How to Estimate the Value of A Private Company (2024)

How to Estimate the Value of A Private Company (1)

“What is the value of my business?” This is a common question asked by business owners for estate planning or retirement purposes since, in many cases, most of their wealth is tied up in their company. Establishing a company’s true value requires soliciting bids from qualified buyers. However, short of putting your company up for sale, this article describes a relatively simple means of approximating the value of a private company.

The total fair market value of a business is often called the company’s Enterprise Value, or the sum of its market value inclusive of debts, minus its cash and cash equivalents. Valuation methods for calculating Enterprise Value include, but are not limited to, discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis, using public company share prices, or applying recent industry transactions of comparable companies. A valuation approach commonly used by private equity and investment banking professionals, and the one we will focus on here, applies a multiple to Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization (“EBITDA”).

What EBITDA Multiple Should I Use For Calculating Enterprise Value?

The majority of businesses generating between $10 million and $75 million of annual revenue historically transact for EBITDA multiples between 5.0x and 8.0x EBITDA. The EBITDA multipleapplied toa particular private business is a function of a potential buyer’s view of it’s risk-returnprofile. Consequently, a company’s Enterprise Value is also dependent on the factors outlined below.

The appropriate EBITDA Multiple in calculating Enterprise Value is influenced by numerous factors including, but not limited to, level of customer concentration, company and industry growth rates, supplier concentration, competitive position, profit margins, size of the company and depth and strength of the management team. Such factors need to be assessed individually and considered in totality when valuing private companies. For example, customer concentration (e.g., single customer > 20%) often dictates a lower EBITDA Multiple. Conversely, companies with little customer concentration participating in attractive end markets with high growth rates such as medical or aerospace, or utilizing unique materials or processes, typically command higher than average EBITDA multiples. A potential buyer will also want to gauge management’s estimate of capital expenditures required for supporting growth of the business on a go-forward basis.

What EBITDA Will Be Used In My Private Company Valuation?

It is common practice to utilize the most recent trailing twelve months EBITDA in calculating Enterprise Value, albeit in certain circ*mstances it may be more appropriate to use an average EBITDA of the last 2 or 3 years. For example, small businesses may experience temporary spikes or dips in EBITDA due to a myriad of customer, market, or macroeconomic issues. Smoothing these outliers often provides a more accurate reflection of company value.

Further, it is common practice to normalize EBITDA, resulting in an Adjusted EBITDA. Some common adjustments to EBITDA include, but are not limited to, non-recurring revenues and expenses (litigation expenses, changes in accounting methods, facility moves, certain professional fees, etc.), non-business/personal-related expenses (car leases not used in business, payments to family members outside the business, country club memberships, etc.), facility rent and/or owner compensation above or below fair market value. Alternatively, some EBITDA adjustments likely not accepted by a potential private equity or strategic buyer may include, ineffective marketing campaigns, research and development expenses related to failed product launches or bonuses paid annually but considered “discretionary.”

Understanding the Difference Between Enterprise Value and Shareholders Value

The product of using an appropriate EBITDA multiple results in a realistic estimate of Enterprise Value, not to be confused with Shareholders Value. Since businesses typically transact on a cash-free, debt-free basis, Shareholders Value is calculated as the Enterprise Value (EBITDA Multiple x Adjusted EBITDA) plus cash and cash equivalents minus third party debt (bank debt and capital leases).

The following example illustrates how to calculate Enterprise Value using the Multiple of EBITDA method from the foregoing concepts:

How to Estimate the Value of A Private Company (2)

Other Common Private Company Valuation Methods: Asset Based, Discounted Cash Flow, Market Value

While the foregoing method for calculating Enterprise Value as a multiple of EBITDA, determined by a myriad of business factors is most relied upon in private equity and investment banking, it is not the only valuation method for private companies.

