Odds of Winning Latest Mega Millions Prize? Math Professor Has Answers — Syracuse University News (2024)

Media Tip Sheets

Thursday, July 28, 2022, By Daryl Lovell

What would you do with a billion dollars? That’s what a lot of people are asking themselves with the current Mega Millions jackpot topping $1 billion. But what are the true odds of someone picking or getting the lucky number, and how does it compare to other unlikely chances?

Steven Diaz is a mathematics professor at Syracuse University’s College of Arts and Sciences. Though he doesn’t plan to buy a ticket himself, he does offer his perspective below about the odds of other people getting the big prize.

He is available for questions and interviews ahead of the next drawing on Friday.

Q: If someone is looking at the overall odds of winning this major prize, what are they?

A: The odds are one out of 302,575,350.

Q: What other astronomical odds can you compare a lottery win to?

A: From the web, I got that the odds of getting struck by lightning in a given year are about one out of one million. That is about 300 times more likely than winning the Mega Millions jackpot with one ticket. Of course, you can increase your odds by buying multiple tickets.

Here is another comparison: There are one billion different possible social security numbers. So, if you try to randomly guess someone’s social security number, your chances of getting it right with one guess are one out of one billion. That is about three times harder than winning the Mega Millions jackpot with one ticket.

Q: Do you have better chances of winning by getting a computer-picked number or choosing your own digits?

A: As all numbers are equally likely the chances of winning are the same whether you make the choice yourself or have the computer do it. There is one more thing to consider: you not only would like to win you would like to be the only winner so you do not have to split the jackpot. If you choose it yourself, unless you are careful, you might fall into some patterns and choose a number that other people have chosen. If the computer has a good random number generator, it would be less likely to choose the same number as someone else. On the other hand, if you do a study on which numbers people tend to choose, perhaps you could do better than the computer. Remember I am discussing trying to increase your chances of being the only winner if you win, not increasing your chances of winning.

To request interviews or get more information:

Daryl Lovell
Associate Director of Media Relations
Division of Communications

M315.380.0206
dalovell@syr.edu | @DarylLovell
news.syr.edu | syracuse.edu

Syracuse University

Odds of Winning Latest Mega Millions Prize? Math Professor Has Answers — Syracuse University News (2024)

FAQs

What are the odds of winning Mega Millions math? ›

According to Mega Millions, the odds of winning the jackpot are 1 in 302,575,350. Those odds are based on how many different ways the numbers could be drawn in any game.

What are the odds of winning the current Mega Millions? ›

The odds of winning any Mega Millions prize is 1 in 24, but your chances of hitting the jackpot are 1 in 302,575,350 (though some argue there are ways to increase your odds).

How can I increase my chances of winning Mega Millions? ›

You can, however, increase your chances by simply buying more tickets. Buying 100 tickets would cut your odds from 1 in 302.6 million to roughly 1 in 3.026 million. If you want to purchase nearly every possible number combination, that would set you back about $600 million.

Is it better to pick your own numbers for Mega Millions? ›

The odds of winning the Mega Millions jackpot are approximately one in 302.5 million. With odds that slim, Glickman said it's best to focus on picking numbers that are completely random.

Is there a strategy to Mega Millions? ›

The Mega Millions, like any lottery, is a game of chance. Glickman suggests that the best way to increase your chances of winning is to buy more tickets, within reason. For example, if the probability of winning the jackpot is 1 in 302,575,350 with one ticket, it becomes 2 in 302,575,350 if you buy two.

Do more people win Mega Millions with random numbers? ›

Any time you play a lottery like Mega Millions or Powerball, the odds of winning stay the same. But, there are ways that you can make it more probable that you win ALL the money. In particular, pick random numbers.

Is Megaplier worth it? ›

The Megaplier doesn't change your odds of winning Mega Millions, so it's important to keep in mind that it won't guarantee you any prizes. However, if you do win a non-jackpot prize, the Megaplier can significantly upgrade that prize.

What lottery has the best odds? ›

If you're looking for good odds and less competition, The Health Lottery is a great place to play. That is because the odds of winning the health lottery are 1 in 2.1 million. When deciding which lottery is the easiest to win, thinking about odds is a great starting point.

What is the formula for winning the lottery? ›

If the order of the lottery number doesn't make a difference, then each lottery number is called a combination of numbers, and we calculate the probability of winning the lottery using the following formula: a n C r , where nCr is the number of combinations possible of the lottery number, and. r ! ( n − r ) ! .

How can I maximize my chances of winning the lottery? ›

To better your chances of winning any lottery, you have to buy more tickets, he said. The more tickets, the more chances of choosing the right combination of numbers.

What's the best way to win the lottery? ›

Aside from purchasing multiple lottery tickets with different number combinations, there is no way to increase your chance of winning the lottery with one ticket, Clotfelter said. However, it can help to let the computer pick your numbers instead of choosing them yourself.

Has a quick pick ever won? ›

Yes, there have been several instances where individuals have won the Mega Millions lottery using a quick pick ticket. Here are a few notable examples: On July 8, 2016, an Indiana couple won a Mega Millions jackpot of $536 million after purchasing 5 Quick Pick tickets on a road trip [1].

Who won the lottery 14 times? ›

The question is, how on earth did he do it? Well, according to Stefan Mandel, it wasn't even that hard - the Romanian-Australian economist putting it down to 'simple math'. With the help of a group of investors and a syndicate called the International Lotto Fund, Mandel targeted 14 lotteries around the world.

Have the same lottery numbers won twice? ›

Well, it's not the first time this has happened, but it's definitely not common. The last "repeat" in numbers occurred in the Saturday, May 20, 2023, Powerball drawing: 17-23-32-38-63 and the Powerball was 23. Before that, on Oct.

What are the odds of winning the lottery math? ›

Here's the cold hard truth when it comes to the lottery: for one of the most popular lotteries in the United States, Mega Millions, your odds of winning are about 1 in 176 million. If you're playing a single-state lottery, like the California Super Lotto, your odds increase — to 1 in 42 million.

How do you calculate odds of winning the lottery? ›

Understand the calculations involved.

To find the odds of winning any lottery, divide the number of winning lottery numbers by the total number of possible lottery numbers. If the numbers are chosen from a set and the order of the numbers doesn't matter, use the formula. r ! ( n − r ) !

What are the statistically best Mega Millions numbers? ›

The five most frequent numbers are 17, 31, 10, 46, and 20 — all five have been drawn at least once since the last Mega Millions jackpot was won in December. As for the Mega Ball, only six numbers have been drawn more than 100 times: 1, 3, 9, 10, 15, and 7.

How do you calculate the odds? ›

Calculating Odds from Probability

If you have a ratio describing probability, i.e. 33% or 1:2, calculate the odds by dividing the outcome you want over all possible outcomes (1/(1+2) = 1/3), then use the formula Odds = P / (1 - P), in this example O = . 33 / (1 - . 33) = . 5.

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