Is Forex Gambling? reducing the Gambling Side of Trading (2024)

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Taking the guesswork off Forex trading

Is forex gambling?

Every time I find myself in casual company, introducing myself and telling people what I do for a living, I’m usually met with the same response:

“Oh, you’re a gambler, right?”

I can’t count how many times I’ve heard this from new friends or acquaintances, and it got me thinking recently that maybe there is some truth to the notion of trading as gambling.

Gambling Elements

When I go through and analyze the profession, I do see gambling elements, but mostly, it’s risk management work. For the majority of the time that I’ve been in forex, I’ve been relying on my skills and profit expectancy and how to guard my financial investments. I haven’t been going at it randomly, as if I was gambling.

Therefore I’ve concluded that the answer to the question “is forex gambling” is actually pinned in the question itself. When someone doesn’t know something about a profession but is thinking of how to make a living from it, it can be considered gambling. When you have no knowledge and you jump into a new set of rules for any kind of business, well, that is considered gambling.

Let’s say you’re called to court but want to go without a lawyer defending you. You want to defend yourself in front of the judge because you’re willing to take a gamble despite lacking the necessary legal knowledge. This is an extreme example, but when noneducated people refer to trading as gambling, they just don’t know what the profession actually involves.

Enough Blame to Go Around

There are more people at fault here, though, because the sad fact is that many traders who claim to be forex traders are actually trading as gamblers. So there is a bit of truth in the statement that strangers present to me.

So why are so many financial traders considered gamblers? Most people don’t have a solid definition of what traders are doing. Most laypeople outside of the industry just don’t understand all of the aspects and intricacies of the profession.

On the peripheries of trading, gambling is when you trade without proper knowledge of your trading. For example, lacking education and lacking practice and then putting your money down is gambling.

Here are a few other types of gambling in trading:

Market Prediction

This one is exactly how it sounds – thinking that you can predict and accurately forecast the market direction. This is gambling because the prediction of the market is simply not a realistic way to trade. If the prediction ware possible and even probability-wise possible, the market would be a completely different business.

Even if you have a way to predict the market, and it seems to work for you most of the time, you’re still acting with a little hint of gambling in your forex trading. You’re only relying on statistics which at any time can go against you. For example, you say you know how to play roulette because you have studied and understand all of the statistics. But even in doing so, sticking to your prediction will cause failure an unpredictable amount of times.

Stubbornly holding on to your Biases

The next type of gambling we’ll outline is clinging to your belief that the market will go a certain way according to your preconceived bias.

In this scenario, if you don’t leave yourself enough margin for error and you go all the way to lose or win in a binary way of thinking, it is a type of gambling.

Avoiding Losses or Not Placing a Stop Loss

Possibly the most severe form of gambling in trading are the traders that avoid taking losses or placing proper stop losses on their trades, which can have devastating effects on their portfolio. Once you enter the market, if you don’t have a plan for how much you’re willing to risk, you’ll find yourself in trouble.

As a proprietary forex trading fund manager, I’ve seen so many people who don’t respect their own resolution to take a proper stop loss. Instead, time and time again, they go all the way to the definite loss of their portfolio capital and make impossible recovery points after their losses.

Gambling in this way is so destructive because it kills your confidence when you see your trades quickly eating away at your funds. The lack of success and the anger and despair at failing will lead you to feel broken and without much self-esteem. In this scenario, you put so much on the table and open yourself up to serious troubles.

Less Destructive but Still Trouble

A lighter version of avoiding stop loss is avoiding having a trading plan or risk management plan. These two strategies should define your trading routine and the loss of both or just one leaves you in the market as a gambler, untethered by pre-drafted strategy and considerations. You are floating unprepared and are lost as a gambler.

Here is the link where you can Download The5ers digital Trading Plan

Shock Treatment

This article underlines a very negative picture of how most traders are because it’s important to be tough on yourself and to shine a light on the elements that might make you a gambler in order to reduce the tendencies then.

Ultimately you want this job to be something you can rely on and live on. So take this as shock therapy to get you to cut out and reduce as many gambling tendencies as possible.

