Mortgage rates were already at record lows. Now they could go even lower | CNN Business (2024)

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An emergency rate cut from the Federal Reserve, the 10-year Treasury bond yield at historic lows – if you’ve been waiting to refinance or buy a home, it appears your time has come.

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    The half a percentage point cut by the Fed on Tuesday brings the benchmark interest rate range down to 1% to 1.25%. That cut, along with a rock-bottom 10-year Treasury yield, means mortgage rates are poised to head even lower.

    Mortgage rates have already been hovering near historic lows. Last week, rates fell to an average of 3.45% for a 30-year fixed rate mortgage and 2.95% for a 15-year fixed rate mortgage, according to Freddie Mac.

    “It’s definitely a good time for someone looking to buy a home to get financing,” said Mark Hamrick, senior economic analyst for Bankrate. “Home prices have risen, and it is rough for those looking for a bargain, but the financing has gotten better.”

    And there is an opportunity for rates to go lower still, he said.

    “If you’re trying to look for the silver lining in the midst of the current climate,” said Hamrick, “the mortgage interest rate is close to the top of the list.”

    Spring real estate market gets a boost

    Volatility in the stock market and uncertainty in the economy doesn’t bolster a home buyer’s confidence, but knocking money off a monthly payment by getting a lower mortgage rate or refinancing can certainly help.

    On the cusp of the spring home buying season, these rates are well timed, said Hamrick. But favorable rates alone aren’t necessarily going to bring new buyers into the fold.

    “Buying a home is a practical purchase,” he said. “You buy because you’re ready and you know how much you want to spend, the timing of the purchase and the location.”

    But this shift may bring those who were considering buying a home into the market more quickly.

    “Hesitant home buyers will be enticed to take advantage of low interest rates,” said Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, in a statement.

    He said the rate cut not only helps individual buyers, but also the entire real estate sector.

    “The coronavirus has quickly upended global economic expansion and introduced the significant uncertainty of a possible recession,” said Yun. “Today’s interest rate cut is an appropriate response to changing events.”

    Move now or wait for lower rates?

    Knowing when to make the move can be tricky.

    If you’re looking to refinance or secure a new mortgage, evaluate the immediate impact it will have on your finances, said Mike Hennessy, a certified financial planner with Harbor Crest Wealth Advisors in Fort Lauderdale. “If you can meaningfully save on your interest costs, build equity quicker, or extract equity at a reasonable cost to fund a renovation project, then take the bird in hand today.”

    For a mortgage refinance, start comparing the numbers that are being offered with what you currently have, said Cynthia Meyer, a certified financial planner with Real Life Planning in New Jersey.

    “If the new rate is 75 basis points (0.75%) lower than the current rate, that it’s generally going to be worth it to refinance after the costs of the refi,” said Meyer.

    “If you’re planning to stay in your home, run the numbers to see if it makes sense to refi from a 30- to a 15-year mortgage as well,” she said. “You may be able to pay around the same amount every month and get your house paid off a lot sooner, with lower total interest costs.”

    Shop around

    Even before today’s rate cut, lenders had been offering competitive rates and even including some closing costs, said Danielle Seurkamp, a certified financial planner with Well Spent Wealth Planning in Cincinnati, Ohio.

    Still, it’s always a good idea to shop around, she said. “You shouldn’t assume you’re going to get a good deal from a big bank just because you have your checking and saving account with them,” she said. “Often the smaller, community banks offer the best deals.”

    Mortgage rates were already at record lows. Now they could go even lower | CNN Business (2024)

    FAQs

    What is the lowest mortgage rate ever recorded? ›

    The average 30-year fixed rate reached an all-time record low of 2.65% in January 2021 before surging to 7.79% in October 2023, according to Freddie Mac.

    Will mortgage rates go down if there is a recession? ›

    During a traditional recession, the Fed will usually lower interest rates. This creates an incentive for people to spend money and stimulate the economy. It also typically leads to more affordable mortgage rates, which leads to more opportunity for homebuyers.

