TSP, so 5 percent is the absolute minimum you should be contributing. If you contribute less than that, you're missing out on free money.

How much should I have in my TSP at 65? ›

I frequently state that there is no such thing as too much money in the Thrift Savings Plan. If you want your TSP balance to be able to generate an inflation-indexed annual income of $10,000, most financial planners will suggest that you have a $250,000 balance at the time you retire.

What TSP makes the most money? ›

Every Thrift Savings Plan fund scored positive returns in January, starting out 2023 on a good note for federal investors. The biggest winner was the small cap stock index S Fund, with a return of 10.82%.

What is the highest TSP balance? ›

The largest TSP account balance the end of March 2021 was an astounding $9,318,238, which is up from “just” $6.3 million March 2020.

What is the highest TSP contribution? ›

The IRS calculates Thrift Savings Plan contribution limits annually based on the cost of living indexes. The 2023 TSP contribution limits are set at $22,500 for elective deferrals, up from $20,500 in 2022. The total maximum annual addition is $66,000 in 2023.

Where is the best place to put TSP money? ›

– What is the safest TSP fund? The G fund is generally the safest option as it invests in government securities. Although you won't lose money investing in this fund, your rate of return will be low. This may be a good option if you are close to retirement.

What is the average TSP account balance at retirement? ›

Average TSP account balances for Uniformed Service Members crested over $40,000 by the end of 2021, while balances for new 'Blended Retirement System' (BRS) participants reached close to $10,000 in just four years since the BRS became operational.

What is the average TSP account size? ›

Average TSP account balances for FERS participants reached $156,702.00, while average balances for CSRS participants reached $174,679.00 as of October 2022. Average TSP account balances for FERS participants reached $21,302.00, while average balances for CSRS participants reached $29,075.00 as of October 2022.

Should I max out my TSP? ›

It depends, but most people should contribute to their TSP at least up to the matching funds limit (3% of your salary). Beyond this, the TSP is better if your taxes are high today and you expect them to be much lower in retirement. It is better to use your deduction against the higher tax rate.

How much should I have in my TSP at 40? ›

Savings benchmarks based on age and salary can serve as a helpful way to track progress against saving for retirement.
...
Savings Benchmarks by Age—As a Multiple of Income.
Investor's AgeSavings Benchmarks
351x to 1.5x salary saved today
401.5x to 2.5x salary saved today
6 more rows

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