Stock market today: Asian shares are mostly higher ahead of a US report on inflation (2024)

BEIJING (AP) — Shares were mostly higher in Asia on Tuesday ahead of a report on inflation in the U.S. that could sway the Federal Reserve’s timing on cutting interest rates.

U.S. futures and oil prices were higher.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 lost 0.6% to 38,586.92, retreating further from its recent record highs as expectations build that the central bank will raise its negative benchmark interest rate next month.

That speculation has pushed the Japanese yen higher against the U.S. dollar. Early Tuesday, the dollar was trading at 147.40 yen, up from 146.95 yen. Recently the dollar was trading at about 150 yen.

Chinese markets were mixed, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng up 1.2% at 16,781.91, while the Shanghai Composite index slipped 0.4% to 3,056.35.

Elsewhere in Asia, the S&P/ASX 200 edged 0.1% higher to 7,712.20. South Korea’s Kospi advanced 04% to 2,671.26.

On Monday, the S&P 500 slipped 0.1% to 5,117.94, remaining near its all-time high set Thursday.

Prices have been buoyed by expectations that cuts to interest rates are coming this year and by signals that the economy remains remarkably resilient.

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The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.1% to 38,769.66 and the Nasdaq composite fell 0.4% to 16,019.27.

Tuesday’s report on prices Americans pay could show inflation remained at 3.1% in February, if economists’ forecasts are correct.

A month ago, a hotter-than-expected report on inflation at the consumer level sent financial markets spinning.

But the trend for inflation has been mostly downward, cooling toward the Fed’s 2% target from its peak above 9%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell Jerome Powell said last week the Fed is “not far” from getting enough confidence about inflation to begin cutting rates. Cuts to the Fed’s main interest rate, which is at its highest level since 2001, would relax pressure on the economy and financial system, while goosing investment prices.

The general expectation among traders is that the Fed will begin cutting rates in June.

Expectations for easier interest rates have helped the price of gold rally to a record. When bonds pay less in interest, investors lose out on less income by owning gold instead. Gold for delivery in April ticked up by $3.10 to settle at $2,188.60 per ounce. Gold prices are up about 17% over the last 12 months.

Bitcoin, which proponents sometimes pitch as “digital gold,” also rallied to another record. It rose to nearly $73,000 after sitting below $17,000 at the start of last year. It’s more than bounced back from its prior prior peak of nearly $69,000.

On Wall Street, Oracle rose 1.5% before it released its latest earnings report after trading finished for the day. Its profit topped analysts’ expectations, and its stock rose more in afterhours trading.

On the losing end was natural-gas producer EQT, which sank 7.8% for the biggest drop in the S&P 500. It said it will buy Equitrans Midstream and its gas transmission and storage systems in an all-stock deal that values the combined company at $35 billion. Equitrans Midstream rose 1.5%.

Nvidia swung through a shaky day after coming off a 5.5% drop on Friday, which was its worst day since May. Nvidia is still up more than 70% this year after more than tripling last year amid a frenzy on Wall Street around artificial-intelligence technology.

The rally has caused Nvidia to swell in size, and it’s become the third-largest stock on Wall Street. That gives its stock movements outsized sway on the S&P 500, and it’s been getting criticism that its stock ran too high, too fast. After flipping earlier between losses and gains, Nvidia’s stock dropped 2% to act as one of the heaviest weights on the S&P 500.

Reddit said it may raise up to $748 million through the sale of stock to investors on an exchange for the first time. The social media company expects its stock to trade under the “RDDT” ticker symbol.

In other trading early Tuesday, U.S. benchmark crude oil was up 15 cents at $78.08 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It fell 8 cents to $77.93 per barrel on Monday.

Brent crude, the international standard, added 18 cents to $82.39 per barrel.

The euro rose to $1.0938 from $1.0927.

___

AP Business Writers Stan Choe and Matt Ott contributed.

Stock market today: Asian shares are mostly higher ahead of a US report on inflation (2024)

FAQs

Is the stock market overvalued right now? ›

Based on the latest S&P 500 monthly data, the market is overvalued somewhere in the range of 92% to 154%, depending on the indicator, up from last month's 88% to 148%. This is the highest range we have seen since January 2022.

