'People waiting for prices to come down will be disappointed': San Diego home price rises for 2nd month (2024)

San Diego County home prices in April rose for a second month after nine months of declines — and it is happening with very few sales.

The median home price rose 1.9 percent to $805,000, said CoreLogic data released Tuesday. It is still down 1.8 percent for the year as rising interest rates slowed the red-hot pandemic real estate market.

This story is for subscribers

We offer subscribers exclusive access to our best journalism.
Thank you for your support.

San Diego’s recent price climb is happening with very few transactions. There were 2,408 home sales in April, down 53 percent from the year before. It also marks the second-lowest sales figure for an April in records dating to 1988.

Mark Goldman, a real estate analyst with C2 Financial Corp., said homeowners don’t see the point in selling now, considering they will likely face much higher interest rates at a new home, and a lot of competitive buyers. While interest rates might have priced some San Diegans out, he said the group of buyers hunting for homes now are fighting it out for limited supply — pushing prices up.

“The market’s active but there’s just a lot less available supply,” he said. “In a market where people were getting 10 offers on their house, and now they are getting five, it is still a seller’s market.”

There were around 2,825 San Diego County homes listed for sale in April, said the Redfin Data Center, the lowest in 13 months. It’s a far cry from less than a year ago, in August, when there were nearly 6,000 homes for sale.

Goldman said we are now entering the busy summer buying season and he didn’t see a lot of reasons why the number of homes for sale would change much.

“People who are waiting for prices to come down will be disappointed,” he said.

Chris Anderson, a San Diego County real estate agent for more than three decades, said the homes she is listing are getting multiple offers over the asking price. She put a 1,125-square-foot, two-bedroom townhouse in Santee on the market for $539,900 in late April and had five offers, two over the asking price, in less than two weeks. Anderson also had a three-bedroom $550,000 townhouse, at 1,498-square-feet, that got an offer over the asking price almost instantly and was off the market in two days. Both properties are in escrow so final prices are not yet public.

Anderson said the sellers of properties were both moving out of state. The Santee seller was going to Missouri, she said, and the Ramona seller was heading to Colorado.

She is also working with buyers and seeing how tough things are from the other side. Anderson said she has a military family that has written 28 offers since January with no success. Because they are using a VA loan, it is difficult for the young couple, with a newborn, to compete. Unlike conventional loans, VA loans require appraisals and termite clearances, which most buyers they are competing against are waiving.

San Diego County’s median — the point at which half the homes sold for more and half for less — combines resale and newly built single-family homes, condos and townhouses. Here’s how the different home types fared in April:

  • Resale single-family: Median of $900,000 with 1,416 sales, up from $880,000 last month. Down from its peak of $950,000 in April 2022.
  • Resale condo: Median of $651,000, with 777 sales, up from $650,000 last month. Down from its peak of $663,000 in May 2022.
  • Newly built: Median of $798,000 with 168 sales, down from $801,000 last month. This figure combines single-family homes, townhouses and condos. It is down from the peak of $890,500 in August 2022.

The price of a typical San Diego County home has jumped significantly with higher interest rates. The interest rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage was 6.34 percent in the last week of April, said Freddie Mac, up from 5.1 percent the year before. The monthly cost of an $805,000 San Diego home (assuming 20 percent down) would have been about $3,780 with last year’s interest rates, compared to around $4,290 in April.

Here’s a look at the median prices across Southern Californian markets for April:

Los Angeles County: Monthly rise of 0.1 percent to $800,000; down 7 percent for the year.

Orange County: Monthly rise of 0.3 percent to $988,000; down 5.9 percent for the year.

San Bernardino County: Monthly drop of 6.3 percent to $450,000; down 9.1 percent for the year.

San Diego County: Monthly rise of 1.9 percent to $805,000; down 1.8 percent for the year.

Ventura County: Monthly decrease of 0.1 percent to $774,000; down 3.6 percent for the year.

'People waiting for prices to come down will be disappointed': San Diego home price rises for 2nd month (2024)

FAQs

Are home prices going down in San Diego? ›

San Diego home sales are lagging but prices aren't dropping. Why it matters: The region is struggling with a lack of inventory and high prices, putting homeownership out of reach for many, and particularly for younger buyers.

Do the real estate experts expect housing prices to rise or fall in San Diego over the next year why? ›

Almost all panelists think the county's median home price, $850,000 in November, will be higher at the end of 2024. The highest prediction, $1 million, would mean a 17.6 percent rise, which isn't that far off from recent history, considering the price was up 30 percent annually in March 2022.

