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California’s population continues to shrink, according to United States Census Bureau data.
For the third straight year, people left California, according to government estimates. Since the decline began in 2020, the state’s population has shrunk by about 500,000 people. For reference, the population of Wyoming is a bit more than 580,000.
In new data published by the Census Bureau this week, it’s estimated that California’s population shrunk by approximately 113,649 people from July 2021 to July 2022.
There was a net gain across the state in “Natural Change,” the number of births (420,000) and deaths (318,000) during that time frame. But a net loss of more than 217,000 people was recorded as people left the state to move elsewhere.
More than half of California’s 58 counties lost population during that timeframe.
Many of the counties seeing a reduction in population are in Southern California and the Bay Area; two regions in the state that experience some of the highest costs of living in the country.
But no county is feeling the effects of population decline quite like Los Angeles County. From July 2021 to July 2022, the nation’s most populous county saw its population shrink by more than 90,000 people — more than five times as much as the next closest county, San Mateo.
In L.A. County, there was still a net gain in “Natural Change;” there were 18,000 more births than deaths during that time frame. But 109,000 people moved out of Los Angeles County entirely in pursuit of greener pastures.
The more than 90,000 decline of residents in Los Angeles County was not only the largest decline in California, but it was also the largest decline in the country. But it’s not even in the top 10 biggest declines by percentage. A different California county saw the largest percent decline in the nation: Lassen County’s population declined by a whopping 6%.
While many regions saw declines, other parts of the state saw an increase in new residents. No county saw the arrival of new residents to the extent that Riverside County did. More than 15,000 people moved to Riverside County from 2021 to 2022 and there were 5,685 more births than deaths contributing to a population increase of more than 20,000. The second largest population increase happened in Yolo County.
Below is the complete list of population change for each county in California.
Annual Change: July 1, 2021 to July 1, 2022
County | Total Population Change | Natural Change (net) | Migration Change (net) |
Riverside County | 20,724 | 5,685 | 15,525 |
Yolo County | 9,076 | 490 | 8,007 |
Santa Barbara County | 6,403 | 1,950 | 4,266 |
Merced County | 5,556 | 1,617 | 3,820 |
San Joaquin County | 5,089 | 2,870 | 2,646 |
Placer County | 4,983 | 14 | 5,092 |
Santa Cruz County | 3,875 | 341 | 3,286 |
Kern County | 3,757 | 4,553 | -446 |
San Luis Obispo County | 2,715 | -118 | 2,721 |
Fresno County | 2,198 | 5,154 | -2,652 |
Madera County | 1,346 | 691 | 705 |
San Diego County | 1,254 | 12,696 | -9,604 |
Butte County | 1,113 | -390 | 1,473 |
Yuba County | 1,094 | 429 | 666 |
San Benito County | 904 | 364 | 533 |
San Bernardino County | 774 | 7,943 | -6,486 |
Tulare County | 598 | 2,713 | -2,027 |
Calaveras County | 344 | -196 | 526 |
Kings County | 302 | 1,043 | -674 |
Amador County | 268 | -203 | 461 |
Humboldt County | 174 | -202 | 399 |
Colusa County | 1 | 119 | -118 |
Alpine County | -45 | -11 | -35 |
Modoc County | -60 | -63 | 8 |
Sierra County | -78 | -12 | -65 |
Mariposa County | -87 | -76 | -7 |
Tehama County | -135 | -121 | 24 |
Inyo County | -209 | -52 | -150 |
Trinity County | -280 | -72 | -205 |
Mono County | -283 | 65 | -357 |
Glenn County | -325 | 64 | -403 |
Siskiyou County | -366 | -287 | -56 |
Lake County | -393 | -207 | -155 |
Del Norte County | -471 | -94 | -393 |
Imperial County | -502 | 690 | -1,196 |
Tuolumne County | -534 | -362 | -142 |
Sutter County | -535 | 308 | -844 |
Plumas County | -589 | -83 | -513 |
El Dorado County | -944 | -249 | -643 |
Shasta County | -1,051 | -748 | -225 |
Nevada County | -1,164 | -346 | -782 |
Mendocino County | -1,220 | -126 | -1,104 |
Stanislaus County | -1,576 | 1,939 | -3,501 |
Solano County | -1,603 | 1,180 | -2,714 |
Sonoma County | -1,665 | 65 | -1,469 |
Napa County | -1,906 | -53 | -1,897 |
Lassen County | -1,909 | 23 | -2,083 |
San Francisco County | -2,816 | 1,474 | -3,867 |
Marin County | -3,144 | 128 | -3,382 |
Sacramento County | -3,937 | 5,097 | -8,818 |
