Is Your Retirement Portfolio a Tax Bomb? (2024)

Conventional wisdom suggests you should save everything you can in tax-deferred retirement accounts to minimize taxes in the current year and benefit from tax-sheltered growth. For many, that may still be good advice. Certainly, you should be saving everything you can for retirement. However, for high earners who save a lot, saving in tax-deferred accounts may prove to be bad advice. Why?

This article is part one of a seven-part series. Today’s article provides an overview of the issues and potential solutions.

Snowballing Required Minimum Distributions

Tax-deferred savings have an associated tax liability that you will have to pay someday. The IRS will only let you avoid taxes for so long. Withdrawals from tax-deferred accounts are taxed as ordinary income. You may take withdrawals without penalty from tax-deferred accounts starting at age 59½, but many investors wait to make withdrawals until they are required to take required minimum distributions (RMDs) at age 72.

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7 Surprisingly Valuable Assets for a Happy Retirement

Your tax liability continues to grow over time through contributions, employer matches and your investment return. Eventually, this growing tax liability can snowball, but most investors have no idea of the damage it can cause in retirement.

For example, imagine a couple aged 40 who have saved $500,000 combined in pre-tax 401(k) accounts. Presumably, this couple is tracking well for a secure retirement. If they keep maxing out pre-tax 401(k) contributions and each receive a $6,000 employer match, their 401(k) accounts will have grown to an impressive $7.3 million by retirement at age 65. They’re in great shape, right?

The problem is that their pre-tax savings represents a growing tax liability. The couple’s first RMDs will exceed $435,000 at age 72 and are likely to grow as the couple ages, reaching $739,000 at age 80.

Recall that RMDs are taxed as ordinary income. Do you think they may have a tax problem in retirement?

Medicare Means Testing

The story doesn’t end there, it gets worse. High RMDs are likely to trigger Medicare means testing surcharges (avoidable taxes by a different name) during retirement in the form of higher premiums on Medicare Part B (doctor visits) and Part D (prescription drugs). The couple in our example above is projected to pay $1.5 million in Medicare means testing surcharges through age 90.

Tax Burden for Heirs

At death, assets remaining in inherited tax-deferred accounts have never been taxed, so the tax liability passes to your heirs. The 2019 SECURE Act eliminated the stretch IRA, which allowed heirs to stretch out RMDs from inherited IRAs over their projected life expectancy. Under the new law, RMDs for inherited IRAs no longer exist, but the entire account must be depleted within 10 years, and every withdrawal is taxed as ordinary income at the heirs' marginal tax rate. Our example couple is projected to leave $16.1 million of tax-deferred assets (and the associated tax liability) to their heirs at age 90.

‘I Can’t Retire – I Need Health Insurance

These are not tax issues unique to the super-rich. The couple in this example is upper-middle class, and are simply good savers doing exactly what conventional wisdom has suggested they do. But they clearly need a plan that balances the benefits today of saving in tax-deferred accounts against the tax liabilities this creates for them in retirement. Yet most financial advisers and CPAs focus almost exclusively on minimizing taxes in the current year, without regard to the long-term consequences in retirement.

Planning Strategies to Defuse a Tax Bomb

The solution to these issues typically requires implementation of a multifaceted strategy over many years. Some of the strategies I use with my clients include the following:

Shift Savings from Pre-Tax to Roth Accounts

You’ll lose the tax deduction in the current year, but your tax-free savings will snowball into the future in a good way. This is also the easiest strategy to implement. Many of my clients aren’t aware they have a Roth option in their 401(k)/403(b) or mistakenly think they can’t contribute to one because of income limits, but that’s not true, so find out if your plan offers a Roth option.

In addition, if you have a high-deductible medical plan, contribute the maximum amount ($7,300 in 2022 if married) to the associated health savings account (HSA). Pay your medical expenses out of pocket (not from the HSA account) and invest the account aggressively so it grows to cover medical expenses in retirement. An HSA is one of the few accounts where you get a tax deduction on contributions and money is tax-free when withdrawn (for medical expenses).

Take Advantage of Asset Location

With this strategy, investors place different asset classes into different tax buckets (taxable, pre-tax, tax-free). As an example, asset location typically places investments with low expected returns, such as bonds, into tax-deferred accounts and investments with high expected returns, such as small value or emerging market stocks, into tax-free Roth accounts. The net effect is that your tax-deferred accounts will grow more slowly (and so will your future tax liability), while your tax-free accounts will grow the most.

Few investors have even heard of asset location and it can be hard to implement, but it can significantly reduce your taxes in retirement and increase your after-tax wealth.

Consider Roth Conversions

A Roth conversion involves transferring money from an existing tax-deferred account to a tax-free Roth account. The transfer amount usually is fully taxable as ordinary income. This is a good strategy to consider in low-income years, especially for people who retire early in their 50s and early 60s who may have several years to do conversions before Medicare means testing surcharges, Social Security income, and RMDs kick in. Many of my clients do annual Roth conversions early in retirement.

Saving for retirement is a good thing, but how you choose to save your money can be just as important as how much you save. Sometimes conventional wisdom can lead you astray.