Will home prices drop in San Diego 2024? ›

This year offers a unique landscape for buyers, sellers, and investors alike, as the market shows a tilt towards more buyer-friendly conditions. In 2024, San Diego's housing market is predicted to see an 11.0% increase in home sales and a 5.4% rise in median sales prices, signaling a thriving market.

Will prices go down if the housing market crashes? ›

A market crash would likely push prices down and make housing cheaper, but it would remain unaffordable for many if the crash was caused by a larger recession.

Is San Diego housing overpriced? ›

San Diego ranked No. 4 out of the 10 most overpriced housing markets in California with homes going for nearly 24% more than what they should be priced, according to the research.

Should I buy a home in San Diego now or wait? ›

Prospective buyers should closely monitor mortgage rate trends and work with lenders to secure the most favorable rates available. In summary, the current low mortgage rates in San Diego, California create a favorable environment for homebuyers, increasing affordability and stimulating market demand.

What is the trend in real estate in San Diego in 2024? ›

Median Sold Price

Homes in San Diego have sold for 6.1% more than they did a year ago. Summary: The median home sold price in San Diego was $905,281 in March 2024, up 6.1% from last year, and the median price per square foot was $674.

What is the future of the San Diego housing market? ›

Analysis shows the median sale price for homes in San Diego has seen a notable increase. Median Sale Price: $925,000 as of January 2024, indicating a resilient market trajectory. Year-Over-Year Gain: Approximately 12.1%, reflecting sustained growth.

Will home prices in California drop in 2024? ›

2024 Market Forecast

CAR felt optimistic in its 2024 housing market forecast with falling mortgage rates, rising prices, economic expansion, and with demand for homes strong. Home prices are predicted to rise 6.2% to a record median price of $680,300 next year. Housing affordability will remain flat.

Will 2024 be a better time to buy a house? ›

Many prospective homebuyers chose to wait things out in 2023, in the hopes that 2024 would bring a more advantageous market. But so far, with mortgage interest rates still relatively high and housing inventory stubbornly low, it looks like 2024 will remain a challenging time to buy a house.

Is San Diego a buyers or sellers market? ›

San Diego is a seller's housing market which means that more people are looking to buy than there are homes available.

Is 2024 the year to buy a house? ›

Bottom Line: Is 2024 a Good Time to Buy a House in California? Yes. This is the best time to buy a house in California. With the current trend in the CA housing market, you'll find better deals on your dream home during Q2 2024.

Is it a good time to buy a house in California 2024? ›

Average Home Prices: The average median home price in California is $739,100, up by 6.5% YoY. In 2024, experts predict the median sale price will increase due to the tight inventory. Currently, the sale-to-list price ratio is at 99.4%, with an incline of 1.3 pt YoY compared to September 2023.

Will inflation cause a housing crash? ›

Generally, homeowners, especially those with mortgages, benefit from inflation. The value of homes tends to increase faster than inflation, so their investment does not lose value.

How much did house prices drop in the recession 2008? ›

For the whole year of 2008, NAR reported that the median existing-home price dropped by 9.5% to $197,100, compared to $217,900 in 2007.

What is the real estate forecast for 2024 in San Diego? ›

Recent data suggests that house prices are maintaining a steady upward trend. Analysis shows the median sale price for homes in San Diego has seen a notable increase. Median Sale Price: $925,000 as of January 2024, indicating a resilient market trajectory.

Will San Diego become more affordable? ›

Despite 2023's high interest rates, experts predict possible drops in San Diego home prices.

What is the future of housing in San Diego? ›

San Diego Housing Market Forecast 2024 & 2025

For 2024, we anticipate a modest price increase driven by a robust demand, particularly in sought-after neighborhoods. The scarcity of available properties could further intensify competition among buyers, potentially leading to bidding wars on the most desirable homes.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Kieth Sipes

Last Updated:

Views: 5886

Rating: 4.7 / 5 (67 voted)

Reviews: 90% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Kieth Sipes

Birthday: 2001-04-14

Address: Suite 492 62479 Champlin Loop, South Catrice, MS 57271

Phone: +9663362133320

Job: District Sales Analyst

Hobby: Digital arts, Dance, Ghost hunting, Worldbuilding, Kayaking, Table tennis, 3D printing

Introduction: My name is Kieth Sipes, I am a zany, rich, courageous, powerful, faithful, jolly, excited person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.