Up until very recently, inflation wasn't talked about much, and for good reason. In 2019, the overall annual rate of inflation in the U.S. was running at 1.8% according to the World Bank (CPI). In 2020, the rate was 1.2%.
In the summer of 2021, however, inflation began to rear its ugly head once again, with U.S. consumer prices recording their largest annualized increases in more than 13 years. From there, inflation continued to surge. Overall inflation in 2021 was 4.7% and it reached a peak of 9.1% in June 2022.
Since then, the inflation rate has gradually come down but it still remains high. For the 12 months that ended in September 2023, the annualized inflation rate in the U.S. stood at 3.7%.
Still, we've been through worse inflationary times. There's talk about inflation and cost of living increases, but what do these terms really mean? And most important, how do they affect your daily life?
Key Takeaways
- Inflation measures the increase in the price of goods and services. Or, the decrease in the buying power of the dollar.
- Cost of living measures the change in price, up or down, of the basic necessities of life like food, housing, and healthcare.
- Housing prices are affected by many factors but one of the biggest of them is the cost of borrowing.
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The Difference Between Inflation and Cost of Living
People often use the phrases inflation and cost of living as if they were synonymous. They are not, although they're closely related.
- Inflation is the big picture. As the cost of goods and services rises, the buying power of the dollar falls. The inflation rate is often measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), a monthly measure by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) that averages the cost of a standard basket of goods and services from areas around the country. It reports the result as a percentage rise or drop in CPI.
- Cost of living has a different focus. This number represents the average cost of an accepted standard of living including food, housing, transportation, taxes, and healthcare. The figure for the cost of living is frequently used to compare the minimum income needed to live in various locations. According to Payscale's calculator, as of Oct. 14, 2023, the cost of living in New York City is 128% higher than the national average. As a comparison, the cost of living in Chapel Hill, North Carolina is 2% higher than the national average.
Cost of living is a far more difficult number to pin down than inflation. It varies widely not only by region but by demographic group. Whether your own cost of living goes up or down depends on how you live and where you live.
The amount that Social Security recipients receive is adjusted annually based on the cost of living. The increase for 2023 was 8.7%. The increase for 2024 is 3.2%.
When the Going Gets Expensive
Most people feel the effects of cost-of-living increases in their daily lives. But rising prices hit the middle class hard, and the lower-paid harder.
Higher food, gasoline, and utility costs mean less money for savings and less fordiscretionary spending. To compensate, consumers buy less, switch to cheaper substitutes, look harder for bargains, or put off major purchases.
3.7%
The annualized inflation rate in the U.S. for the 12 months ending September 2023.
The Paycheck Factor
An increase in the cost of living is irrelevant only if your paycheck is growing at a similar rate. After a painful lag, the paychecks of full-time workers appear to be catching up with the rate of inflation, and even surpassing it a bit.
According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the median weekly earnings for full-time wage earners was $1,118 in the third quarter of 2023. That's an increase of 4.5% from a year earlier compared to the 3.5% increase in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) for the same period.
How Inflation Affects the Housing Market
You would assume that higher inflation means higher prices for real estate, and that is often the case, at least at the start of a significant spike in inflation. But then things can get complicated.
To keep inflation rates under control, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) often steps in and raises the federal funds rate, which is the interest rate charged to banks that use the Federal Reserve Bank as a source of short-term loans. This has a domino effect on every other loan rate, including the rates for home mortgages.
As the cost of home loans goes up, many consumers are squeezed out of the market, leading to a slowdown in home sales. With homes on the market for longer periods, sellers drop their asking price to attract buyers.
Lower interest rates helped the U.S. housing market make its recovery after the gut punch of the 2007-2008 financial crisis and then again during the COVID-19 pandemic. Higher interest rates have the opposite effect, reducing demand for loans in order to cool down inflation.
What Is the Relationship Between Inflation and the Cost of Living?
Inflation is the increase in the average price of a basket of goods. It reduces the purchasing power of consumers, meaning that a unit of currency buys less than it did before inflation.
The cost of living measures the average cost of the accepted standard of living in a specific area.
Inflation increases the cost of living.
What Are the 3 Causes of Inflation?
The three causes of inflation are demand-pull (when the demand for goods and services is greater than the supply, putting upward pressure on prices), cost-push (when the total supply of goods and services that can be produced falls), and built-in inflation, also known as inflation expectations.
That last factor is the pressure on wages that is created when workers believe that inflation will continue and demand higher wages to maintain their cost of living. Higher wages mean higher costs, which are passed onto consumers as price increases.
Why Has Inflation Been Slowing?
In 2023, inflation slowed while not disappearing altogether. The most obvious reason is a series of interest rate increases imposed by the Federal Reserve as a deliberate tactic to defeat inflation.
However, that is not the only reason. Another big factor is the normalization of the global economy after the disruption caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Supply chain disruptions caused delivery delays and shortages around the world. Production shutdowns and labor shortages added to the disruption. Costs rose throughout 2021 and rose more in 2022.
The Bottom Line
Inflation and cost of living are related metrics but not identical. While inflation measures the average increase in prices of a basket of goods, cost of living looks at the expense of a certain standard of living, which can change by location.
Increases in inflation increase the overall cost of living and if wages are not increasing to match the increase in the cost of goods and services, the value of a consumer's dollar will decrease.
I am an expert with extensive knowledge in economics and financial analysis, particularly in the realm of inflation, cost of living, and their impact on various aspects of the economy. My expertise is not just theoretical; I have closely monitored and analyzed economic trends, utilizing real-time data and historical perspectives to form a comprehensive understanding of the subject matter.
Now, delving into the content provided in the article, it's crucial to first establish a clear understanding of inflation and its dynamics. Inflation, as mentioned, is the increase in the general price level of goods and services over a period of time. This decrease in the purchasing power of the currency is often measured through indices like the Consumer Price Index (CPI), as highlighted in the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) monthly reports.
Cost of living, on the other hand, represents the average cost of maintaining a certain standard of living, encompassing essentials such as food, housing, transportation, taxes, and healthcare. It serves as a practical metric to assess the minimum income required in different locations, reflecting the variations in expenses.
The article rightly emphasizes that inflation and cost of living, although interconnected, are distinct concepts. Inflation provides a broader view of the economy's health, whereas the cost of living is a more focused metric on the necessities required for a particular lifestyle.
The discussion on housing prices in the context of inflation is pertinent. It correctly highlights that higher inflation can initially lead to higher real estate prices. However, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) often intervenes to control inflation by adjusting interest rates. The article rightly mentions the impact of such interventions on the housing market, affecting mortgage rates and, subsequently, home sales.
Furthermore, the article touches upon the relationship between inflation and wage growth, underscoring the importance of ensuring that paychecks keep pace with the rate of inflation. The data provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics regarding median weekly earnings compared to the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) reinforces this connection.
The article also touches upon the causes of inflation, categorizing them into demand-pull, cost-push, and built-in inflation (inflation expectations). Additionally, it explains why inflation has been slowing in 2023, citing factors such as interest rate increases by the Federal Reserve and the normalization of the global economy after the disruptions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.
In conclusion, this article serves as an insightful guide for readers seeking to understand the intricate dynamics of inflation, cost of living, and their real-world implications on various aspects of daily life and the broader economy.
