Perspective | Inflation is another reason you shouldn’t aim for a big tax refund (2024)

The average Internal Revenue Service tax refund at this point in the 2022 season is $3,175, up nearly 10 percent compared to a year ago.

Many people see their four-figure tax refund — year after year — as a windfall. It’s their cushion for the financially unexpected.

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Over the years, I’ve tried to persuade folks to change the way they think about a tax refund. It’s not a bonus.

Unless your tax situation changed during the year — maybe you had a baby or bought a home — you’re just letting Uncle Sam hold your money for a year interest-free.

Okay, maybe you don’t trust yourself to save, so you rely on the refund to do it for you. Among those expecting refunds, 32 percent plan to save most or all of the money, according to a survey by Bankrate.com earlier this year.

Readers have told me that the promise of a refund pushes them to file early. Others argue that — in today’s pitifully low-interest environment — the amount of interest lost is pretty small, so they aren’t concerned about letting the government play their banker.

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As of April 8, the IRS said it has issued more than 70 million refunds worth over $222 billion. I wonder how many millions of individuals or couples receiving a refund could put that money to better use during the year?

Only 44 percent of Americans could cover an unplanned $1,000 expense from savings, according to another survey by Bankrate.com. In a pinch, without a rainy-day fund, 35 percent would have to borrow the money they needed by using a credit card, taking out a personal loan or hitting up family or friends.

If you’ve been using your tax refund as a forced savings technique, you should seriously reconsider this strategy as consumer prices rise because of inflation.

Rising prices could be here for some time as the U.S. economy continues to deal with the financial fallout from the coronavirus and the war in Ukraine. You are going to need more money in your paycheck to deal with the price increases in food, gas and utilities.

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Inflation is at its highest level in 40 years. In March, prices rose 8.5 percent compared with a year ago, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The cost of gasoline rose 18.3 percent last month.

If you’re looking to replace your car this year, it’ll cost you a lot more to buy a used or new vehicle.

Prices rose 8.5 percent in March compared to 2021, driven by energy costs

The average new vehicle loan increased to $39,721 at the end of 2021, up 12 percent from a year earlier, according to Experian. Used vehicle loans jumped 20 percent to $27,291, up from $22,630. The average monthly payment for new vehicles was $644, while the average monthly payment for a used car was $488.

If you let the federal government hold your money, you could end up borrowing more for your vehicle. Instead, get more of your money in your paycheck and save for a higher down payment. Or, use the money to handle your loan payment.

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Got a home equity line of credit? Looking to buy a home this year?

You could be facing higher costs for that debt.

The Federal Reserve raised its target federal funds rate by a quarter percentage point and has signaled six more hikes by year’s end in an effort to control inflation. The rate increases impact fixed-rate mortgages and anyone with a variable-rate loan.

As of April 14, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage hit an average of 5 percent for the first time in over a decade, according to Freddie Mac. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.17 percent. A year ago at this time, the average rate for a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 2.35 percent.

Mortgage rates hit 5 percent, highest level in 11 years

Got revolving credit card debt?

The rates on this debt are also trending up. Bankrate.com found that 23 percent of people expecting a refund said they planned to use it to pay down debt. Rather than wait for a lump sum refund to pay down this debt, avoid racking up interest charges by paying on it during the year.

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It’s not always possible to avoid getting a large refund. For some people, part or all of their tax benefits must be in the form of a refund, points out IRS spokesman Eric Smith. They have no choice when it’s the refundable portion of a benefit, such as the earned income tax credit or the child and dependent care credit, he said.

Need to file your tax return? Ask The Post your last-minute questions.

As a wage earner, you are required to pay federal income tax by having it withheld from your paycheck throughout the year. The goal is to have your withholding match your actual tax liability.

“In a perfect world, everyone would nail it, with maybe just a small balance due or a small refund,” Smith said.

You should evaluate your withholdings every year. You also want to make sure you don’t have a hefty, unexpected tax bill, especially if you can’t pay on time. The interest rate the IRS has to charge taxpayers when they can’t pay what they owe has increased. As of April 1, the rate for underpayment was 4 percent. The interest rate last spring, when people were filing their 2020 returns, was 3 percent.

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To check your withholding and make adjustments, if necessary, use the IRS “Tax Withholding Estimator” at irs.gov. The estimator helps workers, self-employed individuals and retirees who have wage income figure out how much should be withheld from their paychecks. Use the result to submit a new W-4 Employee’s Withholding Certificate if needed.

