Most investors think Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway will outperform the S&P 500 in the next 5 years, survey says (2024)

Most investors think Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway will outperform the S&P 500 in the next 5 years, survey says (1) Most investors think Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway will outperform the S&P 500 in the next 5 years, survey says (2)
  • Most investors expect Berkshire Hathaway stock to outperform the S&P 500 over the next five years.
  • That's according to anew Bloomberg MLIV Pulse survey of 352 professional and retail investors
  • Shares of Warren Buffett's Berkshire gained 3.3% in 2022, compared to the S&P 500's loss of 18%.

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More than half of investors expect shares of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway to outperform the S&P 500 Index over the next five years.

A new Bloomberg MLIV Pulse survey with 352 respondents found that 53.2% of professional investors and 54.4% of retail investors think the stock will beat the broad market index in that span.

Meanwhile, 13% of professional investors and 8.1% of retail investors responded that Berkshire stock will lag the S&P 500 over the next five years, while 33.3% and 37.5% of each respective group said it will be close to the S&P 500.

Last year, shares Berkshire gained 3.3%, compared to the S&P 500's loss of 18%.

And with Wall Street anticipating a looming recession, the survey found that 44.6% of investors think now is the right time to buy defensive stocks, with 20.2% favoring growth stocks, 16.5% tech stocks, and 18.8% saying other.

Ahead of this week's annual Berkshire shareholder meeting, 80% of investors said the biggest portion of Buffett's legacy will be buying stocks for less than what they're worth. His annual shareholder letter came in second.

The Bloomberg survey comes as Buffett himself has been relatively quiet with Berkshire's investing portfolio in recent years.

While he boosted stakes in five top Japanese companies last month, his conglomerate is currently holding a massive pile of cash that totals roughly $130 billion as he has avoided megadeals even as last year's bear market lowered asset prices.

But Buffett has cautioned investors against deploying their money the same way he does. Instead, he has urged them to park money in a low-cost index fund.

He said the same to Tim Ferris in 2008 when the podcaster asked him how to invest $1 million.

"You will not get that advice from anybody because nobody gets paid to give you that advice," Buffett said. "You will have all kinds of people telling you how much better they can do for you than that, and how if you just give them a wrap fee, or give them commissions, or whatever it may be, that they will do better — but they won't do better."

Most investors think Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway will outperform the S&P 500 in the next 5 years, survey says (2024)

FAQs

Does Berkshire Hathaway outperform s&p500? ›

Berkshire has a history of outperforming the S&P 500 during recessions, and performing especially well during bear markets, according to data from Bespoke Investment Group. Since 1980, Berkshire shares have beat the broader market over the course of six recessions by a median of 4.41 percentage points.

Has BRK B outperformed S&P 500? ›

Its Relative Strength Rating of 78 means it has outperformed 78% of stocks in terms of price performance over the past 12 months. Berkshire Hathaway stock held strong in 2022, making a slight gain compared to a loss of more than 19% for the S&P 500. So far in 2023, BRKB is up nearly 12%. The S&P 500 is up nearly 19%.

Where will the S&P be in 5 years? ›

S&P 500 10 Years Forecast (Until 2032)
YearPrice
20234 200
20244 900
20255 500
20265 750
6 more rows
Jul 6, 2023

How is BRK B compared to the S&P 500? ›

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK-B) has a higher volatility of 3.09% compared to SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at 2.73%. This indicates that BRK-B's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Should I buy S&P 500 or Berkshire Hathaway? ›

Most investors think Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway will outperform the S&P 500 in the next 5 years, survey says. Most investors expect Berkshire Hathaway stock to outperform the S&P 500 over the next five years. Shares of Warren Buffett's Berkshire gained 3.3% in 2022, compared to the S&P 500's loss of 18%.

What does Warren Buffett think of the S&P 500? ›

Key Points. Warren Buffett has famously recommended index funds as a way to build wealth. He has also proven that even the most basic funds can outperform big Wall Street firms. The S&P 500 index fund is a powerhouse investment that could make you a lot of money.

Does Berkshire returns compare to sp500? ›

Berkshire Hathaway saw a 19.8% compounded annual gain from 1965 to 2022, compared to 9.9% for the S&P 500 Index. In terms of overall gain, Berkshire saw a 3,787,464% rise during that time period while the S&P rose 24,708%.

How many investors outperform the S&P 500? ›

For example, the last time the average active U.S. stock fund beat the S&P 500 stock index for a full calendar year was in 2009. And over a full 20-year period ending last December, fewer than 10 percent of active U.S. stock funds managed to beat their benchmarks.

What is Warren Buffett's average return? ›

Yet, his results are nothing short of incredible, boasting an annualized return of 19.8% from 1965 to the present, compared with 9.9% for the S&P 500 index. This makes him an outstanding performer and the best investor in history, thanks to the durability and consistency he has demonstrated over the years.

Does the S&P 500 double every 5 years? ›

According to his math, since 1949 S&P 500 investments have doubled ten times, or an average of about seven years each time.

What is the expected 10 year return on the S&P 500? ›

S&P 500 10 Year Return (I:SP50010Y)

S&P 500 10 Year Return is at 177.1%, compared to 156.3% last month and 177.9% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 112.9%.

What is the S&P 500 price target for 2025? ›

The firm raised its 2025 price target for the S&P 500 to 6,500. That implies 50% upside from its current level, or returns of 17.6% annually over the next two-and-a-half years, which is well above the long-term average.

What is the 10 year return for Berkshire Hathaway? ›

Trailing Returns
Total Return %1-Day10-Year
BRK.B-1.0811.50
Industry-1.1510.76
Index-0.4911.77

What is the average return of Berkshire Hathaway in the last 20 years? ›

However, over the last 20 years BRKB has almost perfectly matched the returns of the market, putting up annualized returns of 9.95% vs the market's 9.89%. The resiliency during the tough times is why investors pick Berkshire though.

Do any mutual funds outperform the S&P 500? ›

It found that over the course of one year, 51.08% of actively-managed mutual funds underperformed the S&P 500, and 48.92% of actively-managed funds outperformed the S&P 500.

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