    Will mortgage rates ever be 3 again? ›

    It's possible that rates will one day go back down to 3%, though if current trends hold that's not likely to happen anytime soon.

    What happens when mortgage rates decrease? ›

    Rising demand will likely drive up home prices

    The experts we spoke with agree that a drop in interest rates will likely drive up demand which, in turn, will drive up home prices. "The imbalance, with more demand than supply, will lead to further price increases.

    What is the lowest 30 year mortgage rate ever recorded? ›

    The lowest historical mortgage rate ever for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages was not all that long ago. In January 2021, due largely to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, mortgage rates sank to an all-time low of 2.65%, according to Freddie Mac.

    What is the highest mortgage rate ever recorded? ›

    What were the highest mortgage rates in history? The highest mortgage rates in history were in the 1980s. Thirty-year fixed mortgage rates hit their peak at 18.63% in October 1981.

    How high could mortgage rates go by 2025? ›

    The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Thursday was 6.99%. By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%.

    Is it better to have cash or property in a recession? ›

    Cash: Offers liquidity, allowing you to cover expenses or seize investment opportunities. Property: Can provide rental income and potential long-term appreciation, but selling might be difficult during an economic downturn.

    How low will mortgage rates go in 2025? ›

    Here's where three experts predict mortgage rates are heading: Around 6% or below by Q1 2025: "Rates hit 8% towards the end of last year, and right now we are seeing rates closer to 6.875%," says Haymore. "By the first quarter of 2025, mortgage rates could potentially fall below the 6% threshold, or maybe even lower."

    How low will mortgage rates drop in 2024? ›

    While McBride had expected mortgage rates to fall to 5.75 percent by late 2024, the new economic reality means they're likely to hover in the range of 6.25 percent to 6.4 percent by the end of the year, he says.

    Will mortgage rates go below 5 again? ›

    Mortgage rates are expected to decline later this year as the U.S. economy weakens, inflation slows and the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the mid- to low-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory by early 2025.

    Will interest rates ever drop below 3 again? ›

    If the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates too quickly, it could spur inflation, erasing all the work the central bank has done to curb increasing prices over the past couple of years. So, any rate cuts in 2024 are likely to be minimal and unlikely to result in mortgage rates dropping to 3%.

    Should you always go with the lowest mortgage rate? ›

    One of the most important things you can do when buying a new home is to sit down and look at the real numbers. The lowest interest rate doesn't always get you the best deal, so don't get too excited about an interest rate before you do the math.

    Why aren t mortgage rates going down? ›

    The possibility of declining mortgage rates keeps fading. Blame a still-booming U.S. economy, and stubborn inflation. “March inflation figures were very bad, which also means bad news for interest rates,” says Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors.

    Is it better to buy a house when interest rates are high? ›

    Even with interest rates as high as they are, it's still a great time to buy a house. The higher interest rates have priced some buyers out of the market, which means you could face less competition when you make offers.

    How low did 15-year mortgage rates go? ›

    The lowest average annual mortgage rate on 15-year fixed mortgages since 1991 was 2.66%. This occurred in both late 2012 and in April 2013. As of 2020 and 2021, the average 15-year fixed mortgage rate has dropped even further to 2.61% and 2.27%, respectively.

    What is considered a low mortgage rate? ›

    While mortgage rates fluctuate so often—which can affect the definition of a good interest rate for a mortgage—4.75% is lower than the current average for both a 15-year fixed loan and a 30-year mortgage. At the end of 2022, good mortgage rates for 15-year fixed loans generally started around 5%.

    How low were mortgage rates in 2008? ›

    For example, the 2008 recession saw a 30-year mortgage peak of 6.63%. The current 30-year rate, as of this writing, is at 5.30% but we'll see how recession fears impact this.

    Why were interest rates so high in the 80s? ›

    As we headed into the 80s, it's important to note that the country was in the middle of a recession, largely caused by the oil crises of 1973 and 1979. The second oil shock caused skyrocketing inflation. The cost of goods and services rose, so fittingly, mortgage rates did too.

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