With inflation up, now’s the time to go over your withholding for 2022. If you always aim to get a large refund, this is the year to change that habit.

Perspective | Inflation is another reason you shouldn’t aim for a big tax refund (2024)

FAQs

Perspective | Inflation is another reason you shouldn’t aim for a big tax refund? ›

If you've been using your tax refund as a forced savings technique, you should seriously reconsider this strategy as consumer prices rise because of inflation.

Why is it bad to get a big tax refund? ›

The simple reason you don't want a tax refund is that getting one means that you've just loaned the U.S. government your money—without making any interest. It's not the smartest financial plan, especially if you're lugging around credit card debt, student loans or any other kind of debt.

Why you should not want a tax refund? ›

In most cases, a big refund indicates you aren't taking all of the withholdings and tax deductions you're eligible for. You can fix this by adjusting your tax withholdings with your employer.

What is a downside of receiving a tax refund? ›

Receiving a big tax refund is not necessarily a good thing. The IRS does not pay you interest on your money it has held onto throughout the year. If you reduce your tax withholding by adjusting your W-4, you will be able to hold onto more of your own money in the form of bigger paychecks throughout the year.

Is there a penalty for getting a large tax refund? ›

In cases of erroneous claim for refund or credit, a penalty amount is 20 percent of the excessive amount claimed. An “excessive amount” is defined as the amount of the claim for refund or credit that exceeds the amount allowable for any taxable year.

Will 2024 tax refunds be higher? ›

So far in 2024, the average federal income tax refund is $3,011, an increase of just under 5% from 2023. It's not entirely unexpected: To adjust for inflation, the IRS raised both the standard deduction and tax brackets by about 7%.

Why are people getting smaller tax refunds? ›

'Gig' workers may have earned more income but not stepped up their estimated tax payments, again yielding smaller refunds. And some filers may have reaped more investment income from a strong stock market, triggering more taxes.

Do you get a tax refund if you make 100k? ›

Income: $75k-100k; Average Refund: $3,657. Income: $100k-200k; Average Refund: $4,704.

Is it better to pay taxes or get a refund? ›

The best strategy is breaking even, owing the IRS an amount you can easily pay, or getting a small refund,” Clare J. Fazackerley, CPA, CFP, told Finance Buzz. “You don't want to owe more than $1,000 because you'll have an underpayment penalty of 5% interest, which is more than you can make investing the money.

What is the average tax return for a single person making $60000? ›

If you make $60,000 a year living in the region of California, USA, you will be taxed $13,653. That means that your net pay will be $46,347 per year, or $3,862 per month.

How much should I get back in taxes if I made 50000? ›

If you make $50,000 a year living in the region of California, USA, you will be taxed $10,242. That means that your net pay will be $39,758 per year, or $3,313 per month.

Do high income earners get tax refunds? ›

Filers who have higher incomes get more back. This average tax return by income chart will give you the details: Americans who earn $200,000 and over experience a much higher tax return than those who earn less because high earners generally have more cash withheld from their income over the course of the year.

Why am I only getting $100 back in taxes? ›

If you owe money to a federal or state agency, the federal government may use part or all of your federal tax refund to repay the debt. This is called a tax refund offset. If your tax refund is lower than you calculated, it may be due to a tax refund offset for an unpaid debt such as child support.

What is a downside of receiving a tax refund quizlet? ›

Investment income is the money earned from investments like stocks or bonds. Why is receiving a large tax refund a bad thing? Receiving a large federal tax return is bad because the government is taking your money, investing it, and giving you no interest for your money.

Why do most people get a tax refund? ›

A tax refund is a reimbursem*nt to taxpayers who have overpaid their taxes, often due to having employers withhold too much from paychecks.

What do Americans do with their tax refund? ›

Many will add their tax refund to savings or use it to pay off debt. 28 percent of U.S. adults expecting a tax refund plan to use most or all of the money to boost their savings, while 19 percent plan to pay down debt. Fewer will put their tax refund toward things like a vacation or home improvements.

Why does everyone get a tax refund? ›

Tax refunds are issued by the federal or state government to reimburse taxpayers for any excess taxes they paid and/or had withheld from their paychecks throughout the year. The Revenue Act of 1864 allowed the Office of Commissioner of Internal Revenue to refund taxes subject to current regulations.

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