How to Spot Market Manipulation - SmartAsset (2024)

How to Spot Market Manipulation - SmartAsset (1)
The hyper-volatility of GameStock shares in January 2021 forced questions about what exactly market manipulation is onto center stage. What had long been seen as something only unscrupulous Wall Street giants could do now looked very much like something any ad hoc collection of retail investors could pull off, too. Did the short squeeze in GameStock shares, apparently run out of Redditt’s WallStreetBets forum, breach the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) prohibition against market manipulation? We analyze market manipulation below. This entire principle underscores just how important it is to work witha financial advisorwho can help inform you about and protect you from market manipulation.

What Is Market Manipulation?

Here’s how the SEC defines market manipulation: “Intentional or willful conduct designed to deceive ordefraud investors by controlling or artificially affecting theprice of securities, or [the] intentional interference with the free forces of supply anddemand.”

In other words, market manipulation happens when someone tries to rig the supply or demand of a particular security so that other investors and traders think the price of that security is going one way when it’s actually not.One or more persons acting in bad faith might try to manipulate the market by inflating or deflating a security price to earn someextra cash. Their goal is to trick others into believing a stock or another security is performing a certain way and then capitalize on that ignorance.

It is important to note that at the time of writing no government entity had filed a charge of wrongdoing against WallStreetBets members or any individual investors regarding the GameStock short squeeze.

Examples of Market Manipulation

There are several ways market manipulators set out to trick investors. The SEC groups techniques of market manipulation into two groups, pump and dump and trading manipulation. Here is what each is and how they work to manipulate the trading market.

Pump and Dump

Thisoccurs when a person knowingly gives false or misleading statements about a company’s stock in order for it to gain traction. The demand goes up and prices increase.People who employ a pump-and-dump scheme might falsely claim thata stock is expected to perform in a certain way, or they may spread rumors aboutcompany moves that could garner attention from potential investors. Once enough people fall for the ruse, the dumping begins. Insiders or those who created false claims in the first place will offload their shares of the company into the market. With empty promises and a tanking stock, naive investors take a hit.

This technique can be run just as lucratively in reverse in what is sometimes called “poop and scoop.”Traders intentionally will spread what they know to be false and misleading information about a company or security in an attempt to cause a huge drop in the stock price. In other words, they “poop” on the stock, making investors drop their investments so insiders can “scoop” up the securities at a nice discount.

In either of the above examples, fraudsters can use the internet, spam and faxes, among other means, to run down or pump up securities. Among the intentional falsehoods, someone might advance claims that a company has a great new contract or a great new contract fell through, a company has just made a key discovery or gained a lucrative patent and revenue or profit came in surprisingly strong or surprisingly weak.

Significantly, the SEC saysmarket manipulation“[m]ay be orchestrated ‘conversations’ in chat rooms, socialmedia or on message boards that follow particular stocks or the markets.”

Trading Manipulation

This is trading at volumes and times designed to fool themarket about share values.

One example of this is wash trading, which is when one or more schemers buy and sell the same securityover and over again in quick succession to increase its volume. This makes the stock attractive to potential investors, who think the spike in activity means it’s worth jumping on.

Another example is when a few people band together to inflate the price of a security by buying and selling it among themselves, it’s a form of market manipulation called“painting the tape.” This scheme gives the illusion that there is a lot of trading activity going on, when in reality only a few wily people are actually trading. As momentum builds and more and more investors want to buy in, the price escalates.This results in the original small group’s end goal: to drive up the price of the stock and then sell it to unwitting investors.

The Gray Areas in the Market

How to Spot Market Manipulation - SmartAsset (2)

Potentially suspect activity is not prima facie evidence of market manipulation, at least as it is currently described. There are a number of things that appear to fall short of the definition of market manipulation:

  • Expressing your opinion about a security’s value; urging others to embrace your thinking about a security’s value
  • Failing to include key information about security as you argue for your point, provided such a failure is not intentional even if a “reasonable” investor was thus harmed
  • Making mistaken assertions about security, provided such mistakes are not intentionaleven if a “reasonable” investor was thus harmed

Given that participants in the GameStock short squeeze appear to be amateurs could make the job of prosecutors intent on winning a market manipulation case more difficult than if defendants are financial professionals.

How to Avoid Market Scams

To protect yourself from market manipulation there are several steps you can take, some negative and some positive.

Beware of low-volume stocks, as well asmicrocap stocks and penny stocks, They are far easier to manipulate than large-cap stocksor securities with high-volume trading. Exercise extreme caution when engaged in day trading. Before you act on a tantalizing report, check to see where it’s coming from. It might take more work and time on your part to verify and vet the source, but it’s better than making a move that could result in tons of lost money.

Have a financial plan that includes a strict asset allocation and stick with that allocation – no matter what you’re hearing on social media. The best way to have a solid financial plan is to work with a financial advisor.

The Bottom Line

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Stakeholders in financial markets are considering what is and what is not market manipulation as well as whether all market manipulation should always be illegal. Falling victim to market manipulation isn’t fun. It is also expensive. Hard-earned money that’s lost because you jumped onto an otherwise fraudulent claim can be hard to recoup. Suspect fraud?Report itto the SEC. If you think you’ve been duped, the SEC wants to make sure others won’t be.