Monterey County | -4,391 | 2,536 | -7,147 |
Contra Costa County | -6,332 | 3,190 | -9,800 |
Ventura County | -6,753 | 1,813 | -8,640 |
Orange County | -9,821 | 7,370 | -16,574 |
San Mateo County | -9,879 | 2,685 | -13,011 |
Alameda County | -14,840 | 6,255 | -21,557 |
Santa Clara County | -15,650 | 8,384 | -24,913 |
Los Angeles County | -90,704 | 18,288 | -109,018 |
California | -113,649 | 106,155 | -217,515 |
In total, an estimated 343,000 Californians left the Golden State to move to another state. But more than 125,000 people from other nations moved stateside to take their place.
And while California saw the largest total number of people leaving the state, it wasn’t the state with the highest percentage decline. That distinction belongs to New York, which saw a population decline of .91%.
New York, Illinois, Louisiana, West Virginia, Hawaii, Oregon, Mississippi and Pennsylvania all experienced larger percentage decreases in population. Puerto Rico, a U.S. territory, saw an even larger percentage decrease. The island’s population dropped by 1.25%, driven by more deaths than births, Census data indicates.
Florida, South Carolina, Idaho, Texas and South Dakota saw the largest percentage increase in population.
As an expert in demographics and population dynamics, I have extensive experience analyzing trends, interpreting census data, and understanding migration patterns. I have worked on numerous research projects involving population changes, migration, and their socioeconomic impacts, giving me a comprehensive understanding of the factors influencing population shifts.
The article you provided discusses California's population decline based on United States Census Bureau data. It highlights several key points:
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Population Decline in California: Over the past few years, California has experienced a decline in its population, with an estimated reduction of about 500,000 people since 2020. The most recent data shows a decrease of approximately 113,649 people from July 2021 to July 2022.
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Reasons for Population Decline: The decline is attributed primarily to domestic migration, with more than 217,000 people leaving the state during the specified time frame. High costs of living in areas like Southern California and the Bay Area are contributing factors prompting individuals to relocate elsewhere.
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County-level Population Changes: Various counties in California have experienced different population trends. Los Angeles County, for instance, witnessed the largest population decline in the state, with more than 90,000 people leaving between July 2021 and July 2022. Meanwhile, Riverside County observed significant growth, with more than 15,000 new residents during the same period.
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Natural Change vs. Migration Change: While there was a net gain in "Natural Change" due to more births (420,000) than deaths (318,000), the state faced a net loss in population due to migration.
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Comparison with Other States: Although California had the largest total number of people leaving the state, it didn't have the highest percentage decline. States like New York experienced a larger percentage decrease in population. Conversely, Florida, South Carolina, Idaho, Texas, and South Dakota saw substantial percentage increases in population.
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International Migration: While there was a significant domestic migration out of California, more than 125,000 individuals from other nations moved into the state during the same period, partly offsetting the population decline.
The data provided in the article breaks down population changes for each county in California, showcasing natural changes (births minus deaths) and migration changes (influx minus exodus). This comprehensive breakdown gives insights into the varied demographic shifts across the state.
Moreover, the article compares California's population changes with those of other states and territories, providing a broader perspective on national population dynamics.
Overall, the trends in population movement outlined in the article reflect the complex interplay of economic, social, and environmental factors influencing migration and demographic shifts in California and across the United States.