Data from February 2024. Extracted on 1 March 2024.
Next planned article update: 18 March 2024.
Highlights
Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.6% in February 2024, down from 2.8% in January 2024.
Euro area annual inflation and its main components, February 2014 - February 2024 (estimated)
(%)
Source: Eurostat (prc_hicp_manr)
The figures presented in this article are early estimates of the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP).
Full article
Euro area annual inflation rate and its main components
Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.6% in February 2024, down from 2.8% in January 2024.
Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, food, alcohol & tobacco is expected to have the highest annual rate in February (4.0%, compared with 5.6% in January), followed by services (3.9%, compared with 4.0% in January), non-energy industrial goods (1.6%, compared with 2.0% in January) and energy (-3.7%, compared with -6.1% in January).
Table 1: Euro area annual inflation and its main components: weights for 2024 and rates for February 2023 and September 2023-February 2024 (estimated)
(%)
Source: Eurostat (prc_hicp_inw) and (prc_hicp_manr)
Figure 1: Euro area annual inflation and its main components, February 2014 - February 2024 (estimated)
(%)
Source: Eurostat (prc_hicp_manr)
Figure 2: Euro area annual inflation and its main components, February 2022 - February 2024 (estimated)
(%)
Source: Eurostat (prc_hicp_manr)
Main components of inflation
Each of the main components contributes in varying degree to the headline inflation in the euro area. In terms of weights for 2024, 100% for the headline HICP, services is the largest component, accounting for around 44.9% of household final monetary consumption expenditure in the euro area. It is followed by non-energy industrial goods with around 25.7%.
Food, alcohol & tobacco and energy account for 19.5% and 9.9%, respectively. Together, they comprise less than one third of euro area expenditure, but they can have significant impacts on the headline inflation as their prices tend to fluctuate significantly more than the other components'.
The weights of the main components of the euro area for 2024 are presented in Figure 3. Table 2 shows their relative weights for 2024.
Figure 3: Weights of the main components of the euro area HICP - 2024 (estimated and provisional)
Source: Eurostat (prc_hicp_inw)
Table 2: Weights of the components of the euro area HICP, 2024 (estimated and provisional)
Source: Eurostat (prc_hicp_inw)
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External links
- HICP methodology (updated April 2023)
- HICP at constant tax rates
- News Release 113/2001 – First release of the Flash estimates
- News release 137/2012 – First release of the Flash estimates main components
- Harmonised indices of consumer prices (HICP), see a predefined selection under these links:
- Harmonised indices of consumer prices (ESMS metadata file - prc_hicp_esms)
- ECOICOP-HICP classification