Sebi chief flags risk of bubble in stock market (2024)

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Sebi chief flags risk of bubble in stock market (12) Markets

Priyanka Gawande 4 min read 11 Mar 2024, 10:32 PM IST

Sebi chief flags risk of bubble in stock market (13)

Summary

  • Regulator in favour of common MF policy to protect investors

MUMBAI : Bubbles in the market are not a good thing for retail investors, and mutual funds could form a common policy to protect investors in this respect, the stock market regulator said, at a time of turbulence in an overheated small and mid-cap space.

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) has already asked for results of stress tests from mutual fund (MF) trustees, stating the time it would take to liquidate portions of investors’ portfolios.

“There are pockets of froth... sections of froth in the market," Sebi chairperson Madhabi Puri Buch said on the sidelines of an event in Mumbai on Monday. “Some people call it a bubble, some may call it froth. The question is, it may not be appropriate to allow that bubble or froth to keep building. Because if it keeps building, it will burst, because by definition, bubbles burst. So, when they burst, they impact the investors adversely; so, that’s not a good thing."

Buch’s comments come in the backdrop of relentless flows into small- and mid-cap funds, stretching valuations in these segments. For instance, the Nifty Smallcap 250 index has risen almost 60% in the past one year against the benchmark Nifty 50’s 28% return. However, these stocks have seen turbulence in recent weeks, after the Reserve Bank of India restricted operations of fintech major Paytm, and of NBFCs IIFL Finance and JM Financial Products.

On Monday, the smallcap index plunged 2% to 14,507.15, while the benchmark Nifty fell 0.72% to 22,332.65.

In addition to the recent action against NBFCs, the Enforcement Directorate’s ongoing investigation to find if proceeds of crime from the Mahadev betting case were routed into the smallcap and SME segments of the market also contributed to Monday’s carnage. Stocks like Suzlon, NCC, Tata Investment Corp, HFCL and IIFL Finance were the top five contributors to the decline in the smallcap index.

Buch also hinted that MFs could formulate a common policy to protect investors from risks of a bubble.

“Each mutual fund has trustees, who are looking out for the interests of the investors; they should sit down and formulate a policy. If each fund decides to have its policy on how to manage this risk, we are okay with it. We are okay if the industry wants to make a common policy... Our objective is that trustees are responsible for protecting the investors. In case we have to do anything, we will not do it without suitable public consultation," she said.

Buch said that by 15 March, Sebi will make available a disclosure format on stress testing for small- and mid-cap funds. Investors will benefit from knowing how many days the funds would need to liquidate their underlying portfolios in the event of unfavourable market conditions.

“In terms of the disclosure on stress testing, it is not a nudge, it is a directive. Disclosure is what we do as a fundamental way of operation. We are a disclosure-based regime. The objective is for the investor to take an informed decision. A disclosure format on stress testing for small- and mid-cap funds has been approved that is mandatory and not optional for any mutual fund," she emphasized.

The stress tests would determine that were there to be significant redemption pressure, how would an MF cope with it if the underlying market for the securities isn’t deep or liquid enough.

“That’s the most significant risk that the mutual fund runs. The assessment was if there is an adverse environment and there is redemption pressure; we don’t know, it could be anything. In such circ*mstances, while protecting investors, in terms of the first-mover advantage—the first one will always feel that ‘I will have an advantage’, which becomes a vicious cycle of attracting more and more redemption."

Buch explained that the stress tests would determine how many days MFs would need to liquidate the investors’ portfolios if prices fell and volumes jumped, say, three times above normal.

The regulator also wants small and medium enterprises (SMEs) preparing to go public to disclose risk factors in greater detail to potential investors.

“Some more disclosure in terms of risk factors is required. For investors to understand that the SME segment is different from the mainboard, the regulations are different, the disclosures are different and, therefore, the nature of the risk is different," Buch said, while expressing concerns about instances of price manipulation in some SME IPOs.

Twenty of 23 Tata Group stocks fell on Monday on reports of group holding company Tata Sons proposing to avoid a listing by September next year. The losses were particularly steep in companies with stake in Tata Sons. Tata Chemicals, which holds 3% in Tata Sons, fell 10.6%, Tata Power (-2.8%), Indian Hotels (2.5%) and Tata Motors (-1.1%).

Separately, the regulator on Monday announced expanding the qualified stock broker (QSB) framework, that will bring more brokers under enhanced obligations. The move aims to bolster trust in the securities market, and strengthen the compliance culture among stock brokers.