  • Asset Based Valuation Method:This approach examines the company’s balance sheet, subtracting the value of its total liabilities from the company’s total net asset value. There are two approaches to an asset based valuation:
    • Going Concern Approach:If the business plans to continue operating without immediately selling any assets, it should use the going-concern approach to asset based business valuation.
    • Liquidation Value Approach:Conversely, if the business is winding down, it should apply the liquidation value asset based valuation method. Here, the value is based on net cash that would exist if the business terminated and sold off the assets. Predictably, this approach often yields a valuation below fair market value.
  • Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation Method: Also referred to as the income approach, the DCF valuation method relies more on a company’s financial information. This enables one of DCF’s key advantages over other valuation techniques: it evaluates companies on an absolute basis, removing subjectivity. DCF values a business based on its projected cash flow over an appropriate period of time, adjusted to present value using a realistic discount rate.
  • Market Value Valuation Method:This method compares a business to similar companies. Ideally, a company would use financial information from precedent transactions to arrive at an accurate valuation. As mentioned at the beginning of this article, some business owners turn to market capitalization data on public companies in their industry to try to extrapolate a value for their companies based on industry averages. A word of caution: this method fails to take into account differences in capabilities, projected growth rates, intangible assets, and other relevant factors. At best, an upward trend in industry average market capitalization for public companies may indicate a strong growth rate for the market as a whole.

Next Steps For Private Company Valuation

This article has provided the framework for estimating a private company’s Enterprise Value. As stated previously, the true value can only be established by soliciting bids from qualified buyers. However, it is possible to provide a reasonably close approximation of Enterprise Value with the help of a qualified professional who can assist in identifying and quantifying critical valuation factors.

The next article explores our view on critical factors affecting Enterprise Value including:

  • EBITDA
  • Revenue Trends
  • Profit Margins
  • Customer Concentration
  • Industry Growth Rate
  • Strength and Depth of the Management Team
  • Competitive Advantages

MCM Capital is a Cleveland, OH based lower middle market private equity fund focused on acquiring niche manufacturing and value added distribution businesses generating $10 million to $75 million in annual revenues.

How to Estimate the Value of A Private Company (2024)

FAQs

How to Estimate the Value of A Private Company? ›

The most common way to estimate the value of a private company is to use comparable company analysis (CCA). This approach involves searching for publicly-traded companies that most closely resemble the private or target firm.

How much is a business worth with $1 million in sales? ›

The exact value of a business with $1 million in sales would depend on the profitability of the business and its assets. Generally, a business is worth anywhere from one to five times its annual sales. So, in this case, the business would be worth between $1 million and $5 million.

How do you calculate equity value of a private company? ›

Equity Value, also known as market capitalization, is the total of the shareholders' values available for the business and can be calculated by multiplying the market value per share by the total number of shares outstanding.

Is there a formula for valuing a company? ›

It is calculated by multiplying the company's share price by its total number of shares outstanding. For example, as of January 3, 2018, Microsoft Inc. traded at $86.35.2 With a total number of shares outstanding of 7.715 billion, the company could then be valued at $86.35 x 7.715 billion = $666.19 billion.

Can you use a DCF to value a private company? ›

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis in Private Company Valuation. The basic idea still holds up for private companies: you project a company's Unlevered Free Cash Flow and its Terminal Value, and then you discount both of them back to their Present Values and add them to estimate the company's implied value.

How many times net profit is a business worth? ›

In most cases, people can determine their online business value by multiplying their average monthly net profit by 36x – 60x. For example, If a business generates a rolling twelve-month average net profit of $35,000, then this business would be valued at $1.26M on the low end and $2.27M on the high end.

What is the rule of thumb for valuing a business? ›

For valuation purposes, a rule of thumb involves applying an industry-specific multiple to an economic benefit, such as business revenue or discretionary cash flow. For example: A businesses' goodwill may be worth 2.0x discretionary cash flow; or.

What are the 3 ways to value a company? ›

Three main types of valuation methods are commonly used for establishing the economic value of businesses: market, cost, and income; each method has advantages and drawbacks.

How do you value a business quickly? ›

A less sophisticated but still popular way to determine a company's potential value quickly is to multiply the current sales or revenue of a company by a multiple "score." For example, a company with $200K in annual sales and a multiple of 5 would be worth $1 million.

Is equity in a private company worth anything? ›

Ultimately, your equity is only valuable if your company has a successful exit: either through acquisition or IPO. That's why it's far more important to choose the right company to work for rather than focusing on the amount of equity you can get.

