Norway: Is world’s largest sovereign wealth fund too big? (2024)

  • Published

Norway: Is world’s largest sovereign wealth fund too big? (1)

By Matthew Price

BBC News, Oslo

Most of Europe is struggling with how to reduce spending, but not Norway. It has invested the income from its oil and gas reserves so wisely that it now has what many consider to be the world's largest sovereign wealth fund, estimated to be worth $1tr (£0.6tr) by 2020. But is that too big?

They play the long game on the trading floor. When Facebook announced it was going to float on the stock market, the analysts here went to work. They assessed the pros and cons, the likely value of the company, the chance of a big loss, and of a big gain.

Then they bought Facebook shares. Like everyone else who did they lost money almost immediately. Unlike many others however they did not rush to sell them.

"We have the possibility in times of turbulence to sit through the turbulence," says Yngve Slyngstad, the CEO of Norway's pension fund.

A billion dollars a week passes through the fund's office in the Norwegian Central Bank building in Oslo.

More than 200 staff work here. Another 100 in their offices in New York, London, Shanghai and Singapore.

The trading floor is calm, considered, even slightly academic. Wall Street this is not. There's no panicked selling of stocks as markets plunge.

Their mission, by government mandate, is slowly and carefully to build up wealth to help fund this country long after the oil and gas reserves run out.

"That was what happened in the 2008-2009 period," Mr Slyngstad continues. "Many other investors were forced to sell. We had the privilege to not only sit on our assets, but to accumulate more."

'Working with reason'

In Norway's case money makes money. Profits and taxes from the oil and gas industry give the government oil fund $1bn a week.

The fund holds on average 1% of the world's shares. In Europe it owns more than 2% of all listed companies.

That is thanks both to the hydrocarbons - and the fact that successive governments have stuck to the political consensus that profits from the oil industry should be invested in the fund.

The government mandate for the fund specifies that it must be transparent and open. It also aims to influence the way in which the companies it invests in behave.

It has a set of principles which guide its investment strategies, and to which it attempts to get others to subscribe to.

"As long-term owners," says Mr Slyngstad, "we need to "make sure that the companies are long-term profitable, and not only good for the investors, the shareholders, but for society at large.

"We work with reason and not with force."

But does it make a difference? The fund believes it does. In the area of children's rights for instance they believe their stance has encouraged companies that use child labour to address the issue.

"Of course this is very long-term work where results are measured in not years, but decades," adds Mr Slyngstad.

Multiple funds?

Norway is one of the richest countries per head of population. Europe's debt crisis feels very, very far away in this affluent corner of the continent.

At Norway's Business School in Oslo however, the professor of asset management, Bruno Gerard, believes the fund must be changed.

"It's going to be impossible to keep managing this immense flow of money within one organisation," he says.

"It is very well-managed, but... a small mistake on a big fund can have enormous consequences. It would be far less damaging if we had several smaller funds."

That is something Norway's newly-elected Conservative party - it will lead the next coalition government - says it might consider.

"Should it be two or three funds not one?" asks Erna Solberg, the party's leader.

There will be a discussion, she suggests.

"Of course as Conservatives we also believe that if you have a regime with a bit more competition you might get better results."

Prof Gerard is convinced that is the way the debate is going. "It's not whether to split the fund - but when to split it."

Any change in how they run things in the fund would have no effect on global markets, but it could be crucial for Norway's future.

Some say the fund holds too many shares, and argue at least some of the profits would be better spent on infrastructure or research and development in Norway.

Spend too much though inside the country and they risk overheating the economy.

Mr Slyngstad addresses the issue with a wry smile. "As a starting point it's better to have a large fund than a small fund," he says.

But whatever they decide, while most of Europe grapples with how to save, Norway is well ahead.

It is focused on making sure that even when the oil does run out, the money doesn't.

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Norway: Is world’s largest sovereign wealth fund too big? (2024)

FAQs

Why is the Norway sovereign wealth fund so big? ›

Norway's sovereign wealth fund, the world's largest, was established in the 1990s to invest the surplus revenues of the country's oil and gas sector. To date, the fund has put money in more than 8,500 companies in 70 countries around the world.

What is the error in the Norwegian sovereign wealth fund Excel? ›

Even a simple spreadsheet error can have major consequences: Norway's $1.5tn sovereign wealth fund revealed that it had lost NKr980mn, roughly $92mn, on an error relating to how it calculated its mandated benchmark.