Parameters of proprietary trading volumes, compliance and grievance redressal scores will also be taken into account while classifying stock brokers as QSBs, a Sebi circular said. At present, there are five parameters for classifying a stock broker under the QSB framework -- total number of active clients, available total assets of clients, trading volumes of the stock broker (excluding the proprietary trading volume of the stock broker), and the end of day margin obligations of all clients. The regulator said the latest provisions will come into force in a risk-based, staggered manner to ensure smooth adoption and effective implementation for all the QSBs by providing enough time for them, based on their size, for making necessary changes.

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Sebi chief flags risk of bubble in stock market (2024)

FAQs

Is there a bubble in the Indian stock market? ›

There are pockets of froth in the small and midcap space in the equity markets that have the potential to become a bubble and burst affecting investors,” Sebi chairperson Madhabi Puri Buch had said. She also highlighted the growing confidence in the equity markets among the citizens of the country.

Who is the chairman of Sebi bubble? ›

sections of froth in the market," Sebi chairperson Madhabi Puri Buch said on the sidelines of an event in Mumbai on Monday. “Some people call it a bubble, some may call it froth.

Who is hurt when stock market bubbles burst? ›

The stock market bubble of the 1920s, the dot-com bubble of the 1990s, and the real estate bubble of the 2000s were asset bubbles followed by sharp economic downturns. Asset bubbles are especially devastating for individuals and businesses who invest too late, meaning shortly before the bubble bursts.

How do you detect a stock market bubble? ›

Excessive stock-market gains

As another rule of thumb helpful in identifying bubbles, Colas evaluates how quickly assets double in value over a short period. For example, increases in the Standard & Poor's 500 stock-market index within three years or less can signal overvaluation.

Will small caps do well in 2024 in India? ›

Going ahead, experts believe that the rally in midcaps and smallcaps in 2024 is not likely to be as strong as the one in 2023 due to high valuations but the long-term outlook of the broader markets remains robust.

Will US inflation affect Indian stock market? ›

The impact of US inflation data is not limited to the US. Dalal Street is also likely to feel the heat from the hotter-than-expected digits. V K Vijayakumar, the Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services told Firstpost how the inflation data could affect foreign investment inflow in Indian markets.

Is nifty in a bubble? ›

Synopsis. The Nifty is not in a bubble zone. Volatility is seen in PSU index and small/midcap stocks while Q3FY24 earnings grew 21% YoY.

Who is the new chief of Sebi? ›

Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) chairperson Madhabi Puri Buch on Wednesday said that democratising the equity market is all about digitisation and enabling easy entry and exit for small investors.

What is froth warning sebi? ›

Sebi chief Madhabi Puri Buch pointed out that there is "froth" in small and mid-cap stocks as she referred to "off the charts" valuations in these market segments that indicates price manipulation in small and medium enterprises segment.

Are we in a bubble in 2024? ›

Traders work on the floor during morning trading at the New York Stock Exchange on March 6, 2024. Despite the heavy concentration of the U.S. market rally in expensive, AI-focused tech stocks, analysts say Wall Street is not yet in bubble territory.

What are the 5 stages of the bubble? ›

Minsky identified the five stages to a credit cycle – displacement, boom, euphoria, profit-taking, and panic.

Who gets all the money when the stock market crashes? ›

The reality of this is that the money in a stock market is "virtual" that is, it never existed physically. This, therefore, means that if there is a crash in the stock market, the money disappears, or rather it doesn't go anywhere since it never existed in the first place.

How long does a stock bubble last? ›

Data from the eight most prominent such events in history reveals that an economic, asset, market bubble lasts for about 5.6 years or about 67.5 months.

Are US stocks in a bubble? ›

History says no. During the three years leading up to bubble peaks, U.S. stocks have risen 100% or more. The S&P 500 is nowhere near that this time around.

How do you survive a stock market bubble? ›

Other smart advice for protecting your portfolio against a market crash includes hedging your bets by playing the options game; paying off debts to keep a stable balance sheet, and using tax-loss harvesting to mitigate your losses.

Why is Indian market falling? ›

Stock market crash: Rising US dollar and Treasury yields, disappointing US retail sales data, falling Indian National Rupee (INR), and rising crude oil prices are some other reasons that have fueled the selling pressure in the Indian stock market.

What markets are booming right now in India? ›

Fastest Growing Sectors In India
  • Electric Vehicles (EV)
  • Healthcare And Insurance.
  • Renewable Energy.
  • Information Technology (IT)
  • Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG)
  • Infrastructure.
  • Conclusion.
Jan 25, 2024

What stocks are booming right now in India? ›

Which are the top growth stocks in India right now?
  • #1 ZOMATO.
  • #2 ADANI GREEN ENERGY.
  • #3 L&T INFOTECH.
  • #4 INDUS TOWERS.
  • #5 TRENT.

Is there a bubble in the stock market? ›

Despite the heavy concentration of the U.S. market rally in expensive, AI-focused tech stocks, analysts say Wall Street is not yet in bubble territory.

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