What is the market value of a private business? ›

The total fair market value of a business is often called the company's Enterprise Value, or the sum of its market value inclusive of debts, minus its cash and cash equivalents.

What multiple of EBITDA do companies sell for? ›

Generally speaking, businesses sell for between three and six times their EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization). There are both pros and cons to selling a business for a multiple of EBITDA.

What is a 409A valuation for a private company? ›

A 409A valuation is an appraisal of the fair market value (FMV) of the common stock of a private company by an independent third party. Startups typically pay for these assessments and then use the findings to inform the price at which employees can purchase shares of the company's common stock.

How do you value a private company based on revenue? ›

Using findings from a private company's closest public competitors, you can determine its value by using the EBITDA or enterprise value multiple. The discounted cash flow method requires estimating the revenue growth of the target firm by averaging the revenue growth rates of similar companies.

How much a company is worth based on revenue? ›

Valuing a Company Based On Sales and Revenue

Valuing a business based on sales and revenue uses your totals before subtracting operating expenses and multiplying that number by an industry multiple.

What multiple of revenue is a company worth? ›

The times-revenue method determines the maximum value of a company as a multiple of its revenue for a set period of time. The multiple varies by industry and other factors but is typically one or two. In some industries, the multiple might be less than one.

What multiples do businesses sell for? ›

Common Multiples
  • Retail businesses: 1.5 to 3.0 (i.e., cash flow x 1.5-3.0 multiple)
  • Service businesses: 1.5 to 3.0 (i.e., cash flow x 1.5-3.0 multiple)
  • Food businesses: 1.5 to 3.0 (i.e., cash flow x 1.5-3.0 multiple)
  • Manufacturing businesses: 3.0 to 5.0+ (i.e., cash flow x 3.0-5.0+ multiple)

What is the 1% rule in business? ›

The 1 Percent Rule states that over time the majority of the rewards in a given field will accumulate to the people, teams, and organizations that maintain a 1 percent advantage over the alternatives. You don't need to be twice as good to get twice the results. You just need to be slightly better.

How much of your business should you sell? ›

A business will likely sell for two to four times seller's discretionary earnings (SDE)range –the majority selling within the 2 to 3 range. In essence, if the annual cash flow is $200,000, the selling price will likely be between $400,000 and $600,000.

What brings the most value to a company? ›

How to Add Value to Your Organization
  • Extend your network. Attend conferences and networking events where you can promote your product or service and boost its visibility in the marketplace. ...
  • Build a positive reputation. ...
  • Look for opportunities to innovate. ...
  • Be a brand advocate.

What is the most important factor in valuing a company? ›

Income is a major factor in the valuation of any business. Particularly, someone appraising the value of a business will look at historical trends in your income.

How much do small businesses sell for? ›

Factors Affecting Small Business Valuation

Thus, buyers have to approach the deal as if they are purchasing a job. Businesses where the owner is actively-involved typically sell for 2-3 times the annual earnings of the company. A business that earns $100,000 per year should sell for $200,000-$300,000.

How do you value a limited company? ›

Price-to-earnings ratio

This method, also known as multiples of profit, compares the price of your company shares versus your company earnings. Public companies calculate their price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio by dividing the price of stock by the earnings per share.

How many years does it take to value a business? ›

You can reach a valuation by adding the dividends forecast for the next 15 or so years, plus a residual value at the end of the period. You calculate today's value of each future cash flow using a discount rate, which accounts for the risk and time value of the money.

Is 1% equity in a startup good? ›

Up to this point, generally speaking, with teams of less than 12 people, the average granted equity for startup employees is 1%. This number can be as high as 2% for the first hires, and in some circ*mstances, the first hire(s) can be considered founders and their equity share could be even greater.

Does private equity always buy 100%? ›

Private equity firms are not passive investors. They often buy 100% of a target company, or at least a controlling stake, and may do a lot of work to streamline its operations, cut costs or improve performance.

What does it mean to own 30% of a company? ›

30% Ownership means the ownership or holding, individually or jointly, directly or indirectly, through any Person, of 30% or more of the capital stock or its equivalent in an Entity or of any right which such Person or Persons grants the authority to vote or exercise similar rights on 30% or more of the capital stock ...