What is the largest sovereign wealth fund in the world? ›

Norway's $1.4 trillion sovereign wealth fund, the world's biggest, returned 0.1% in the third quarter, after its bonds and real estate holdings offset a slight decline in stock portfolio.

How big is Norway's sovereign fund? ›

OSLO, Jan 30 (Reuters) - Norway's $1.6 trillion sovereign wealth fund, the world's largest, reported on Tuesday a record profit of 2.22 trillion crowns ($213 billion) in 2023, driven by strong returns on its investments in technology stocks.

What is the 3% rule in Norway? ›

It is believed that the fund will grow with more than 3% yearly over time, which makes it possible to allocate up to 3% to the yearly budget without decreasing the value of the fund. The rule was introduced in 2001 during the First cabinet Stoltenberg, and has a broad cross-party support.

Is every citizen in Norway a millionaire? ›

The fund is for the citizens of Norway. “The aim of the fund is to ensure responsible and long-term management of revenue from Norway's oil and gas resources, so that this wealth benefits both current and future generations.” Today the fund is worth nearly $275,000 for every citizen of Norway.

Does the US have a sovereign wealth fund? ›

Some countries may have more than one SWF. Also, while the United States does not have a federal sovereign wealth fund, several of its states have their own SWFs. The list does not include pension funds that do not meet the SWF criteria.

What are the cons of sovereign wealth funds? ›

Despite the advantages, SWFs are not without their drawbacks. One concern is the potential for mismanagement and corruption. Poor governance and lack of transparency can lead to funds being misappropriated or invested in risky ventures, resulting in significant financial losses.

Does Norway have sovereign debt? ›

The National Debt Of Norway

According to the IMF, as of October 2020, the Kingdom of Norway's gross debt to GDP ratio was 40%. Norway has a very large sovereign wealth fund, which outweighs its public debt by a very large amount. Norway is one of the few countries in the world that doesn't need to borrow any money.

Where do sovereign wealth funds get their money? ›

The funding for a SWF can come from a variety of sources. Popular sources are surplus reserves from state-owned natural resource revenues, trade surpluses, bank reserves that may accumulate from budgeting excesses, foreign currency operations, money from privatizations, and governmental transfer payments.

Which US states have a sovereign wealth fund? ›

Sovereign wealth funds are not a recent invention – Kuwait created the first modern one in 1953. Nor are they un-American: the state governments of Alaska and Texas both have sovereign funds designed to manage the revenues that have arisen from their energy booms.

Who runs sovereign wealth funds? ›

A sovereign wealth fund is owned by the general government, which includes both central government and sub-national governments. Includes investments in foreign financial assets. They invest for financial objectives.

How much is Norway in debt? ›

National debt in Norway

The government debt in the period from 2000 to 2022 was between 47.4 billion and 229.5 billion USD. The highest level of the last years at 229 billion US Dollar was reached in 2022. Based on the number of inhabitants, this is a debt of 42,050 USD per person.

How much money does Norway give its citizens? ›

In September 2017, the fund exceeded US$1 trillion in value for the first time, a thirteen-fold increase since 2002. With a population of 5.2 million people, the fund was worth $192,307 per Norwegian citizen.

How much debt is Norway in dollars? ›

In the latest reports, Norway National Government Debt reached 224.4 USD bn in Dec 2023. The country's Nominal GDP reached 128.6 USD bn in Mar 2023.

Why is Norway the richest country in the world? ›

Discovery of oil and gas off the coast in the 1960s gave the country an economic boost and today Norway is one of the world's leading petroleum exporters. Norway's roughly 5 million people live in a constitutional monarchy.

Why is Norway one of the richest countries in the world? ›

Since the discovery of large offshore reserves in the late 1960s, Norway's economic engine has been fueled by oil. As Western Europe's top petroleum producer, the country has benefitted for decades from rising prices.

How did Norway build its sovereign wealth fund? ›

The Norwegian SWF is a petroleum fund, financed by the state's share of oil and gas revenues—officially coined the Government Pension Fund Global—and it has one of the most sophisticated investment strategies and most transparent institutional set-ups among its peers.

Why doesn't Britain have a sovereign wealth fund? ›

Britain did not opt for such a scheme when its North Sea oil boom began in the 1970s. Instead, successive governments used the proceeds from oil and gas fields to keep public borrowing down rather than to build a fighting fund to tackle long-term problems such as our ageing population.

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