How Much Retirement Will $3 Million Buy Me? (2024)

Mark Henricks

·5 min read

How Much Retirement Will $3 Million Buy Me? (1)

How long $3 million will last in retirement depends on your spending habits and investment returns. While your spending habits are largely under your control, some costs such as healthcare expenses are not perfectly predictable. Likewise, while you can probably expect investment returns to be much like they have been in the past, there is no guarantee that future performance will match historical returns. Still, a $3 million nest egg will be adequate to fund a comfortable and secure retirement in the majority of circ*mstances. If you need help developing a plan for retirement, consider talking to afinancial advisor.

Estimating the Life of $3 Million in Retirement Savings

Spending levels and investment returns are the two factors determining how long your retirement savings will last. Here are three scenarios using different approaches to spending and investing that illustrate the way the relationship works.

The Conservative Approach

A 65-year-old retired couple with $3 million might plan to withdraw 3% of their total portfolio for living expenses in their first year of retirement and then adjust their withdrawals insubsequent years for inflation. The safe withdrawal rate is often pegged at 4%, so a 3% withdrawal rate provides an extra margin of safety. This couple also conservatively estimates a 6% annual return on their investment. That too is at the low end of the historical range for a diversified investment portfolio.

A 3% withdrawal rate on $3 million comes to $90,000 in the first year. When adjusted for inflation afterward, that amount can fund a comfortable if not lavish retirement lifestyle in most communities. At a 6% return, their conservatively invested $3 million portfolio will generate $180,000 annually if all goes according to plan. This conservative spending and investing approach makes it likely the couple's retirement nest egg will last indefinitely.

The Middle-of-the-Road Approach

Another 65-year-old couple with moderate spending plans and a middle-of-the-road risk tolerance expects to withdraw 4% of their capital each year for living expenses. They'll invest more heavily in equities, which tend to be more volatile than fixed-income securities but over time usually generate higher returns. The couple projects 8% annual gains on their investments.

This approach will give them $140,000 per year to spend, and $240,000 in investment income. Like the first couple, they'll never run out of money in most scenarios.

The Aggressive Approach

A more free-spending couple, also 65 years old, plans to withdraw 12% or $360,000 of their capital each year. To help them generate adequate income, they'll invest more aggressively in hopes of earning 10% per year, equal to $300,000.

In this scenario, the couple's expenses outpace their investment earnings. As a result, they will empty their retirement fund in about 16 years. To make their savings last for about 25 years, they would need to earn a consistent 12% with their investments, which is well above the long-term averages.

Extending the Life of Your Retirement Savings

How Much Retirement Will $3 Million Buy Me? (2)

In order to extend the life of retirement savings, retirees can spend less or earn more. Of these two options, spending is the one that's more easily controllable. Many retirees follow strategies such as downsizing, moving to an area with a lower cost of living and traveling during the less expensive off-season.

It's still possible for people to experience unexpected costs that can cause expenses to exceed their budget, however. For example, healthcare is one spending category where large bills can arrive without warning.

The other approach is to invest more aggressively to earn more. This can be done by means of asset allocation, putting a larger percentage of the portfolio into higher-earning assets, especially stocks, instead of safe assets such as bank certificates of deposit that may not even keep up with inflation.

Higher earnings from more aggressively invested portfolios are not guaranteed and carry more risk. However, for several decades stock-heavy portfolios have out-gained bond-heavy investment allocations.

You can also extend your retirement fund's life by tapping other sources of income. For instance, these scenarios do not reflect Social Security benefits. Most people are eligible for these payments, which can let you maintain your standard of living without drawing down your retirement fund as quickly. You may also have income from a pension, an annuity or opt to work part-time in retirement.

Bottom Line

How Much Retirement Will $3 Million Buy Me? (3)

A $3 million portfolio will likely be enough to allow a retired couple to spend reasonably and invest with moderate caution without any worries of running out of money. However, if expenses rise too high, it's entirely possible to drain a $3 million portfolio in well under 30 years.

Retirement Planning Tips

  • To help you develop a plan for funding a secure and comfortable retirement, consider talking to a financial advisor. Finding a financial advisor doesn't have to be hard. SmartAsset's free tool matches you with up to three vetted financial advisors who serve your area, and you can interview your advisor matches at no cost to decide which one is right for you. If you're ready to find an advisor who can help you achieve your financial goals, get started now.

  • Location can be as important in retirement as it is in real estate. When you're deciding where you want to retire, SmartAsset's cost of living calculator can help you compare locations. Enter your current location, the city you are considering for relocation, your household income and a few other details. You'll learn how much higher or lower the cost in the new location will be, as well as how much you'll need to earn to maintain your lifestyle there.

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The post How Long Will $3 Million Last in Retirement? appeared first on SmartAsset Blog.

As an expert in personal finance and retirement planning, it's crucial to emphasize the significance of thoughtful financial management to ensure a secure and comfortable retirement. The article by Mark Henricks, dated August 12, 2023, delves into the pivotal factors that determine the longevity of a $3 million retirement savings in various scenarios.

The central themes covered in the article include:

  1. Spending Habits and Investment Returns:

    • The duration $3 million lasts in retirement hinges on two key factors: spending habits and investment returns.
    • While spending habits are within one's control, certain costs, such as healthcare expenses, are unpredictable.
    • Investment returns, though historically reliable, lack a guarantee of future performance matching past returns.
  2. Conservative Approach:

    • A retired couple, aged 65 with $3 million, plans a 3% annual withdrawal for living expenses, adjusting for inflation.
    • With a conservative 6% annual return estimate, they can expect $90,000 in the first year, providing a margin of safety.
  3. Middle-of-the-Road Approach:

    • Another couple, also 65, adopts a 4% annual withdrawal strategy, investing more heavily in equities with an anticipated 8% annual gain.
    • This approach yields $140,000 per year, ensuring financial sustainability.
  4. Aggressive Approach:

    • A more free-spending couple, also 65, plans a 12% withdrawal, investing aggressively for a 10% annual return.
    • This aggressive strategy risks depleting their retirement fund in about 16 years.
  5. Extending Retirement Savings:

    • Retirees can extend savings by spending less or earning more.
    • Strategies include downsizing, relocating to lower-cost areas, and traveling during off-seasons.
    • Unforeseen expenses, especially in healthcare, can impact budgets.
  6. Investing More Aggressively:

    • Aggressive investment, involving a higher allocation to stocks, can potentially enhance earnings but comes with increased risk.
    • Tapping into additional income sources like Social Security, pensions, annuities, or part-time work can also bolster retirement funds.
  7. Retirement Planning Tips:

    • Seeking guidance from a financial advisor is recommended for developing a secure retirement plan.
    • SmartAsset's free tool helps connect individuals with vetted financial advisors based on their area.
  8. Considerations Beyond the $3 Million Portfolio:

    • The article highlights that unexpected expenses can drain a $3 million portfolio in less than 30 years.
    • Location is emphasized as a crucial factor in retirement, with tools like SmartAsset's cost of living calculator aiding in location comparisons.

In summary, the article underscores the importance of a well-thought-out retirement plan, taking into account spending habits, investment strategies, and potential sources of additional income to ensure financial security throughout one's retirement years.

How Much Retirement Will $3 Million Buy Me? (2024)
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