How do you value a private company using EBITDA? ›

Once EBITDA has been determined, this amount is multiplied by a number to determine the company's value. For example, if a company had a EBITDA of $100,000 and the multiplier is 5, the company would be worth $500,000. The multiple used, therefore, is critical in determining the value of the company under this method.

Is 20% EBITDA good? ›

An EBITDA over 10 is considered good. Over the last several years, the EBITDA has ranged between 11 and 14 for the S&P 500. You may also look at other businesses in your industry and their reported EBITDA as a way to see how your company is measuring up.

Why EBITDA is not useful in valuing companies? ›

The reason these issues matter is that EBITDA removes real expenses that a company must actually spend capital on – e.g. interest expense, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. As a result, using EBITDA as a standalone profitability metric can be misleading, especially for capital-intensive companies.

Does 409A apply to private companies? ›

Do I need a 409A Valuation? If your private company is issuing stock options or any other form of deferred compensation to your employees, you must have an assessment of the fair market value of your business performed by a third-party valuation firm. This is to satisfy the Internal Revenue Code (IRC) Section 409A.

Can I do my own 409A valuation? ›

This process can be performed by the owner themselves or someone from inside the company like the accountant or financier. On the other hand, the 409A valuation is utilized to find the fair market value (FMV) of the business.

What is fair market value? ›

The fair market value (FMV) is the value of property as determined by the marketplace (or objective purchasers) rather than as determined by a subjective individual.

How much is a business worth based on revenue? ›

Valuing a Company Based On Sales and Revenue

Valuing a business based on sales and revenue uses your totals before subtracting operating expenses and multiplying that number by an industry multiple.

How much should I value my business to sell? ›

A business will likely sell for two to four times seller's discretionary earnings (SDE)range –the majority selling within the 2 to 3 range. In essence, if the annual cash flow is $200,000, the selling price will likely be between $400,000 and $600,000.

How do you value a business based on profit? ›

The price earnings ratio (P/E ratio) is the value of a business divided by its profits after tax. You can value a business by multiplying its profits by an appropriate P/E ratio (see below).

Is a million in sales good? ›

Every successful entrepreneur knows this, and yet so many struggle with it. According to the book Scaling Up by Verne Harnish, only 6% of companies will ever reach 1 million in total sales, making it an exceptional achievement but still attainable.

What are the 3 main ways to value a company? ›

Three main types of valuation methods are commonly used for establishing the economic value of businesses: market, cost, and income; each method has advantages and drawbacks.

How many times gross revenue is a business worth? ›

Typically, valuing of business is determined by one-times sales, within a given range, and two times the sales revenue. What this means is that the valuing of the company can be between $1 million and $2 million, which depends on the selected multiple.

How do you value a company on Shark Tank? ›

This is where the sharks usually ask how much the company made in the prior year. The valuation is then divided by that amount. If the company made $100,000 last year, it would be $1 million ÷ $100,000 = 10. If the company continues to make $100,000 each year, it would take 10 years for the investor to break even.

How many US citizens make over $1 million a year? ›

California

There are just under 72,500 tax filers in California with an adjusted gross income above $1 million.

How much profit should a 2 million dollar business make? ›

Based on this, a 2 million dollar investment portfolio could potentially generate an annual income of $80,000 to $120,000. However, it's important to note that investment returns are not guaranteed, and there is always a risk of losing some or all of the principal investment.

How many companies have $5 million in revenue? ›

To determine how many of this total make more than $5 million in revenue, I looked for tabulations of revenue data and found that while 327,589 companies reach this number, more than 1.6 million other companies have no revenue data reported in this manner.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Msgr. Refugio Daniel

Last Updated:

Views: 6633

Rating: 4.3 / 5 (54 voted)

Reviews: 93% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Msgr. Refugio Daniel

Birthday: 1999-09-15

Address: 8416 Beatty Center, Derekfort, VA 72092-0500

Phone: +6838967160603

Job: Mining Executive

Hobby: Woodworking, Knitting, Fishing, Coffee roasting, Kayaking, Horseback riding, Kite flying

Introduction: My name is Msgr. Refugio Daniel, I am a fine, precious, encouraging, calm, glamorous, vivacious, friendly person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.