Marcellus - Consistent Compounders Recommendation & Review - IME Capital (2024)

Scheme Rating

Scheme Rating

5 of 5 stars

Strategy Rating

5 of 5 stars

Type: Large Cap | High-quality

AUM (6084.18 cr)| Inc Date(1-Dec-2018)

IME View onMarcellus – Consistent Compounders

  • High quality franchise oriented strategy: Highly focused and concentrated strategy. A strong and time-tested strategy to deliver long-term consistent returns, though it may underperform in a strong bull market. Marcellus Consistent Compounder is a flagship PMS that invest in companies with clean accounts, a superior capital allocation record, and high entry barriers.
  • Strong Fund Manager Credentials: One of the strongest investment management teams, with both Saurabh and Raksh*t being highly seasoned investment professionals, with strong track records and fundamental research credentials
  • Very high valuations of Quality Franchises: High-quality franchises have seen a very substantial re-rating in recent years, leading to a number of these trading at valuations that are arguably hard to justify (even when taking into account the quality of the company). This creates a very high valuation base for these companies to continue to perform.
  • Performance: Consistent Compounders started with a period of strong performance, continuing the strong performance of the same strategy by the same team at Ambit prior to founding Marcellus. However, performance in recent years has been underwhelming (which we view as an impact of the very base valuations of the high quality franchises that Marcellus typically invests in). We continue to remain a little cautious about future performance (especially in the shorter-term), given the continued high valuations of leading franchises and signs of markets getting more optimistic on other sections of the market.
  • We recommend Marcellus Consistent Compounders: However, we are concerned about the valuations of some of the portfolio companies, and we would prefer more flexible strategies until this valuation gap is corrected.

Investment Philosophy

Key Aspects of Identifying Consistent Compounders

  • Clean accounting
  • Companies with a track record of superior capital allocation
  • Companies that pass both those filters, identify those with high barriers to entry

Investment Process

Rigorous process to filter out based on 1) forensic accounts, 2) sustainability parameters, 3) bottom-up research, channel checks, and management meetings to invest in 12-15 high-quality companies.

  • Forensic Accounting: Avoid companies with poor corporate governance. About 40% of the starting 500 company universe get eliminated here.
  • Sustainability Parameters: Using defined threshold on revenue growth, and ROCE. Identify cash-generating growing franchises. Around 50% get further eliminated at this step.
  • Bottom-up research: research on only 10% of the universe. Detailed analysis of secondary resources along with channel checks, independent views and management meetings.

Sell Framework

Sell decisions are based on 2 factors i.e lower than expected free cash flow growth and uncertainty around ‘longevity score’ due to a slowdown in growth, weakness in moat and legacy.

  • Free Cash Flow Growth: Weakening competitive positioning impacting slower growth
  • Moat Score: Weakening franchise’s strength visible in pricing power
  • Weakening Lethargy ScoreandSuccession Planning

Unequivocal Focus on the Quality of the BusinessIn-depth bottom-up research to identify companies with sustainable competitive moats and build a portfolio of 10-15 stocks that deliver healthy compounded earnings growth over long periods of time.

Portfolio Details

Trailing Performance

1yr3yr5yrSince InceptionInception DateNo. of yrs
1.512.30.21-Dec-20185

Portfolio Allocation

No of StocksLarge-CapMid-capSmall-capCash
1679.511.68.50.5

Data as of 31-Oct-2023

Fund Managers

Saurabh Mukherjea | 5-star rated FM | Founder & CIO | LinkedIn Profile

26 Years of Experience | 5 Years at Current firm

Prior Work Experience: Ambit Capital (CEO), Noble (Head of India Equities), Accenture (Consultant), London Economics (Consultant)

Qualifications: MSc - Economics (LSE),

Saurabh comes with a very strong investments background, having helped build Ambit's broking, wealth & investment management businesses as CEO. He was also responsible for building Execution Nobles India broking business (which was sold to Ambit) and having set up and sold Clear Capital (a UK based small cap research fund). Saurabh is a strong believer in investing in the long-term in very high quality clean businesses and has written a number of books including Gurus of Chaos, The Unusual Billionaires and Coffee Can Investing.

Raksh*t Ranjan | 5-star rated FM | Fund Manager | LinkedIn Profile

19 Years of Experience | 5 Years at Current firm

Prior Work Experience: Ambit Capital (FM), Lloyds Banking (Director Research), Noble & Co (Analyst)

Qualifications: CFA, BTech (IIT-Delhi)

Raksh*t has a strong investment management track record, having launched Ambit's Coffee-Can PMS in Mar-17, which he ran till Dec-18. The Coffee-Can PMS was one of the best-performing PMS schemes in 2018. Prior to setting up the Coffee-Can PMS, Raksh*t was the lead consumer analyst at Ambit. His earlier experience was in UK equities at the Lloyds & Noble groups.

Fee Structure

Fee StructureFee
Fixed Fee2
Variable Option 120% above 8% hurdle
Variable Option 21% fixed + 15% above 12% hurdle

AMC

AMC: Marcellus PMS (click link for detailed AMC review)

Built on the strong foundation of a strong founding team and a tightly defined and time-tested investment philosophy, Marcellus clearly stands out as one of the top PMS services in India for long-term capital deployment.

AMC Rating

5 of 5 stars

AMC Pedigree

5 of 5 stars

AMC Size

5 of 5 stars

Team Pedigree

5 of 5 stars

Inv Philosophy

5 of 5 stars

Differentiation

4 of 5 stars

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Note: PMS AMC & Scheme Reviews and Ratings are based on IME Capital’s Proprietary Review and Rating Methodology (read more here: AMC Rating & Scheme Ratings). These reflect the unbiased views of our central research team, based on our assessment of the investment value of these PMS/AIF strategies for our investors. We follow a highly stringent rating-criteria, where approximately 50% of PMS AMC’s & strategies would be rated 2-star or below (this is not meant to indicate that these funds are not investment-worthy, but that they do not currently fulfill the requirements we focus on for recommending funds to our investors — based on our internal views on the merit of the AMC/strategy relative to peers). Reviews & Ratings are primarily based on research of publicly available information (SEBI disclosures, PMS websites, PMS-aggregation platforms, webinar recording, media interviews etc.) and no explicit consent is required from AMCs for the same. While we endeavour to do further due-diligence via direct interactions with the investment teams of AMCs, this is typically restricted to AMC’s that meet our foundational fund selection criteria (reviews on lower-rated AMCs are often based solely on publicly available information). The views reflected in our Reviews & Ratings, are our independent views and may not be shared by the AMC’s and the investment teams. Please read detailed disclaimer for more.

Marcellus - Consistent Compounders Recommendation & Review - IME Capital (2024)
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