Here are the links to the rest of this series that dives into the issues of retirement tax bombs and their solutions:

  • Part 1: Is Your Retirement Portfolio a Tax Bomb?
  • Part 2: When It Comes to Your RMDs, Be Very, Very Afraid!
  • Part 3: RMDs Can Trigger Massive Medicare Means Testing Surcharges
  • Part 4: Will Your Kids Inherit a Tax Bomb from You?
  • Part 5: How to Defuse a Retirement Tax Bomb, Starting With 1 Simple Move
  • Part 6: Using Asset Location to Defuse a Retirement Tax Bomb
  • Part 7: Roth Conversions Play Key Role in Defusing a Retirement Tax Bomb
  • Bonus article 1: 2 Ways Retirees Can Defuse a Tax Bomb (It’s Not Too Late!)
  • Bonus article 2: Can My Pension Trigger a Retirement Tax Bomb?

You’ve Worked a Lifetime to Build Your Wealth. Here’s How to Keep It!

Disclaimer

This article was written by and presents the views of our contributing adviser, not the Kiplinger editorial staff. You can check adviser records with the SEC or with FINRA.

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Building WealthInternal Revenue Service

Is Your Retirement Portfolio a Tax Bomb? (2024)

FAQs

Is Your Retirement Portfolio a Tax Bomb? ›

Investment gains and side income add to the mix, while high-income retirees may be hit with additional taxes on Social Security benefits and surcharges on Medicare premiums. When your tax bill is higher in retirement than it is during your working years, you may have a retirement tax bomb on your hands.

What is the tax bomb for retirement? ›

What is the retirement tax bomb? The retirement tax bomb is a stealthy financial threat looming over many retirees. Stemming from the correlation between heavy reliance on tax-deferred accounts and the eventual obligation to take required minimum distributions (RMDs), this tax liability snowballs over time.

What is the retirement tax trap? ›

A variety of common tax traps can await you, which could significantly eat into your retirement income and savings. Such traps may include taxes on Social Security benefits, Medicare surcharges, required minimum distributions (RMDs), real estate sales and estimated quarterly tax payments.

What is the average return on a retirement portfolio? ›

Many retirement planners suggest the typical 401(k) portfolio generates an average annual return of 5% to 8% based on market conditions. But your 401(k) return depends on different factors like your contributions, investment selection and fees.

How much can a retired person make without paying taxes? ›

If you are at least 65, unmarried, and receive $15,700 or more in nonexempt income in addition to your Social Security benefits, you typically need to file a federal income tax return (tax year 2023).

How to avoid a tax bomb in retirement? ›

If you're still mid-career, consider funneling some of your retirement savings into Roth accounts instead of tax-deferred traditional IRAs and 401(k)s. Though you won't get the same tax savings now, your money will grow tax-free in your account and won't be included in taxable income when you withdraw it.

What is the 4% rule for retirement taxes? ›

The 4% rule entails withdrawing up to 4% of your retirement in the first year, and subsequently withdrawing based on inflation. Some risks of the 4% rule include whims of the market, life expectancy, and changing tax rates. The rule may not hold up today, and other withdrawal strategies may work better for your needs.

At what age is Social Security no longer taxed? ›

Social Security income can be taxable no matter how old you are. It all depends on whether your total combined income exceeds a certain level set for your filing status. You may have heard that Social Security income is not taxed after age 70; this is false.

What are the three tax buckets for retirement? ›

The Three Bucket strategy is a popular financial planning method for those working towards financial independence. The strategy involves dividing your assets into three distinct "tax buckets": tax-deferred, tax-free, and after-tax.

How do I grow my retirement assets tax-free? ›

You can either complete a Roth conversion or, through tax-deferred withdrawals, contribute to an overfunded permanent life insurance policy. Both options provide the ability to grow and access the money on a tax-free basis. But deciding to do one or both options is the easy part.

Is a 7% return realistic? ›

While quite a few personal finance pundits have suggested that a stock investor can expect a 12% annual return, when you incorporate the impact of volatility and inflation, 7% is a more accurate historical estimate for an aggressive investor (someone primarily invested in stocks), and 5% would be more appropriate for ...

How much cash should a retiree have in their portfolio? ›

The right amount of cash to have on hand

During your working years, you should aim to have enough cash in an emergency fund to cover three months' worth of living costs at a minimum. For retirement, you'll really want more like one to two years' worth.

What is a balanced portfolio for a 65 year old? ›

At age 60–69, consider a moderate portfolio (60% stock, 35% bonds, 5% cash/cash investments); 70–79, moderately conservative (40% stock, 50% bonds, 10% cash/cash investments); 80 and above, conservative (20% stock, 50% bonds, 30% cash/cash investments).

What is the average Social Security check? ›

Social Security offers a monthly benefit check to many kinds of recipients. As of December 2023, the average check is $1,767.03, according to the Social Security Administration – but that amount can differ drastically depending on the type of recipient. In fact, retirees typically make more than the overall average.

Do you pay federal taxes on retirement income? ›

The taxable part of your pension or annuity payments is generally subject to federal income tax withholding. You may be able to choose not to have income tax withheld from your pension or annuity payments or may want to specify how much tax is withheld.

Do retirees have to pay federal income tax? ›

You will owe federal income tax at your regular rate as you receive the money from pension annuities and periodic pension payments. But if you take a direct lump-sum payout from your pension instead, you must pay the total tax due when you file your return for the year you receive the money.

How can I avoid the tax torpedo? ›

Therefore, delaying Social Security can help you avoid additional taxation through your 60s. If you can work or survive on other income until age 70, you'll reap two benefits: first, you'll maximize your Social Security payment amount. Second, you'll avoid paying taxes on Social Security.

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