Ways to Correct and Alleviate Gambling

  • As for gambling due to a lack of education, it’s quite simple. Go back to school, learn, and practice. We’ve outlined the importance of good guidance in previous articles. Open yourself up to more points of view, input from other traders or mentors, and new and improved methods of learning.
  • For the locked bias element, there’s also an easy fix. Be open and look for confirmation before you enter the market. Look for confirmation everywhere in order to prove or disprove your actions. Unlock your position and then enter with confidence.
  • There’s no solution for market predictions because it’s something you should never have been doing in the first place. Don’t predict the market because the market is unpredictable. Even via statistics, there’s no feasible way to predict movements. If you try to do so, you might also suffer a long drawdown before your prediction comes to fruition. Bottom line is, don’t predict it. It’s not predictable. Period.
  • Gambling for not having proper forex trading money management is maybe the hardest part of your mental challenge during trading. Just knowing that the cost will be devastating and bring distress to you should be enough of a red flag for you to avoid this behavior. If you’re fully aware of the damages it will bring, you should be more motivated to develop a complete risk management guide that is uniquely suited to your trading personality. Work on it, tweak it, perfect it. Keep it ever-evolving and changing according to your needs and advances.

Is Forex Gambling? The Bottom Line

Eventually, if you do not treat Forex professionally, then you are treating your trading like gambling.

Without a trading plan, risk-taking and stop-loss, you are simply a gambler.

Of course, there are more ways to improve your chances of succeeding and becoming a profitable trader over time, but if you start with the three points mentioned above, you are already on the right way.

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As someone deeply immersed in the world of forex trading, I can confidently affirm that the perception of forex trading as akin to gambling is a common misunderstanding rooted in a lack of knowledge about the intricacies of the profession. My expertise is not just theoretical; I have spent a substantial amount of time actively engaged in forex trading, relying on a combination of skills, knowledge, and risk management strategies to navigate the complexities of the market.

The notion of forex trading as gambling often arises from the misinformed perspective of those unfamiliar with the profession. When individuals lack understanding and attempt to enter the forex market without the necessary knowledge, it can indeed resemble gambling. Drawing parallels with a courtroom scenario, it becomes evident that attempting to navigate a complex field without expertise is a risky endeavor.

In dissecting the elements that contribute to the perception of forex as gambling, it is crucial to recognize the role of traders who, regrettably, do approach forex with a gambling mindset. This reality underscores the importance of distinguishing between informed trading and impulsive, uninformed decision-making.

Several key concepts in the article shed light on the fine line between responsible trading and gambling tendencies:

  1. Market Prediction:

    • Gambling in trading is often associated with the belief that one can accurately predict market movements. The article rightly emphasizes that relying solely on predictions is unrealistic and akin to gambling.
  2. Biases and Binary Thinking:

    • The article addresses the risk of stubbornly holding onto biases about market directions, emphasizing the importance of leaving room for error and avoiding binary thinking. This behavior, without proper risk management, leans towards gambling.
  3. Avoiding Losses and Stop Loss:

    • The most severe form of gambling in trading is highlighted as the tendency to avoid losses or neglect placing proper stop losses. This can lead to devastating consequences for a trader's portfolio and reflects a lack of disciplined risk management.
  4. Shock Treatment and Self-Reflection:

    • The article adopts a critical stance to encourage traders to be tough on themselves, acknowledging and rectifying gambling tendencies. This approach is framed as a form of "shock therapy" to prompt self-reflection and improvement.
  5. Education and Confirmation:

    • Solutions to gambling tendencies include a call for education, learning, and practice. Seeking confirmation before entering the market is emphasized to dispel biases and enhance trading confidence.

In conclusion, the bottom line is that treating forex as a professional endeavor, backed by a solid trading plan, risk management strategies, and disciplined decision-making, distinguishes trading from gambling. While there are various ways to enhance one's chances of success, the foundational elements of a trading plan, risk management, and the acceptance of losses are paramount for a trader to be considered a professional rather than a gambler.

Is Forex Gambling? reducing the Gambling Side of Trading (2024)
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