What happens to stocks when inflation rises? ›

How Does Inflation Affect Stocks? Inflation hurts stocks overall because consumer spending drops. Value stocks may do well because their prices haven't kept up with their peers. Growth stocks tend to be shunned by investors.

What is the relationship between inflation and the stock market? ›

The market price of value stocks is usually directly proportional to the rate of inflation. Therefore, when the inflation rate rises, value stocks tend to perform better. On the other hand, Growth stocks have minimal cash flows. Therefore, they have a negative correlation with the rate of inflation.

What is the relationship between CPI and the stock market? ›

Stock markets typically aren't moved as much by CPI data, but can be since higher interest rates can cause business activity to slow. In general stock markets prefer a lower CPI that allows consumers to keep spending, and business to continue investing.

What are the most overvalued stocks right now? ›

Most overvalued US stocks
SymbolRSI (14)Price
AGBA D95.482.50 USD
LABP D93.9721.96 USD
CHCI D93.647.94 USD
GLLI D87.9811.50 USD
29 more rows

What companies are overvalued right now? ›

Most Overvalued Stocks

Topping the valuation charts is fast food chain Wingstop, which is trading at a price/fair value ratio of 2.72. Behind it is energy drink producer Celsius, which has a P/FV ratio of 1.85.

What are the worst investments during inflation? ›

Cash, fixed-rate bonds and certain types of stocks are generally seen as poor investment choices during high inflation.

Is it good to invest during inflation? ›

Since inflation erodes your purchasing power, investing your money could help to prevent this by producing returns that match or exceed the average rate of inflation.

What is the current US inflation rate? ›

US Inflation Rate is at 3.48%, compared to 3.15% last month and 4.98% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 3.28%. The US Inflation Rate is the percentage in which a chosen basket of goods and services purchased in the US increases in price over a year.

Can inflation cause a stock market crash? ›

Rising costs and uncertain revenue growth can take a toll on corporate profit margins, and stock prices can fall in response. On a broader scale, high inflation creates unknowns about future interest rates. That uncertainty often contributes to market volatility.

What is the return of the stock market after inflation? ›

Average annual return of the S&P 500

Over the long term, the average historical stock market return has been about 7% a year after inflation. Looking at long periods of time rather than any one year shows something else—remarkable consistency.

How do you beat inflation? ›

What the experts recommend you do to fight inflation
  1. Review your budget. If you don't have a budget, it's time to create one. ...
  2. Diversify your income. ...
  3. Pay down high-interest debt. ...
  4. Consider a cash back credit card. ...
  5. Open a high-yield savings account. ...
  6. Create a meal plan. ...
  7. Batch errands. ...
  8. Invest in TIPS.

Is high CPI bullish or bearish? ›

It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

What happens to stock market after CPI report? ›

Stocks Fall, Bond Yields Gain After CPI Report

The S&P 500 was down nearly 1%. The Nasdaq Composite was down 0.8%. All three rallied from session lows in the final hour of trading. The 2-year Treasury yield spiked to 4.969%, marking its largest one-day increase since March 27, 2023, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

Is it better if CPI is high or low? ›

Which Is Better, a High or Low CPI? In general, a low CPI is better than a very high one but a healthy and growing economy does experience some inflation.

Why are stocks so expensive right now? ›

As Wilson pointed out, 90% of the S&P 500's advance since its October 2022 low has been driven by multiple expansions, meaning investors are paying increasingly high prices for every unit of expected earnings growth over the coming year.

Are US shares overvalued? ›

In conclusion, while US stocks may seem overvalued on the surface, a deeper analysis shows that this is driven only by a handful of companies whose valuation collectively may not be unreasonable.

Is a stock Overvalued or Undervalued? ›

The sales per share metric is calculated by dividing a company's 12-month sales by the number of outstanding shares. A low P/S ratio in comparison to peers could suggest some undervaluation. A high P/S ratio would suggest overvaluation.

Is a stock being overvalued good or bad? ›

An overvalued stock has a current price that is not justified by its earnings outlook, known as profit projections, or its price-earnings (P/E) ratio. Consequently, analysts and other economic experts expect the price to drop eventually.

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