South Africa Government Bonds - Yields Curve (2024)

COUNTRY • SUMMARY

SOUTH AFRICA

Last Update: 11 Mar 2024 6:15 GMT+0

The South Africa 10Y Government Bond has a 10.105% yield.

Central Bank Rate is 8.25% (last modification in May 2023).

The South Africa credit rating is BB-, according to Standard & Poor's agency.

Current 5-Years Credit Default Swap quotation is 226.44 and implied probability of default is 3.77%.

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South Africa Government Bonds - Yields Curve (1)

The first official book of South Africa Government Bonds - Yields Curve (2)

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South Africa Yield Curve

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Residual
Maturity
Yield ZC Price Last
Change
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M
3 months 8.450% -10.0 bp -20.0 bp 10 Mar
5 years 8.925% +12.0 bp -7.5 bp 65.22 -0.55 % +0.35 % 11 Mar
10 years 10.105% +15.0 bp -28.5 bp 38.19 -1.34 % +2.63 % 11 Mar
12 years 10.925% +13.0 bp -37.5 bp 28.82 -1.40 % +4.16 % 11 Mar
20 years 12.465% +10.0 bp -15.0 bp 9.54 -1.75 % +2.69 % 11 Mar
25 years 12.575% +9.5 bp -13.0 bp 5.18 -2.08 % +2.98 % 11 Mar
30 years 12.495% +9.5 bp -12.5 bp 2.92 -2.67 % +3.18 % 11 Mar
Last Update: 11 Mar 2024 6:15 GMT+0

South Africa Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.
The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

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Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Bond Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (8.25%)
3 months 5 years 10 years
30 years 12.495%

404.5 bp

357.0 bp

239.0 bp

424.5 bp
10 years 10.105%

165.5 bp

118.0 bp

185.5 bp
5 years 8.925%

47.5 bp

67.5 bp
3 months 8.450% 20.0 bp

South Africa Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation). For a deeper analysis of credit ratings, click here South Africa Credit Ratings History

Rating AgencyRatingOutlook
Standard & Poor'sBB--
Moody's Investors ServiceBa2-
Fitch RatingsBB--
DBRS--

South Africa Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 8.25%

South Africa Credit Default Swaps

The term credit default swap (CDS) refers to a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults.

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Credit Default SwapCDS Value Var % 1W Var % 1M Var % 1Y Implied PD(*)
5 Years CDS 226.44 -1.07 % -1.23 % -12.61 % 3.77 %
(*) Implied probability of default, calculated on the hypothesis of a 40% recovery rate.

South Africa 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The South Africa 10Y Government Bond has a 10.105% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.

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South Africa 10Y vsCurrent Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 935.2 bp +11.7 bp-35.2 bp
vs Germany 10Y 783.3 bp +25.3 bp+8.0 bp
vs China 10Y 781.0 bp +30.2 bp+9.8 bp
vs France 10Y 738.0 bp +31.8 bp+16.8 bp
vs Spain 10Y 701.8 bp +42.0 bp+32.2 bp
vs Canada 10Y 675.0 bp +36.8 bp+9.0 bp
vs Italy 10Y 652.7 bp +53.0 bp+53.5 bp
vs Australia 10Y 613.8 bp +35.9 bp-8.2 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y 613.0 bp +23.9 bp+26.9 bp
vs United States 10Y 603.6 bp +25.8 bp-6.3 bp
vs India 10Y 309.3 bp +25.2 bp-8.8 bp
vs Brazil 10Y -65.5 bp +14.0 bp+21.9 bp
vs Russia 10Y -313.5 bp -60.0 bp-92.5 bp

South Africa Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.

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Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
30 years 12.495% 2.92 10.69 26.23 41.77 57.31 72.85
25 years 12.575% 5.18 12.72 27.80 42.88 57.96 73.04
20 years 12.465% 9.54 16.80 31.31 45.83 60.34 74.85
12 years 10.925% 28.82 35.33 48.36 61.39 74.43 87.46
10 years 10.105% 38.19 44.31 56.54 68.77 81.01 93.24
5 years 8.925% 65.22 69.11 76.91 84.70 92.50 100.29
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

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South Africa Government Bonds - Yields Curve (2024)
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