Tips for Long-term Investing

  • If you’re struggling to understand how the market moves, or you want your money to work harder for you, consider talking to an expert. Finding the right financial advisor whofits your needsdoesn’t have to be hard.SmartAsset’s free tool matches you with up to three financial advisors who serve your area, and you can interview your advisor matches at no cost to decide which one is right for you. If you’re ready to find an advisor who can help you achieve your financial goals,get started now.
  • Market manipulation affects day traders and short-term investments the most. Don’t be fooled into acting quickly; instead, make investments for the long term. Long-term investments can be affected by market manipulation, but they’re less likely to be as comprised as their short-term siblings.

Photo credit: ©iStock.com/MicroStockHub, ©iStock.com/Cecilie_Arcurs, ©iStock.com/vgajic

How to Spot Market Manipulation - SmartAsset (2024)

FAQs

How to Spot Market Manipulation - SmartAsset? ›

Beware of low-volume stocks, as well as microcap stocks and penny stocks, They are far easier to manipulate than large-cap stocks or securities with high-volume trading. Exercise extreme caution when engaged in day trading. Before you act on a tantalizing report, check to see where it's coming from.

How do you detect market manipulation? ›

Price movements without news or events: Unwarranted price swings are often symptomatic of manipulative efforts. Coordinated trading activities: Detecting multiple accounts engaging in similar trading behavior often suggests collusion and market manipulation.

How to spot stock manipulation? ›

They also point out that, most often, prices and liquidity are elevated when the manipulator sells rather than when he buys. This shows that changes in prices, volume and volatility are the critical parameters that are to be tracked to detect manipulation.

What counts as market manipulation? ›

Market manipulation is a deliberate attempt to interfere with the free and fair operation of a market, typically for personal gain. It can take many forms, such as spreading false or misleading information, manipulating prices or trading volumes, or using unfair or fraudulent tactics to manipulate market conditions.

What are the two major techniques of market manipulation? ›

Market manipulation refers to artificial inflation or deflation of the price of a security. Market manipulation can be difficult not only for authorities but also for the manipulator. There are two major techniques of market manipulation: pump and dump, and poop and scoop.

Can you get in trouble for market manipulation? ›

What Is Manipulation? Market manipulation is conduct designed to deceive investors by controlling or artificially affecting the price of securities. 1 Manipulation is illegal in most cases, but it can be difficult for regulators and other authorities to detect and prove.

How do big players manipulate the stock market? ›

This form of illegal manipulation consists of a large player constantly and almost instantaneously buying and selling the same security. The rapid buying and selling increases the volume of the stock and attracts investors who are fooled by the soaring volume.

Who investigates stock market manipulation? ›

The MIMF Unit specializes in the investigation and prosecution of cases involving publicly traded securities. These cases include accounting fraud at publicly traded companies, insider trading, false statements, market manipulation, and other schemes.

What is the difference between market abuse and market manipulation? ›

Market abuse occurs when a person or group acts to disadvantage other investors in a qualifying market. It incorporates two broad categories of behaviour: market manipulation and insider dealing. Market manipulation occurs when a person distorts or affects qualifying investments or market transactions.

What is a real life example of market manipulation? ›

One of the most common forms of market manipulation is the pump and dump scheme. This is where manipulators buy a large number of shares in a company, then promote the stock to other investors, often through false or misleading information.

Do short sellers manipulate the market? ›

Short-and-distort is an illegal market manipulation scheme that involves shorting a stock and then spreading false information in an attempt to drive down its price. The short-and-distort is the inverse of the better known and also illegal pump-an-dump tactic.

What is spoofing trading? ›

Spoofing (also referred to as 'layering') is a term used to describe a form of market manipulation where traders place a bid or offer with no intention of fulfilling it, instead cancelling the bid or offer before execution.

What is the penalty for market manipulation? ›

The maximum punishment for anyone found guilty of the crime of insider dealing is ten years imprisonment. No one can be imprisoned for breaching civil law, but anyone found liable of market abuse offences can face unlimited fines. The implications for any individual or organisation accused either offence are serious.

Is wash trading the same as churning? ›

In a wash trade the manipulator takes both the buy and the sell side of a trade, often using a third party as a proxy to trade on behalf of the manipulator, for the purpose of generating activity and increasing the price. This is more involved than churning because the orders are actually fulfilled.

How do you stop market manipulation? ›

Enforce Strong Controls and Immediate Follow Up. One often fail-safe way to avoid the more common market manipulation schemes is to adopt controls around the types of markets your firm will trade in. The market in thinly-traded “penny” stocks, for instance, provides fertile ground for manipulative activity.

How do you overcome market manipulation? ›

You could avoid pump and dumps by creating your own strategy and not getting lured in by claims that seem too good to be true. Having an exit plan for any trade you get into can also help to protect profits and limit losses.

How do you identify market makers? ›

One of the most important indicators to identify the role of market makers and institutional players in market movements is volume. Volume measures the amount of trading activity for a given asset, and reflects the level of interest, conviction, and participation in the market.

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